Gold Trends and Signals UpdateOn the daily chart, the daily chart broke the 4-day winning streak and fell slightly on Friday. The decline at the end of the trading day caused a continuous decline. The price effectively crossed the short-term moving average and led the short-term moving average to turn downward at 2710 and 2707. Other periodic indicators also formed a short position arrangement. The Bollinger Bands as a whole shrank sharply. In addition, the MACD indicator once again crossed downward. Therefore, the 4-hour level should still be prepared for an intensified decline!
Trump took office today, and the market may become complicated. Beware of abnormal market fluctuations. From a technical perspective, Huang Jin ended the strong bullish pattern last week. After a weak closing, a break of 2700 was formed, and there was a further wide adjustment in prices. Trading ideas: short-term layout of selling high and buying low.
Gold fell directly after the opening of the Asian session. Gold bulls had no power to fight back. For key points, even if gold wants to go out of the downward wave, it is good for our short-term layout! In addition, today is the date when Trump takes office. The gold market will inevitably suffer from the rise of risk aversion caused by irresistible factors! That is, the market is still relatively bullish in many aspects!
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the gold bull market has temporarily come to an end. If the moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward space of gold will increase, and the 1-hour gold is now also suppressed by the downward trend; the downward resistance moves down to around 2708, and the Asian session rebounds around 2708 and continues to sell at highs. The rebound near 2705 can be empty first.
First support: 2681, second support: 2670, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2695, second resistance: 2708, third resistance: 2725
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2680-2683,
SELL: 2705-2708,
Goldintraday
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisHello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support
In My Analysis Of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour Timeframe. Here's the Details:
Technical Analysis
1. Trend and Channel:
Gold is in a bullish trend, trading within an upward price channel
Price recently tested the upper resistance of the channel (Point 3) and is now consolidating near a key resistance zone.
2. Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2725–2745, marked as potential profit-taking zones (TP).
Support Levels:
Strong support near 2690–2700 aligns with the lower channel boundary and past consolidation zones.
Major support around 2630–2650 in case of a deeper retracement.
3. Chart Pattern:
A possible pullback to the support zone (2700) may occur before resuming the bullish trend toward the next targets (2725 and 2745).
Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Sentiment:
Gold's bullish momentum reflects a possible safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty or declining USD strength.
Investors might also be positioning ahead of key economic data (e.g., inflation, central bank policies).
2. Key Drivers:
If U.S. interest rates remain unchanged or expectations of cuts in increase, it could support further gains in Gold.
Conversely, stronger U.S. economic data or hawkish central bank commentary might lead to a short-term correction.
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 2745 could open the door to further gains toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at 2700 may trigger a correction toward 2650–2630.
Gold Suggests a bullish bias, with a potential pullback to support before resuming the upward trend.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
1.17 Gold fluctuates steadily upwardGold opened yesterday and fluctuated upward from 2694 to 2702. After that, the price fluctuated and fell to the intraday low of 2690 and then began to rebound and rise to 2711. Our 2694-95 long order was also a perfect profit stop. The US market price fell from 2711 to 2700 and then rose again to the intraday high of 2724.6 and fell back to 2714.
From yesterday's trend: 2698-2700 is the current support point, followed by 2711-12. The upper resistance is 2720-26.
Market analysis:
① The daily line closed with a positive column yesterday, combined with the indicator macd golden cross and the upward repair of sto, which means that the daily line will continue to rise. Then the long position is the current moving average MA5 near 2693. The current daily line supports the moving average MA10 and MA60 and the middle track 2677-2661-2651.
②4-hour current MACD golden cross high shrinkage, dynamic indicator STO double line adhesion downward, indicating high price fluctuations. The 4-hour is currently supported by the MA10 and parabolic turning point adhesion 2703-07 line, followed by the middle track 2690. The 4-hour is currently maintaining a range of 2726-2706.
③Hourly current Bollinger band three tracks shrinkage represents range compression. And range compression means that there will not be a big rise or fall at present. The hourly indicator MACD high dead cross volume, dynamic indicator STO hook down hovering near overbought.
In summary:
The daily line is still mainly buying on dips, and the long position is near 2693 and 2698; but the 4-hour is currently maintaining a high range of fluctuations, and the hourly line is currently shrinking, indicating fluctuations. Therefore, the price during the white session is maintained in the range of 2726-2697.
Strategy:
Short around 2720-22, defend 2726.5, target 2712-2708-2700 (aggressive short around 2718)
Long around 2698-2700, defend 2690, buy more at 2694-95, target 2718-2726, break through 2732-2742-48
GOLD - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish price action after price rejected from trendline + LZ. As well we have a hidden divergence for a buy.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+2) we will see results of yearly and monthly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
WHERE is down schedule level zone of goldXAUUSD Gold is hovering near a critical resistance level zone today. Traders should approach with caution and trade at their own risk, as the market shows potential for both upward and downward movements. While the overall trend may suggest bullish momentum, a reversal cannot be ruled out, making it essential to monitor price action closely before making decisions.
xauusd buy cpiGold buyers turn cautious ahead of US CPI inflation test
Gold price returns to the red early Wednesday as buyers switch to the sidelines, awaiting the US Consumer Price Index data release for further insights on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
Nothing changes for Gold price from a short-term technical perspective, as buyers have entered a bullish consolidation phase following last week’s symmetrical triangle breakout.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hold well above the midline, currently near 56, suggesting that Gold price remains a ‘buy-the-dips’ trade in the coming days.
Gold price needs to find a sustained break above the $2,675 barrier on the way to the $2,700 barrier to regain upside traction.
Daily candlestick closing above that level is critical to extending the uptrend toward the December 12 high of $2,726.
Alternatively, strong support is located at the January 13 low of $2,656, below which sellers must crack the $2,640 demand area.
That zone is the confluence of the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), 50-day SMA, 100-SMA and the triangle convergence, making it a powerful support.
If the downside momentum accelerates, the January 6 low of $2,615 could come to buyers’ rescue.
xausd buy 2675
suppot 2700
Gold may continue to fallGold may continue to fall
The gold price is fluctuating in a wide range in the near term, forming a clear descending wedge (blue downtrend line) and an ascending channel (red trend line). The current gold price is fluctuating around the 2668 level, indicating some short-term corrective pressure.
Currently, we can clearly see gold's correction trajectory from the previous high to the low. The price is currently oscillating between the 0.618 ($2670) and 0.5 ($2654) levels, indicating that this area is a key point of contention for both bulls and bears. If price continues to fail to overcome the 0.618 level, it could trigger a larger decline, with 0.382 ($2,637) or even 0.236 ($2,617) support being the target.
The hourly ascending channel shows that gold as a whole still maintains a moderate upward trend, but the price has been showing significant signs of correction recently, having encountered resistance at the upper boundary of the upper channel. Price has failed to test this resistance area several times and then went down, indicating that this level is an important area of resistance. The key support level below could be the lower boundary of the red channel and the price corresponding to the Fibonacci level of 0.236.
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1.15 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold's 1-hour moving average has also begun to turn downward. If the gold's 1-hour moving average eventually forms a dead cross downward, then the space for gold's short position to fall will be further opened. Gold's US PPI data is bullish, but it is still under pressure and will fall directly to 2675. Gold's US rebound to 2675 will continue to be short.
Gold is now under pressure at a high level, and the bulls still have no further momentum to rise. So the rebound will continue to be short, and gold shorts may exert force at any time.
Short-term operation ideas:
Gold 2672 short, stop loss 2682, target 2655-2650;
Gold Consolidates Above Strong Base: Potential Rally AheadGold is currently retesting the breakout of a symmetrical pattern, with the lower trendline providing solid and reliable support.
Once the price breaks above the upper marked zone, we could see a potential surge in gold prices.
The green support zone is acting as a strong foundation for this upward momentum.
DYOR, NFA
1.14 Gold price oversold correctionIn today's technical trend chart:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish signal; the MACD indicator double lines stick together and are temporarily in a passive state; in terms of form, it is temporarily running in the 4-hour range; the 4-hour range is temporarily 2465-2695; in the range, the method of buying low and selling high can be adopted as the main method;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator changes from golden cross to stick together, temporarily inactive, and temporarily remains in the BOLL range in terms of form. Yesterday's big negative line may continue to adjust; the position of the middle axis is also the position of the strong and weak dividing point, which is near 2645;
To sum up: today's short-term can be stuck in the resonance support near 2645, and the short-term is long; the upper pressure position is near 2680, and the short-term is stuck empty, and a small range of shocks is made to correct the trend;
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support.
Technical analysis:
1. Key resistance and support levels
Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend.
Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term.
2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators
In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead.
However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support.
3. Possible technical trends in the future
If the gold price can hold the support area of $2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700.
However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure.
Summary
The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
GOLD XAUUSD intraday Analysis & Bulish OutlookXAUUSD Intraday Outlook: The precious metal continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, supported by favorable market sentiment and technical signals. A sustained break above key resistance levels could confirm further upside, targeting higher zones. Traders may look for long opportunities, capitalizing on the bullish outlook while managing risks around potential pullbacks.
Gold Breaks Out: Bullish Momentum Building Above Key PatternGold is breaking out aggressively above the symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation. If the price retests the breakout level and holds, we could see a significant move higher.
The 100 EMA is also providing strong dynamic support, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. A sustained breakout above this range could target new highs in the coming sessions.
1.9 Risk aversion rises, gold is short-term bullishIn the early Asian session on Thursday (January 9), spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level and is currently trading at $2,662.59 per ounce. Gold prices hit a nearly four-week high of $2,669.83 per ounce on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected December private employment report relieved some market participants, who believed that the Federal Reserve might not be so cautious about easing policy this year. Reports on Trump's tariffs also provided safe-haven support for gold prices, but U.S. Treasury yields also rose as a result, and the dollar continued to rise, which made gold bulls cautious. After hitting 2,669, gold prices fell back to around the 2,650 mark and closed at $2,661.46 per ounce.
The gold market opened at 2648.4 yesterday morning and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2644.9 and then fluctuated and rose. The daily line reached a high of 2670 during the US trading session and then the market was consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2661.8. The daily line closed with a medium-sized positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. If the market falls back to 2652 today, stop loss at 2647, and the target is 2665 and 2670. If it breaks, it will be 2674 and 2680.
1.8 Gold welcomes ADP long-term bullish trendGold market analysis
Gold has been volatile these days, washing back and forth without any rules. Judging from yesterday's performance, it is still impossible to determine whether the bulls are coming if the 2665 position is not broken. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, and the center of the oscillation moved up. Today's idea is to treat it as more oscillation. The weekly line fluctuated for a week last week. This week's estimate will still fluctuate under the influence of data. Today, the ADP estimate is difficult to change the oscillation. We expect the subsequent non-agricultural employment data to lead it to run out of oscillation. Today, we will focus on the oscillation range of 2632-2665. In this range, we will run high and buy low. The current K line is already above the moving average, and gold is more oscillating.
The analysis chart above for gold is the rhythm we estimated. The first support of the white plate is near 2640. Last night, we also accurately captured profits at 2642. This position is the support of 4H. There is still more room for the white plate to step back to this position. The stronger one is near 2632. If this position is broken, it may move down again.
Support 2632 and 2640, pressure 2665, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 2640
Gold is expected to rise to the 2670-2680 after consolidatiGold has been consolidating intraday, fluctuating primarily within the 2645-2655 range. From the structural perspective, it is evident that although gold has repeatedly faced resistance near 2655 in the short term, there is no significant downside retracement, resembling the previous staircase-like upward movement. This suggests that gold could utilize the consolidation phase to build upward momentum, paving the way for a breakout rally toward the 2670-2680 zone.
Therefore, in the short term, I remain bullish on gold. Key support levels to watch are concentrated in the 2645-2635 range.Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
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Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the XAU/EUR (Gold/Euro) pair is:Bullish
Reasons:
Increasing demand for gold: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, and investors may seek to buy gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, or market volatility.
Weakening euro: The euro has been weakening against other major currencies, which could make gold more attractive to European investors and drive up prices.
Low interest rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept interest rates at a low level of 0.0%, which could lead to a decrease in the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive up prices.
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Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for gold and drive down prices.
Stronger euro: A stronger euro could make gold less attractive to European investors and drive down prices.
Interest rate hikes: Interest rate hikes by the ECB could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive down prices.
Bullish Factors:
Increasing demand for gold, driven by its use as a safe-haven asset, inflation hedge, and store of value.
Low interest rates and negative real interest rates, which can increase demand for gold as a store of value.
A strong euro, which can make gold more attractive to European investors.
Potential for a decline in the euro, which could increase demand for gold as a hedge against currency risk.
Growing investment demand for gold, driven by its potential as a diversifier and a store of value.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
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XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: