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GBPUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceOn Friday, the British Pound (GBP) continues its rebound, driven by encouraging UK Retail Sales figures for November. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that retail spending by households defied expectations by staying positive compared to the previous year, contrary to market predictions of a significant decrease. The robust performance in Retail Sales was primarily fueled by a 2.8% rise in non-food retail stores, which offered substantial discounts during the Black Friday Sale. The significant rebound in the Pound Sterling indicates that investors have overlooked the pessimistic Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision, indicating a 0.1% contraction. This has heightened concerns about a potential technical recession in the UK economy, especially considering the Bank of England's projection of stagnant performance in the final quarter of 2023. After the release of the economic data, Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said that “The medium-term outlook for the UK economy is far more optimistic than these numbers suggest".
Short
by carefulLion07pab
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes. In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.Looking ahead, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue to be influenced by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Traders will be paying close attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank communications, and any developments related to the global macroeconomic environment. As always, market sentiment and risk appetite will play a crucial role in determining the near-term direction of the currency pair. Overall, the current position of the EUR/USD pair reflects a dynamic and evolving market environment, with traders remaining vigilant for potential opportunities and risks.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
XAUUSD: Gold technical analysis todayGold, the longtime safe-haven asset, experienced a notable rally, surpassing the psychological barrier of $2,060 an ounce on Tuesday. This increase is likely due to a combination of factors, with market participants closely monitoring developments in the US economy, especially with regard to inflation and possible cuts. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. From a technical standpoint, . The previous resistance area that limited gains at 2050-2060 has now turned into support. I recommend looking for buying opportunities on a pullback to retest the previously broken resistance level, which is also confluent with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the ascending trendline acts as cross support for gold. I see resistance around 2090 as the first potential target and also a test of the all-time high
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
GBPUSD Bullish Breakout: A breach of the 1.2500 support could le Pound-to-dollar exchange rate faces headwinds as US dollar strengthens on inflation data in November. Report reveals consumer price index (CPI) up 0.1% and a 0.3% increase in the core CPI, has caused the market to reassess expectations for an impending rate cut. As the Federal Reserve convenes to discuss its next policy decision, analysts anticipate an effort by Chairman Powell to calm speculation and maintain a resilient economic outlook. Despite the initial rise in the Dollar, a detailed examination of the inflation report revealed underlying weakness, leading to a nuanced view of the trajectory of interest rates. Meanwhile, technical analysis points to a key moment at the 1.2500 support level, with the potential for significant volatility in either direction. The US dollar made a comeback following the release of November inflation data, surprising markets with a monthly CPI increase of 0.1%. This increase, compared to October's steady reading and market expectations, has changed sentiment towards the greenback. Core CPI, at 0.3% m/m, further reinforces the view of rapidly increasing price pressures.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
AUDUSD trading strategy todayThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July. After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions. The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area. Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD inched up heading into the weekend but hit a roadblock at cluster resistance stretching from 1.2727 to1.2769, where a crucial Fibonacci level converges with a downtrend line extended from the 2023 peak. Reinforcing bullish momentum requires clearing this technical hurdle; with a successful breakout likely paving the way for a move towards 1.2800, followed by 1.3000. On the other hand, if sellers stage a comeback and initiate a bearish reversal, trendline support is located around the 1.2600 area. This dynamic floor may offer stability during a pullback, but a push below it could usher in a retest of the 200-day simple moving average hovering slightly above the 1.2500 handle. Further weakness could redirect attention to 1.2455.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
EURUSD :Analyze market strategies todayThe Euro continues to strengthen as Martins Kazaks, member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), highlighted the need to maintain current interest rates over the long term. However, he suggested that the first interest rate cut could materialize around mid-2024. This statement strengthened the Euro's position as the commitment to maintain interest rates was seen as a maintenance measure. the power of money. From the chart below, we can see that EUR/USD has moved away from the 200 Day Moving Average, which shows that the pair is currently trending very strongly, so it is best to focus on buying and not sold. Selling would be a higher risk counter-trend method. EUR/USD has a key resistance level at 1.05000. Personally, I think EUR/USD will head towards that price level before any pullback.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes. In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
1
Gold will likely decrease then increase againFrom a technical standpoint, gold's recent breakout above a week-long consolidative trading range, approximately around $2,048 , signals a favorable environment for bullish traders. Notably, the occurrence of a golden cross, where the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed above the 200-day SMA, adds weight to the positive outlook. This technical setup positions gold for potential further gains, with the $2,090 zone emerging as the next relevant hurdle. Should the momentum persist, there is a distinct possibility of gold reclaiming the psychologically significant $2,100 mark. However, the path to glory is not without its challenges. A reversal below the aforementioned trading range resistance could lead to a retracement, with support levels at $2,026 and $2,017. A decisive break below the latter might trigger technical selling, leaving gold vulnerable to a more pronounced decline towards the psychological support at $2,000.
TVC:GOLDLong
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD trading strategy todayThe technical analysis of the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing adds another layer to the narrative. The currency pair is currently approaching a critical support level at $1.265, representing a potential pullback point. This level aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels, including the 50.0% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels. This confluence could act as a substantial support zone, providing a platform for a potential bounce-back. For traders eyeing potential entry points, the advised buy entry is at $1.265, with this level considered a pullback support bolstered by Fibonacci confluence. Setting a strategic stop loss at $1.26000, just below the pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, aims to mitigate potential downside risks. In terms of potential gains, the take profit level is set at $1.2800 which aligns with a pullback resistance.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
AUDUSD is likely to fall then rise againThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July. After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions. The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area. Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400. Afterward, attention might shift to the crucial 0.6269-0.6300 region. Overall, the AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias. While the recent strong rebound may slow down, bulls could focus on the 0.6830 area as the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days. In terms of trading strategy, buying the dips is recommended.
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact. But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish. On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
AUDUSD Market analysis strategy todayAUDUSD has seen a notable recovery this week, rising to 0.6791 on Thursday, marking its highest level since late July. After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, bulls finally broke above the resistance trend line dating back to April 2022, adding to market optimism that the trend is reversing upwards from the lows of the year in October can continue. The RSI and stochastic oscillator are consistent with this view as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels respectively without confirming overbought conditions. Overall, AUDUSD maintains an uptrend. Although the recent strong recovery may slow, bulls may focus on the 0.6830 area as this is the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD: Gold price analysis strategy todayDuring the Asian trading session on Thursday (December 12), spot gold price decreased slightly and is currently trading at 2037 USD. Yesterday, Fed officials remained hawkish and stated that there would be no 'immediate interest rate cuts'. It was another hawkish speech following the hawks after Powell signaled dovishness. At that time, the market must wait for more data before predicting the time and amplitude of interest rate cuts. However, US existing home sales rose unexpectedly yesterday, and all this surprising data suggests the existence of economic viscosity and inflation, suppressing bullish sentiment. of the market for gold.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD is trending downYesterday's gold price in the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the beginning of the US session, the gold price quickly climbed higher on the weaker dollar index, and it once closed to 2047. However, pressured by the hawkish remarks and strong economic data, the gold price slightly retraced, ultimately closing with a small bull candle. The current gold price is in the upper edge of the fluctuation range of the last 2 weeks and temporarily faces resistance. Back to the technical analysis, the daily uptrend is obvious, but the MACD signal has been at a high level. The 1-hour price stood above the 60-day moving average. It may be aligned to the 60-day MA in the lack of main intraday drivers. The support at $2028 should be focused on, and further support is at the $2015 level. Today's reference trading range is 2015-2048, in which you can still buy low and sell high, and aggressive traders can refer to a smaller range of 2028-2040.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by carefulLion07pab
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274. From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low). If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines. In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact. But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish. On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Long
by carefulLion07pab