AUD/USD Testing Key Support Amid Persistent DowntrendChart Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair continues its downward trajectory, reaching critical support levels, while bearish momentum remains dominant.
1️⃣ Key Support Levels:
Immediate support at 0.6190, marking the current level of defense for buyers.
Further support at 0.6169, the next line of demand if the pair breaks lower.
2️⃣ Downtrend Line:
The pair remains constrained by a steep descending trendline, highlighting the sustained bearish pressure.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-week SMA (blue): Trending downward at 0.6574, aligning with the bearish outlook.
200-week SMA (red): Sloping lower near 0.6870, confirming the broader bearish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 30, indicating oversold conditions, but further downside cannot be ruled out.
MACD: Deeply negative and declining, reflecting strong bearish momentum.
What to Watch:
A break below 0.6190 could open the door for further declines toward 0.6169 or lower levels.
Any sustained break above the descending trendline would indicate easing bearish pressure and may attract buyers.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence as the pair approaches oversold levels.
AUD/USD remains under intense bearish pressure, with key support levels being tested. Traders should watch for any breakout or breakdown signals to determine the pair’s next directional move.
-MW
Forex
My Crazy Trading Story and How I Fixed ItHey everyone! I want to tell you about this one time when trading made me feel like I was on a wild rollercoaster. I made some money with a trade, and I got so excited that I thought I could do it again, but even bigger. But guess what? I lost a lot of that money back because I was too greedy.
I know you guys have felt this too:
- Fear: When your trade starts going down, and you get scared, selling it too early. Then, you see it going up the next day, and you're like, "Oh no, why did I do that?"
- Greed: When you win big, you want more, right? But sometimes, that makes you keep a trade too long or do another one without thinking, and then you lose.
-Worry: Those nights where you can't stop thinking about your trades. You're either scared to lose more or afraid you'll miss out if you don't trade. It's so hard to decide what to do.
It's super frustrating when you mess up because you're letting your feelings control your trades. But I found a cool trick that helped me a lot:
My Trick: The Chill-Out Break
When I start feeling all those big emotions - like greed or worry - I set a timer for 15 minutes. I go outside, take a walk, or play with my dog. Anything to get my mind off trading for a bit. When I come back, I'm calmer, and I can think better about what to do next. It's like taking a timeout in a game, but for your brain.
This little break has stopped me from making bad choices just because I was feeling too much. It's not just about making more money; it's about being happy while trading.
Have you ever felt like this when you're trading? What do you do to calm down? Let's talk about it! Ever felt this way? Send me a DM, I'm more than happy to help or even join my webinar this Sunday.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
GBPJPY Sell/Short SignalWhat I have been marking up for GBPJPY it appears to have pumped a few pips prior to stopping at its main shoulder of resistance. I have been watching key levels for take profits potential here of the levels 192.020, 188.006, and 183.762 for day trades and swing trades. Rejection levels of 199.853 and 198.881 has proven that we are facing a lower high trend rejection for a continuous downtrend for the next few months it potentially has here. I suggest to use proper risk management when entering the trade and to have your stop losses set at 30-50 pips depending where you entered in. You may close when you feel is best to do so on your own. Please message me if you have any questions about this trade! Thanks!
XAUUSD H1 Move Read The Caption This is a 1-hour candlestick chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot against the US Dollar), showing technical analysis:
1. Uptrend Channel: The yellow channel indicates an upward price trend. The price consistently bounced between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
2. Breakout and Support: The price has broken out of the channel, forming a new area of support near 2,675. This level is marked by a blue horizontal line.
3. Target Zone: A potential bearish scenario is highlighted, where the price could drop to the "Target Zone" near 2,650. This area is represented by a horizontal blue line at the bottom.
4. Predicted Price Movement: The white zigzag lines depict possible price movements:
A short-term rally testing the upper resistance near 2,680-2,690.
A subsequent downward movement back to the support or the target zone at 2,650.
5. Analysis Context:
Traders are monitoring the resistance level for rejection or a further breakout.
A break below the blue support line could lead to further selling pressure toward the 2,650 target zone.
This chart likely reflects a near-term bearish bias following the break from the ascending channel.
AUDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 98.841 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 98.129
Recommended Stop Loss - 99.245
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9427 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.9384
Safe Stop Loss - 0.9455
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2673.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2693.3
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2643.0
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCAD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDCAD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.8915
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8899
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8943
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry - 1.0300
Stop - 1.0258
Take - 1.0379
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6199 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6226
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EURCAD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURCAD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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XAU/USD : And Another Bullish Move Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis.
Current Market Context
At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets:
• $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum.
• $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength.
• $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers.
• $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions.
Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices
Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers:
• U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset.
• Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation.
• Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally.
Technical Insights
From a technical standpoint:
• Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market.
• Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend.
• Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction.
Looking Ahead
Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices.
Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade.
Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NZD/USD Poised for a Breakout ?The NZD/USD pair shows signs of potential bullish momentum following a bounce from a key support level near 0.55900. Price is currently challenging the 0.56028 resistance, with further upside likely if this level is broken and sustained. The downward sloping moving average indicates a prevailing bearish trend, so this move could be a short-term retracement or a possible trend reversal depending on market strength.
Key Insights
Entry Area: Around 0.55940 – 0.56028
Stop-Loss: 0.55103 to manage downside risk
First Target: 0.56156
Second Target: 0.56370
Final Target: 0.56781
Watch for a confirmed breakout above 0.56028 for a continuation toward higher levels. A failure to hold above 0.55900 could trigger further downside movement. Market volatility and U.S. dollar news should be closely monitored for momentum shifts. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, balancing caution and opportunity in the current market structure.
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
#AUDNZD 1DAYAUDNZD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has formed, indicating strong selling pressure at the current price level. This pattern suggests that the bulls have lost control, and the bears are likely to dominate in the near term.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price shows signs of reversal following the bearish engulfing pattern, signaling potential downside movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After confirmation of the bearish engulfing pattern.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candle to limit risk.
Take Profit: Target the next support levels for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
The bearish engulfing pattern signals a shift in market sentiment, with selling pressure expected to continue as long as the price stays below the recent high.
US30 Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,645.7.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 43,102.7 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVER Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.244.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 31.757 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDCAD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.804.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.814 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USD/CNH Near Key Resistance: 2025 OutlookUSD/CNH Near Key Resistance: 2025 Outlook
As shown by today’s USD/CNH chart:
→ the pair is trading around 7.35 yuan per US dollar;
→ historically, this level has acted as resistance, pushing the exchange rate lower in autumn 2022 and autumn 2023, as bulls briefly broke above but failed to sustain gains.
The current approach to this resistance level is partly driven by expectations of US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies, which in 2025 may include imposing trade tariffs and adopting measures likely to strengthen the USD further.
According to Reuters:
→ China holds approximately $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, giving it ample power to defend the yuan;
→ Wang Tao, Chief Economist at UBS for China, expects the USD/CNH rate to remain controlled near 7.4 yuan per dollar during the first half of 2025. However, if high tariffs are introduced by Trump’s administration, the yuan could weaken to 7.6 per dollar by the end of 2025.
Technical analysis of the USD/CNH chart reveals:
→ price fluctuations are forming a large contracting triangle, with higher lows in 2023 and 2024 indicating stronger demand;
→ an upward trend structure, highlighted in blue, emerged in late 2024;
→ a grey arrow points to the trend direction calculated using linear regression.
Thus, in early 2025, another attempt at a bullish breakout above 7.35 may occur, though resistance from bears could cause short-term pullbacks towards the lower blue trend line. Given Wang’s bullish outlook and supporting technical signals, it is reasonable to expect bulls to gain control of the 7.35 level during 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What do you think?Hello guys
We came with the analysis of us500.
There are two scenarios:
1- From here, open a long trade and move to the resistance range, and in case of a further drop, add volume at the second point.
2- Wait until the price reaches the resistance range and open a sale transaction in the two specified ranges.
What do you think?
*Trade safely with us*