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F-XAU

GOLD's New Bullish CycleWe are close to my previous price target for GOLD: In recent weeks, Gold has captured the spotlight by surging to all-time highs, signaling a potential shift in the precious metal's market dynamics! The breakout has garnered attention from investors, raising expectations for a new bullish cycle, with some setting a price target of $2500. Historically, gold has been perceived as a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or inflation concerns. The recent surge in gold prices suggests that investors are increasingly turning to the precious metal as a store of value and a portfolio diversifier. The $2500 price target underscores the optimism surrounding gold's future prospects!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TopgOptions
XAU/USD 28 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (27/03/3034) -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Sub-internal structure has printed a further bullish iiBOS. Intraday expectation is for price to pull back following iiBOS to either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the sub-internal structure before target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
A comprehensive look at gold's volatile history during crisesIt is often said that gold tends to perform well during economic uncertainty and crisis. But is this really so? Let’s examine gold's volatile history before and during recessions in the past 50 years. The 1960s and 1970s were marked by many economic and geopolitical changes, including multiple crises of the British pound, the collapse of the London Gold Pool, the suspension of a gold standard, and the end of the Bretton Woods System. These events helped to reshape the global monetary system and the role of gold within it. Before U.S. President Richard Nixon's “temporary” suspension of gold’s convertibility to the U.S. dollar, gold was pegged at $35 per troy ounce and allowed to move within a certain band around this level. However, following the breakage of the peg between gold and the U.S. dollar, gold’s price soared past levels previously thought to be unattainable. Thanks to high inflation rates, the oil crisis, and the weak U.S. dollar, gold rose more than 2,300% during the 1970s, recording a 147% increase in 1979 alone. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The green background highlights gold’s performance one year before the recession began in January 1980. The yellow background indicates recession periods, as reported by the U.S. Federal Reserve. In the first 19 days of January 1980, gold rose another 54%, hitting an all-time high of $873 per troy ounce. In the next 66 days, gold plummeted 48% to $473. From lows on 27th March 1980, gold gained over 65%, stopping at $748.50 on 22nd September 1980. After that, gold declined until 21st June 1982, erasing nearly 60% of its value before staging a temporary rally. Nevertheless, it was only two years after the recession, on 25th February 1985, that gold finally bottomed out at $282.60. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The red background indicates gold’s performance one year before the recession began in July 1990. The yellow background shows the recession period. After bottoming out in 1985, gold rallied nearly 80% by mid-December 1987. But the next few years saw gold underperform and plunge 31%. The decline halted on 14th June 1990, at $348.20. Following that, gold’s price started to appreciate, rising 22% in the next two months, hitting a high of $425 on 21st August 1990. Yet, it was only a brief rally again, and gold soon reversed the trend. Gold lost more than 23% in the next three years, dropping to a low of $325.8 per troy ounce on 10th March 1993. Another three years were carried in a similar volatile manner, with gold rising nearly by one-third and then reversing and declining to merely $252.10 on 22nd August 1999. Illustration 1.03 The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The red background illustrates gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession in March 2001, and the yellow background indicates a recession period. After soaring 35% from 1999 lows in less than two months, gold shocked precious metal investors when it reversed and began a slow decline that lasted until the start of the 2001 recession; in fact, gold nearly took out 1999 lows in early 2001. During the recession, gold had a run-up of 12% and continued to soar to new heights after its end. By the next recession hit in late 2007, gold doubled in price. Illustration 1.04 Illustration 1.04 displays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The green background shows gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession. The yellow background highlights the recession period. From its peak in March 2008, gold lost approximately 34% until its low of $681.50 on 24th October 2008. Yet, despite this massive decline, gold bottomed out before stocks and soared more than 180% until hitting a peak in September 2011. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
4
Gold to close above $2200 this week or next? Gold to close above $2200 this week or next? Examining the daily gold chart, it appears there's a potential bullish flagpole pattern forming, indicating a possible forthcoming breakout. If this pattern unfolds, gold prices could rise. This week, gold attempted to breach $2,200 but faced rejection, dropping to $2,080 before rebounding above $2,190. However, market sentiment may be turning cautious ahead of significant US economic data releases in the shortened holiday week, including the GDP Growth Rate, Core PCE Price Index, and Personal Spending. Despite this caution, if the GDP Growth Rate falls from 4.9% in the previous quarter to the expected 3.2%, it could reinforce expectations of a June rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as the market anticipates. This could potentially increase demand for gold and boost its price. If this week's data doesn't serve as a catalyst, attention may shift to next week, with JOLTS Job Openings scheduled for Tuesday and NFP on Friday (US time), potentially providing further market insights.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
XAU/USD 27 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (26/03/3034) -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
TECHNICAL TUESDAY 3/26/24Today may or may not pan out as far as triggering an entry. As of right now we are hitting 2 out 5 on the checklist which means, NO ENTRY. Will revisit at 0845. what will I be looking for? US Core Durable Goods Orders US Durable Goods Orders Why? Because 'actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for precious metals. If this happens at 0830, Ill feel better about entering the buy stop. Why will I not be selling even if given a signal? Welp Jimothy, because its above water and thats a no-no. And for the love of sweet baby Jesus, please dont over leverage. ********Disclaimer******** The trade ideas and insights provided on this channel are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for everyone. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content shared here is based on personal opinions, analysis, and interpretation of market trends, and it may not always be accurate or up to date. By participating in these trade ideas and insights, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and any outcomes that may result. The moderators and administrators of this channel shall not be held liable for any losses incurred from trading activities. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before engaging in any trading activities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by iMosiah
XAU/USD 26 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD - 1H Market cyclesUnderstanding market cycles is key in financial trading, as showcased by our recent sell call on #XAUUSD. After a bullish spike and a period of steady growth within an ascending channel, Gold entered a trading range, indicating a pause in buying momentum. This signaled an opportune moment to execute a sell, anticipating a potential retracement from the range's upper limits. Stay informed, as comprehension of such cycles can lead to strategic market decisions.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Sober_Trading
XAUUSD 24/3/24Gold giving us a clear bullish structure but we also reached our ATH and we know price very often reaches for liquid after an ATH is reached, this does not mean we are looking for price to shift bearish but we have to keep this in mind as always, as you can see here on the chart we have liquid lows and 4 ideas of what we think price may deliver! Please keep in mind the liquid is sitting at our last major structure low and breaking this may very well shift us short term bearish... until we get a move keep all 4 for these ideas in mind, i am expecting a lower move and then a pull back higher into our newly created short term bearish range, we of course will keep in mind all of the highlighted ideas in mind and like always you trade what you see and not what you want to see!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rosshayes
XAU/USD 25-29 March 2024 Weekly OutlookWeekly Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish swing BOS. Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing BOS (Break Of Structure) First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH. Internal structure is now confirmed Expectation is for price to react at Weekly POI's or 50% EQ, which is denoted in blue, before targeting weak internal high. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established. Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line. Price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high. Because of the need for HTF's requiring a pullback, another potential scenario would be for price to continue bearish and print a bearish iBOS which would then indicate the Daily pullback has initiated. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
HTF Markup 25-29 Mar 2024 W13- XAU, DXY, GBP, JPY, AUD, NAS, BTCThis is a Weekly post for several pairs showing HTF Markup only using Smart Money Concept (SMC) on Weekly, Daily and 4H Time Frames. Feedback will be highly appreciated. U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY Weekly: Daily: 4H: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: British Pound / U.S. Dollar FX:GBPUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen FOREXCOM:USDJPY Weekly: Daily: 4H: Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar FOREXCOM:AUDUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: US Nas 100 OANDA:NAS100USD Weekly: Daily: 4H: Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Amr-Sadek
HelenP. I Gold can fall to trend line and bounce up to $2185Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the support zone, but when it reached this zone, XAU at once made the correction below. After this movement, the price turned around and continued to rise to the support level, which is located in the support zone, and in a short time later Gold broke the 2145 level. Next, the price made a retest and soon rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, but at once rebounded and started to decline. In a short time price declined to the support zone, after which it turned around and some time traded near, until it reached the trend line, and then Gold made a strong impulse up to 2220 points, thereby breaking the 2185 level. But soon, the price turned around and in a short time fell below the resistance level, breaking it one more time and making a retest. After this, XAU continued to fall, so, I think that the price will decline to the trend line, after which it will turn around and rebound up to the 2185 resistance level, which is my target also. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
Consolidation Near the PeakGold prices have entered a consolidation phase, oscillating within a narrowing range, which could be indicative of a forthcoming significant move. The Bollinger Bands on the chart are beginning to tighten, often a precursor to a breakout. Currently, prices hover just beneath the previous all-time high, suggesting that gold is testing critical levels. The recent formation could be interpreted as a bull flag or pennant, typically a continuation pattern in a strong uptrend. Such a structure, forming right below a previous peak, could signal the onset of another bullish wave if it’s decisively breached. However, it's essential to wait for clear confirmation—a definitive close above the pattern—before considering the bullish scenario fully in play. On the technical indicators front, the MACD sits below the baseline, pointing to lingering caution, while the RSI remains neutral, suggesting there is neither an overbought nor an oversold condition at present. Given the proximity to the all-time high and the tightening of the Bollinger Bands, traders should stay alert to a potential breakout or breakdown. A move above the consolidation could reignite bullish sentiment, while a drop below could see a retest of lower support levels. Enjoyed the analysis? Don’t forget to hit like, drop a comment with your thoughts, and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MonoCoinSignal
XAU/USD 21 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed an iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. Intraday expectation would be for price to show signs of pullback initiation, which have yet to occur, or, price could react at 50% EQ before continuing bullish to create new highs. Another potential scenario would be for price to continue bullish from current price, create a new high which would bring the CHoCH closer to very most recent price action allowing Gold to pullback without the need to pullback so deep as current CHoCH location which is denoted in blue dotted line slightly above the internal low, is a significant distance away from current price. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates yesterday. Price is currently trading within a fractal high and low. Intraday expectation would be for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted lines. Alternatively, and much like H4, price could continue bullish to create new highs in order to bring CHOCH closer to the very most recent price action. This would Gold to initiate first structural signs of pullback without the need to significantly pull back. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
More Gold Buys, YawnnnnnnOnce there is momentum in a market - you can rest assured I'd be lurking lol When I saw gold return with its bullish momentum after all that consolidation, I was like helllssss naahh. I can't leave that alone Thank god I didn't the trade right now is floating at just about 1:3.25 Gold is currently consolidating again either for it's next big push up or to drop to take out late buyers then then continue its push up Either way I believe it is going to continue up, it isn't a matter of "if" for me but "when" I will as per usual continue to hold it as it does its thing My stop loss is also currently at break even so I'm not worried about what gold does at this moment at all Downvote if you didn't read this entire post and didn't try to understand OR Upvote if you did read this entire post and did try to understand Link in bio btw :) See you guys for the next update
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brandon_evo4
Buy XAUUSD Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 2159, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels: 2174: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from the apex (highest or lowest point) to the base (opposite trendline), projected upwards from the breakout point. 2182: This is achieved by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout point. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 2153. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
12
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 2161. This offers an entry point close to the breakout level, where buying pressure might be intensifying. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels: 2174: This represents the height of the channel, measured from the channel bottom (support line) to the top (resistance line), projected upwards from the breakout point. 2182: This is achieved by adding the height of the channel to the breakout point. These targets act as potential resistance zones that could see buying interest. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 2153. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses. Thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
1
GOLD: Riding the Bullish Impulse on Tuesday - ScalpingGold prices saw a slight uptick on Tuesday following a corrective session on Monday that saw the price briefly touch the $2148 mark. Starting Tuesday with a bullish momentum, the price found support in certain demand areas. Our strategy involves capitalizing on this demand zone through scalping, aiming to ride a potential increase in price to the previous swing high of the market. It's worth noting that a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve could push XAU/USD prices towards the $2,100.00 mark, given the aggressive short positioning on the Greenback by market participants. Therefore, all eyes are on the pivotal FOMC decision scheduled for Wednesday, which is expected to drive demand for the USD and provide fresh impetus to the precious metal market. Keep in mind that this idea is tailored for a scalping approach
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXN1
1