GOLD Analysis 7July2023looking at this analysis with the D1 time frame, the price is right at the strong resistance and the resistance is in direct contact with the trendline.
This trendline forms a downtrend channel.
I also see a hammer candle which we can interpret as one of the indicators of a rejection and the beginning of a possible reversal/correction.
looking at the last 5 candles (last 5 days) that tried to break the resistance and failed, there is a possibility that the price will go down first.
Goldideas
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLDHi everyone how are you doing with gold
I see that it aims to drop the levels
1927.53
1893.81
1843.56
as a re-test
This analysis is supported by the news of raising the debt ceiling and the news of today, Thursday, the first of June, which is
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Unemployment Claims
ISM Manufacturing PMI
And Friday's news
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Non-Farm Employment Change
Unemployment rate
GOLD Top-down analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GoldViewFX - MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
As you can all see our 1h chart ideas is playing out perfectly. We got the retracement into the identified range and then a nice push up covering the range of targets again 1994, 2004 and just fell short of 2013 due to MA200 acting as dynamic resistance. EMA5 has locked above 2004 leaving the gap open to 2013.
We will now wait patiently for the full range test back to 2013 - 2025. As long as EMA5 remains above the retracement range the upper targets remain strong. However, a EMA5 break below 1984 will open the swing range, in which case we will manage our risk accordingly when planning to buy dips.
We plan to continue with our plans to buy dips inline with our long term plans from strategic support levels.
BULLISH TARGETS
2013 - DONE
2025 -
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2025 WILL OPEN 2040, 2050
2040 -
2050 -
BEARISH TARGETS
1994 - DONE
1984 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 1984 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
1960
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
How should gold be traded tomorrow?
On Friday, gold rose directly by more than $70 during the US trading session, closing around $1990, from its position around $1920 earlier in the day. During the US trading period, global stock indices fell across the board, with European and American stock markets experiencing continued declines. As a result, a large amount of safe-haven funds entered the gold market, ultimately leading to gold being the only asset that rose significantly. This has become the first "black swan" event since 2023. Gold rose significantly in the first period due to a surge in safe-haven buying, starting from $1810 and closing at $1870.
The second period of the rise began this week from $1870 and rose by nearly $200, which exceeded expectations. Many people thought that it had reached its peak, but it continued to break new highs. All of this is due to the market's chain reaction caused by the European and American banking crisis.
Judging from the 4-hour chart, gold is not overbought, but the price is much higher than the moving average, indicating that it needs to be adjusted. Meanwhile, the 20-period SMA has gained upward momentum, breaking above the 100-period SMA, which also edged higher. Overall, it is recommended to be bullish on gold on Monday, but not to chase the rise. Theoretical bulls are near the 1960 support, which is expected to be difficult to reach. It is safer to short near 2000, and it may be seen that it will open flat or slightly higher on Monday. Take profit can be set around 1975.
It is not to say that if the price rises too much, it must be the highest point, and if it is bullish, it will blindly chase the rise. It's not that the deeper you fall, it must be the lowest position.There is no market that only goes up but not down, and there is no market that only goes down but not up. If you blindly grasp the top and bottom and trade without careful consideration, you will suffer heavy losses.
Trading requires flexibility to respond to changes in market direction. If the market direction changes, you need to adjust your thinking quickly. Because prices are determined by the market, not by our forecasts. What we need to do is do our trading well.
When the market reached 1930 last week, the position had passed the previous high. Many friends predicted that this was the top, so they started shorting gold. I also tried shorting around 1930, some took profits around 1918, and some stopped losses when the resistance of 1933 was broken. After the stop loss, I started to go long, and took a profit around 1948. When it rose to the previous high of 1958, I shorted it again. As a result, it directly pulled up and broke through. When the resistance level in 1960 was broken, I stopped the loss. After the stop loss, I chose to go long again, and took a profit around 1975, which shows that there is no problem with the transaction itself. What matters is how we deal with our mistakes.
Traders, if you like my sharing, please follow me, I will share more trading strategies and trading knowledge to better help you make profits in trading!
XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD:what will be the final direction?
Compared with his testimony in the Senate on Tuesday, Powell's speech in the House on Wednesday was milder, causing the US dollar to undergo a short-term correction and giving the gold price an opportunity to stabilize near 1800.
In his testimony on Tuesday, Powell's remark that "the Fed is prepared to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal rates may be higher than previously expected," stimulated expectations of rate hikes to reach new highs, with the expected terminal rate exceeding 5.7%. As a result, the US dollar index soared, and the gold price plummeted more than 30 dollars per ounce that day.
However, in last night's testimony in the House, Powell's speech was slightly milder. He emphasized that no decision has been made regarding the pace of rate hikes and reiterated that the Fed will be data-dependent. This cooled the prospect of rate hikes slightly, causing the US dollar index to pause its uptrend and gold prices to stop falling and rebound slightly, rising 0.35% intraday as of now.
However, it should be noted that although the market has cooled down on the prospect of Fed rate hikes in the past 24 hours, the cooling is not significant. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market currently expects a 50 basis point rate hike at the March meeting with a probability of 76.4%, slightly lower than 78.6% one day ago. At the same time, the market's expectation for the Fed's terminal rate remains above 5.7%, with almost no signs of cooling compared to one day ago.
In the case of high expectations for rate hikes, the short-term decline in the US dollar index may not last long, which means that although the gold price may rebound and correct slightly, it is unlikely to evolve into an upward trend. Technically, attention should be paid to the support role of the 105-105.30 area for the US dollar index. If this area holds firm and resumes an uptrend, it will bring the risk of gold price breaking below 1800.
In the short term, gold remains in a volatile range, with a resistance level of 1825-1830. If the price reaches this level, consider entering a short position with a small position. The downside target is 1810-1800. If the price breaks below 1800, the downside will be further opened up. Pay attention to the non-farm data to be released on Friday, which will provide some guidance for the future market.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrency, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I also update some daily operational layouts. Thank you for your attention and likes. Friends with questions can leave me a message in time, and I will give the most secure advice. Hope it can help you.
XAUUSD top-down analysis,UPDATEDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Can XAUUSD break through 1860?
Today's market saw a strong downtrend due to Powell's speech causing a strengthening of the US dollar and market bearish sentiment. The price has deviated from its technical trend, but I personally expect the market to eventually return to a technical trend. Our long positions entered at 1830 are still being held, and for friends with larger capital, additional long positions can be added near 1820. I am optimistic that a good rebound trend will emerge after the negative news is digested by the market.
As emphasized at the beginning of this week, there will be a lot of data and news to focus on. I will continue to update the strategy and please stay tuned.
XAUUSD:Short first then long on opening
After every market wave, successful traders reap joy, profits, and experience, while unsuccessful traders face sadness, losses, and lessons. Same market, same time, different results, which one do you belong to? If the direction is right, the road is not daunting. Time witnesses strength, and strength wins the future. Let trust become profit, and profit dispel doubt. The market changes rapidly, same candlestick, different perspectives, different results. Facing the ups and downs of candlesticks, are you confused, afraid of rising, and falling? Plan your trades, trade your plans. The road to success is simple. With a clear understanding, you can be at ease. The market offers many opportunities, it depends on whether you can seize them. If you are always hesitant and confused when facing opportunities, you might as well follow my rhythm and see if it can enlighten you.
XAUUSD formed a double bottom support on the hourly chart, and the moving averages formed a bullish cross, indicating a clear bullish signal. The opening is expected to test the 1860 resistance level, then break through the previous high after a dip. The main idea for next week is to follow the trend and buy on dips.
Personal trading plan: Short at 1860, with the first target at 1850, the second target at 1840, and stop loss at 1870. Buy again at 1840, with the first target at 1855, the second target at 1870, and stop loss at 1830.
Next week, it is important to pay attention to the ADP and NFP data, as this data will greatly impact the XAUUSD trend. Please focus on it, and I will also help analyze the data situation. If there are any changes in the market, I will update the strategy in time. If you have any questions, please leave me a message, and I will give you the safest strategy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD