Dowjones and DXY, what correlation?In today's trading session, our primary focus is on US30, where we are actively monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 37100 zone. Currently riding an uptrend, US30 showcases a sustained upward trajectory. Concurrently, the index is undergoing a correction phase, gradually converging towards the trend at the crucial 37100 support area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a pivotal juncture where the correction may encounter substantial market forces.
Adding depth to our analysis, the broader consideration involves the relationship between the US Dollar Index and US30. The potential bearish sentiment in the DXY could pave the way for upside movements in US30. As the DXY weakens, it tends to enhance the attractiveness of equities, including major indices like US30. This correlation introduces an additional layer to our strategic approach, aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing uptrend in US30 and the potential influence of DXY dynamics during the correction phase. Navigating this interplay is crucial as we seek to capitalize on the identified buying opportunity within the broader context of today's trading session.
Trade safe, Joe.
Indices
DXY D1 - Short SetupDXY D1
The dollar index has drifted lower, aligning with the latest developments and insights pertaining to the battle against inflation and central bank interest rates. We witnessed a significant downward move, sliding from 104.000 to 102.000, amounting to a substantial 200-point drop. Subsequently, we are observing a modest rebound, mirroring the overarching global trends highlighted earlier.
A potential adjustment back to the 103.000 level would be a logical move for us. This would constitute a robust 50% correction, harmonising seamlessly with our established trading zone for potential short positions.
Nasdaq 100 long bias NAS100 Currently filled the 4H demand zone and move upside, after that currently its creating liquidity so strong chances are there that on monday 18/12, it will create more liquidty in london session and grab the buyside liquidity fill the imbalance below and will enter the 30m demand zone which is overlappe on the 4H demand zone making it a strong buy zone and that is good 30M buy orderblock and we can target the opposite side liquidity pool as a target, market is in uptrend and trend is friend always
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 15, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited remarkable strength, with consistent price momentum throughout. The index managed to surpass our Key Resistance level of 4639 and Inner Index Rally level of 4647, finally resting at the completion of Inner Index Rally level of 4713.
Looking ahead, the following two targets for an upward trend are the completed Outer Index Rally level of 4807 and the Key Resistance of 4800. Both price levels were created on June 4th, 2022.
However, there are some concerns about a market squeeze from the current completed Inner Index Rally 4713 that might cause a transient pullback. In such a scenario, the index could move downward and reset itself to the Mean Support level of 4644. This level is considered a strong support level for the index and can provide an opportunity for traders and investors to make a suitable entry decision.
S&P500 weak DXY and potential continuation to upsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 4680 zone, US500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 4680 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DAX: Channel Up keeps it bullish. Strong correction if it breaksDAX is trading inside a Channel Up pattern since October 27th and it has been intact for so long that the 1D timeframe remains overbought (RSI = 78.050, MACD = 373.200, ADX = 82.264). Since it is holding the 4H MA50 over the bottom of the Channel Up, we remain bullish aiming at a +4.66% rise (TP = 17,400), which is the lowest it has registered inside this pattern. If the price crosses under the Channel Up however, we will short aiming near the S1 level (TP = 16,000), which can test the 1D MA50.
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DOW JONES: Correction imminent. Buy at the right time.Dow Jones made new All Time High yesterday and today reached the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level of the 14 month Channel Up pattern. Needless to say it is massively overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 79.702, MACD = 696.100, ADX = 90.584). The sheer strenght of this rise since the October 27th bottom can only be compared to the first rise of the Channel in October-November 2022.
After almost reaching the 0.786 Channel Fibonacci level, it pulled back to the 0.236 horizontal Fibonacci and then moved to a +19% rise before a consolidation that made the Channel's blow off top. Consequently, we cease our buying at the moment and will wait for that short term correction to the 0.236 Fibonacci (36,160). This will be our next buy entry to target the +19% extension (TP = 38,450).
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NASDAQ Potential continuation to upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 16470 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 16470 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SP500 D1 | Rising toward ATHSP500 is rising towards a swing-high resistance which is an all-time-high and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 4,795.57
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Stop Loss: 4,950.00
Why we like it:
There is a resistance that lies above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 4,611.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
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NASDAQ: Channel Up soon to test the ATH.Nasdaq is almost overbought again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.937, MACD = 245.100, ADX = 36.889) but that shouldn't affect it much as it is trading on the lower band of the November Channel Up. Leg 1 of the bullish sequence that made the Nov 15th HH extended to the 2.382 Fibonacci level. As the 1D RSI is identical to that Leg and shows that we are roughly halfway there, we remain bullish aiming again at the 2.382 Fib extension (TP = 16,840) which is marginally over the All Time High of 16,780.
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 8, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the course of this week's trading session, the index remained relatively stable using our strong Mean Sup 4546 as a strategic price platform, notwithstanding moderate gains leading toward the Key Resistance of 4639 and Inner Index Rally of 4647. Moreover, the Inner Index Rally 4647 indicates a strong bullish trend for traders and investors to ponder. Once the market reaches the target price, the resulting squeeze could be substantial and chaotic. As a result, traders and investors should be cautious and attentive during this price action period.
S&P500: Ascending Triangle trading plan.S&P500 is trading inside an Ascending Triangle pattern with the price over the July 27th Top (R1) and bullish on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 63.128MACD = 5.390, ADX = 23.122). Until the HH and more importantly the R2 level break, we will be bearish, targeting the S1 (TP = 4,550). Below the S1, the 4H MA200 is the target (TP = 4,480). If the price crosses over the R2 level, be ready for an end of year rally to the January 12th 2022 Top (TP = 4,749.50).
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NAS100 TECHNICAL FORECASTHere I explain my forecast for Nas100,:
For short position I will be looking for break of the support and a clear retest and find entry, and my target for short position will be 15560.0 level.
For Long position , I am more interested on how market will react on the current support level, taking into consideration momentum, price action patterns and rejections I will be looking to buy the market at the support, using the basic law of trading which says " buy low and sell High" right now we are low at the support leve1.
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 15970 zone, NASDAQ was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 15970 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOW JONES Sell signal at the top of the 1 year Channel UpDow Jones hit the top of the 1 year Channel Up, achieving an unprecedented High of overbought conditions on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 75.323, MACD = 557.860, ADX = 77.014). The first signs of exhaustion are given by the Stock RSI, which is pulling back. So far this can only be a short term sell signal so we are only aiming for the minimum retrace of the 0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 35,550). Beyond that we need to see a closing under it in order to make an extension to the 1D MA50 (technically) but that would negate a seasonal Christmas rally. So for now take we keep only a short term horizon.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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S&P500 Potential Continuation to the upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 4540 zone, US500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 4540 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.