EURUSD Expected to go sideways todayThe euro's dance with the US dollar last Thursday painted a curious picture - a spirited attempt to soar, only to stumble in the face of market fatigue, as if gravity suddenly remembered its role in the financial theater.
This fatigue is not a solo act; it has accomplices. The Euro's recent appreciation has exceeded its limits, like a rubber band being stretched too far. And the timing? Well, this is not only a festive season but also a season of financial scarcity. Liquidity tends to play hide and seek during this time of year, leaving the market feeling a bit dry.
The market's recent trajectory has been like a rocket's flight - a surge that now appears to be paused in mid-air. This vacation isn't just about relaxing; It was a sigh of relief that echoed throughout the boardroom and trading floor.
Oh, the holiday season! Nestled amidst the echoes of Christmas and the countdown to the New Year, this is the time when market dynamics take on a different tune. Famous traders, like children eagerly waiting for the last fireworks to go off before the show's finale, choose to sit this one out. There was a unanimous decision to stay trading for a while, thanks to the ongoing holiday mood.
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GBPUSD Trending strategies todayThe GBP/USD pair posted modest losses in early Asian trading on Tuesday. The modest recovery in the US Dollar (USD) brings some support to the major pair. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading near 1.2725, down 0.04% on the day.
After the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) final meeting of the year in December, Fed officials kept interest rates steady for the third straight month and signaled a series of rate cuts in 2024. when inflation falls faster than estimated. Traders are betting on sharp interest rate cuts, starting in March. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 88% decline in March.
Data released on Friday showed the US Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 46.9 in December from 55.8 in November, weaker than estimates of 51.0. Market participants will get more cues from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. This number is predicted to increase by 163K in December compared to 199K previously.
Today's EURUSD strategy will decrease again, what do you think On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started fresh gains above the 1.0930 zone. The Euro broke above the 1.0985 resistance area against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1020 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1040 resistance level. A high was formed near 1.1044 and the pair is currently consolidating gains.
If there is a downside correction, the pair could test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to 1.1044 high at 1.1020. There is also a key uptrend line forming with support near 1.1020 and the 50 hourly simple moving average.
XAUUSD is likely to fall when it encounters resistanceThere were moderate movements during yesterday's Asian session and gold fluctuated slightly up from $2067. During the US trading session, gold quickly increased in price along with the depreciation of the USD and surpassed the resistance zone, once reaching 2084 USD. Finally, gold closed the daily chart on a positive note to post its fifth consecutive gain, showing a clear bullish trend. This is how trends work. Once it is formed, it will not change anytime soon and you will be taking a big risk if you act against the trend. However, it will depend on your trading cycle. For day trading, both bears and bulls have opportunities, and price and timing will be important.
Currently, gold has hit previous resistance at $2070-$2075, which should become significant support for today's trade. If gold fails to fall below that range, it will reach new highs or even reach $2,100. In the 1H chart, a golden cross is expanding and it is away from the overbought zone, indicating more upside space. However, the MACD shows major pullback risks in the 4H and daily charts, and bearish divergence appears to be increasing. Therefore, investors who maintain an optimistic view in the medium term should not follow the current uptrend. Today, the trading range will be from $2070 to $2047, with aggressive investors advised to buy low and sell high.
GBPUSD is trending upSupported by positive market sentiment, GBPUSD rose above 1.2800 on Thursday and settled at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2740 (from July 14 high of 1.3142). to an October 4 low of 1.2037). The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is placed at 1.2670, projecting continued upside support for the British pound.
The relative strength index (RSI) has risen above 60. The sustained work on these technologies will trigger strengthening, the target gem completing the "upward impulse waves" at 1.3000.
On the downside, activity below minor support at 1.2698 could cause trading sentiment to return to neutral. However, if free support at 1.2499 is maintained to prevent a downturn, further recovery phases remain beneficial.
From a broader perspective, the action starting from the midpoint at 1.3141 is seen as a corrective pattern from the upside at 1.0351. Move up from 1.2036 is considered the second in progress (of this pattern). The upside is expected to be limited at 1.3141 to form the third component. At the same time, support functioning beyond 1.2499 would indicate the start of the third part of the uptrend. In terms of trading, buying at low prices is the recommended strategy.
EURUSD is likely to increase when it bottoms againEUR/USD just hit a high, breaking through the 1.1020 and 1.1101 hurdles to reach 1.1121—a five-month high and up 0.72%. But it's the holiday season and the low trading climate can make things unpredictable. It's likely we will see a temporary spike in rates and then a drop below 1.10 as things return to normal. If you're thinking of selling, keep a close eye on any signs of change. Our next challenge? Resistance level 1.125—notice how the market behaves around that level. Once things stabilize and normal trading begins, we will get a clearer picture. We may be correcting back to the broken resistance level and we may have an opportunity to buy EURUSD at a discount targeting the resistance zone.
Gold is likely to fall when it encounters resistanceThere were moderate movements during yesterday's Asian session and gold fluctuated slightly up from $2067. During the US trading session, gold quickly increased in price along with the depreciation of the USD and surpassed the resistance zone, once reaching 2084 USD. Finally, gold closed the daily chart on a positive note to post its fifth consecutive gain, showing a clear bullish trend. This is how trends work. Once it is formed, it will not change anytime soon and you will be taking a big risk if you act against the trend. However, it will depend on your trading cycle. For day trading, both bears and bulls have opportunities, and price and timing will be important.
Currently, gold has hit previous resistance at $2070-$2075, which should become significant support for today's trade. If gold fails to fall below that range, it will reach new highs or even reach $2,100. In the 1H chart, a golden cross is expanding and it is away from the overbought zone, indicating more upside space. However, the MACD shows major pullback risks in the 4H and daily charts, and bearish divergence appears to be increasing. Therefore, investors who maintain an optimistic view in the medium term should not follow the current uptrend. Today, the trading range will be from $2070 to $2047, with aggressive investors advised to buy low and sell high.
HelenP. I Euro can decline to support zone and then bounce upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few days ago price rebounded from the trend line and started to rise to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, but when it reached this level it at once rebounded below the trend line, breaking this line. After this, the Euro in a short time backed up and even soon broke support 2, after which it made a retest. Then the price tried to rise but failed and fell to support 2, and then it rebounded from this level and made a strong upward impulse to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. After this movement, the Euro rebounded from support 1 and declined firstly to the trend line and a few moments later it fell lower this line, breaking it. But soon, the EUR rolled up and made impulse up to the support zone, thereby breaking support 1 too. As well recently, the price made a correction to the support zone. Now price continues to trades near the support area and for my mind Euro can decline lower than the trend line to the support zone and after this price can rebound up to the 1.1150 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBPUSD Technical analysis todayThe UK's economic recovery appears to be slower than that of most G7 partners, with only Germany experiencing a more sluggish recovery. A surprise drop in inflation coupled with signs of an economic slowdown could force the Bank of England to reassess its monetary policy stance in the coming months to support growth.
AUDUSD continues its uptrend intradayAUDUSD surpassed its recent high of 0.6800 last Friday, reaching levels not seen in nearly five months. The initial rise in the Australian dollar was attributed to increased market risk appetite and a decline in the US dollar. Additionally, hawkish sentiment around the RBA supported the Australian dollar.
AUDUSD continues its uptrend intraday. Upward movement underway, starting at 0.6269, likely targeting a previous stop loss of 0.6846 in the near term, followed by the end of the "upward impulse wave" at 0, 6875. The next target, following the "double top" formed in June and July, would be a test of 0.7156.
On the other hand, a correction below the minor support at 0.6723 would initially result in a more prolonged consolidation of upward momentum. However, as long as support at 0.6541 holds, the outlook remains bullish. In terms of trading strategy, one should focus on buying at low prices.
Today's GOLD strategy will decrease to the 2054 area and then reOctober brought a significant turning point for gold as rising geopolitical uncertainty coupled with the prospect of changes to US monetary policy caused spot prices in USD/oz to increase by 7.32% - biggest monthly gain since March 2023. Gold ended the month up 8.76% year to date, while also breaching the psychological US$2000/oz threshold on October 27 for the first time since March Year. October also marked the third consecutive month of losses across global and US stocks - the first since 2020 - with the SP 500® Index and MSCI ACWI Index falling 2.1% and 3%, respectively. 0% in October, despite the US posting a gross domestic product of 4.9%. product growth (GDP) in Q3 2023.
Gold's rally was fueled by increased geopolitical volatility following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, with Israel responding by declaring war on Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Market concerns about the potential escalation of this conflict and regional spillovers across the Middle East have boosted risk sentiment and demand for defensive assets such as gold. As geopolitical uncertainty remains high in the Middle East and Ukraine, gold may continue to receive support from portfolio diversification and safe-haven purchases.
The consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) was nearing the end of its rate hike cycle solidified in October. After pausing interest rates since the September 20 FOMC meeting, the decision to leave rates unchanged on November 1 for the second straight meeting confirmed market expectations that had boosted gold throughout October. Looking ahead, markets continue to price in a mid-term Fed rate cut 2024, which should support gold prices later in the year.
Analyzing USDJPY price today, please follow my articleUSDJPY surged after falling below the 200-day SMA but encountered strong resistance at the 200-day EMA and recovered some of last week's decline. The Relative Strength Index has recovered from the 30 level, but it is trending sideways and the MACD is rising after falling below the trigger line.
If the upward pressure continues, the price could revisit the previous starting point at 146.60. A break above this area is the starting point for USDJPY's second sell-off and a tightening of the 100-day SMA.
If the bears reappear and the bears attempt to pull back the price, the initial downtrend could stall at the short-term support zone at 141.86 and then at the short-term bottom at 140.90 .
Overall, USDJPY remains in negative medium-term mode after the sharp pullback from 151.91, but it seems to have received enough support. However, with the MACD strengthening in the negative zone, a bullish breakout is more likely. Recommended to buy at a discount.
GBPUSD strategy today will drop sharplyThe dollar fell sharply on Thursday and is on track for an annual decline after two years of strong gains as expectations of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next year are holding back markets.
As the year comes to a close, thin liquidity and limited volatility are predicted until the new year.
The dollar index, a measure of the US currency against six rivals, fell to a new five-month low of 100.81. The index fell 0.5% on Wednesday and is on track to fall 2.6% this year, shedding two straight years of strong gains.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, investors remain focused on the timing of a Fed rate cut, with the market pricing in an 89% chance of a cut by March 2024. Futures imply up to 158 basis points about the Fed easing next year.
Today's GOLD trading strategyYesterday, gold prices' big movements were mainly seen in the first 30 minutes of the Asian session. The price climbed $10. And in the U.S. session, due to risk aversion, XAUUSD also rose $10. Bulls were relatively strong. However, the optimistic expectations for rate cuts still need to be verified or falsified by the December key data. Currently, the risk aversion sentiment is a more important factor. It may gradually fade, but in trading, we need to see what happened rather than guessing. Don't trade in advance.
Currently, bulls are strong, but the price still cannot break above the 2090-2095 range. If there is no big stimulus, it will be difficult to rise above that range in the near future. If the price of gold enter that area, it may be a good selling opportunity.
Technical analysis on the 1D frame stochastic is in the overbought area, but RSI is not in the overbought area, the histogram has begun to grow higher, on the H4 frame stochastic has been in the overbought area for a long time, RSI has entered the Overbought area, on the weekly chart stochastic is falling very strongly so gold is likely to decrease.
GBPJPY is likely to rise as it encounters supportOn the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a strong decline well above the 143.50 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 142.85 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 142.85 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it broke the 142.20 pivot level. A low was formed near 141.88 and the pair is now attempting a recovery wave.
EUR/USD Extends Rally While USD/JPY Revisits Support_2There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 142.25 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair spiked above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 144.93 swing high to the 141.88 low. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 142.85.
The first major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 144.93 swing high to the 141.88 low at 143.40.
If there is a close above the 143.40 level and the hourly RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 144.50. The next major resistance is near 145.00, above which the pair could test 146.20 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 141.85. The next major support is near the 141.45 level. If there is a close below 141.45, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 140.00 support.
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EURUSD is trending downOn the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh increase above the 1.0930 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0985 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1020 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1040 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1044 and the pair is now consolidating gains.
If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to the 1.1044 high at 1.1020. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1020 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to the 1.1044 high at 1.0985.
EUR/USD Extends Rally While USD/JPY Revisits Support_1If there is a downside break below 1.0985, the pair could drop toward the 1.0930 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0910, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1040. The next major resistance is near the 1.1065 level. An upside break above 1.1065 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1120.
Today's XAUUSD trading strategyYesterday, gold prices' big movements were mainly seen in the first 30 minutes of the Asian session. The price climbed $10. And in the U.S. session, due to risk aversion, XAUUSD also rose $10. Bulls were relatively strong. However, the optimistic expectations for rate cuts still need to be verified or falsified by the December key data. Currently, the risk aversion sentiment is a more important factor. It may gradually fade, but in trading, we need to see what happened rather than guessing. Don't trade in advance.
Currently, bulls are strong, but the price still cannot break above the 2090-2095 range. If there is no big stimulus, it will be difficult to rise above that range in the near future. If the price of gold enter that area, it may be a good selling opportunity.
Technical analysis on the 1D frame stochastic is in the overbought area, but RSI is not in the overbought area, the histogram has begun to grow higher, on the H4 frame stochastic has been in the overbought area for a long time, RSI has entered the Overbought area, on the weekly chart stochastic is falling very strongly so gold is likely to decrease
XAUUSD Strategy to analyze gold price trends todayGold prices (XAU/USD) are on a steady trend, positioned for their best year in the past three years, driven by various global economic factors and geopolitical tensions.
Although spot gold fell slightly early Wednesday, it remained near a two-week high. Gold futures prices, in turn, are rising, making them likely to post strong annual gains. This performance reflects gold's enduring appeal in uncertain times.
It broke above the 2067.00 minor resistance level, which could now act as new support. The next key resistance level is 2149.00. Staying above the key support level of 1987.00 reinforces this bullish sentiment.
Gold trading ideas todayThere was no trading yesterday for Christmas. Last Friday, gold ascended slightly in the Asian session. With the support from data, gold once reached $2070 during the European session. Then, it declined in the U.S. session to $2050, showing an inverted 'V' shape movement, closing the daily chart with a long bearish inverted hammer candlestick. Without considering the holiday effect, there was a bearish divergence in the pattern. Technically, it should reach a phase top. However, the general trend is still upward, and investors should catch the opportunity in the near term. Due to the holiday effect, gold bulls may pull up the price, and it will be a chance to short. If investors want to go long, try not to chase the upside but wait until gold prices fall from highs.
At present, gold is dominated by bulls. If they increase their positions, gold prices will go up, and if they decrease positions, gold will retrace. In the 1H chart, as the MACD death cross expands slightly, a retracement will appear soon. Moreover, there is a bearish divergence in the 4H chart and the daily chart. Today, investors should focus on the range from $2050 to $2075 where they can buy low and sell high.
XAUUSD trading ideas todayThere was no trading yesterday for Christmas. Last Friday, gold ascended slightly in the Asian session. With the support from data, gold once reached $2070 during the European session. Then, it declined in the U.S. session to $2050, showing an inverted 'V' shape movement, closing the daily chart with a long bearish inverted hammer candlestick. Without considering the holiday effect, there was a bearish divergence in the pattern. Technically, it should reach a phase top. However, the general trend is still upward, and investors should catch the opportunity in the near term. Due to the holiday effect, gold bulls may pull up the price, and it will be a chance to short. If investors want to go long, try not to chase the upside but wait until gold prices fall from highs.
At present, gold is dominated by bulls. If they increase their positions, gold prices will go up, and if they decrease positions, gold will retrace. In the 1H chart, as the MACD death cross expands slightly, a retracement will appear soon. Moreover, there is a bearish divergence in the 4H chart and the daily chart. Today, investors should focus on the range from $2050 to $2075 where they can buy low and sell high.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceOn Friday, the British Pound (GBP) continues its rebound, driven by encouraging UK Retail Sales figures for November. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that retail spending by households defied expectations by staying positive compared to the previous year, contrary to market predictions of a significant decrease. The robust performance in Retail Sales was primarily fueled by a 2.8% rise in non-food retail stores, which offered substantial discounts during the Black Friday Sale.
The significant rebound in the Pound Sterling indicates that investors have overlooked the pessimistic Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision, indicating a 0.1% contraction. This has heightened concerns about a potential technical recession in the UK economy, especially considering the Bank of England's projection of stagnant performance in the final quarter of 2023.
After the release of the economic data, Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said that “The medium-term outlook for the UK economy is far more optimistic than these numbers suggest".
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes.
In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.Looking ahead, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue to be influenced by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Traders will be paying close attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank communications, and any developments related to the global macroeconomic environment. As always, market sentiment and risk appetite will play a crucial role in determining the near-term direction of the currency pair. Overall, the current position of the EUR/USD pair reflects a dynamic and evolving market environment, with traders remaining vigilant for potential opportunities and risks.
XAUUSD: Gold technical analysis todayGold, the longtime safe-haven asset, experienced a notable rally, surpassing the psychological barrier of $2,060 an ounce on Tuesday. This increase is likely due to a combination of factors, with market participants closely monitoring developments in the US economy, especially with regard to inflation and possible cuts. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
From a technical standpoint, . The previous resistance area that limited gains at 2050-2060 has now turned into support. I recommend looking for buying opportunities on a pullback to retest the previously broken resistance level, which is also confluent with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the ascending trendline acts as cross support for gold. I see resistance around 2090 as the first potential target and also a test of the all-time high