XAU 4HAfter a very good rise due to the war, gold reached the important range of $2000, which it could not cross, and with the normalization of the war for gold, it could not pass two thousand and went down. It is currently in the support zone and in my opinion, it will first have an upward correction and then it will descend towards 1923.
Fundamental-analysis
MO Altria Group possible A=C plus bear flag Let's discuss it.Hi ,
Well, first of all, it's important to note that I have an open position in this dividend-paying stock because I want to hold it for the long term.
However, we should not ignore the fact that we will start wave C of a possible ABC correction soon. We can also see a bear flag shape. Both have a price target of ~$14 to $15.
Regarding the fundamentals, some important things:
Traditional tobacco companies have to face the fact that their products are becoming more and more expensive, thus many people buy cheaper products.
Vapor and liquid alternatives are increasingly popular among the younger generation. Because they are fragrant, tasty and cheaper.
Although these companies have made a lot of profit in the past decades, they are now facing another challenge. If they want to stay competitive, they have to develop to catch up with their competitors who produce products based on new technologies.
Altria Group is constantly working to achieve this. However, the transformation of the production technology and the necessary permits (e.g. FDA) are essential for its success. It's all money and time.
All in all, I think that stocks of traditional tobacco companies are still a good long-term investment. However, it should be taken into account that they may underperform in the coming months. And they can hit new lows.
That's why I didn't use all my resources that I intended for this stock. Because if we actually reach the ~$15 zone, then I want to significantly increase my position size there.
Please tell me what you think about it. And share your thoughts.
Do not forget. This does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before entering a position.
Financial Planning: An IdeaHello Trader
Today we have to talk about financial knowledge, how important is it to have financial knowledge and whether can it make us financially free.
Let's begin,
Everyone needs money to survive. Financial planning is the process of managing your money wisely to achieve your financial goals. It involves planning your future finances keeping in mind your current situation.
In simple terms, financial planning helps you answer questions like:
How can I save more money?
When can I comfortably retire?
How can I pay my debts?
All these questions are very important if you want to be financially free
* Financial planning helps you identify your long-term and short-term goals, whether it's buying a house, children's education, or retirement so that you don't have to worry about anything.
* An important aspect of financial planning is insurance. It helps protect you and your loved ones from unexpected events like accidents, illnesses, or the loss of a loved one. By getting the right insurance coverage, you can minimize the financial disaster of such situations.
* Investments are also a part of financial planning. It involves putting your money into different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate, to grow your wealth over time. Financial planning also involves knowing where to allocate your investments accurately.
Finally, financial planning includes preparing for retirement. It involves estimating how much money you will need in retirement and determining how much you should save each month to reach that goal. Retirement planning ensures that you can enjoy a comfortable and financially secure life after you stop working.
Types of financial planning
1) Tax Planning
Tax planning is the process of arranging your finances in a smart way to pay the least amount of taxes while staying within the rules set by the government. It involves making decisions about when to receive income, how to spend money, and which deductions or credits to take advantage of. The goal is to legally reduce the amount of taxes you have to pay, so you can keep more of your hard-earned money.
Types of Tax planning
Tax planning is a way to reduce the amount of tax you have to pay. But it's not just about that - it also tells you how to make smart decisions with your money to reach your financial goals. By investing in the right things at the right time, you can increase not only the tax but also your wealth. So tax planning is not just about minimizing taxes, it's about making your money work for you.
Following are the various methods of tax planning
(A) Short-term tax planning
In short-term tax planning, individuals or businesses focus on finding legal ways to reduce their tax liability as the end of the fiscal year approaches. It does not require long-term commitments but can still result in significant tax savings.
(B) Long-term tax planning
With long-term tax planning, individuals or businesses create a tax plan at the beginning of the fiscal year and follow it throughout the year. While immediate tax benefits may not be available, this approach can be beneficial in the long run.
(C) Permissive tax planning
Permissive tax planning involves utilizing various provisions within the tax laws of a country, such as deductions, exemptions, contributions, and incentives. For example, in India, there are provisions like Section 80C of the Income Tax Act, 1961, which offer deductions on specific tax-saving investments.
(D) Purposive tax planning
Purposive tax planning involves using tax-saving instruments with a specific purpose in mind. This strategy ensures that you maximize the benefits of your investments. It includes carefully selecting suitable investments, having a plan for replacing assets if necessary, and diversifying business and income assets based on your residency status.
2) insurance planning
If you don't plan properly for insurance, unexpected events in life can leave you financially vulnerable. By insurance planning, you can identify the risks that may affect your life and choose the right insurance policy to protect against those risks. So that you can protect yourself and your family financially in the future.
Let's talk about the benefits of insurance planning
(A) Protection from Unexpected Events
Having a good insurance policy helps you reduce the financial risks associated with things like illness, accidents, or even death. It ensures that you and your family are prepared to face these unexpected challenges without having to give up your quality of life.
(B) Different Types of Insurance Coverage
* There are different types of insurance policies that cover various risks. For example, health insurance plans cover medical emergencies, hospital expenses, medications, and doctor visits.
* Life insurance or personal accident insurance provides coverage in case of premature death.
* Motor insurance protects your vehicles against theft, accidents, and liabilities to third parties.
* Travel insurance policies offer coverage for unexpected events during your trips. By choosing the right combination of policies, you can create a complete financial protection plan for yourself and your family.
(C) Financial Protection
Insurance planning provides financial security by compensating for losses incurred during covered emergencies. It helps you recover financially from unexpected situations and protects your savings.
(D) Tax Benefits
Certain insurance plans also provide tax savings. For example, the premiums you pay for health insurance are eligible for tax deductions under the Income Tax Act. This means you can lower your taxable income by purchasing specific insurance policies.
(E) Peace of Mind
Having a well-planned insurance portfolio gives you peace of mind. You don't have to worry about losing your savings due to unforeseen events. You can also plan for the financial well-being of your family even after your death by using term and life insurance plans.
Insurance planning can be easier if these points are kept in mind
3) Investment planning
* Investment planning is a process that helps you make smart decisions about your money.
* It involves thinking about your goals and figuring out the best ways to use your money to achieve those goals.
* There are various options for investment, such as putting your money in stocks, bonds, or property and earning good profits.
* This planning helps you build a strong financial foundation and make adjustments as needed.
Here I will tell about 7 benefits of investment planning
(A) Building Wealth
Investment plans with life insurance are a reliable way to grow your wealth over time. As an investor, you can choose the plan that best suits your needs based on risk, returns, and the amount you can invest. These plans can provide financial assistance for future expenses like your child's education, their wedding, your retirement, or a pension.
(B) Financial Security
Life insurance policies offer both life coverage and investment options. They take care of your family financially by providing both survival benefits and death benefits. When the policy matures, you receive returns with profits. This ensures long-term financial security for your family. In the unfortunate event of your demise before the maturity period, the insurance company pays the sum assured to your nominee, providing financial protection to your family.
(C) Coverage for Death Risk
Not all investment options offer coverage for the risk of death, but investment plans with life insurance do. These plans include death risk coverage, ensuring that your family's financial needs are taken care of even in your absence. The sum assured is paid to the nominee in the event of your death.
(D)Retirement Savings
You can purchase these investment plans at any stage of life, allowing you to create a retirement corpus. By investing in these plans, you can become financially independent even after retirement.
(E) Flexibility
These investment plans offer flexibility in terms of the amount you can invest and the duration. You can choose what suits your needs and financial planning.
(E) Tax Savings
Investment plans not only provide risk cover and help accumulate wealth, but they also offer tax savings. The premiums and payouts are exempted from tax under sections 80C and 10(10D) of the Indian Tax Act. These plans offer a perfect combination of savings, wealth creation, financial protection, and tax benefits.
(F) Loan Facility
Life insurance investment plans can also act as loan facilitators, depending on the coverage you have, the premiums paid, and your eligibility for the loan amount.
4) Retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the process of preparing for life after you stop working.
* It involves thinking about how much money you will need to live comfortably when you are not earning a regular income.
* Retirement planning tells you how to save and invest your money wisely to have enough funds to support yourself during your retirement years.
* Retirement planning is essential so that you can enjoy a comfortable and worry-free life when you decide to stop working.
Understanding retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the act of preparing for life after employment, which includes not only financial aspects but all areas of one's life.
* Beyond financial considerations, retirement planning includes lifestyle choices, such as how to spend time, where to live, and when to stop working altogether.
* Retirement planning focuses on different stages of life.
* In the early stages of a career, the emphasis is on setting aside sufficient funds for retirement.
* As one approaches mid-career, it may also include establishing specific income or wealth goals and taking the necessary steps to achieve them.
* Thus, retirement planning is necessary for you to lead a comfortable life at the time of retirement.
5) Estate planning
* Estate planning is when you make important decisions about what happens to your money, assets, and liabilities after you pass away or if you become unable to make decisions for yourself.
* This includes things like choosing who will receive your assets, making sure debts and taxes are taken care of, and even deciding who will take care of your children or pets.
* People usually work with an attorney who knows estate law to help them plan.
* Some common steps in estate planning include making an inventory of what you own and owe and checking your bank account.
Process of Estate Planning
* Estate planning is the process of deciding what will happen to a person's assets after they pass away and how their financial affairs will be managed if they become unable to do so themselves. It's important to know that estate planning is not only for wealthy individuals; anyone can and should consider it.
* An estate includes things like houses, cars, investments, artwork, life insurance, pensions, and debts. People have different reasons for estate planning, such as preserving family wealth, providing for their spouse and children, funding education for future generations, or leaving a charitable legacy.
* The first step in estate planning is usually creating a will.
Other important tasks include
* Setting up trust accounts to reduce estate taxes and benefit specific beneficiaries.
* Designating a guardian for dependents who are still alive.
* Choosing an executor to oversee the will's instructions.
* Updating beneficiaries on life insurance policies, IRAs, and 401(k) accounts.
* Making funeral arrangements in advance.
* Making annual gifts to charities or nonprofits to lower the taxable estate.
* Creating a durable power of attorney to handle other assets and investments.
By taking these steps, individuals can ensure that their wishes are followed, their loved ones are provided for, and their assets are distributed as intended.
6) Cash flow planning
* Cash flow planning is all about managing and predicting how money comes into and goes out of someone's or a business's finances. It means keeping track of how much money is earned (income) and how much is spent (expenses) during a specific time, usually every month or year.
* The main goal of cash flow planning is to make sure there's enough money to cover important expenses, meet financial commitments, and achieve money-related objectives. It helps individuals and businesses make smart choices when it comes to spending, saving, and investing their money.
* Basically, cash flow planning involves creating a budget or financial plan that outlines the expected sources of income and estimates of expenses. By analyzing and keeping an eye on cash flow, it becomes possible to spot potential shortages or surpluses and adjust accordingly. This way, people can manage their money better and make informed decisions on how to use their resources effectively.
* When there's a clear understanding of cash flow, individuals and businesses can take proactive steps to ensure they have enough money to cover their needs, save for the future, and handle any unexpected financial challenges that might come up.
* Thus by doing financial planning in this way and by doing this 6-step planning you can become financially free.
Note: The next article is on the life cycle and wealth cycle in which I will tell you what percentage should be invested according to age and income.
I apologize for the grammatical errors.
Thank You!
Money_Dictators
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
ATOM/USDT 1D Interval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ATOM chart in pair with USDT, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel in which the price is moving in the lower range, and it is also worth using the yellow line to define the downward trend line from which we can see that the price has gone up.
Going further, we can move on to marking support areas in a situation when the price returns to a strong correction, for this purpose we will spread the Fib Retracement grid and we can immediately see that the price is struggling to break out of the very strong support zone from $8.01 to $5.52.
Looking the other way, we see that first there is resistance at $10.35, and then we will be able to see an upward movement towards the strong resistance zone from $12.99 to $14.81.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still energy for a move, the RSI indicator approached the upper limit, which resulted in another rebound, similarly you can see on the STOCH indicator that when it went up, from the upper limit of the range, the price started to turn back and you can see that I have room for a bigger drop.
USDJPYWas waiting for the next opportunity after getting stopped out from the last trade. There might be the end of the uptrend for UJ for now. I've placed my trade on last Monday, and there's so many big news on USD these few days.
As there weren't any hiking in rates, it's time to fill up the imbalances below.
Let's share idea's based on UJ, do drop down a comment on why you bought it and why do you sell UJ.
NOTE: I'm not a financial advisor
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XRP/USDT 1D Interval Chart Overview of the XRP pair to USDT chart, on a one-day time frame. First, the yellow line will mark the downward trend from which the price has moved into the sideways trend channel marked with blue lines.
Moving forward, we can move on to marking support areas when the price starts to reverse. And here the most important support point is the zone from $0.50 to $0.46, which protects against a larger price drop.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has reached an important resistance level at $0.62, which it has no strength to break yet. However, if we manage to break above this resistance, we can move further towards the strong resistance zone from $0.74 to $0.82.
As we can see, the place where the red ema cross 10 line crosses the green ema cross 30 line from below confirmed the transition to a local upward trend.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still some energy left for movement, on the RSI indicator we are approaching the upper limit, which may limit the room for further growth, the STOCH indicator also exceeds the upper limit, which may also result in a rebound of the current increase.
EUR USD IdeaGood morning, fellow traders! Yesterday, our journey took us into the weekly supply zone, and we initiated a short position, narrowly missing the top by just one pip. Currently, we have daily levels below us, accompanied by a lurking liquidity void. Our belief is that the upside liquidity has already been absorbed, setting the stage for potential short positions.
With these targets beneath us, it's reasonable to anticipate reaching them relatively quickly. We're looking at potential 15-minute and 1-hour retracements into these zones, coupled with the management of ongoing positions.
However, it's essential to bear in mind that the US dollar is in a phase of consolidation, and the Euro typically remains within a certain balance unless the dollar exhibits significant movement. Trading relies on the availability of liquidity to facilitate price movement, and we must ensure our trades have room to breathe.
In trading, you can either be the liquidity or align yourself with the wiser traders who strategically position their stop-loss orders behind two fractal highs. This way, you can still profit while protecting your capital. These are the considerations we keep in mind as we navigate the market,
Dollar Index (DXY) Under a Bearish Pressure 💵
Dollar Index keeps falling from a solid horizontal intraday resistance,
as I predicted earlier.
As an extra bearish signal, we can spot a confirmed breakout
of a neckline of a descending triangle formation, with a strong bearish
reaction to that after its retest.
The index may keep going lower.
Next support: 105.65
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD Faces Headwinds as Dollar Strengthens?EURUSD struggled to build on yesterday's gains and experienced a decline since the start of Tuesday's Asian session. The surge in the US Dollar index exerted additional pressure on this currency pair, causing it to slip below the critical 1.0600 level.
The anticipation of a more stringent stance by the Federal Reserve (Fed), supporting the upward trajectory of US bond yields and fortifying the US dollar, impeded EURUSD from extending its upward momentum seen in yesterday's trading. This aligns with the prevailing sentiment from the European Central Bank (ECB) that suggests no imminent interest rate hikes.
This sentiment gained further credence from data indicating a deceleration in Germany's annual consumer inflation, dropping from 4.3% to 3.0% in October. This marks the lowest inflation rate since August 2021, a concerning development amid looming recessionary threats.
Market participants remain confident in the Fed's commitment to its hawkish stance, given the resilience of the US economy in the face of persistently high inflation. However, all eyes are now fixed on the outcomes of the FOMC meeting and subsequent statements on interest rate policies.
Today's Market Focus:
Market participants are eagerly awaiting signals for today's potential market movements, with a particular focus on the release of Eurozone CPI data for short-term trading opportunities. Subsequently, attention will shift to the release of key macroeconomic data from the US, including the Chicago PMI and Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board.
Trading Opportunities:
As market projections suggest that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates, and the Fed is expected to adhere to its hawkish stance, the weakening of EURUSD below the 1.0600 level remains a prevailing theme. This weakness is exacerbated by the strengthening US dollar and rising bond yields ahead of the FOMC meeting.
Technical Analysis:
In terms of technical analysis, the Fibonacci retracement at 23.6% (1.0643) acts as an immediate resistance level, followed closely by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0654. A potential reversal at these levels could instigate a decline in the EUR/USD pair.
The technical dynamics of the EUR/USD pair indicate a notable weakening in momentum, notably signaled by the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping below the pivotal 50 level. This RSI movement suggests a bearish momentum, underscoring a broader sentiment of market weakness.
Trading Strategy:
Observing the current market conditions, it appears there is potential for executing a SELL action at the 1.0585 level should the EURUSD persist in its downward trend. In such a scenario, astute traders may contemplate a strategic approach by establishing a profit target at the 1.03500 level. Additionally, incorporating flexibility to adjust stop-loss levels proves to be a prudent measure, aligning with the individual considerations of each trader.
However, it is imperative to underscore that trading decisions must consistently derive from meticulous analysis and a profound understanding of the associated risks. Deliberations regarding a SELL action or any trading maneuver should be approached judiciously. Traders are well-advised to take supplementary steps, such as staying abreast of current economic news or other market factors, before arriving at a definitive decision.
MATIC/USDT 1DInterval ReviewI invite you to review the MATIC chart in pair with USDT. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the upward trend channel from which the price broke out, creating a downward trend channel in which we could currently see the price leaving it with a sideways movement.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we can see that the price remained at the upper limit, a very strong fundamental support zone from $0.58 to $0.31.
Looking the other way, we can see a significant resistance zone from $0.74 to $0.90, only after we break out of it and then test it positively will we be able to see a further upward movement towards the second zone from $1.15 to $1, $33.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that most of the energy has been used, while the RSI and STOCH indicators show that we are moving at the upper limit, which may negatively affect the price and provide a rebound in the coming days.
BNB/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart in pair with USDT, also on a one-day time frame. First of all, we can use the yellow line to mark the downward trend line from which the price went up.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark supports, and as you can see, first there is a support zone from $224 to $220, but then we can see a decline to the very strong zone from $209 to $202.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here you can see that the price has been rejected by the resistance zone from $231 to $238, only when we break above it will we move towards the resistance at $248.
When we turn on EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see that we are still in a strong downtrend, staying below the blue line of EMA Cross 200. The CHOP Index indicates that there is still energy left for a move. On the RSI, we are moving in the upper part of the range, but when we look at the STOCH indicator, the visible rebound creates room for a potential further price increase.
As NVIDIA faces more risks, questions remain unansweredNASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:AMD
As the common market motion is embracing a recession, one of Bloomberg's Magnificent 7 fights hard to keep a stiff upper lip. But not only as the signs of the times currently stand, but also by their own decisions, NVIDIA will get in turmoil.
Background
In my view (working in IT for 15 years), the chip designer is overreaching its capacity with the following two factors.
Planning not a new GPU, but a whole GPU architecture, for every year to release
While GPUs became an essential part of many cutting edge technologies aside graphics, an architecture means to write drivers (computer software working as interpreter between devices) for the variety of operating systems currently at the market, which are, in this order, Linux, Android and Windows.
Linux already despises the closed-source proprietary licensing model of drivers by NVIDIA, which can neither be changed nor get improved nor adapted to compatibility to Linux. An annual release of new architectures without more vertical integration of software development will result in a lack of support by the industry ecosystem, as the industry tends to adapt only to products which grow in relevance. Pick SQL, the database language.
Every other year, a new complete ISO standard of SQL is released to implement, but as buying a whole single set of standard documents comes with high costs, 2.500 USD for paper, the market adoption of new and newest issues of the SQL standards are rare, even in enterprise software. Open source database software tends to implement whatever is available for either no or low cost, so they naturally would not implement the latest standard.
The same dynamic will go on a new GPU architecture release every year, and NVIDIA, given the management is sane, will scrap that strategy after the first three or four cycles.
Planning to challenge Intel, other CPU makers
The most common processors, natural CPU chips built in every computing device, are coming from Intel or an Intel architecture, or ARM's RISCy architecture. Every successful processor ever made in the market had to either be made for a closed ecosystem of devices of their own (like the Zilog Z80 for Nintendo's Game Boy or any home computer of the 80's really, or any of Apple's devices) or it had to be compatible with Intel and its architecture and instruction set. Any other processor sold for general application in the past has failed to penetrate the market. And as Intel, as well as Intel-compatible processors from manufacturers like AMD, are widely common and available, NVIDIA faces the challenge to generate Unique Selling Points for its own CPU ambitions. What could that be?
Lower prices?
If NVIDIA thinks they could create the generations of CPUs to come in a much cheaper way, they would offer discounted hardware on the NVIDIA label, without holding to the promises everyone assumes with the brand: top-edge graphical calculation or AI. The margin would also challenge the stress-test of the ever-altering architecture leadership of Intel, giving Intel itself the opportunity to disrupt NVIDIA's development cycle by letting NVIDIA face the same challenges like Linux developers do when integrating NVIDIA's driver sets, with the additional risk that not every newly released architecture will sell.
Additional features, AI?
AI calculations are power-exhaustive, and delivering them on a CPU will add to the power consumption, and thereby energy costs, as much as overclocking already does. Heat development (and thereby fast aging) is a problem among the CPU industry of which sufficient and endurable solutions are rare. AI software runs in a cloud, preferrably, as the cloud would consist of multiple GPU cards which are cooled with means like heatpipes with chilled water or nitrogen, as well as a general A/C for the room. Describing all this already lets you picture any larger datacenter with its own powerplant, and if you can picture that, you know there is no consumer application for these kind of chips. AI-enhanced CPUs will eventually serve only a niche market, as datacenters would already have (matured and cheaper) GPUs to go for, which would by the way release annually and raise the cost, and as power grids worldwide are not ready to transport this kind of energy for a broad consumer approach.
If any of that is true, what still goes for NVIDIA?
NVIDIA will remain the most important infrastructure provider for datacenters, and by that extent, cloud providers. Neither Microsoft nor Google nor Amazon will be able to turn to other manufacturers, except they'd be successful in running ARM-driven datacenters , making the CPU strategy of NVIDIA even harder. Eventually datacenters will heterogenize in their inner structure to provide cost-effectively for different applications, from a homogenous set of almost equal hardware to a ring-like system for different classes of chips and applications. Many datacenters already either specialize for a certain kind of application or allow a general approach by heterogenizing their hardware, and this trend will continue and create more variety and diversification with coming hardware generations. NVIDIA, as a key infrastructure provider with a heavy foot in the AI field, will remain to be able to supply and influence the business of almost every other cloud-providing technology company, if NVIDIA only would reflect on its virtues, cap their endeavours and emphasize even more on its current strengths.
S&P 500 AnalysisPros listed in green.
Cons in red.
From a technical standpoint the S&P 500 looks to be heading south, don't jump into a short position just yet though as price is currently entering into an important level of support.
Wait and see how it plays out.
From some simple fundamental analysis using my 2 favourite leading US economic indicators we can see that;
ISM PMI
The ISM PMI is currently below 50 which would give us a short bias, however, we can see that the index is heading back towards the 50 level. This means that the index is below 50 and growing, which gives us a weak short bias. In this instance we would want to be neutral and take no position at all, or take a very small position.
UMCSI
The next indicator is the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (UMCSI).
This is a survey of consumers conducted by the University of Michigan on a monthly basis.
At the moment we are seeing the indicator currently sitting at 69 and approaching the 70-80 range at a healthy pace. This would also back up the possibility of us being market neutral for the time being, or taking a small position.
I would post snapshots of these charts but TradingView wont let me.
BTC/USDT 1D Interwal 40000$ or 31000$Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on the BTC to USDT chart, taking into account the one-day interval. We will start by marking a strong downward trend line from which the price moved sideways, and currently we can mark the upward trend channel in which we are moving with blue lines.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, first of all, it is worth marking the support zone from $30,687 to $27,750, but when we fall below this zone, we may see a drop to the area of the second zone from $23,135 to $19,884.
At this point it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50 and 200 as we can see that the yellow ema cross 50 line has returned above the blue ema cross 200 line, confirming that the strong uptrend is continuing.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. Here you can immediately see the fight against the strong resistance level at $35,931, which currently lacks the energy for a larger move, but when the price overcomes it, it will have an open path towards the strong resistance zone from $42,223 to $48,495.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy at this moment is mostly used, the RSI and STOCH indicators clearly exceed the upper limit of the range, which may negatively affect the BTC valuation and translate into a recovery after such a dynamic increase. In such a situation, we could see a rebound towards $31,000.
$BTC won't hit $16000 below 📍 Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨
This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis to explain situation on market conditions why bitcoin
🪙 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will not reach $16000 below 📍 it's completely my view 🙂 #DYOR
Note 👉 if BINANCE:BTCUSDT day close above $32k no visiting $20k
👉 80% technical analysis comfirm no new low 🔅
👉 market sentiments and other sources with history cycle CONFIRM no new low 🔅
👉 month candle close above FWB:36K we entered complete 💯 bull 🐂 run BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
📌 why I am bearish in short period ⏰
👉 TVC:DXY is pumping still top 🔝 was not completed 📌 expecting $108 - $110
Majority of ALTS $TOTALMARKETCAP2 not showing any upside 🚀 move
still considering down side 🩸 still expecting bottom to ALTS so this one of reason
BINANCE:BTCUSDT consider bearish 📍 untill alts completed bottom and confidence move upside 🚀
👉 in my opinion better to accumulate BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 50% around $27000 remaining below $23000
Is very good 👍 if u wait for FWB:23K below just flip of movement enough miss u complete chance
Use 🧠 always keep 20% back-up as per ur portfolio
, it helps when there was " wars " or economical damge
👉 I am expecting $22k
👉 if really BITSTAMP:BTCUSD reach $16 sign 🛑 new low 🔅 then I close 40% my bag 💰 after comfirm 👍
I will re-buy , $16000 is range bond broken zone 📌 reaching there lose market value
it's sign BITSTAMP:ETHUSD reach new low 🔅 even damage total market cap also 📌
use basic knowledge , now BTC turn major index to whole Crypto 🔮
👉 how can we confirm when BITSTAMP:BTCUSD hit FWB:23K below 📍 that local bottom is completed 📌
It's very simple 😅 when month closed 🔐 above FWB:25K strong 💪💯 🔥 area 📌
sign ☢️ local bottom is completed 🚀
👉 when TVC:DXY left ◀️ parabolic curve 🪝 it's other comfirm 👍
👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people
They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌
We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important
Economical conditions
Fundamentals
Technical
News
Sentiments
Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️
Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛
I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post
Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important
Have good day 😊
#Verizon a recovery buy? NYSE:VZ Verizon Communications Inc. has recently released an impressive earnings report, surpassing expectations across the board and increasing their Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance by a substantial $1 billion compared to their previous guidance. This announcement has injected new life into the stock, and it's evident in the pre-market trading where VZ has surged by almost 4%.
The current outlook for VZ is highly favorable, and here's why: A bullish divergence is emerging on both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, particularly on the weekly timeframe. This divergence suggests that the stock is poised for a recovery, possibly leading to a profitable swing trade opportunity for investors.
Furthermore, VZ presents an additional allure for long-term investors. With a generous dividend yield of over 8%, this stock becomes a compelling choice for those seeking a stable, income-generating investment.
In summary, the combination of robust earnings, a notable increase in FCF guidance, and the promising technical indicators on the chart indicate a strong potential for VZ to recover from recent losses. Whether you're looking for a shorter-term swing trade or a long-term income play, Verizon is shaping up as an attractive option in the current market landscape
XAUUSD | SHORT BREAK BEFORE THE NORTH TRIP?Gold has been trading in a descending channel since May. But something had to happen after bottom got rejected... unfortunately it was war. Eastern conflict launched XAUUSD to the first checkpoint before the Moon. It broke through semi-channel resistance, static resistance at 1945, main channel upper dynamic resistance and finally stopped just below psychological 2000$.
As you can see on my chart, latest rally from 1809 is very similar to the one from March. Same start and almost the same finish. If "copy" will be correct then we might see correction to 1945 first. Once we are there, most likely scenario (depending on upcoming US data and FOMC decision + uptades on Eastern conflict) will be bounce off from this lvl and preparation of the rocket for retesting -> eventually breaking through the 2k.
On the right side you can see dotted lines with prices, these are Camarilla pivot points based on the weekly candle. In case you don't know, Camarilla points are the better (for most) version of classic pivot points. These are much more accurate since the levels are much more closer to the actual price action. Based on basic Camarilla's strategy, rejected 2005.46 will turn market to a short-term bearish sentiment . Breakout of 2029.91 would take us to retest all time high . Rejected 1956.56 would turn the bias bullish, and finally, breakout of 1932.11 could take us deeper to the south .
Lately, most of the US (bullish for dollar) data was ignored by traders, and Gold kept going higher, along with DXY index. But most importantly, FED members with Jerome Powell on the top, shifted narration to more dovish one. By the time of writing this idea, traders bets 75% that there won't be more hikes this year. 99.9% that upcoming November's meeting will result in another pause (that's why you need to focus on the narration).
Situation in the east is still tense. With warning of ground invasion on the line. Not to mention recent visits of Joe Biden and Rishi Sunak. Those two personas are leaning for the hold of the recent mentioned invasion. It's very important to follow the news and uptades on this topic, since it's a main driver for save-haven metal like Gold.
Hope you'll find something useful in my analysis and opinion. Feel free to share your thoughts and thank you all for reading this! Take care
Analyzing GOLD: Market Dynamics and Trading strategyThe XAU/USD currency pair, a dynamic interplay between gold and the US dollar, is currently navigating through pronounced market fluctuations. In this comprehensive analysis, we will delve into the intricate interplay of fundamental factors steering the value of XAU/USD. Our focus extends to the looming potential of The Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments, the consequential shifts in the 10-year US Treasury Yield, and the intricate repercussions woven into the fabric of the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine conflicts.
Moreover, we will embark on a journey through the undulating terrain of gold price fluctuations, deciphering their nuanced implications for the volatility inherent in this currency pair. As we scrutinize both the fundamental and technical dimensions, our aim is to provide traders with a nuanced understanding of the multifaceted forces currently at play, guiding them toward informed and strategic trading decisions. Join us as we unravel the layers of complexity inherent in the XAU/USD market, offering insights that transcend the surface, into the heart of this captivating financial landscape.
Fundamental Analysis
Potential Rise in The Fed's Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, stands at the forefront of XAU/USD trader considerations. Despite maintaining interest rates in the latest meeting, speculation about future rate hikes has introduced uncertainty. A hike in interest rates could diminish gold's allure as a risk-free investment alternative. Gold investors tend to favor assets offering higher yields when interest rates rise.
Increasing 10-Year US Treasury Yield
The recent upswing in the 10-year US Treasury Yield over the past few months has adversely impacted XAU/USD. Gold, often considered a safe-haven asset, typically experiences decreased demand as bond yields rise. Investors seeking protection tend to shift towards bonds offering higher returns than gold, resulting in a decrease in the value of XAU/USD.
Impact of Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine Conflicts
Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine conflicts plays a pivotal role in the dynamics of XAU/USD. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold tends to attract attention during periods of uncertainty. Elevated geopolitical tensions increase the demand for gold, contributing to an upsurge in the value of XAU/USD.
Gold Price Fluctuations: Implications for XAU/USD
The notable fluctuation in gold prices, reaching $1,750 per ounce on September 21, 2023, and subsequently declining to approximately $1,700 per ounce on October 20, 2023, reflects significant market volatility. The dip in gold prices could be attributed to a combination of factors, including expectations of interest rate hikes and a shift in investor preferences towards higher-yielding assets.
Technical Analysis
Indicator Analysis
XAU/USD exhibits overbought signals on the STOCHRSI(14) and MACD(12,26) indicators. However, the elevated volatility serves as a warning for potential market direction changes. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) confirms a bullish trend, instilling confidence in traders.
Support and Resistance Levels
According to Barchart, current support and resistance levels are as follows: 1st Resistance Point at 1,986.06, Last Price at 1,994.86, 1st Support Level at 1,954.30, 2nd Support Level at 1,934.11, and 3rd Support Level at 1,914.30. These levels serve as crucial guides in planning trading strategies.
Trading Strategy
The employed trading strategy involves entering positions after the price breaks and retests the breached support and resistance (S&R) levels. The target price is set before the next resistance level or prior to the Fed speech on October 25, 2023, considering potential unforeseen events.
Trade Parameters
Based on the above analysis, several trade parameters are identified:
Entry Point: When the gold price rises and re-test the previous resistance level.
Stop Loss: Placed below the nearest support level to safeguard against sharp declines.
Target Profit: Before the next resistance level or prior to the Fed speech on October 25, 2023, considering potential unforeseen events
Conclusion:
This analysis illuminates the intricacies of XAU/USD, emphasizing the intertwined nature of complex fundamental and technical factors. As investors grapple with potential Fed rate hikes, changes in the 10-year US Treasury Yield, and geopolitical conflicts, a comprehensive understanding of risks is essential. The fluctuation in gold prices serves as a vital indicator, highlighting the need for vigilant monitoring of news and Federal Reserve policies. In navigating these volatile market conditions, prudent trading strategies and effective risk management become indispensable for success in trading XAU/USD.