$BTC.D Near 60% - Cue Altseason?Bitcoin Dominance continues to rip nearing its target of 60%
You can see the 2 major trendlines about to converge, similar to what we saw in March 2020 which was followed by more rate cuts.
We could expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to break trend, and fall under the 50WMA, cueing a short-term Alt season, and then Bitcoin stealing the show again with more institutional buying on the horizon.
This could bring one last shakeout to the Altcoin market, before BTC.D completely falls off a cliff and the entire market goes parabolic.
I-BTC
#bitcoin 's former supports turning into resistancesAfter #tether FUD, #btc CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has made a deep wick then recovered after the news have been denied. Now, red box is the resistance zone in LTF. #bitcoin price also made a bearish double top and it has worked today. If, #btcusd fails reclaiming the red box resistance zone, new minor local lows are expected.
Project Monday Strategy: Long Signal on BitcoinThis trading idea crated with Project Monday Strategy v2.0 (coming soon).
Entry Price: 67735.97 USDT
Preliminary Stop-Loss: 65282.32 USDT
Preliminary Take-Profit: 72553.24 USDT
This strategy preset generates orders with following results during 6 years:
Net Profit in %: 1954,32%;
Percent Profitable: 47%;
Profit Factor: 2,16;
Max Drawdown: 26,31%.
Bitcoin Whale Accumulation Hits All-Time High as Price ReboundsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has recently bounced back to the $68,000 mark following an unprecedented wave of whale accumulation. With whale wallets—holding over 100 BTC—hitting all-time highs and major institutional players like BlackRock increasing their Bitcoin holdings, market sentiment around BTC is cautiously bullish. Yet, the recent price rally faces key technical tests, including a potential Golden Cross formation, raising questions about Bitcoin’s next move and the likelihood of reaching new all-time highs by the upcoming U.S. elections in November. This article explores the fundamental and technical factors influencing Bitcoin’s recent price movements and its near-term outlook.
Whale Accumulation and Institutional Influence
Whale Wallet Surge and Market Sentiment
According to recent data from analytics platform CryptoQuant, the number of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) whale wallets holding over 100 BTC has grown by 297 over the past two weeks, bringing the total to a record-breaking 670,000 BTC. This trend indicates rising confidence among large holders, often viewed as market “smart money,” signaling they see value in BTC at its current price levels. Historical data from CryptoQuant suggest that when whale holdings increase, BTC price typically moves sideways or experiences moderate dips, reflecting a consolidation phase that often precedes a market surge.
BlackRock’s ETF and Institutional Accumulation
A notable catalyst in Bitcoin’s current rally is the inflow from institutional investors. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has recently accumulated nearly 30,000 BTC over nine trading sessions, now holding more than 399,000 BTC, which accounts for approximately 2% of Bitcoin’s total supply. This accumulation by BlackRock is viewed as a bullish signal, as it brings increased stability to the asset class. The ETF inflows provide liquidity, while also limiting circulating supply, potentially creating upward pressure on price.
Technical Analysis
After facing rejection at the $69,000 level, Bitcoin’s price has found robust support around $65,500. This rebound has seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC gradually climb back, hovering near $68,000 as of today. Despite this recovery, Bitcoin needs to break past the psychological $69,000 resistance to maintain its uptrend and push toward new highs.
Golden Cross Formation: Bullish Signal or Caution Ahead?
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing signs of forming a “Golden Cross”—a bullish technical indicator where the 50-day moving average (MA) surpasses the 200-day MA. This pattern, often seen as a signal of a bullish trend continuation, indicates that CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be preparing for a sustained rally. However, while a Golden Cross is traditionally optimistic, CryptoQuant analysts caution investors about its reliability, especially during periods of heightened market uncertainty.
RSI and Momentum Analysis
With an RSI currently at 61, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing moderate momentum, suggesting there is still room for potential growth. Generally, an RSI reading above 50 indicates an uptrend, but with BTC’s RSI not yet overbought, there’s potential for further price appreciation before encountering major resistance.
Will BTC Hit New Highs by the U.S. Elections?
Many analysts point to the U.S. presidential election season as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Some believe that reaching a new all-time high within ±21 days of the November 28 election date would indicate strong sentiment and sustained momentum in the current bull cycle. However, if Bitcoin fails to break past its previous highs, it may signal a slowing in bullish momentum, possibly prompting a period of correction.
Conclusion
The recent increase in whale wallets and institutional accumulation signals robust confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value, even as it faces near-term resistance. With the potential formation of a Golden Cross, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be on the brink of a new rally, though caution remains as market conditions are complex and uncertain. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) breaks past $69,000, it could pave the way for a test of $70,000 and higher. As we approach the U.S. election season, CRYPTOCAP:BTC investors and traders will be watching closely to determine whether this wave of optimism can carry Bitcoin to new highs.
For investors, the rise in whale accumulation and institutional holdings points to bullish sentiment. However, remaining cautious of technical signals such as the Golden Cross and key resistance levels will be critical in navigating Bitcoin’s volatile path ahead.
Bitcoin - DOUBLE TOP Weekly TimeframeA Double top in the weekly timeframe is never a good sigh - however, all is not yet lost.
One final pattern remains to be seen - and that is the Bump and Run method. Perhaps we can bump that diagonal support around 65k, retest the bulls' determination - and then make the final impulse wave up.
There is a fakeout observed on Dogecoin as well, and alts that have increased alongside BTC over the past week will likely fall pretty hard IF Bitcoin cannot keep closing ABOVE 65K.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin: Next Try? Bitcoin continued to gain yesterday. In our alternative scenario, we expect a direct break above the resistance at $73,808. However, in our primary outlook, we anticipate a further downward move. Ideally, the orange wave iv should reach its low near the 50% retracement level, around $47,000.
BTC UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Before anything, know that there are always many market scenarios and we always publish the most probable scenario.
With many reviews, this Bitcoin scenario seems to be more correct.
There has been no change in the movement process and only the amount of price correction and then its retracement has changed.
Our latest view on Bitcoin is as follows.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you BTCUSDT analytics. In this part, we can see how the price entered the support zone (65600 - 66150 points) and at once turned around and dropped to support 2, breaking support 1. Then, the price some time traded near this level and then started to grow. When BTC rose to 63950 points, it turned around and dropped until the trend line, breaking support 2, after which it started to grow. In a short time, the price broke 2nd support level and then continued to move up to 1st support level. When BTC reached this level, it some time traded near and then broke it, after which continued to grow, exiting from the support zone as well. After the price rose until to 69250 points, it turned around and quickly fell to the trend line, but a not long time ago price continued to grow. Therefore I expect that BTCUSDT will decline to the trend line again and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my goal at 69500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
UPSIDE TARGETS for NVIDIA #NVDA ...As you can see Nvidia has already triggered a Hunt Volatility Funnel pattern #HVF
Target 1 has already been made ($134.93)
Target 2 is in progress coming in at $157.93
Target 3 is at $188.98
With the US election uncertainty almost out of the way.
WallSt can then get behind a Santa rally.
Don't be surprised if you see Nvidia get close to (buy probably not reach) $200
$188.98 gives Nvidia a $4.6T marketcap
@TheCryptoSniper
JUP SWING LONG IDEA - JUPITER COIN SWING LONG - SOLANA CHAINFundamental Analysis: JUP is the top DeFi project on the Solana chain. It’s a strong project and one of my favorite DeFi projects in all of crypto. I have confidence in their team and vision. Recently, we’ve seen strong momentum in JUP alongside SOL's bullish movement.
Technical Analysis: The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. The weekly demand zone supported the price after testing the monthly zone, and it has broken the diagonal bearish trendline that was responsible for the mid-term bearish trend.
We recently hit and got rejected at the diagonal trendline responsible for the long-term bearish momentum. I believe we’ll see a small retracement from here before taking off, potentially aiming for new all-time highs.
BTCUSDT Strong support at $65,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT on the daily timeframe is forming a descending broadening wedge, with the price currently testing the upper resistance trendline. This pattern often suggests a potential bullish breakout if the price successfully surpasses the resistance. The volume profile shows significant trading activity between $65,000 and $67,000, indicating this range as a key support zone. Additionally, lower trading volume above the current price may suggest lighter resistance if the price moves higher.
The $65,000 level is acting as strong support, while $69,000 serves as potential resistance. A breakout above the wedge could signal the start of a bullish rally.
Regards
hexa
the silent sweepgood eve'
i write to you today to warn of an upcoming descent in the market.
i'm not referring to anything extraordinary, just a minor stop-loss raid, below 50k.
over the last 9 months, there has been a significant influx of buyers in the range between 50k and 70k. everyone is bullish, and no one will anticipate this drop—except, of course, those who do.
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the entire structure can be labeled quite simply:
the area boxed in red was a leading diagonal (5 waves down)
the area boxed in green was a running flat (3 waves up)
the area boxed in blue is on the verge of becoming a regular impulse (5 waves down)
put it all together, and you have what we call a simple zig-zag .
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once this straightforward correction concludes,
the real bull market can begin.
ask me about my upside target.
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🌙
MSTU Oct 2024 -- an 8X+ BTC surrogate MSTU provides 2X on MSTR which invented the BTC-on-balance-sheet strategy.
MSTR has been providing approx > 4X on Bitcoin movements (up and down).
This means MSTU is providing > 8% X on BTC by % movements.
Today, 10/24/24, when BTC went up 1.93% MSTU went up approx 21%
Long Call options on MSTU further amplify this multiplier effect.
Not financial advice, Do your own research, Get in and out at the right times,
Your money; your decisions.
Support and Resistance Zone: 68393.48-69031.99
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can find support near 68393.48-69031.99 and rise above 71280.01.
If not, and it falls, you should check whether it finds support near 65920.71-67414.39.
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You should check if the StochRSI indicator is rising in the oversold zone and if the StochRSI EMA falls below 50 and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
This is because you should check at what point support and resistance are received when the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA changes.
That is, if it shows support around 68393.48-69031.99, it is because it is a time when additional purchases can be made.
If it shows resistance around 68393.48-69031.99, there is a possibility of another decline.
This is because if you refer to the previous movement of the StochRSI indicator, it can lead to a movement similar to a double decline.
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Since it touched the BW (100) section (68393.48-69031.99), it is better to approach it from the perspective that it will basically fall.
However, if it shows a price maintenance in this BW (100) section and the StochRSI indicator shows an upward movement in the oversold section, the possibility of additional increase increases.
Therefore, you should check whether additional purchases can be made by checking whether there is support near 69031.99.
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Volatility may occur depending on the location of the StochRSI indicator.
- When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought section
- When the StochRSI indicator is near the 50 point
- When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold section
Volatility may occur in the three areas above.
Due to this volatility, you can know how the movement will proceed in the future by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
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I think the coin market is likely to continue its upward trend unless USDT gaps down.
The gap down of USDC is likely to eventually cause the coin market to fall in the short term.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade from a short-term perspective until USDC stops its downward trend.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Eth Bounce On BtcEth approaches major support which should lead back up to 0.05 btc. Which will likely lead to another attempt at major resistance at 0.1 btc. If 0.1 btc breaks then eventually 0.79 btc will be the next major major resistance. In 2021 Eth cleared 0.03 without checking back into it testing it's support. This is the retest.
BTCUSD: This is just a huge Bull Flag on the way to 200kBitcoin just turned borderline bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 57.457, MACD = 2355.100, ADX = 20.299), which is very positive long term as the buyers are making their presence felt for the first time since March. Supported by the 1W MA50, it is a huge development that the 1W MACD has formed a Bullish Cross. The same set of formations occurred in April 2020. We believe the two patterns to be similar and this makes the 7 month Megaphone just a mid Cycle Bull Flag. The 2020 pattern peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If that is replicated, then Bitcoin can break 200k by the end of 2025 (TP = 215,000).
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$BTCUSDT going downBINANCE:BTCUSDT
After the correction, the price remained under the resistance level and is now testing it.
Probably the decline is not over yet, but for further organic growth, it is necessary to correct even lower to form a reversal pattern.
Also, don't forget that there are a lot of stops placed at the top, which can be broken.
But for now I am sticking to the bearish scenario.