Big Drop Ahead on DXY! Smart Money Already Selling!”Idea in Simple Terms:
Bias: Bearish.
Current Position: Wave B or early C.
Action Plan: Look for sell setups in the minor resistance zones.
Final Target: 92.00–94.00 area .
“Key Idea” Illustration:
This shows a simplified roadmap:
DXY is expected to rally slightly into the minor resistance.
Then, a sharp drop toward the blue demand zone, respecting the ABC correction.
Fibonacci
A&B Scenario $117K - $130k📊 Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
🔁 Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K –$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
📐 Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
📉 Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
🔺 Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
🧠 Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
📈 Target: $103K – $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K –$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
🔻 Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
TSLA Diamond Penet BreakoutThe "TSLA Diamond Penet Breakout" strategy suggests monitoring two critical levels: if Tesla's stock price breaks below the "red" level, it indicates a short position opportunity; conversely, breaking above the "green" level suggests taking a long position. This strategy also forecasts a potential 3% price movement following a breakout in either direction, emphasizing the importance of these defined thresholds for trading actions .
Status SNT price analysisWell... this is already starting to look like a "trend", not a coincidence, that while the crypto market is stuck in a "quagmire", they are starting to pour trading volumes into long-forgotten coins with a market cap of $50-100 million
We noticed the "wake-up" of #ARDR and #SNT, maybe you have noticed a similar logical chain, then write about it in the comments.
If you look at the OKX:SNTUSDT chart, we can assume that there is a free path for growth up to $0.06-0.065, with a "light rest" around $0.04
Are there any oldies here who remember such a coin as #Status and maybe even "hodl" it ?)
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Broadcom May Be OverboughtBroadcom has bounced sharply from its early-April lows, but some traders may see risk of another push to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is $186.90, a weekly low from mid-March. The chip stock has been trapped below that level, which may suggest old support is new resistance.
Second, prices are stalling under the 200-day simple moving average. That may indicate its long-term trend is getting less bullish.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. That may reflect short-term bearishness.
AVGO also retraced half its drop from mid-February but climbed no further, which could confirm its direction is pointing lower.
Next, stochastics have reached an overbought condition.
Finally, AVGO is a highly active underlier in the options market, trading about 300,000 contracts per session in the last month. (It ranks 12th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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Gold Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher.
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Bullish Flag / Pennant Pattern Formation appearing.
Bullish Flag / Pennant Pattern Formation appearing.
87 - 88 is the Breakout Level; but Important Resistance
lies around 90 - 92
Closing above 100 - 101 would trigger more positivity.
Crossing & Sustaining this level may expose new Highs
around 130.
However, it should not Break 73.
QUICK Ready for a Major Breakout!#QUICK is in a strong uptrend and currently testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level—a golden buying zone!
Technical Outlook:
🔹 Price is consolidating at the key support level of 0.618 FIB—historically a strong reversal zone.
🔹 A breakout above 0.02830 (previous high) could lead to new higher highs!
🔹 High probability of a bullish continuation if momentum holds.
Trading Plan:
🔹 Entry: Current Market Price (0.02570 - 0.02490)
🔹 Target 1: 0.02830
🔹 Target 2: New highs after breakout
🔹 Stop-Loss: 0.02570 - 0.02490
What’s your take on #QUICK? Will it break 0.02830 and fly higher?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
LIKE & FOLLOW for more high-probability trade setups!
#QUICK #CryptoTrading #Fibonacci #Breakout #Bullish #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView
EUR/USD- Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)SMC Insight
Supply Zone Marked: Between 1.1500 – 1.2000.
Price is heading toward the supply zone.
On the right visual, schematic shows:
Liquidity build-up below equal highs.
Possible liquidity grab just above the supply zone.
Expect reaction or reversal around that supply.
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Trade Bias
Short-term: Bullish (momentum and structure are up).
Long-term: Watch for reaction at the 1.1500–1.2000 zone. This could be a major sell zone if price shows rejection/mitigation signs
CRWD: in main resistance for one more leg down Price has now reached an ideal resistance zone, aligning with the 2024 summer top, where a bounce (wave B) is to complete itself.
As long as price remains below the 425 level, I see the odds favoring another leg lower, targeting the macro support zone around 300–270.
Thanks for your attention and best of luck with your trading!
AERGO: Golden Pocket Hit – Crash Incoming?On April 3rd, AERGO hit a historic low of $0.04746—and just 13 days later, it's trading around $0.60, an astonishing +1500% surge in less than two weeks. The rapid rise begs the question: What are the bulls aiming for next, and how sustainable is this move?
Key Observations:
Explosive Rally:
AERGO’s meteoric move from $0.04746 to $0.70 in just 13 days has propelled the coin into uncharted territory. Such a dramatic spike is not only eye-catching but also raises concerns about overextension.
RSI Overbought:
The daily RSI sits at 98, indicating extreme overbought conditions. This level suggests that the current rally is unsustainable and may be ripe for a pullback.
Historical Resistance Levels:
Looking back at 2021, key highs were established around $0.60 to $0.62. These levels serve as critical resistance zones.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $0.04746 to the previous rally's high at $1.0809 (April 13, 2024), the 0.618 level is projected at $0.68613. The bulls just tested that golden pocket.
Trade Strategy & Potential Setups:
For Longs:
With the market showing signs of being overbought (RSI at 98) and the explosive move possibly winding down, this may be the perfect opportunity to take profits rather than accumulate further.
Take Profit Consideration:
Target: Near the 0.618 fib retracement at $0.68613.
Observation: If bulls push beyond this level, the move might extend — however, the risk of a sharp pullback is high given current overbought conditions.
For Shorts:
A corrective move is very much on the table, and traders looking to short should focus on the key resistance zone between $0.60 and $0.70.
Short Setup:
Entry: Look to initiate shorts near the $0.60–$0.70 zone.
Target: $0.4 and $0.2 as take profit targets
The Big Question:
Will AERGO drop as sharply as it surged? Given the extreme overbought conditions and the rapid, unsustainable spike, a healthy—and perhaps brutal—correction seems very possible. Keep a close eye on volume and price action near the $0.60–$0.70 resistance zone and be ready to adjust positions accordingly.
Anyone riding this wave has experienced one of the wildest moves in recent memory. For those in long positions, consider taking profits now; for potential short traders, watch those key levels tightly. The market's rhythm will soon reveal its next chapter.
XAUUSD update: Are done with this bullish cycle?Given the current wave structure looks like we are yet to complete the bullish phase. Now I am expecting a short term pullback for lower degree 4th wave where I expect price to find support at 50% fib then continuation to the upside. Overall we are bullish but we should expect periods of price to pullback to gain momentum.
Gold is crazy again
How can it not rise? This is my most real complaint at this moment.
Now don't think about the 3300 problem, because it doesn't matter, and it may even give you an illusion and cause you to chase the rise. . Look at it openly. If you can't do it after the callback, just take over and look for a short-term rebound. If you want to short, then wait for a rebound after a drop of 30 US dollars, then try to intervene. Otherwise, what else can you do? There are no other tricks. I'm really not a bad guy. How did I touch the top of 3160 before? It came like this. There is indeed a luck component, but this is the only way to enter the market.
A big rise will see a big fall, there is no doubt about it, so this article cannot give you a specific point reference. If I give it to you, it means that I am perfunctory. Do you understand? Who can't guess? A little rhetoric can make a lot of sense. Remember, when it pulls back to 30 US dollars, and it rebounds to near the previous high, go short. It doesn't matter if you don't know, I will do it.
There is no market chart today, because I have mentioned all the trading skills above. The price has gone up so much that there is no need to analyze the pressure, and no one can specifically know where the pressure is. Guessing is meaningless. Let us wait for the decline and then wait for the opportunity to move. Without further ado, watching the downward fluctuation of 30 to 50 US dollars is the goal.
GBP/JPY - Resistance into fibonacci golden pocketGBP/JPY 1H Technical Analysis - Key Levels
Price action shows clear resistance zones marked by Lift indicators at 0.28 , 0.08 , and 0.06 levels. The market appears slightly overbought with Lift readings of 0.01 to 0.05 , suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation.
Key observations:
- Resistance cluster between 0.06-0.28 may cap upside moves
- Overbought conditions warrant caution for longs
- Monitor Lift indicator for trend continuation signals
Trading approach:
Consider short opportunities near resistance with stops above 0.28 , or wait for pullback to support for long entries if momentum sustains.
for more FX analysis. Comments welcome!
EWTSU 6E1! subminuette wave v developping
Elliott Wave trade analysis
micro wave ((5)) of subminuette wave v developping
look at kennedy channels technique to monitor wave ((5)) of ((v))
confirmation: price break over 1.1470 and rise with a motive 5 waves pattern
invalidation: price break below area 1.1300
#ATQA - Egyptian stock#ATQA timeframe 1 hour
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 10.00
Stop loss / reentry 10.20 (estimated loss -1.65%)
First target at 9.60 (estimated profit 4.20%)
Second target 9.25 (estimated profit up to 7.70%)
NOTE: this data according to timeframe 1 hour.
NOTE: stock remains positive for long term.
It's not an advice for investing, only my vision according to the data on chart.
Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
EURUSD – Pullback before a new move?EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since breaking above the 1.1150 level, momentum has started to slow down and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and reevaluates.
What catches my attention now is how weak the price action looks during this consolidation. The candles are getting smaller, wicks are getting longer, and there’s not much follow-through on the bullish side anymore. This kind of price behavior typically shows indecision or exhaustion buyers are no longer driving price with the same force and sellers are starting to creep back in.
So instead of chasing this move higher, I’m positioning myself for a pullback into a key demand zone that I think will offer a much higher probability long setup.
The Level I’m Watching – Golden Pocket with Imbalance Confluence
The zone I’m targeting for a potential entry sits in the 1.1070 to 1.1170 area. This range covers the golden pocket retracement zone, between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels measured from the recent impulse low to high, and overlaps with multiple technical factors that make it extremely attractive.
First off, this zone contains three separate unfilled imbalance areas (or fair value gaps), created by aggressive bullish candles on the way up. These are areas where price moved too quickly to fill all orders on both sides, which leaves inefficiencies in the market. The market tends to revisit these areas to rebalance before continuing in the prevailing direction. So from a pure price action perspective, the unfilled imbalances create a natural magnet for price to retrace into.
Second, we’ve got historical resistance right in this same zone. If you look back a few sessions, price rejected this level multiple times before finally breaking through. Now that we’re above it, there’s a strong chance this area flips into support. This concept resistance turning into support is a classic and reliable price action behavior, especially when it lines up with other tools like fibs and imbalances.
Trend Structure Still Intact
What’s crucial to me here is that a pullback into this zone will not break the overall bullish market structure. We’re still printing higher highs and higher lows, and a retracement into the golden pocket would simply be another higher low within the current uptrend.
There’s also a clean ascending trendline from early April that hasn’t been breached. If price respects that trendline again while dipping into this demand zone, that would add further confluence to the setup. It would mean the trendline, golden pocket, unfilled imbalances, and historical support are all lining up at the same point that’s a textbook area where I want to be a buyer.
Entry Triggers and Execution Plan
I’m not looking to blindly set a limit order in this zone. I want confirmation that buyers are stepping in and that we’re getting a shift in momentum. Ideally, I’ll drop to a lower timeframe like the 1H or even the 15M and wait for a clear change of character — something like:
A break of a local lower high
A bullish engulfing candle at the base
A sweep of liquidity below recent lows followed by a strong push back above structure
Once I see that kind of reaction, I’ll consider entering a long position. My stop will go just below the structure low or the lowest point of the zone, depending on the entry signal. I’ll give it enough room to avoid getting wicked out on a false break.
As for targets the first obvious one is the current range high around 1.1350. If we get a strong reaction, I’ll trail part of the position and look for continuation into new highs. This pullback could set the stage for the next leg of the broader bullish trend, especially if DXY starts showing weakness again.
Why I’m Not Shorting Here
Even though price looks weak and a retracement seems likely, I’m not interested in shorting this setup. We’re still firmly in bullish structure and shorting into a healthy uptrend just doesn’t make sense to me unless I’m scalping. The risk to reward just isn’t favorable on the short side right now I’d rather wait for price to come to my zone and then look for confirmation to go with the trend.
Final Thoughts
EURUSD is consolidating after a strong move up and I’m expecting a pullback. The golden pocket zone, stacked with unfilled imbalances and previous resistance, looks like the ideal place for a bullish reaction. As long as we stay above that zone, structure stays bullish and I’ll be looking for long opportunities once price confirms the bounce.
Patience is key here. I’m not rushing into anything, but if price gives me the reaction I’m looking for in that zone, I’ll be ready to execute. The setup aligns well with both technical structure and market behavior and I’ll continue to monitor price action closely over the next few sessions.
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