$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024
Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only.
1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days.
2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75.
3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38).
4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price.
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$85.52: Current price
$85.00: Next bearish price target
Bullish Resistance Points:
$86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$87.00 - Resistance zone
$87.60 - Previous Weekly High
$87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal)
$91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal)
$90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled
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Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24
Currently up 5% (@ $1.31).
Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price)
Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
Fibonacci
EURUSD after the newsThe interest rate decisions from the Fed and ECB have passed.
Yesterday, EURUSD attempted a new upside move but was rejected at 1,0468.
Now, you should watch the support levels for another potential bounce and a new attempt to rise.
The current levels are not suitable for new trades.
106K Showdown: Can BTC Send?Bull
Breaking levels—momentum needs to keep rolling.
If this is the send, eyes on the usual markers.
106K is still the big bad bulls need to break.
Clear that, and we start looking for idealized moves.
Let’s see if they’ve got the juice.
Here is the ideal path if it can break above.
ETH/USDT 8H Interval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 8H ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel, and you can see how we are approaching its upper limit. It is worth observing how the price will behave at this point because an exit on the top and therefore overcoming the first resistance can open the way to further increases.
Let’s start by defining the near-term targets that the price must face:
T1 = $3318
T2 = $3432
Т3 = $3569
Т4 = $3738
Now let’s move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = $3213
SL2 = $3017
SL3 = $2877
SL4 = $2700
Looking at the MACD indicator, we can see how it is attempting to return to the uptrend, while on the RSI indicator we are back near the mid-range, but there is still room for the price to go higher.
Recession for Progression? GBPCADA slow but a consistent rally has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. Price has been experiencing consolidation among this level, some may look at this as the "Distribution" phase before heading bearish.
However, looking at past price action it seems a correction could be due for GBPCAD, maybe as far as this 1.618 extension.
Until next time.
SOL - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is our update for the 4H Elliott Wave Count of Solana.
We dipped into our white Wave 2 support area as expected in our last Analysis.
We are looking for an impulsive bounce soon.
The white Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 232.35 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 183.35 USD.
It is unclear if the correction is over yet as we can only count 3 waves down displayed in green.
We assume we are currently working on the 5th green Wave down which would finish the correction in pink Wave C.
We added some targets for the green Wave 5.
These targets sit at the 1 to 1 FIB at 220.15 USD, the 1.618 FIB at 205.41 USD, the 0.618 FIB at 213.54 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 205.26 USD.
After this correction finishes in either white Wave 2 or red Wave B we expect and impulsive move to the upside in either white Wave 3 or red Wave C.
Noteworthy is that the optimal target for pink Wave C sits at the 1 to 1 FIB at 203.79 USD which is in confluence with the the 1.618 FIB at 205.41 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 205.26 USD of the green Wave 5 that we expect.
Be aware that we have high impact news later today.
Federal Funds Rate followed by the FOMC statement which can lead to volatility.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Abrdn plc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Abrdn plc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) Completed Survey & Entry Bias
* 1.4600 GBP | Area Of Value | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Open Trade)) At 2.0100 GBP | Subdivision 2
* Not Numbered Retracement | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
TradeCityPro | LINKUSDT The Time to Buy Has Arrived👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another cryptocurrency from the market, which is also one of my favorites due to its infrastructure role and its ability to simplify crypto. It seems that a buying opportunity has arrived.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe, where the futures entry trigger at 104,227 was activated. Currently, it is below the important resistance level of 105,939, which will be the last trigger I provide for futures entry.
If this resistance at 105,939 is broken and Bitcoin dominance is declining at the time of the breakout, switch to altcoins and look for long positions on those that have already made a bullish leg and are trading at relatively higher levels. As long as we are above 104,227, I will continue looking for long triggers.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, LINK has been one of the cryptocurrencies that remained in a range for 500 days. After breaking out, we have seen the beginning of an uptrend.
This is exactly what I mean by avoiding capital lock-up. We waited weeks for the 8.06 trigger to break, allowing us to buy with momentum confirmation rather than buying inside the range and waiting in a high-risk market.
You might say, "Why not buy inside the range to avoid missing the 8.06 breakout?" My answer is that hundreds of coins are still stuck in similar ranges without showing any bullish moves, and even now, they could trap your capital for a long time, causing frustration!
If you entered at 8.06, continue holding. If you are looking for a re-entry, you can buy after the 29.02 breakout. As for selling, I am not selling yet and will actually try to accumulate more!
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, LINK is one of the few cryptocurrencies that, after recent corrections, did not return to lower levels. Instead, it bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, increasing the bullish bias.
After breaking 12.96, LINK had a strong rally up to 29.07, where resistance was observed.
Instead of considering 29.07 as resistance, I prefer to buy after a breakout of 26, as this level was previously a pullback zone and had multiple rejections.
Since we have bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, a breakout of the recent high could trigger a new upward move towards the Fibonacci extension targets, which are : 31.24 – 35.10 – 41.44 – 51.19
For buying, I plan to enter a spot position after a 26 breakout with a stop-loss at 15.22, and I will continue holding. I will also look for a futures long position before 26, but for that, I will need momentum confirmation and volume increase!
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, a risky long trigger at 24.34 was activated, but there hasn't been much movement yet. A pullback to 24.34 is possible.
📈 Long Position Trigger
the 26.30 trigger is excellent, and I will try to find lower timeframe entries before that. As long as we are above 22.37, my bullish strategy remains intact.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I am not considering any setups unless a clear structure forms. If we see a sharp drop to 22.37 and then break below it, I might consider shorting, but I prefer to focus on more bearish coins instead of LINK.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
GBPCAD SHORTMY ANALYSIS ON GBPCAD
My Analysis on this pair::
Based on the current technical setup, this pair exhibits bullish structure; however, the price is testing a critical resistance zone coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. While the broader trend appears upward, the confluence of resistance at this key Fibonacci level introduces significant downside risk, leading me to adopt a cautious bearish bias.
Given the conflicting signals between bullish momentum and strong resistance, I recommend exercising caution with position sizing if considering a contrarian bearish trade. Trading against the trend carries elevated risk, and adhering to strict risk management (e.g., tight stop-loss parameters) would be prudent in this scenario.
To refine this assessment, I would appreciate your perspective: Do you interpret this price action as a bullish continuation signal, or do you share concerns about potential rejection at the Fibonacci resistance? Your insights on this pair’s direction would be valuable.
Ethereum Wave Analysis 30 January 2025
- Ethereum reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3340.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up strong from the support zone located between the round support level 3000.00 (which has been reversing the price from November), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November.
The upward reversal from the support level 3000.00 stopped the previous short-term ABC correction 2 – which belongs to the impulse wave (3) from January.
Given the strength of the support level 3000.00, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 3340.00.
NZDCHF ShortMy Analysis on NZDCHF
Based on my technical evaluation of this currency pair, the price action appears to be retesting the key resistance level within the current market structure. This phase is critical, as resistance zones often act as barriers where selling pressure may intensify.
To optimize risk-reward dynamics, I recommend exercising patience and awaiting confirmation of a bearish reversal signal—such as a rejection candlestick pattern, loss of momentum, or a decisive close below the resistance line I’ve identified. A validated bounce from this zone could serve as a high-probability sell signal for traders looking to capitalize on a potential downward move. Additionally, monitoring volume trends and broader market context would further strengthen the conviction in this setup. As always, prudent risk management, including stop-loss placement above the resistance, remains essential.
What are your thoughts, everyone? Does this align with your technical outlook, or are there alternative factors you’d consider in this scenario?
Parcl - Low Cap Gem #19Altseason is upon us, and now is the time to start dollar-cost averaging into your favorite crypto gems. One of our picks for this altseason is Parcl - best characterized as a Real World Assets (RWA) project.
🚀 Why?
Our altcoin picks are based on the following criteria:
High growth potential : Projects with room for exponential gains.
Undervalued : Market cap still flying under the radar.
Limited CEX listings (for now) : Undiscovered gems poised for exposure.
Community-driven momentum : A strong, dedicated community pushing adoption.
High risk, high reward : A speculative but calculated play.
Partnerships and roadmap promises : Indicators of future expansion and relevance.
Potential for major exchange listings : A game-changer that could drive price action.
Circulating Supply Ratio : A circulating supply close to 100%, indicating robust tokenomics and minimizing dilution risk.
🌊 Prerequisites for Thrill and Euphoria
For low-cap altcoins to thrive, specific market conditions need to align. Here's what we're assuming:
Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases.
We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats.
Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins.
Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation.
Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans.
Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments.
💬 What is your top picks for this altseason?
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Bullish Breakout or Critical Support Break? Key Levels & StrategBTC/USD 3-Day Chart Analysis
- Key Levels
Critical Support:
$100,000: Psychological level and prior swing low. A breakdown here targets $90,000 (lower wedge trendline).
Short-Term Resistance:
$110,000: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the wedge’s upward move.
$130,000: All-time high (ATH) and measured move target.
Technical Indicators
*Volume: Confirm bullish entries with volume spikes > 30% above average.
*RSI: Watch for 50–70 (neutral to overbought). A dip below 50 signals weakness.
*MACD: Bullish crossover above zero line confirms momentum.
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Trading Strategy
Scenario : Bullish Reversal
Entry: Long on a bullish engulfing candle above $105,000.
Stop-Loss: $100,000 (below support).
Take-Profit:
TP1: $110,000 (61.8% Fib).
TP2: $130,000 (ATH).
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Advanced Risk Management :
Position Sizing: Use 1–2% of capital per trade +
Dynamic Stop: Trail stops using ATR (14-period) for volatility adjustments +
News Catalysts: Monitor for Fed rate decisions or regulatory updates (e.g., ETF approvals) #
Public trade #19 - #ACH price analysis ( Alchemy Pay )🍿 Just today, we wrote in a post that we think that #Ethereum and projects related to it will “start” the market, as #Solana and memecoins did before, when the #ACH price decided to start growing.
Of course, it's too late/uncomfortable to buy at the current price of OKX:ACHUSDT , but:
1️⃣ place a buy order in the range of $0.027-0.03 - you can.
2️⃣ or waiting for the price to firmly consolidate above $0.05
3️⃣ just “pencil in” a coin and watch - there is always a choice, isn't there?)
⁉️ Well, when to grow, if not in 2025, after 1.5 years of price decline and 2 years of consolidation.
Purely theoretical:
🟢 Up to $0.15 at least x3 can be taken
🟢 And up to $3.65, only +7200% and then the capitalization will be $18 billion or $36 billion if all the coins will be unlocked) Well, memecoins have already done this)
So, will Alchemy Pay, a project from 2018, have a bright future?
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Gold (XAUUSD) - What Will Stop The Gold Bull Run?It seems like everyone is piling on the gold gravy train as it looks to make new highs in the coming weeks.
With a high level of volatility entering the marketplace over the next two weeks, expect sharp market swings on the intraday timeframes and don't get caught up!
Rate announcements on Wednesday, next week will be the determining factor on whether many will fly to safety or risk buying gold at the current pricing.