When the BoJ increased interest rates in March, for the first time in 17 years, the Yen continued to weaken due to the perceived lack of commitment toward further rate hikes. In April the BoJ kept rates on hold at 0.10%, which saw the Yen react with further weakness. The BoJ is due to release its Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Statement tomorrow (Friday). With...
FX:XAUUSD is stopping after correction, traders are afraid to make premature decisions as news is ahead. A consolidation below 2315 is forming. False break of support leads the price to retest 2310-2315, after which traders take a breather before the news. All eyes remain on the upcoming big events, CPI and Fed. Key US CPI data will help shape the Fed's view...
NZDUSD recently displaced to the downside but quickly made a recovery and displaced above the swing of the recent drop. There was buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs that were swept, but the candle bodies seem to be respecting the bearish Orderblock. I am anticipating price now return to a discount, taking out the sellside liquidity below, into a weekly...
The DXY spiked higher from the 104.20 price level to 104.60 during the release of the FOMC interest rate decision and the press conference. The move higher has continued through the Asia session with the DXY now approaching the 105-round number level (around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the move yesterday) This bullish move in the DXY is likely due...
The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3750, positioned close to the breakout level....
The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed Funds Rate ECONOMICS:USINTR unchanged at 5%-5.25%, as expected, but signaled rates may go to 5.6% by Year-End if the Economy and Inflation do not Slow down more. It is the first pause in the tightening campaign following ten consecutive hikes that lifted borrowing costs by 500bps to the highest level since...
Hello Traders, By looking at the dollar index, we can see a zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) forming. Zigzag pattern is made of 3 waves: Wave A = 5 waves Wave B = 3 waves Wave C = 5 waves We are now in wave C= 5 waves, currently in subwave 3. Expecting USD weakness means XXXUSD Strength and USDXXX Weakness. See lower timeframe: DXY 4H - Ideally price...
This week we have CPI and US Fed funds rate announcements. Most probably we don't get a rate cut for now (as the market expects). However, I think this week the announcements are coming out with a more dovish tone. Let's see what happens . . . If the CPI number come out lower or equal to the expectations and the Fed Chair Powell signals 1 or 2 rate cuts for...
So it appears. Will smash through the key level of 100 and onto the 94 area.. The dollar moves have massive ramifications for every financial asset , commodity & currency. lets see what it gives us.
Hi. I think short from this level is worth a risk. After incredible dollar strength on Friday and multiple sweeps, major pairs fallen into demand zones, and because of big long positioning on canadian dollar for commercial banks, I am expecting USDCAD correction. My safe target is 1.371 - and this is where I am planning to close the position for this week. Play...
Highlighting the inverse relationship between the DXY (yellow line) and the BTCUSD. Potential weakness on the DXY tonight could see the BTCUSD continue its bounce from the support level of 66,000 (also formed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from the longer term) up toward the previous high of 72,000. If the price breaks above the resistance level,...
Considering the scenario that the CPI data is released higher and/or the FOMC presents a hawkish tone, this would mean that the US interest rates could stay high for longer. This would bring significant strength to the DXY which could see massive downside for the GBPUSD. However, the GBPUSD has developed a strong support along the 1.27 price level, formed by...
The EURUSD has found support along the 1.0720 price level (with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the bullish trendline forming a confluence) If the DXY does weaken with the news tonight, the EURUSD could bounce strongly from the support level to trade higher toward the resistance level of 1.09 (moving similarly to the price action on the 9th of May) A...
USDCAD has been trading within the range of 1.3590 and 1.3780 since the start of May 2024. With the price action indicating a potential rejection of the resistance level, weakness in the DXY could see the USDCAD continue to reverse lower. A consideration as a trigger for the reversal is if the price breaks through the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level and the...
US CPI data and US Fed Interest rate decision both falling on the same day. (This only happens 13 times since 2008!!) Here, I look to share my thoughts on how the CME_MINI:ES1! (S&P index futures) along with the USD Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) can be expected to move in light of the 2 important economic news. This is just me sharing from a top down analysis...
12th June (FOMC Decision Pending) DXY: Could test and reject 105.60 resistance before trading lower (dovish FOMC) down to 105 support. NZDUSD: Buy 0.6170 SL 25 TP 45 (DXY weakness) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 20 TP 65 (DXY strength) USDJPY: Look for reaction at 158 resistance Buy 158.20 SL 40 TP 115 or Sell 157.70 SL 40 TP 115 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2750 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY...
4 hour chart comparison, negative correlation between Bitcoin and the Dollar Index. I'm still bullish on BTC up to 73k, but I think we'll at least see 67.5k with the way these two are moving, possibly a pullback below 67k to around 60-65.
Monthly: 1. Direction: Bullish 2. Reasons: 1. price took buy side LQ 2. A good Displacement 3. price coming for sell side LQ Weekly: 1. Direction: Bullish 2. Reasons: 1. price respected the weekly FVG 2. a good displacement Daily: ...