XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Goldidea
The decline is just the beginning, continue to short gold!Gold today maintained a volatile trend overall, and began to rebound with 2325 as support. It is currently trading near 2340. So after the sharp decline, has gold stabilized and rebounded?
Actually, I don’t think so. I said yesterday that since gold has not rebounded in retaliation after falling by $100, gold will only absorb the plunge in a volatile manner. Gold is currently performing very weakly during the rebound and cannot even break through the 2345 position. In addition, 2350 is the position where the decline accelerated after falling below the level yesterday. If gold cannot recover for a long time, there is still room for gold to continue to fall.
The current rebound of gold is not particularly strong. Gold may build a relay platform near the 2340 position, so I think the gold downward trend is far from over. After the end of the shock, gold will continue to fall, targeting 2300 or even the 2280 position area.
Gold is currently facing short-term resistance in the 2345-2350 area. In the next transactions, I will still focus on shorting gold, and then watch a new round of downward trend break out.
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Today's trading trends, buy gold strategyAt the beginning of the trading session on May 23 (US time), world gold prices were under strong selling pressure due to tough sentiment in the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting just announced. The minutes show that US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are increasingly concerned about inflation.
The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear.
Experts from the World Gold Council predict that despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time.
Wall Street analysts said that it will take the market longer than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has really decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
Gold is preparing for a new price increase💥Since the shock increase and decrease on Monday following the speeches of Fed officials, the gold price (XAU/USD) has had almost no significant fluctuations, fluctuating around 2,420 USD/ounce.
💥Gold is under profit-taking pressure after the precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
💥Gold is strongly supported in the context of geopolitical and economic instability. According to data from the World Gold Council, since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased more than 16%, reaching a record high of over 2,400 USD/ounce in May. Gold may be ready for another price increase. Gold could reach 3,000 USD/ounce within the next 6 to 18 months.
💥Currently, gold price is trading within the triangle flag border. This accumulation price pattern will soon break and surpass notable hooks like 2407.2435. Wider trading ranges are located at 2402 and 2448 with solid support and resistance zones.
SELL price range 2440 - 2442 stop 2446
BUY price range 2409 - 2407 stop 2403
BUY price range 2402 - 2400 stop 2393
🚨Gold is Ready to Go Down🚨_Can Gold make New ATH again❗️❓✅ Gold managed to create a New All-Time High(ATH) at the beginning of the week.
🏃♂️Currently, Gold is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($2,450-$2,426) 🔴.
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing main wave 5 by the Ending Expanding Diagonal .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect Gold to continue falling to at least the 🟢 Support zone($2,373-$2,353) 🟢.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold price entered the adjustment period after create a new peakGold prices continued to decline on Tuesday, completely covering the recovery phase after the pullback from the $2,450 mark. However, gold remains supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut, ongoing geopolitical tensions, along with strong demand from central banks and Asian buyers.
The daily chart of the XAU/USD pair favors an extension to the upside, as the pair trades above all of its moving averages. In fact, the 34 Simple Moving Average has modest upward traction at around $2,340, while the longer moving averages point further north than that. Furthermore, technical indicators are all moving higher near overbought levels with no signs of exhaustion.
Gold prices hit a new record high early Monday hitting $2,450. The precious metal fell in price during the US trading session, mainly due to profit-taking, as the USD did not fluctuate much. The USD traded gloomy on the foreign exchange board due to a lack of new information from the economic calendar.
Gold price is approaching the important level 2407 which determines the next trend of gold.
Plan May 21
Support: 2401 - 2391 - 2379
Resistance: 2431- 2442 - 2453 - 2458 - 2473
Breakout and retest: 2431 - 2407
SELL price range 2454 - 2456 stop 2460
BUY price range 2392 - 2390 stop 2386
Today's trading strategy, Gold trendGold prices fluctuated sharply when some US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers recommended that the organization wait a few more months to ensure inflation really cools down, before starting to cut. interest rate.
Reacting to this information, the USD increased in price compared to the Euro and many other currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Under pressure from the USD, speculators may worry that holding gold will reduce profitability. So in last night's trading session, when gold was trading in the region of 2,400 USD/ounce, they massively sold out.
Gold breaks current price channel, strategy to buy GoldWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 42.7 USD to 2,378 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,382.1 USD/ounce, down 43.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world precious metals market continues to be pressured by the policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting minutes ended earlier this month. According to the minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, persistent inflation could create some selling pressure as it could force the Fed to raise interest rates again. .
This view goes completely against the recent statements of members of the US Monetary Policy Committee when they said that although they are not ready to cut interest rates because inflation is still high, they will not raise interest rates. capacity.
According to experts, the minutes reflect growing disappointment that consumer prices have not returned to the 2% target as firmly as expected.
Recently, gold has been greatly affected by the Fed's "hawkish" policy stance. Despite fluctuations, gold is still considered an effective investment asset thanks to its role in preventing inflation and diversifying investment portfolios. Experts believe that the roles driving the recent increase are still being maintained and are unlikely to change in the future.
GOLD-Wednesday Analysis
The Fed will release minutes from its April 30-May 1 meeting on Wednesday, which may reflect more concerns about higher-than-expected inflation in the first quarter, as the meeting was held before the release of last week's consumer price inflation report. The Fed said at the meeting that it still prefers to eventually lower borrowing costs, but acknowledged that disappointing inflation data may delay rate cuts for a while. The minutes may also provide more details on the Fed's plans to slow the reduction of its balance sheet. It is worth mentioning that geopolitical concerns seem to have eased, with Israel reportedly reportedly reaching an agreement with the United States to shelve plans for a large-scale offensive against Rafah. But investors still need to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation.
The highest reached around 2450 on Monday and fluctuated between 2433-2416 on Tuesday. Although it is not certain that 2450 is definitely the short-term top of gold, it is certain that it is difficult to break through. Yesterday, 1D closed with a red candle, which means that it is not an absolute strong rise at present.
If it reaches 2433-2436, you can choose to sell, SL: 2442, if you want to buy, you can wait for 2387-2392
The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase.
What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
Gold has not cooled down yet, enter to buy todayAfter reaching 2,450 USD/ounce in the previous trading session, today's gold price on the international market has cooled down but not significantly.
At 6 a.m. on May 22, the world gold price was trading at 2,422 USD/ounce, down 6 USD compared to the price at the same time the previous day which was 2,428 USD/ounce.
Analysts say international gold prices cool down as investors sell to take profits.
On the other hand, some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED) continue to announce that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Since then, the USD has increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Another development is that US stocks increased quite strongly. This has prompted many people to take interest in the stock. Accordingly, money flowing into precious metals is dominated. Today's world gold price inevitably cools down.
Trading strategy today, still in the bullish channelWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 5.2 USD to 2,420.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,425.2 USD/ounce, down 4.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
On May 21 (US time), gold was under profit-taking pressure after this precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Recently, a number of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly expressed the opinion that they will not rush to start the easing cycle that many people expect. However, gold is receiving the information very positively and does not react much to this view that is considered less moderate.
In opening remarks at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute, Fed Governor Christopher Wall said that the US Central Bank's restrictive monetary policy is cooling the economy and inflation, but still there is still much work to be done. He emphasized that all data must be considered before deciding whether to loosen monetary policy or not. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also made a similar point of view and emphasized the need to wait to make sure inflation returns to the 2% target mark before pivoting policy.
Today's trading trend, wait for a decrease to buyWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 9.2 USD to 2,425.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,430.3 USD/ounce, up 12.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the price of the yellow metal inched up slightly compared to yesterday morning, it has dropped sharply compared to the increase during the day. Previously, gold had conquered a new all-time high when inflation in the US showed signs of slowing down, increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon make its first interest rate cut. Spot gold has soared to 2,449.8 USD/ounce.
According to Capital.com financial market analyst Kyle Rodda, the main driving force for gold's strong surge at the beginning of the week was the weakening of the USD and expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy today. the more increased. Last week's data showed that inflation is showing signs of cooling down and traders now forecast about a 65% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis said that, in addition to "persistent" inflation, the US public debt burden is also a factor driving gold's recovery. Pavilonis expects gold to increase to nearly 2,500 USD/ounce in the short term.
Gold rebounds strongly, should we chase long gold?Today we went long gold near the 2412 position and successfully hit TP: 2423. It was still a good trading profit. At present, gold has rebounded strongly to above 2430. The bulls have regained control of the situation. How much more can gold rise? Do we still want to continue chasing gold?
There may be many people who have this question, and many people have even chased long gold. In fact, relatively speaking, I think gold bulls have reached a certain stage now, and the probability of another violent rise should be low; and gold has formed long upper shadow lines many times during the rebound, so there is still a certain degree of resistance above.and the energy of the bulls has stagnated near 2430, so the short-term resistance faced by gold in the 2430-2435 area is still valid, and even if gold breaks through this area, I believe that with the current strength of the bulls, it will be difficult to break through the 2440 position.
So in terms of trading, I do not recommend chasing gold above 2430. On the contrary, we can consider shorting gold. Once gold falls below the 2405-2400 area, the space below will open further. Therefore, in the next transaction, we will mainly focus on shorting gold at high levels, focusing on the 2430-2435 area at the top; focusing on the gains and losses at the 2400 position below.
Trading requires courage and even more decisiveness. Execution is the only criterion for profitability.I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
GOLD-Tuesday Analysis
There was no US economic data released on Monday and Tuesday, but the tension in the geopolitical situation had a great impact on the financial market. Iran confirmed that its president had been killed, which undoubtedly added many uncertainties to the unstable Middle East. Although the helicopter crash has not yet been resolved, if it is confirmed, the Middle East will continue to be on the brink of war. Geopolitics is also the biggest support for this round of gold price rise.
According to the trend of gold falling from highs, 2450 points may be the top, but it still needs to be confirmed. If it fluctuates at a high level on Tuesday and the daily closing is a red candle, then 2450 may be the top of this week. On Wednesday and Thursday, there is room for a big drop. Therefore, for the time being, Tuesday's market is regarded as a range fluctuation, and you can sell high and buy low within the support and resistance points. From a technical point of view, the unilateral moving average support of the daily cycle is 2405 and 2375, and the Bollinger middle rail support of the H4 cycle is 2405. In other words, as long as it falls below 2400 points in the near future, it can be basically determined that gold has peaked at 2450 this week, and the probability of a decline in the later period will increase.
The above strategies are for your reference, but the market changes quickly, and you need to change your strategies in real time according to the trend, so that your success rate will increase.
What if you don't know how to trade? Join me as I analyze and provide ideas every day
Break and retest strategyIf the price successfully retests the support or resistance level and bounces off it, this confirms that the level is valid and that it can be used as a trading signal.
.
.
However, it is important to note that not all breaks and retests are successful. Sometimes, the price may break through a resistance level and then immediately retrace back to the level without giving traders an opportunity to enter the market. This is known as a false break and can result in losses for traders who enter the market too early.
.
.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.
Market stabilizes ahead of today's CPI data 💥 GOLD information
World gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset.
The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.
💥GOLD PLAN 05/15
Support: 2350 - 2342 - 2330 - 2324 - 2316- 2306
Resistance: 2362 - 2372 - 2378 - 2390 - 2400 - 2408
Breakout: Sell 2336 - 2362
SELL price range 2390 - 2392 stop 2396
SELL price range 2376 - 2378 stop 2382
BUY price range 2346 - 2348 stop 2342
BUY price range 2324 - 2322 stop 2318
GOLD The scenario of creating a new peak is very closeRegarding developments and results last week: The international gold market received a lot of economic information from major economies such as the US, China, and Europe. In particular, the US releases producer price index data. (PPI) and consumer price index (CPI) April 2024. Looking at gold's volatility and fluctuation range this week, it is predicted that this precious metal will return to record highs sooner than expected.
Conclusion about gold and trend: I am optimistic about gold next week. The USD is losing a bit of value along with Treasury bond yields also falling. Additionally, technically based on tests last month and to date, there are signs of acceptance above the $2400 price point. This opens the door to a possible increase to $2,500.
Overall, gold confirmed a trend change above the $2400 level which buyers actively defended on the basis of a bullish wave materializing. It is likely that the market will try to change the trend. At this point, the realization phase will take shape. We await confirmation of a trend change for further strengthening.
After gold moved above the EMA21 level it also achieved the target increases noticed by readers in last week's weekly edition at $2,400 and $2,417.
Temporarily, gold is limited by resistance at $2,417 but bullish momentum remains strong with the RSI pointing up without reaching the overbought level.
Gold's move above $2,417 will continue to push it toward an all-time high in the $2,430 area. Meanwhile, even if gold corrects downward, as long as it remains operating within the trend price channel ©, the short-term outlook is still bullish and price activity above EMA21 gives it more grounds to rise. More prices in the near future.
In the coming week, the technical conditions of gold prices lean towards a bullish outlook and notable price levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,400 – 2,397USD
Resistance: 2,417 – 2,430USD
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world.
Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce.
And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways.
Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined.
According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Don’t chase long gold too muchGold rose strongly today, reaching its highest level near 2419. It has now fallen back and is trading near 2406. I have been emphasizing since yesterday to close all short positions in the 2380-2375 area and commit to long gold. After going long gold yesterday, we continued to go long gold near the 2382 position today and successfully hit TP: 2390. .Today continues to end in profit in trading.
At present, gold has risen strongly to near the 2419 position. The bullish sentiment in the market is high and the market following sentiment is prevalent. Therefore, I do not recommend shorting gold. After all, gold may continue to rise due to the market's pursuit; although the trend of gold is still very strong, but since today is Friday, I don’t recommend going long on gold directly at the moment, because gold immediately fell back after rising high many times, forming multiple upper shadow lines, and faced the resistance of the previous sub-high 2418-2420 area.
Therefore, it is not recommended to directly pursue long gold before gold falls back to prevent short-term gold decline caused by profit realization.So if your trading style is prudent, I suggest you wait and see first and don’t rush to participate in the transaction; if you have an aggressive trading style, for now, I don’t recommend chasing long gold directly.On the contrary, you can consider trying to short gold in the 2414-2416 area to gain short-term short profits first, and wait for gold to fall back before going long gold!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !