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LYONDELLBASELL ($LYB) – CYCLICAL GIANT OR UNDERRATED VALUE PLAY?LYONDELLBASELL ( NYSE:LYB ) – CYCLICAL GIANT OR UNDERRATED VALUE PLAY? (1/8) Chemicals and timing can be like mixing reactive compounds—💥 one slip, and it all blows up! Let’s dissect how NYSE:LYB fared in Q3 and see if it’s a hidden gem or just a lab experiment gone wrong. (2/8) Revenue & Earnings Q3 revenue: $10.32B (vs. $10.60B estimated) EPS: $1.75 (missed $1.88 forecast) Net income: $573M (down from $747M in Q3 2023) Take: These numbers show the sector’s cyclical nature—📉 but NYSE:LYB ’s not down for the count just yet. (3/8) Strategic Moves Divested Ethylene Oxide & Derivatives (EO&D) to focus on higher-margin plays Investments in advanced recycling & circular polymers (♻️) position NYSE:LYB for a sustainable future Raised dividend by 5%—marking 13 years of annual dividend growth 💰 (4/8) Sector Comparison Some valuation models suggest NYSE:LYB is 60.2% below fair value 🤔 Competitors: Dow Inc. & Eastman Chemical also face commodity price swings NYSE:LYB ’s pivot to greener products might give it an edge if the market turns bullish (5/8) Cyclical Headwinds Oil & gas volatility → Directly impacts production costs 🏭 Supply chain disruptions ⛓️ Global economic factors can tighten or loosen demand Sustainability regs → both a cost & an opportunity 🌱 (6/8) Risk Assessment Debt Levels: Manageable, but higher rates could apply pressure Regulatory Risks: Environmental standards tightening could require more capex ⚠️ Undervaluation Trap? A cheap stock can stay cheap if the market remains skeptical (7/8) My Analysis “ NYSE:LYB ’s shift toward circular polymers isn’t a gimmick—it’s a strategic bet that can pay off long-term. But remember, chemical stocks often swing wildly with macro cycles. If you can stomach the roller coaster, this could be a compelling play.” (8/8) Are you bullish on NYSE:LYB ? 🚀 Yes (Undervalued, strong dividend) 🤔 Neutral (Cyclical but stable) 🔥 No (Too risky given commodity and macro factors)
NYSE:LYBLong
by DCAChampion
Netflix Crushes It Again as Shares Near $1,000. Where Rivals At?The smash-hit nail-biting Korean drama Squid Game, French mystery thriller Lupin or VR-infused 3 Body Problem. These are all Netflix Original titles that take us out of the ordinary and into a whirlwind of sensations and visual and emotional excess. Only that we can have those sensations IRL thanks to the hype train called Netflix stock NFLX — the streaming pioneer schleps us on wild gyrations across the chart — sometimes super scary but sometimes unbelievably good. This time it was the latter. “I can’t hear you over the sounds of ♫ RING-A-RING-A-RING ♫ blasting out of the speakers of more than 68 million viewers” — Netflix to its competition, probably, as it reported a bombastic quarter with a record number of subscribers. The very-fabulous, bumper three months to December picked up 19 million paid users (how many of these were day trading while binging?) as Squid Gain Game dialed up more than 68 million views in its first week. The other big hit, Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson boxing live, whipped up 65 million streams. It was also the perfect quarter to end the practice of reporting subscriber growth. Starting with the current three months to March, the streaming platform won’t be announcing how many new users are onboarded as it shifts the focus to traditional financial metrics like revenue growth and profits. The shares soared as much as 15% in after-hours activity following the earnings report. They opened for regular trading on Wednesday and hit an all-time session high of $999 a piece. On the way, Netflix crossed a $400 billion valuation. Here’s a quick rundown of the numbers for the fourth quarter: Earnings per share: $4.27 vs. $4.20 expected Revenue: $10.25 billion vs. $10.11 billion expected Total paid memberships: 301.63 million vs. 290.9 million expected It was the tech titan’s seventh consecutive quarter of rising profits, up 27% from the year-ago period. Looking ahead, Netflix plans to spend $18 billion on new content in 2025 while revenue is expected to be between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion, up 14% from last year. Operating margin is projected to hit 29%. Besides ads, one other thing is supposed to help Netflix get to its lofty guidance — price hikes. The streaming platform will be asking for more cash in the US, Canada, Portugal and Argentina. Here’s what’s changing in the US: Ad-tier $6.99 > $7.99/mo. Standard $15.49 > $17.99/mo. Premium $22.99 > $24.99/mo. “We’re fortunate that we don’t have distractions like managing declining linear networks and, with our focus and continued investment, we have good and improving product/market fit around the world,” the company said in its earnings report Tuesday. “We enter 2025 with strong momentum, coming off a year with record net (subscriber) additions and having re-accelerated growth,” it added. Where’s the competition at? Let’s look at Disney DIS , the closest rival. Disney expects to spend about $24 billion on new content in 2025, up from $23.4 billion. Yet it has about half the subscribers of Netflix — around 154 million. Other prominent contenders in the streaming war are not even close — Apple AAPL and Amazon AMZN . Apple doesn’t disclose Apple TV+ subscribers and Amazon doesn’t disclose Prime subscribers. Third-party estimates point to about 50 million to 75 million Apple TV+ users. Amazon Prime, which is tied to the ecommerce platform’s delivery service, has about 200 million customers. But let’s give it to them — Apple and Amazon have got a bunch of diversified revenue streams, while Netflix has stuck to its OG mission of being a streaming platform. In any case, this streaming war is not over, so it's worth keeping an eye on company updates and reports in the earnings calendar . (Hint: Disney earnings arrive February 5.) Where do you think the streaming wars are headed in 2025? Share your thoughts on Netflix, Disney, and the rest in the comments!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by TradingView
7
S&P futures daily chart AIL buy climax at key levelS&P is all-in-long, in a tight bull channel, buy for any reason, but now at a point of likely exhaustion after a possible climax. Price testing the breakout point from the last FOMC day and big selloff. Bulls will take profits here and bears will look for a foothold to sell. Since the market is in a large trading range, odds favor a pullback. If price continues higher, odds will favor a deeper pullback and possible reversal. Likely a small trading range today.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AlSmith22
CHINA 50 Index CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHINA 50 Index CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout. Buy entry above 13100 Sell Entry below 12750 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 13600 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 12300 (or) Escape Before the Target Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ From a technical standpoint, the China 50 index is currently showing neutral signals . The Relative Strength Index (14) and Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) are indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Additionally, the Moving Averages are also neutral, suggesting that the index is trading sideways. Macro Analysis 📰🗞️ Macroeconomic indicators play a significant role in determining the overall trend of the China 50 index. Some key indicators to watch include: GDP Growth Rate: A growing economy can lead to a bull run, while a slowing economy can lead to a bearish trend. Inflation Rate: High inflation can lead to monetary policy tightening, which can negatively impact the index. Interest Rates: Lower interest rates can boost economic growth, leading to a bull run. Trade Balance: A trade surplus can lead to a strong currency, which can negatively impact exports and the index. It's essential to monitor these indicators and adjust your analysis accordingly. Trading the China 50 Index If you're looking to trade the China 50 index, consider the following: FTSE China A50 Index: This index represents the 50 largest and most liquid Chinese stocks ³. CSI 300: This index tracks the performance of the 300 largest and most liquid Chinese stocks. MSCI China Index: This index represents the performance of the Chinese equity market....... Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FOREXCOM:CHINA50Long
by Thief_Trader
US30 : Bullish Zone Stabilization with Key Correction LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis The price has surged approximately 620 points ahead of Earnings Season and is still attempting to stabilize within the long-term bullish zone, as highlighted in our previous analysis. Currently, a bearish correction toward 43900 is expected before the continuation of the uptrend. However, if the price breaks above 44400, it is likely to push higher toward 44750 and potentially 44920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44400, 44750, 44920 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43350 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction while below 44400 Bullish Trend if the price breaks above 44400 Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
BTC Alert: Wait Before Trading!Dear Investors, Given the intense volatility we're witnessing in the markets, we advise against rushing into trading decisions at this time. Prices are going through a critical phase, and it’s wise to wait until the picture becomes clearer. Why Wait? Fear and anxiety are dominating the market right now, which could lead to impulsive decisions. There are critical price levels to watch: If prices drop to 82,242, they may continue falling to 77,637. The larger area that hasn’t been tested yet is the Red Balloon, but our current focus is on the first zone: 101,777.27. What’s Our Plan? We’re initially targeting the 101,777.27 zone, which will be a key turning point. After that, the bigger target is 130,681.65 to complete the upward trend. Final Advice: Don’t miss out on opportunities! Follow us for the latest analysis and updates we provide. Waiting and observing now could be the key to making more profitable decisions later. 🔔 Hit the Follow button to receive all updates and analysis as soon as they’re published.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stocksfox
Break above 8 month resistanceThis Green trend line has been AMC's resistance since the May run-up of last year. Right now, the price action is bouncing between it and the Red support line. With the 4th anniversary of the first sneeze coming up, the BOJ rumored to increase interest rates to the highest level in 17 years on Friday morning, and the first FOMC meeting of the year and new Presidency being next Wednesday, I think the perfect storm is brewing for hedge funds to have to close their short positions. If we close the week above 3.50/above the green resistance line, I am expecting volatility to the upside. Also important to remember that at 5.66, AMC can clear $400M worth of debt, which would bring the company closer to $3.5B. Compared to the high of $5.88B in debt it had at the end of September 2020, that is great progress. Let's see what happens in the next couple days/week.
NYSE:AMCLong
by BakedSpud32
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling Bounces Back as Market Sentiment ShiftsThe Pound Sterling (GBP) is showing resilience at the start of the week, bouncing back against its major peers. This surge can be attributed to multiple factors, with a notable influence from the recent developments in the UK government bond market. As the market digests the weak UK Retail Sales data for December, there has been a notable uptick in demand for UK gilts, signaling confidence among investors despite the bleak economic indicators. At the same time, the broader market is experiencing heightened interest in risk assets as anticipation builds around U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's upcoming inauguration. This event has been a focal point for traders, leading to a reassessment of positions across various currencies, including the GBP. From a technical analysis perspective, the Pound appears to be finding support at a crucial demand zone, indicating a potential rebound. If this area holds, it could signal a retracement that may provide traders with an attractive opportunity to enter long positions. This should be monitored closely, as price action around this demand area can reveal market sentiment and lead to further buying pressure. Looking ahead, the next key event to influence GBP's trajectory is the release of UK employment data for the three months ending in November, set to be published on Tuesday. Investors will be keenly analyzing this data to gauge the health of the UK labor market in the face of ongoing economic challenges. Positive results could further bolster the Pound's position, while disappointing figures may lead to a recalibration of expectations. As traders position themselves ahead of these economic releases, we are particularly bullish on the Pound Sterling. If the UK employment figures align positively with market expectations, it could fuel further momentum, allowing the GBP to extend its gains in the upcoming sessions. For those looking to capitalize on the potential upswing, a long position in GBP seems to be a prudent strategy, as the current technical setup and changing market dynamics suggest an advantageous window for entry. In summary, the Pound's recent bounce is a product of both technical factors and broader market sentiment. With critical economic releases on the horizon, traders should remain vigilant and prepared to respond to evolving conditions as they unfold. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declara..EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declaration The EUR/USD currency pair concluded the previous week on a high note, defying the bearish trend that had been in full swing until the 1.0177 level. As the new trading week began, the market's momentum shifted in favor of the EUR, propelled by a strong bullish impulse that left the US Dollar (USD) reeling. The opening salvo of the week saw the Greenback come under intense pressure, as investors grappled with the prospect of President Trump declaring a national emergency soon after taking office. The uncertainty surrounding this development has weighed heavily on the USD, allowing the EUR to gain traction and hold its ground. From a technical perspective, market analysts are eyeing a potential correction of the trend, with a possible retracement target of 1.0500 on the horizon. This development could signal a significant shift in the market's dynamics, as investors reassess their positions and adjust to the changing landscape. As the situation unfolds, one thing is certain: the EUR/USD pair will be closely watched in the coming days as market participants navigate the complex web of economic and political factors at play. Will the bullish momentum continue, or will the USD find its footing and push back against the EUR's gains? Only time will tell. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
7
BOJ interest rateBOJ interest rate decision tonight. 1/23/25 10pmEST cons = .5% prev = .25% 7/30/24 act = .25% prev = .10% 3/18/24 act = .10% prev = -10% USD/JPY longer time frame 100 & 200 moving averages trajectory has moderated from a steep upward slope to a relatively neutral slope, ever since BOJ .25% interest rate decision in July. The faster time frame 20 & 50 moving averages appear to be oscillating above and below the fib50 of the past year high and low. I see this as a good short USD/JPY entry as the BOJ continues to raise interest rates to stabilize the Yen value, and the FOMC rates are going down. Trade idea: short = 157.08 stop = 158.88 profit = 150.77 20sma = 157.08 50sma = 154.83 100sma = 151.24 200sma = 152.79 1yrhigh = 161.95 fib50 = 150.77 1yrlow = 139.58
Short
by Options360
1/23/25 Pre-report update1/23/29 Mid week update Pattern forcing issues. Due to favorable wind patterns in the high latitudes, high pressure over Alaska, and the return of the seventh elongated Polar vortex, there is a better than average chance there will be a return to the cold and storminess after a relaxation in the bitter cold next week. The snow cover will aid the atmosphere in keeping any moderation in air masses cooler that the models have projected the past few days. This needs to be understood that the relaxation is at a time when the Northern Hemisphere is at its coldest. So, this is a relaxation to a generally normal(cold) period. Not a warm up to well above average. We are in the second week of the coldest part of the North American heating season and even with a relaxation form normal, this will continue to draw normal to above normal amounts of NG from storage. Since mid November, we have had generally 15 days of cold and stormy followed by 15 days of dry and normal to a bit warmer. We are now finishing our second cold and stormy pattern heading into another 15 days of normal to a bit above. The synoptic models are again showing another 15 days of cold returning sometime around the 5th of February to keep the NG burning straight through March. This is important because as opposed to last year, we are not going to see below average draws, with producers overproducing NG and below average LNG production for the next month. Storage is going to be the big impact going into the shoulder season and we are more than likely going to flip to below the 5-year average for storage tomorrow. The current industry projections are now indicating that we will exit the draw season close to 150 BCF below the 5-year average and over 500 BCF below last year. It is estimated that storage will come in at 1700 BCF or the eight lightest storage in the last 30 years. I do believe that pricing does have another possible 15% to the upside, but this will probably be the terminus for the withdrawal season. With a steady adjustment of pricing into the injection season to the $3 range. But unlike last year, I do not see any reason for historic low pricing to return. Producers have done a fantastic job at being disciplined. I am still currently long on the March contract and will probably readjust my position after the report today. I am not planning on holding any position over the weekend. I am going to need to see the models continue verifying a bit more. But I will continue to trade the big daily moves, which I believe we can continue to expect for some time.
NYMEX:NG1!
by jrvpane
1
Gold slips Gold is a touch weaker this morning, but the selling pressure has been relatively muted so far. Gold continues to show great resilience as it has managed to push higher despite the strength of the US dollar. The current leg of this rally has been going since mid-December, and in an encouraging sign for the bulls, all pullbacks have proved to be quite shallow. This stands in stark contrast to gold’s behaviour last year where pullbacks were often brutal – sharp and protracted. Tuesday's break above resistance at $2,720 was impressive, and this area should act as intermediate support for any pullbacks. The chart looks constructive, as does the daily MACD which indicates continued upward momentum without being overbought. Nevertheless, prices will have to correct lower at some point. The question is whether gold can take out its record high of $2,790 from October first, or if it experiences a more significant pullback before then?
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Analysis: Approaching All-Time High with Critical LevelsS&P 500 Analysis The price has risen approximately 1.00% since yesterday, driven by strong earnings results. It is currently aiming to reach the (ATH) of 6100. A pullback to 6073 and 6051 is likely if the price stabilizes below this level. However, if a 4-hour candle closes above 6100, the bullish trend is expected to continue, targeting 6143. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6100 Resistance Levels: 6120, 6143 Support Levels: 6073, 6051, 6020 Trend Outlook: Bullish if the ATH of 6100 is broken. Bearish while the price remains below 6100. previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
2
Unveiling the Trump and Melania Meme Coins:Unveiling the Trump and Melania Meme Coins: What You Need to Know** **Introduction:** In a surprising move, President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump have launched their own meme coins, $TRUMP and $MELANIA. These coins have generated significant buzz in the crypto community, and here's everything you need to know about them, their potential value, and their current performance. **What Are $TRUMP and $MELANIA?** $TRUMP and $MELANIA are meme coins, a type of cryptocurrency inspired by internet memes and trends. These coins are created on the Solana blockchain and are marketed as digital collectibles rather than traditional investments. **Potential Value:** The potential value of these coins is highly speculative and driven by market sentiment. $TRUMP initially surged to over $70 before stabilizing around $40. $MELANIA, on the other hand, started at $7 and reached about $9. The market capitalization of $TRUMP is around $7.6 billion, while $MELANIA's market cap is approximately $1.65 billion. **Current Performance:** As of now, $TRUMP is trading at approximately $41.73. The coin experienced significant volatility, reflecting the speculative nature of meme coins. $MELANIA is trading at about $9. Both coins have seen fluctuations in their prices, influenced by market hype and the broader crypto market trends. **Market Sentiment and Risks:** While these coins have garnered attention, they also come with risks. The high volatility and speculative nature of meme coins mean that their value can change rapidly. Investors should be cautious and aware of the potential for significant losses. **Conclusion:** The launch of $TRUMP and $MELANIA has added a new dimension to the crypto market. While they offer an exciting opportunity for traders, it's essential to approach them with caution and a clear understanding of the risks involved. Keep an eye on market trends and stay informed to make the best trading decisions.
by OakleyJM
Multiverse is hidden gem?KUCOIN:AIUSDT ✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it. Thank you. Possible Targets and explanation idea ➡️When nobody talk about coin its mostly the best time to buy. ➡️Volume trade increases insanely since August 2022 ➡️Multiverse Labs, in collaboration with the government of Sharjah, launches its first Metaverse city in UAE ➡️Investors Samsung NEXT, Fenbushi Capital, Huobi Ventures ➡️More than 450 days in accumulation phase, now under -0.27 zone (historically investment zone) ➡️Got perfect rejection in July 2021 at 0.23 level by FIB. This D fib still relevant ➡️Take Profit targets minimal 0.618 level by Fib around 0.14 cents and 1.618 around 0.30 cents. Not sure about 2.618 - 0.45$ Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. * Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ * For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
ALong
by Crypto4light
4