Fibonacci
Updated idea for the last idea of US 30 (importat!) 27.12.24Hi, How are you doing? Merry Christmas ))
** The used time frame is the daily and I would suggest to open the chart and zoom out, so all will be clearer than how it looks now.
** As you see, the index failed in making another 5th HL, as it went down than the 4HL already and intends to do a lower low currently.
** Have a look now on the blue curved line which points to high tops with high resistance points and they are both at my Fib 50% level! which adds another layer of resistance.
** Also have a look on the previous daily candle which ended up in green, but with an unfilled wick which I assume that it will be filled today when the index moves to the downside.
** The index continued in pushing up the price at the last few days, as a normal reaction after the past 2 bearish weeks. But NO WAY that it could go and close the day candle above the lower yellow line of the rising channel. And by looking at that yellow line, you would easily see that it acted as an uptrend line (as a normal thing of the lower line of the rising channel anyway) and then was broken then the pull back pushed the price up to the current level. but now we have the Fib level, plus the curved blue line tops which are all including the yellow line acting as extra huge and so powerful resistance zones to avoid the index from going more upwards.
** By looking at the daily uptrend line in purple which was not broken since 23.10.2023 that will have to be visited and more likely will be the point which the index is heading down to!
** Also when the index is going down starting from today, hopefully as planned, will mean too the breaking of the uptrend blue line and will send the index to its bottom and that will support the more my idea!
** By going further to my TP will mean a pullback to the red downtrend line which was finally broken by the daily candle of 23.12.2024 then it will act as a support zone to the index for sure!
** The red flag is the TP price where the purple line and the red line will be touched there.
**********NOOOOOTE** It is important to monitor when the index reaches to the purple line on the daily frame and immediately close your short trades once it touches that uptrend purple line! whatever the price could be! as I expect an immediate bullish retrace once it touches it!
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
Adventure Gold AGLD price medium-term tradeWe don't know who “breathed life” into #AGLD and why)
⁉️(If you know, write in the comments), but the “strength” in the asset is visible, so you can trade.
But given the fact that we expect a possible price drop 💰 CRYPTOCAP:BTC ⬇️
📊and it is not fully known how altcoins will react to such a maneuver.
Therefore, for now, we are ready to try the OKX:AGLDUSDT trade like on the chart with a very low pending limit order.
And then we will adjust and maneuver according to the situation)
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Is Bitcoin Preparing for a Retracement?Bitcoin has seen an extraordinary surge of over 100% between September 6th and December 18th, reaching the $100,000 milestone for the first time in its history.
This significant increase can be attributed to various factors. The election of Donald Trump as U.S. President, known for his pro-Bitcoin stance, played a notable role. Additionally, Elon Musk, a key figure in American business and a cryptocurrency enthusiast, has also influenced Bitcoin's surge positively.
Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Israel in the Middle East and escalating conflicts in Ukraine, have further fueled demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Many retail and institutional investors are turning to Bitcoin as a safe haven amid global uncertainty.
Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a slight retracement, trading at around $93,000, which is just below the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
Potential Bearish Movement
From a technical standpoint, several indicators suggest a possible bearish retracement for Bitcoin in the coming days.
A sell opportunity may arise if Bitcoin price breaks below the ascending trend line on the daily chart. Here are the key levels to watch as potential targets for a sell:
$87,000: This aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, making it a natural target for a potential sell.
$80,500: This region corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, serving as another potential sell target.
$74,000: Coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, this could act as the final target for a bearish move if the price declines.
Alternative Scenario for an Upswing
Conversely, there is a possibility that Bitcoin may continue its upward trajectory. This bullish scenario hinges on the price maintaining support at the 23.6% Fibonacci level and breaking back above $100,500. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin could challenge its all-time high, approximately $108,000, and potentially target the $110,000 level.
A Conservative Buying Approach
A more conservative buying strategy could be considered if Bitcoin retraces to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, around $74,000. This level is significant, as it represents a previous resistance point that may now act as support.
Key Considerations
It’s essential to remember that Bitcoin behaves differently from traditional assets, with its upward and downward trends often lasting longer. Traders should be prepared for potential volatility as the market continues to react to both technical indicators and external factors.
Careful analysis and strategic planning will be crucial as we navigate this dynamic landscape.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
BTCUSDT Major breakout and dump comingAs we mentioned before major daily support which is holding price is now 93K$ support zone and soon the support will break to the downside and bear candles with high volume can lead and we may have bear market for a while after that so be aware of this dump which is already happening and this is just beginning.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21742.75
- PR Low: 21670.50
- NZ Spread: 161.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Holding auction near Friday's close
- Retail sentiment, expecting unfavorable PA due to New Year's Day week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 12/30)
- Weekend Gap: +0.07% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 357.87
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 244K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Forming hammer near all time low - on weekly time frame"Rebounding from the Bottom? A Hidden Gem in Spandana Sphoorty!"
🔍 Analysis:
Spandana Sphoorty, trading 75% below its All-Time High (ATH), shows strong signs of a potential turnaround:
📊 Weekly Chart: Forming a bullish hammer pattern.
📈 Daily Chart: Displaying a morning star pattern near its all-time low.
💰 Valuation: The stock is trading at just 0.68x its book value (Book Value: ₹480; Current Price: ₹332).
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: ₹328
Stop Loss: ₹292
Target: ₹401
Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
💡 Why This Looks Promising:
The stock has formed strong technical patterns at a crucial support zone and offers a low-risk opportunity for entry.
📢 Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only. Investments in the stock market are subject to market risks. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
EVO Elliot-Wave AnalysisDespite the very strong financials, the EVO chart is stuck in a correction since Apr '21.
I think there still is a bit more downside potential. The price should eventually find support in the green box, and ideally start forming a bottom in this area.
Potentially the price could drop even lower, but thats not my main scenario.
Either way, it will probably take multipe monts, untill the price will start surging again.
I see massive value at these prices! I will start buying aggressively, when the price is entering the green box.
GBP/NZD: let's take profit occur before buying againWith strong bullish momentum, GBP/NZD remains attractive for long positions. Fundamentals favor the GBP over the NZD, while technicals suggest room for further upside.
Fundamentals:
- GBP Strength: Hawkish Bank of England and resilient UK economy.
- NZD Weakness: Recession in New Zealand and dovish RBNZ policy weigh on the NZD.
Trade Idea
- Buy Zone: 2.1945-2.2200. This level corrispond to 0.5 Fibo and also 4h demand.
- Targets: 2.2440, then 2.2800.
- Stop Loss: Below 2.1800.
Important: enter just in case of rejection! it means that price will need to go in the buy zone area and then have a strong upside (CHOC, COS on lower TF).
If you follow me, you will receive updates so you know when and where I enter, close, TP.
VIRTUAL’s Incredible Year: Is a Top in Sight??VIRTUAL has experienced a phenomenal rise in recent months, climbing to rank 36 in the overall crypto market with an impressive $3.7 billion market cap. This meteoric growth is a testament to the strong interest and momentum behind the project. However, as we approach the end of the year, there are signs that a potential top could be forming. Let’s analyse the chart and key scenarios to watch for in the coming weeks.
Key Levels and Observations:
1.) Elliott Wave Analysis:
The price action suggests we are completing the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, signaling a potential exhaustion of the current uptrend.
Based on the Fibonacci extension of the last corrective wave, the 1.618 level is a critical resistance at $3.8134.
A breakout above $3.8134 could open the doors to test the psychological level of $4. However, failure to break this level might confirm the end of the 5th wave and initiate a correction.
2.) Head and Shoulders Formation (Potential Setup):
There are early signs of a Left Shoulder formation on the chart. If the price rejects at the 1.618 Fibonacci level, we could see the development of a Head and Right Shoulder, forming a bearish reversal pattern.
Confirmation of this pattern would require a clear neckline and increased selling volume, signaling a trend reversal.
3.) Time-Based Correction:
A correction could align with the broader crypto market trends as we head into early 2025. Given the potential for Bitcoin to drop to the 84K support zone, this could trigger a sell-off in altcoins, including VIRTUAL.
4.) Overall Market Sentiment:
While the broader market has been bullish, a Bitcoin-led correction could drag down the entire crypto market.
Altcoins often experience sharper corrections during Bitcoin downturns, which could result in VIRTUAL retracing some of its gains.
Volume Analysis: Monitor volume levels at key resistance points (e.g., $3.8134 and $4) for confirmation of breakout or rejection.
Market Correlation: Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action, as any significant movement could directly impact VIRTUAL and other altcoins.
Note: These are my personal thoughts and interpretations of the current market conditions. Please take them with a grain of salt. The crypto market is highly volatile and further data and confirmations are essential before drawing definitive conclusions. Happy trading!