Get started

Fibonnacci

USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside. **Rationale:** **Rationale:** ~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D) ~ (L2): Retest of support (D) ~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H) ~ (L4): Retest of support ~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection ~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
USDCHF: Recent Trendline Breakout, Temporarily BullishPrice has recently broken out of the (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the (D) 50% Fib retracement level and proceeded to the downside to retest support. The price has now broken out of the (4H) downtrend line. I anticipate the price will retest and reject this level of support, and temporarily continue to the upside. **Rationale:** L1: ~ Break of channel (D) L2: ~ Retest of support (D) ~ Impulse wave completion L3: ~ Break of trendline (4H) ~ Retest of support **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. ** Annotations:** Categories: 1. Naming: (N1) 2. Labeling: (L1) 3. Forecasting: (F1) Sub-categories: 1. Naming: (N1.1) 2. Labeling: (L1.1) 3. Forecasting: (F1.1) --- #scalping #intraday
Long
by Forexity
3
NZDUSD Possible retest and continuation to the downsideThe price recently broke out of the ascending channel (4H) and went on to retest the recent swing high, creating an Equal High (EQH). It then rejected the wedge (W) and downtrend line (M) resistance convergence and continued to push downward. Currently, the price is converging with resistance and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. We anticipate that the price may continue to reject this resistance area and push further to the downside. **Rationale:** ~ Wedge (W) and downtrend line (M) resistance convergence ~ Multiple rejections of resistance ~ Shallow pullback (Fib 38.2%) resistance convergence ~ Possible retest ~ Possible lower low formation **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
#PVSL,17% stake held by FII,DII, above 270 udega?#Popular vehicles & services Ltd(PVSL), CMP 263, company is engaged in the business of automobile dealerships in India. They have dealrship with 3 brands Maruti suzuki, Honda cars, Jaguar land rover. They recently listed and what made me interested in this company is FII(7%), DII(10.26%) have 17% holding. Why are they holding such high stakes in a car dealership company? Maybe they can see something that normal investors can't. Technical analysis tells me that a day close above 270 can open gates towards 1) 280 2) 291 3) 297 4) 305.8(imp level) 5) 321 6)332 7) 338 8) 346(imp level). Once 346 is crossed I will put sl at 320 and try to ride the trend till 387. Keep eyes open
NSE:PVSLLong
by ssudhirsharma11
GBPUSD Retest Completed, Downside Continuation ImminentThe price recently broke out of the ascending channel (4H) and now appears to have retested resistance. The price seems to be rejecting resistance around 1.27337 and converging with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. It seems to have failed to make a new higher high, forming a lower high instead. I anticipate that the price will continue to move downward. **Rationale:** ~ Breakout of channel ~ Retest of resistance level ~ Resistance and 38.2% Fib retracement convergence ~ Rejection candlestick patterns forming ~ Possible lower high forming **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
Gold → continue to downward movementhello guys... gold is at the bottom of an ascending channel so we can consider a little upward movement from here! but from my point of view, I think it would continue to downward movement from 33% (the drawing arrow) or 50%(the blue area) of the last leg! targets is indicated in the chart are: 2285 2255 2222 ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
9
$QQQ Quick Market Crash from TOMORROW (or Fri) Till June 4th1. Everything fits perfectly into place from a Fibonacci POV. 2. Jamie Dimon (who likes to give passive bearish opinions) said today that he thinks Private Credit debt investments, like BCRED, Pimco Flex Cred, which are basically Privatized bonds, could become an ugly nightmare for grandma's or innocent investors, that are trying to get their money out and can't because of liquidation limits. Liqudation limits have been put on the Private REITS already (BRIET and Starwood Capitol REIT). But Private Credit Funds are made up of the same bullsh NYSE:T as in the movie "The BIG SHORT", those are collaterized debt obligations, that's right. 3. Interest rates, specifically the %-!) Year Treasury rates have SPIKED the last 2 days and mortgage rates will certainly follow suit, making home buying even harder. (again). This will cause an already shaky real estate market, even shakier. "SHAKE SHAKE SHAKE, Shake yo Booty" 4 This Bearish correction trend should start sharply with the initial drop ending at around Tues, June 4th, at approximately between 10am - 1pm. 5, In total, after a B wave up, we could see a bear market into Middle to End of July. 6. a. My bearish trade will start with Credit Call Spreads, Aug 19th expiration, with the short calls at 0.25 Delta, the long calls will be around 0.10-0.05 delta. b. Then I may take 1/2 of all that premium and start buying deep OTM puts with same expiration, and then just buy and sell those into July, but keeping the Credit Call spread in placed till 21 DTE, approx July 20th, when they should be near worthless.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by jgeno
6
Bitcoin: Long-term analysis & major levels to watch - PART 2So where to now for BTC? In my previous post I explained that BTC had hit a major Primeval Fib (2207 level fib), which had thrown it sideways for a couple of months. While it is entirely possible that BTC could fall back again (e.g. to US$58k support zone) or even further, I think this is relatively unlikely. The chart is bullish in my opinion and I think the white fib in this chart is a reasonable target at ~$82k. I would expect some sideways action to follow that, with possibly a drop to the 2207 Primeval Fib at ~US$70.5k. But even if this is the result, that doesn't exclude the possibility of a proper push up to US$84k, which is marked by another old Fib (see previous post). I hate looking far into the future as charts ALWAYS develop different to what we expect, but my "cross-fingers & closed-eyes Ultimate Best Case" scenario for 2024 is to see price action hit the next Primeval Fib (the 3571 level fib) at US$114k. If that happens consider stepping out for a while! I think a short to medium term bullish scenario (3 month timeframe) is supported by the BTC.D chart - which charts BTC market dominance (first chart below). This chart shows BTC dominance levelling off, which makes me think ALT coins are going to outperform. As we know, this typically happens towards the end of a BTC push to the upside. The second chart below shows the same pattern to the end of 2021, followed by a big drop in dominance over 2022, when ALT coins pumped. And that brings me to my second point for this post. Do NOT discount the real possibility that quality ALT coins will increase in dominance (and count in ICP!) over the next three months and hopefully the remainder of 2024! Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Fractaleer
Bitcoin: Long-term analysis & major levels to watch - PART 1Okay - I've been wanting to shed some light on BTC price action for a long time so here we go: This is a monthly chart of the last 7 years of BTC and I've started with this chart because it should look interesting to all crypto investors/traders. Very few people talk about these purple Fibs and yet they explain much of BTC's historical price action. They are what you may want to call: the "Primeval Fibs" (or for you, milennials: the "OG Fibs"). They are the extension fibs of the first run of BTC from a fraction of a cent in 2009 to almost US$32 in 2011 (first chart below - quarterly chart - shows three key sets of fibs, including the purple primeval fibs). They start with the 1; 1.618, 2.618 levels but run all the way to the 2207 level and beyond. ((Note that if you think my extension Fibonacci sequence is a bit off above the 18 level, then know that MY set is the logical expansion of the Fibonacci multiplication factors (connecting the numbers in the Fib sequence) that start with 1.618; 2.618; 4.236 etc, and that the more familiar set (the one that awkwardly morphs from the multiplication factors into the Fibonacci sequence itself) is the weird version. Just sayin'...)) Anyhow, what I'd like to note is the recent ATH perfectly stopped at the 2207 level of the Primeval Fibs set. Freaky, right? To think that extensions from the first run to $32 still have some influence on BTC price action today... But as you can see above, the price action from the last 7 years acknowledges these Primeval Fibs quite nicely. That is: with the notable exception of the period leading up and immediately following the 2021 ATH. Not sure why this nice patterns broke down there. But of course we should understand that price action in the real world is governed by quite a bit of chaos. Sometimes bouncing of a 100 day average, sometimes a Primeval Fib and sometimes just for no apparent reason at all. You can really apply these extension fibs to any nice move in the chart. In the second chart below (weekly chart) I've used two other old fib sets that I think have also helped shape the BTC chart and both appear to have influenced price action during the 2021 ATH period... So it's never as easy as you think, but really getting into a chart and back-testing Fibs does help you trade smarter. So what's next for BTC? I'll get into that and my hypothesis for why I think ALT coins will outperform over the next three months in Part II. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Fractaleer
#Bitcoin Eye - Will it keep on the lower eye lid ?MACD on the weekly oversold and turning Bearish RSI on the weekly just dropped out of oversold and dropping sharply But can you see the EYE ? Let me help In 2021, this same line acted as resistance and rejected PA - Eventually, PA broke through and we hit a New ATH. We seem to be doing it all in reverse for now....but the question is, will that Lower Eye lid hold PA this time. IT is above the low we had recently. Its intersection with that Red 236 Fib circle, that rejected PA off the ATH in 2021 is in early June. This has a lot of confluence with other charts and ideas I have posted. The Green bar above that is the 72K line we need to cross and hold above. The Red bar above that is a Dangerous area as far as I am concerned, that we will no doubt cross one day but may cause issues aroun 82K But I LOVE that EYE that the 3 Fib circles and the Cup pattern have made. You seen the EYE on the $ Bill ? Not going to say anymore. I told you this was a WAR between TradFi and New Finance called CRYPTO -> There are some VERY powerful people involved here. If we zoom into the same chart on a Daily time Frame, we see very clearly, the situation we are in PA may get VERY volatile this month IF this plays out We may go over that top fib circle as previously but may drop back below...and that apex.....3rd June. I CANNO WAIT -->>>>>>>
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC minor reaction to Intermediate degree correctionBitcoin is oversold on time-frames below 6W and overbought on 1D. This means the current move up is a minor reaction on Intermediate correction. I think the price will spike the ATH once again, but the probability price go significantly higher ATH is lower than vice-versa. Maybe around 85k. The price action usually is moving in a channel boundaries. You can see the Primary trend lines on the chart. If to use Fib extension tool & apply it from 4 of April 2021 till the 12 of March 2024 top, the Intermediary correction target is matching with the channel boundaries it is between - 42075 - 29435. (0.382-0.618) I guess the bottom might be near 34k. Plus, we could use TVC, as an additional indicator: on a lower time frames - it was overbought and is not oversold on a higher TF. So in a short term, the probability TVC will continue decline, whiting a couple of next weeks is high. Good luck in your trading and have a massive profit !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dogecoin_chain
2281: Potential Bullish Setup (Golden Pocket)Tanmiah earlier broke ATH and took correction Price is moving in descending channel, however, price has reached a significant support level golden pocket (fib level) confluence breakout will be bullish flag formation Morning star formation at support level is positive for bullish trend after correction Entry at current price or after breakout of channel (confirmation of HH and HL) SL below Morning previous HL Ride the trend with trailing SL
TADAWUL:2281Long
by YASIRWA
From Leonardo to Trading: The Evolution of Fibonacci LevelsIn the labyrinthine landscape of financial markets, where volatility reigns supreme and uncertainty lurks around every corner, traders seek reliable navigational tools to steer through the tumultuous waters of price movements. Among the myriad techniques at their disposal, Fibonacci analysis emerges as a stalwart companion, offering a nuanced understanding of market dynamics rooted in mathematical precision. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the multifaceted realm of Fibonacci levels, unraveling their historical significance, evolutionary trajectory, practical applications, and the diverse perspectives that shape their interpretation. Tracing the Roots: To appreciate the profound impact of Fibonacci analysis on modern trading methodologies, a journey back in time to the 13th century is warranted. It was during this epoch that Leonardo of Pisa, known colloquially as Fibonacci, unveiled a numerical sequence that would transcend mathematical realms and find profound resonance in the domain of financial markets. Beginning with 0 and 1, each subsequent number in the sequence is the sum of the two preceding ones, laying the groundwork for a sophisticated understanding of market movements rooted in the natural order of mathematics. Evolution in Financial Analysis: While Fibonacci himself might not have envisaged the application of his sequence in financial markets, the 20th century witnessed a paradigm shift as visionaries such as Ralph Elliott and Robert Prechter pioneered its integration into trading methodologies. Elliott's Wave Theory, with its emphasis on repeating patterns and sequences, forged an intriguing connection with Fibonacci numbers, laying the groundwork for a symbiotic relationship between mathematical principles and market analysis. This union catalyzed a renaissance in technical analysis, ushering in an era where Fibonacci levels became indispensable tools in the arsenal of traders worldwide. Unveiling Fibonacci Retracement Levels: At the heart of Fibonacci analysis lies the concept of retracement levels, a cornerstone of technical analysis that echoes the natural order observed in the Fibonacci sequence. These levels, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, serve as pivotal markers in identifying potential zones of price reversal, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and trend dynamics. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to significant highs and lows, traders gain a nuanced understanding of market psychology, discerning the underlying rhythm of price movements amidst the chaos of market fluctuations. Venturing into Fibonacci Extension Levels: Beyond retracement levels, Fibonacci extension levels offer a panoramic vista into the future trajectory of price movements, illuminating the path for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of trending markets. With extensions such as 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%, traders can delineate potential targets for price continuation after a correction, harnessing the mathematical harmony inherent in the Golden Ratio to set profit targets and manage risk effectively. These extension levels, rooted in the timeless principles of Fibonacci analysis, serve as guiding beacons for traders navigating the ever-shifting tides of financial markets. Practical Applications and Precautions: While Fibonacci levels furnish traders with a potent framework for analysis, it is essential to exercise caution and supplement Fibonacci analysis with corroborating indicators and risk management strategies. By integrating tools such as Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index, and candlestick patterns, traders can enhance the robustness of their trading decisions, mitigating the inherent uncertainties of financial markets and maximizing the efficacy of Fibonacci analysis. A Tapestry of Perspectives: As we reflect on the journey of Fibonacci levels through the annals of financial history, we encounter a tapestry of perspectives that weave together to form a rich tapestry of knowledge and insight. From Larry Pesavento's exploration of harmonic price patterns to Philip Carret's pioneering work in long-term investing, the legacy of Fibonacci continues to inspire and guide traders in their quest for market mastery. These diverse perspectives underscore the enduring relevance of Fibonacci analysis in an ever-changing landscape, reaffirming its status as a timeless ally in the pursuit of profit and prosperity. Conclusion: In conclusion, the comprehensive exploration of Fibonacci analysis reveals its enduring significance as a cornerstone of technical analysis in financial markets. From its humble origins in the mathematical treatises of Leonardo of Pisa to its integration into modern trading methodologies, Fibonacci analysis embodies the timeless principles of mathematical harmony and market psychology. As traders navigate the labyrinthine paths of price movements, they find solace in the elegant simplicity of Fibonacci analysis, a steadfast companion in their quest for success amidst the ever-shifting currents of financial markets. Thank you for reading! I hope this article proves to be interesting for all of you!
Education
by FOREXN1
4
🔥 Bitcoin's Biggest Cup & Handle Ever: Fibonacci Golden Pocket!In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility of Bitcoin forming massive cup and handle pattern, spanning over nearly 3 years. With the halving coming up, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook has turned out sour. With this signal I want to prepare ourselves for the possibility of Bitcoin giving away all of 2024's gains and retesting the 40k-35k area. My long-term price outlook is very bullish. It's a matter of time before BTC blasts through 100k. By combining the cup and handle pattern with Fibonacci's golden pocket (0.65 to 0.618 retracement, purple area for sumplicity), I think we're combining two very strong narratives. 1) Bitcoin's bullish long-term outlook. 2) Bitcoin's short-term bearish outlook, fueled by the halving's potential sell-the-news event. If BTC will somehow hit the 40k-35k area over the next few months, I think it will be an amazing time to step into the market for a move that takes us >100k. Share your thoughts 🙏
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
15
ONDO 4H After a big flash crash during Friday seeing BTC once again test the 4H 200EMA support, the altcoin market took a much bigger hit that we've seen for some time. In these times it's always good to see how projects react to these market conditions. A strong reaction at key areas after a big pullback can show that there are big players willing to add to or make new positions further increasing the validity of that support level and giving the project a platform to continue moving up. The best case we've seen of this is ONDO, as the chart shows a perfect pullback into the FIB levels which align with a bullish OB provide a great support area, a strong reaction has put price back to where it originally was before dropping with a textbook V-shaped recovery which is rarely found across the crypto market right now. ONDO is a big player in the RWA sector, a lending protocol supporting tokenized securities as collateral. With open collaboration with massive entities such as BlackRock and Morgan Stanley and Larry Fink personally saying he believes in a Tokenised future. I think it's easy to see why the recovery has been so strong, perhaps even BlackRock themselves buying up the dip? I think the future of ONDO is bright, now a TOP 100 coin and big time backers targeting range high will be dependent on BTC but with the halving coming soon I believe it will behave. Next Target is $1, the FIB EXTENSION levels often give good price targets but one step at a time.
by ProR35