Gold prices fall sharply after news from the FedGold prices are always sensitive to US interest rate adjustments. A weaker USD makes gold more attractive to investors. In case the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, gold prices could reach the target of $2,700/ounce by early 2025.
Gold prices broke the technical level above $2,550/ounce. Investors are optimistic about the prospect of the Fed preparing to cut interest rates.
Forexmarket
XAU plunges after FOMC newsMarkets are looking ahead to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, followed by a press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Investors are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. The CME FedWatch tool predicts a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, with 63% for a 50 basis point cut and 37% for a modest 25 basis point cut. This would be the Fed's first rate cut in four and a half years (since March 2020).
#SUSHIUSD 1 DAYSUSHIUSD 1-Day Analysis: Uptrend & Buy Opportunity
The SUSHIUSD pair is currently showing a robust upward trend on the daily chart, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recent price action suggests a solid support level has formed, providing a favorable entry point for potential buyers. Key indicators, including moving averages and RSI, further reinforce the uptrend, signaling increasing buying interest.
Market sentiment appears positive, driven by recent developments in the DeFi space and increased user engagement on the SushiSwap platform. This favorable environment presents a compelling buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential price appreciation.
As always, it’s crucial to consider risk management strategies and stay updated on market news to make informed decisions.
DreamAnalysis | XAUUSD Next Move Could Leave You in the Dust!✨ Before we delve into the charts and analyze the gold price action, I want to give you a heads-up: today, as we publish this analysis, we have significant FOMC news on the horizon.
📊 Market Update :
Today is a crucial day for the U.S. economy as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets to discuss monetary policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to deliver a highly anticipated speech. The market is preparing for a potential 0.25% cut in the Federal Funds Rate, which would lower the rate from 5.50% to 5.25%.
⚡️ Current Market Overview :
At this moment, the gold chart is somewhat challenging to interpret as we are at an all-time high (ATH), a price level that can be difficult to read. However, we will explore all possibilities for both short and long scenarios to help us manage our trades effectively. Notably, we have also swept some key buy-side liquidity levels, including the previous month high (PMH) and the previous week high (PWH).
🕓 Identifying Key Levels :
Here are some critical levels currently visible on the chart:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity (ATH)
- SSL (EQL): Sell-Side Liquidity (a potential target for market movements)
- 4H FVG: Fair Value Gap (identified as a potential retracement zone and an area of imbalance that requires correction)
These liquidity levels are essential as they represent areas where price consistently seeks to gather liquidity, allowing it to move toward the next or opposite level. Similarly, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicates levels that the price needs to balance by moving into them and collecting orders placed in the market.
📈 Bullish Scenario :
Currently, gold is in an overbought territory. To identify potential long positions from this level, we need to shift our focus to lower time frames and look for our setups there.
📉 Bearish Scenario :
For a bearish outlook, we can consider short positions targeting sell-side levels such as the 4H FVG or the SSL (Sell Side Liquidity), as well as the EQL (Equal Lows).
📝 Conclusion :
As we conclude our analysis, it’s vital to stay alert and adaptable to the ever-changing market conditions. By grasping the significance of key levels and understanding potential scenarios, we empower ourselves to refine our trading strategies and seize opportunities for success.
🔮 Future Market Trends :
Keep an eye on the horizon! We will continue to track the evolving dynamics of the XAU/USD pair and other major currency pairs, providing you with timely insights and updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer :
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
World gold price is moving sideways around 2,573 USD/ouncePressured by a rebound in the US dollar and a slight rise in US government bond yields, the yellow metal lost 0.5% after hitting an all-time high of $2,589 an ounce earlier in the week. Traders are now waiting to see whether the US Federal Reserve will pivot policy at this meeting as expected.
Following a series of optimistic data, financial markets are predicting the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates more aggressively in its first interest rate cut since 2020. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is certain about the possibility of easing monetary policy with 63% predicting a cut of 50 basis points.
“It’s time to act” and be ready for more rate cutsThe Fed raised interest rates to curb inflation, which peaked at a historic 9.1% in June 2022. Maintaining very high interest rates over the past two years has caused many difficulties for Americans, and the economy has recently shown many negative signs, affecting the labor market. Many experts are worried that the US economy will fall into recession. Over the past month, Fed officials have sent many signals that the bank will cut interest rates.
The clearest signal was on August 23 when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave a speech saying that "it is time to adjust monetary policy", when inflation in the US has decreased significantly and the labor market has also cooled down to normal levels. Mr. Powell said that the Fed "will do everything" to support a strong labor market. This statement was immediately interpreted as the Fed will begin the process of cutting interest rates from the September meeting.
XAU rises high waiting for investors to take profitAccording to signals from the Fed and the market, in this meeting, the US Central Bank will cut the operating interest rate for the first time since March 2020. Previously, the Fed had raised interest rates 11 times, from March 2022 to September 2023, bringing interest rates from a record low of 0-0.25%/year to the current 5.25-5.5%.
The Fed raised interest rates to curb inflation, which peaked at a historical peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Maintaining interest rates at very high levels in the past 2 years has caused many difficulties for the American people and the economy has recently shown many negative signals, affecting the labor market. Many experts are worried that the US economy will fall into recession. Over the past month, Fed officials have sent many signals that the bank will cut interest rates.
#AUDJPY 4HAUD/JPY 4H Forecast: Sell Signal
Market Overview:
The AUD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a downtrend on the 4-hour chart, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum suggests that sellers are in control, creating potential opportunities for short positions.
Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-period and 200-period moving averages are both sloping downward, reinforcing the downtrend.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index is trending below 50, indicating bearish momentum and the potential for further downside.
MACD: The MACD histogram is negative, and the MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming the bearish sentiment.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Look for resistance around recent highs, approximately 93.00, which could act as a potential entry point for sell orders.
Support: Key support levels are identified around 91.50. A break below this level could accelerate the downtrend.
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a sell position around the 93.00 resistance level or upon a confirmation of a break below the 91.50 support.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent high (around 93.50) to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target the next support level at approximately 90.50 for potential profit taking.
Conclusion:
With the prevailing downtrend, technical indicators favor a bearish outlook for AUD/JPY. Monitor price action closely for opportunities to enter short positions while maintaining a disciplined risk management approach.
#EURCHF 4HEUR/CHF 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy Opportunity
Overview
The EUR/CHF currency pair has recently experienced a significant technical event on the 4-hour chart: a trendline break. This development presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the shift in market dynamics.
Key Observations:
Trendline Break: The pair has breached a key descending trendline that had been guiding the price movement lower. This break suggests a potential reversal or at least a pause in the downtrend, opening up possibilities for upward movement.
Market Sentiment: The trendline break often indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This can attract buying interest and result in upward price momentum.
Confirmation: For a more reliable trade signal, look for confirmation through increased trading volume or additional technical indicators such as RSI or moving averages that support the bullish scenario.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position around the current price level or on a slight pullback to the broken trendline, which might now act as a support zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order below the recent swing low or the trendline to manage risk in case the market does not follow through on the bullish signal.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels or use technical tools to set profit targets. The next significant resistance might be found at previous highs or psychological levels.
Conclusion
The break of the 4-hour trendline in the EUR/CHF pair indicates a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals and manage their risk accordingly. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that might impact the EUR/CHF pair to adjust your strategy as needed.
#GBPAUD 4HGBP/AUD 4H Analysis: Sell Opportunity
Pattern Overview:
The GBP/AUD currency pair is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour chart. This downtrend is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Analysis: The overall trend is downward, with recent price action consistently making lower peaks and troughs.
Support and Resistance: Key resistance levels are holding firm, while support levels have been broken, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages are positioned below longer-term moving averages, confirming the downtrend.
Sell Opportunity:
Given the established downtrend, the market conditions suggest a strong sell opportunity. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as:
Breakout Points: A break below recent support levels can offer additional confirmation.
Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the RSI or MACD showing bearish signals can strengthen the sell thesis.
Forecast:
Based on the current analysis, the forecast leans towards further declines in the GBP/AUD pair. Traders should consider entering sell positions with appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders to mitigate potential reversals.
Summary:
The 4-hour chart for GBP/AUD suggests a continuation of the downtrend. With a pattern of lower highs and lows, and resistance holding firm, there is a compelling sell opportunity. Monitor for confirmation signals to optimize entry points and manage risk effectively.
#USDCAD 1HSell Opportunity: USDCAD 1H Chart
Pattern: Rectangle Resistance
Description:
On the 1-hour chart for USDCAD, the currency pair is showing a classic rectangle pattern at the resistance level. This pattern is characterized by a consolidation phase where the price oscillates between well-defined support and resistance lines, forming a horizontal channel.
Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of this rectangle pattern, which acts as a resistance level. This is a typical sell opportunity as the market is expected to face selling pressure upon hitting this resistance.
Traders should consider entering a sell position as the price tests this resistance area, with the expectation of a potential reversal or pullback. The ideal strategy would be to set a stop-loss just above the resistance level to manage risk, and look for a target within the rectangle's support range.
Keep an eye on additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators, to validate the sell setup and increase the probability of a successful trade.
Gold after Fed rate cut?Gold could confirm a breakout and unless something major happens in other markets, this would be a bullish sign. So far, nothing has happened in the precious metals sector, while the DXY has fallen. This is a bearish factor, but before we jump to conclusions, let’s dig deeper.
XAU at 2586, very high price at the time of waiting for FEDThe US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period last year, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the CPI report in August shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
#GBPNZD 1DAYGBPNZD Daily Chart Analysis
Buy Opportunity:
The GBP/NZD currency pair presents a favorable buying opportunity based on recent technical indicators and market analysis.
Buy Level: 2.12200
At this level, the pair appears poised for an upward movement. Entry at 2.12200 aligns with current market conditions and sets the stage for potential gains.
Target Levels:
1) 2.14000 - Initial target level where the pair may face resistance but could offer a solid short-term profit.
2) 2.16000 - Intermediate target, providing a potential for more substantial gains as the pair continues its upward trajectory.
3) 2.18000 - Long-term target, representing the optimal exit point for maximizing returns based on the current trend analysis.
Description:
The GBPNZD pair has shown a bullish pattern on the daily chart, suggesting a potential upward trend. After consolidating at the buy level of 2.12200, the pair is expected to advance towards the target levels. The technical indicators support the idea of upward momentum, with strong resistance levels anticipated at 2.14000, 2.16000, and 2.18000.
Traders should monitor the pair closely for any signs of reversal or resistance at these target levels. Adjusting stop-loss levels to secure gains as the price moves in the desired direction is recommended.
Disclaimer: Ensure to conduct your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#XAUUSD 15MINOn the lower timeframes, I’m personally looking for a buying opportunity around the support zone of 2580.00 to 2578.00.
Targets: 2585.00 / 2590.00
Avoid placing advance orders for now. Wait for solid bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
Keep in mind, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, stay away from buying.
#XAUUSD
#XAUUSD 1HBased on the 1-hour analysis, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, we should consider selling opportunities.
The 2585.00 to 2587.00 range is a key zone for our sellers.
However, avoid placing any advance orders at this time. Wait for strong bearish confirmation before entering a trade.
#XAUUSD
#US500 1DAYTrade Recommendation: SELL Opportunity for US500 Index
SELL Level:5650
Target Levels: 5500, 5600, 5200
Description:
The US500 index, representing the top 500 large-cap U.S. companies, is currently trading around the 5650 level. This level presents a strategic opportunity to sell, as technical and market indicators suggest a potential downturn.
Rationale:
Technical Indicators: The index has recently approached resistance levels, showing signs of overbought conditions. Historical data suggests that similar resistance levels have often preceded corrective moves.
Market Sentiment: Current economic data and market sentiment indicate potential headwinds, which could lead to a decline in the index.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Selling at 5650 offers a favorable risk-reward profile, with potential downside targets at 5500, 5600, and a more extended target at 5200.
Targets:
1.5500: Short-term target where initial profit-taking can be considered.
2. 5600: Intermediate level that could offer a partial exit or adjustment of positions.
3. 5200: Extended target for those with a longer-term bearish outlook, providing a substantial profit opportunity.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss above the 5650 level to manage potential adverse price movements.
Position Sizing: Ensure appropriate position sizing to mitigate risk and align with your trading strategy.
Carefully monitor market conditions and adjust the strategy as needed to align with evolving trends and data.
Gold hits record high as USD/JPY drops nearly 150 pipsGold prices are on track for their biggest weekly gain since mid-August, rising 2.8% to a record $2,570 an ounce. The gains were fueled by a weaker dollar. Gold was last up 0.4% at $2,568 an ounce.
The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index rose 0.53%.
US stock futures rose 0.1%, following gains in currency indexes on Thursday.
XAU hits record high as USD falls"The market is currently pricing in a moderate FOMC rate cut outside of a recession. We, along with the majority of US economists, do not expect the US economy to fall into a recession."
Global stocks rose for a fifth straight day, posting a 0.2% gain. This was helped by gains in European stocks, where the STOXX 600 index rose 0.4%, heading for a 2.6% weekly gain and its biggest one-month gain.
XAU price makes history in financial terms of price increaseThe consensus among analysts, economists, and market watchers is that a rate cut is almost certain. According to CME FedWatch, the market is currently pricing in a 73% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 27% chance of a 50 basis point cut.