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J-BTC

BTC: broadening wedge or channel retest? Bullish or bearish?There are three possible patterns in formation right now, two of the which would be bullish and one bearish. I'm not 100% on which one I'd pick so I'll present here the three cases. right-angled broadening wedge (the bullish case): - check the following links www.forex-central.net and www.centralcharts.com In this case we should expect a dump to the 86K levels and then a bounce back to breakout and push price to 125K: right-angled broadening wedge (the bearish case): see the previous links for the examples. In this case the wedge support wouldn't hold breaking down and bringing price to the 75K area. Notice that the upper resistance of the wedge shows alsoa double top which is a very bearish pattern: descending channel retest: for this case I've used the coinbase's chart, it's just because the chart is less messy. As you can see the break out happened already days ago and this could be the retest of the previous R. This is a bullish case that would make price bounce to 109K At the moment I don't know where to lean because my gut says market are overreacting to this AI fuss so I stay open to any possibility and I'm not doing any margin trade, just buying what I think has potential. Good luck
by Shotokhan
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48 Last weeks low: $99,643.66 Midpoint: $104,599.57 A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration. Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time? The AI issue: The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market. DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways: - Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison. - Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable. - Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous. To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble. On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place. For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then. TL;DR - DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market. - FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected. - Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
by ProR35
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin continue its upward trend?Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to fall. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand zone. Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has signed an executive order establishing a task force on digital asset markets. The task force’s mission is to explore ways for the U.S. to lead in the cryptocurrency industry while evaluating the creation of a national strategic digital asset reserve. Many who are familiar with cryptocurrencies recognize Bitcoin as “digital gold” due to its unique characteristics. According to a recent study, an increasing number of Americans now prefer Bitcoin over gold. ChainPlay, in collaboration with Storible, conducted a survey asking 1,428 Americans about their views and investments in cryptocurrencies. The study reveals that over 68% of Americans currently own some form of cryptocurrency. Furthermore, 77% plan to increase their investments in the sector by 2025, while 60% believe the value of their assets will double by that year. Other sources indicate that only 13% of Americans owned cryptocurrency as of November 2024, though this discrepancy appears to depend on the methodology used. Another survey revealed that Trump’s election victory significantly influenced public perception of cryptocurrencies, with 38% of respondents deciding to invest in crypto after the election results. Notably, 84% of these individuals made their first purchase following Trump’s win, viewing him as a pro-crypto candidate. The idea of preferring Bitcoin over gold or stocks was once a marginal perspective during the bull market of 2017. Today, as governments worldwide announce plans to mine, store, or use Bitcoin for international payments, public opinion has shifted to view Bitcoin more favorably. Additionally, statistics indicate that many investors have not only bought Bitcoin but have sold their traditional assets to allocate funds to the cryptocurrency. According to the survey, over 51% of these individuals are based in the U.S., reflecting unprecedented optimism toward Bitcoin as “digital gold.” Mark Cuban, entrepreneur and TV personality, stated that Bitcoin has become a valuable asset and has reached a level of acceptance comparable to gold. Both he and Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, emphasize that Bitcoin offers easier transportability and control compared to gold. In the financial world, opinions on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, remain divided. Some figures, like Warren Buffett, remain vocal critics of these assets. Following Elon Musk’s advocacy, CZ, former CEO of Binance, also expressed support for the idea of recording government expenditures on blockchain. In a tweet, he said: “All governments should record their spending on blockchain, creating a public and immutable ledger. After all, government spending is public spending.” According to a report from Street, Eric Trump, son of Donald Trump, recently stated that domestic cryptocurrency projects in the U.S., such as XRP and HBAR, will benefit from tax exemptions in the future, whereas foreign projects will face a 30% tax rate. Additionally, Senator Cynthia Lummis, a Republican and Bitcoin advocate from Wyoming, has been appointed as the first chair of the Senate’s new Digital Assets Committee. Operating under the Senate Banking Committee, this new body aims to pass bipartisan legislation supporting the crypto industry and protecting investors. Lummis announced that the committee will focus on three key areas: 1. Market Structure: Establishing a framework to improve the digital asset market structure. 2. Stablecoins: Regulating and supervising stablecoins as a crucial part of the crypto ecosystem. 3. Strategic Bitcoin Reserves: Strengthening the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves. In a statement, Lummis said: “Digital assets are the future, and if the United States wants to maintain its position as a global leader in financial innovation, Congress must urgently pass comprehensive bipartisan laws to regulate this space and strengthen the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves.” The committee will also oversee federal regulators to ensure compliance with laws and to prevent unjustified denial of banking services to legitimate participants.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Technical analysis of Btc/Usd pair. Should I PANIC?)A warm welcome to everyone! A bit of fundamental: The reason for the markets falling is attributed to the fact that Deepseek, a Chinese company of 200 people and a $6 million budget, created DeepSeek AI without having access to the latest Nvidia chips due to US sanctions. Today DeepSeek AI overtook ChatGPT in the Chinese AppStore and can now compete with OpenAI, which caused bearish sentiment for the US stock market and Nvidia stock, and the market pulled down. Funny how this happened when most of us were asleep, isn't it?)) My thoughts: “Gathered liquidity higher, now all that's left is to gather liquidity below ~$100k$”. My words from three days ago. A continuation of the locally bearish momentum all the way down to 95-97k$ is quite possible. There is strong support there and the upper triangle line, which was previously the strongest resistance. And as we know, the stronger the pattern, the more involved the play will be at this point. I suppose you realize that my current notes are intended for the local trend only. In the medium term, within the framework of the final diagonal triangle, as I wrote earlier, I expect the upward movement to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CaptainLong
"Gold Approaches Key Resistance: Potential Sell Opportunity"The chart indicates that gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a resistance zone near the **2,800.000 level**. A "Possible to Sell Zone" is marked, suggesting this area could trigger selling pressure. The price has been trending upward, respecting the trendline, but now faces potential rejection from the resistance. Key observations: 1. **Resistance Zone**: The area around **2,800.000** is a strong resistance where sellers might step in. 2. **First Target Spot**: If the price rejects the resistance, a pullback to the **2,725.000 level** (first spot) is anticipated. 3. **Trendline Break Potential**: A break of the upward trendline could accelerate bearish momentum toward the target. **Outlook**: - Watch for bearish price action near the resistance zone to confirm a selling opportunity. - A strong rejection or trendline break would validate a short trade, with the first target being **2,725.000**.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bitcoin Game Plan - BTC PREDICTIONHello folks, it's time to update the BTC game plan. My previous Bitcoin game plan worked precisely. The timing and price levels were 100% accurate, and as expected, we saw a new all-time high (ATH). I hope you managed to make some profits! I’ve attached the previous BTC game plan below—feel free to give it a look. New Game Plan: Bitcoin has set a new ATH, but it seems we’ve encountered significant selling pressure at that level, and we couldn’t close above it. This indicates Bitcoin doesn’t yet have enough liquidity to expand higher. From this perspective, I expect the price to retrace slightly, grab some liquidity from the buy side, and then continue its upward journey. Scenario 1: Price grabs the lows below and hits the purple line (Range High) before bouncing to a new high. (Less likely) Scenario 2: (Marked on the chart) Price grabs the lows completely and retraces to the blue bullish trendline, bouncing from there. We might even create a deviation below the blue line, trapping bears who aggressively short after a trendline break, and bounce from the green zone marked just below the blue line. (This is my preferred scenario.) Scenario 3: Price retraces further to grab all the way down to the lows and bounces from the black trendline we previously broke. I’m sharing all three potential scenarios for clarity. Also, with a pro-crypto president currently in office, any significant bullish news could send Bitcoin skyrocketing. Keep this in mind. I remain overall bullish on Bitcoin. I firmly believe we haven’t seen the top yet. Despite the panic and sell-off from some gurus on X and TradingView who claim we’ve topped, I personally think we’re not even close to the peak.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
BITCOIN - Price can continue to move up inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago, the price declined to support level, after which at once bounced up to resistance area. Then BTC started to decline inside pennant, where it quickly declined from resistance area to support area. After this, price bounced from the pennant's support line, broke the $94200 level, and exited from the pennant pattern. Next, price rose to $102700 points and made a correction move to $90800 points, after which started to grow in wedge. In wedge, BTC rose to $106500 level and even rose higher, reaching a new ATH and then fell back. Now I expect that Bitcoin can correct to support line of wedge and then rise to $112K, breaking resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
6
Trump's coin impact!The recent surge of Trump Coin highlights how sudden market movements can disrupt price patterns and influence trading behavior across the broader cryptocurrency market. The rapid rise of Trump Coin, which soared by over 600%, sparked a wave of euphoria and speculation, drawing attention away from other cryptocurrencies and creating a ripple effect that reshaped market dynamics. The Trump Coin Phenomenon Trump Coin's explosive price increase captivated both traders and investors, significantly shifting market focus. This wasn’t just a temporary spike, but an event with lasting consequences that drained liquidity and trading volume from other coins, concentrating interest on Trump Coin. Impact on Other Cryptocurrencies As Trump Coin gained traction, the wider market began to stagnate, with overall market indicators like TOTAL (representing total market capitalization) and TOTAL2 (excluding Bitcoin) showing little movement. This period of stagnation reflected a lack of fresh capital flowing into other cryptocurrencies, as most traders redirected their focus to the Trump Coin rally. The following consequences were observed: [/b ]Liquidity Drain: As attention turned to Trump Coin, many altcoins saw a significant drop in trading volume, resulting in price stagnation and periodic sell-offs. Market Dump: Investors exiting their positions in other cryptocurrencies to join the Trump Coin rally contributed to temporary market dumps, amplifying the broader consolidation phase. Psychological Shift: The excitement surrounding Trump Coin led to a more cautious "wait-and-see" mentality among traders, reducing overall market volatility as fewer positions were opened. Consolidation Phase In the wake of Trump Coin's rapid rise, other cryptocurrencies entered a consolidation phase, a common occurrence when the market experiences a lull or imbalance. This phase reflects a market seeking stability before the next significant movement, with many investors holding back as they await further developments.
by melikatrader94
12
Is the BANUSDT Market on the Verge of a Breakout or a Breakdown?The cryptocurrency market thrives on unpredictability, and BANUSDT is currently testing traders' resolve. After retreating -91% from its historic high of $0.421 (November 2024), the token hovers near its all-time low at $0.03678. Such levels are often a breeding ground for high volatility and significant price movements. Will the market roar back, or will it sink further into the abyss? Presently trading at $0.03777, BANUSDT appears oversold with a daily RSI14 of 28.99, hinting at potential upward momentum. However, its moving averages, notably the MA50 at $0.05556 and MA200 at $0.06184, cast shadows of resistance over immediate bullish aspirations. Additionally, recent VSA Buy Patterns suggest buying pressure, but the path upward remains fraught with resistance levels near $0.07753. The critical question: Is this the time to buy the dip, or are we teetering on the brink of a deeper fall? Investors and traders, are you prepared for what’s next? Today marks a pivotal moment in BANUSDT’s journey—are you watching closely? BANUSDT Roadmap: Patterns in Action Navigating the rollercoaster of BANUSDT requires dissecting its pattern history. Here’s a clear roadmap of recent key events, filtering out the noise to highlight only the patterns that hit their mark. Ready to see how this market moves? January 25, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd This pattern signaled a bullish sentiment with its main direction as "Buy." The price opened at $0.05252, reaching a high of $0.05253, but eventually closed lower at $0.04747. The pattern hinted at a bullish breakout. Confirmation: The next pattern aligned with this sentiment. The price attempted to rally further before settling lower, confirming the bullish drive was correct but short-lived. January 25, 2025 – Buy Volumes Take Over Despite its "Sell" direction, the market momentum showed limited downside. Opening at $0.06483, it quickly slid to $0.05598. This mismatch between prediction and actual price movement suggests either a false signal or strong counterforces. Skipped: As the Sell failed to gain traction, this pattern is excluded for clarity. January 26, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Backed by bullish sentiment, this pattern triggered fresh optimism. Opening at $0.03752 and closing near the same level at $0.0374, it maintained a narrow range but supported further upward moves. Confirmation: The next pattern reaffirmed this sentiment, demonstrating a steady rise as BANUSDT tested higher levels. Key Takeaways Successful patterns are those where the main direction aligned with subsequent price actions. Neutral or false signals are filtered out to ensure actionable insights for traders. January patterns show BANUSDT attempting to form a bullish base, but caution remains essential due to intermittent weak signals. Looking Ahead Investors should track these active support zones and stay alert for patterns aligning with broader momentum shifts. BANUSDT may yet surprise with its next move—are you ready to ride the wave? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch In trading, it’s all about the levels. Here’s your cheat sheet for BANUSDT's most critical zones. Whether you're scalping or holding, these levels are your lifeline to navigating price action like a pro. Support Levels 0.03678 – This is the current all-time low, a psychological barrier where buyers previously stepped in. If this fails, expect it to flip into resistance. 0.05556 (MA50) – A dynamic support often acting as a magnet for price action. Break below, and it could create bearish momentum. Resistance Levels 0.07753 – A key line in the sand. Sellers dominated here before; bulls need to claim this to change the narrative. 0.06184 (MA200) – A formidable level tied to institutional trading zones. Watch for fakeouts around this level. Powerful Support Levels 0.0921 – The "big boss" support level. If price manages to push higher, this level becomes a safety net on the way down. However, if breached, this will likely become a ceiling for future price recovery. Powerful Resistance Levels None active currently – If bulls can reclaim some ground, look for future resistance formations tied to higher price action zones. Note for Traders When levels fail to hold, they don’t disappear—they flip roles. Support becomes resistance, resistance becomes a brick wall. Play it smart: wait for confirmations before entering, and don’t get trapped in fakeouts. These levels are where price action loves to fake moves to lure traders in. Watch these zones like a hawk and let the price action guide your next moves. It's all about staying sharp and adapting to what the chart is telling you! Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays The proprietary concept of Fibonacci Rays gives traders an edge in navigating dynamic market movements. Using these geometrically precise tools, we identify scenarios that balance flexibility and focus. Here's how we can apply this method to BANUSDT. Concept of Rays The Fibonacci Rays are designed from the origin of a movement, based on mathematical and geometric principles. They outline dynamic channels, predicting likely zones for price interaction. Here's the core idea: When price touches a ray, two outcomes are probable: a reversal or a continuation. Dynamic factors, such as Moving Averages (MA50, MA200), enhance the predictive accuracy of these rays. Instead of aiming for precise levels, we analyze the probabilities of price movements within defined ranges. Dynamic Factors: Moving Averages & Rays MA50 (current: $0.05556) and MA200 (current: $0.06184) act as additional dynamic support and resistance zones. Interaction with these averages often confirms ray predictions. Using VSA rays, price tends to move from one ray to the next, forming clear trading targets. Scenarios Optimistic Scenario Price interacts with the ascending ray near $0.03678 (current support). A bounce signals a potential move toward the first ray at $0.05556, confirmed by MA50. If momentum sustains, the next target aligns with the ray at $0.06184 (MA200). Pessimistic Scenario Price breaks below the $0.03678 ray, testing the next descending ray at $0.030 (hypothetical). In this case, MA50 flips to resistance, and bears gain control. If MA200 is breached, expect further declines, with price navigating between descending rays. Suggested Trades Trade 1: Long from $0.03678 with targets at $0.05556 (MA50) and $0.06184 (MA200). Use confirmation from ray interaction before entering. Trade 2: Short if price breaks $0.03678, targeting the descending ray at $0.030. Watch for bearish confirmation with MA50 acting as resistance. Trade 3: Long breakout above $0.06184, targeting higher ascending rays. This trade aligns with a potential trend shift and broader bullish momentum. Key Takeaway The Fibonacci Rays allow traders to spot high-probability opportunities by combining dynamic ray interaction with Moving Averages. These tools offer clarity in uncertain markets, ensuring trades are aligned with structural momentum. Whether you're an optimist or a realist, there's a setup for every type of trader! Let’s Connect and Trade Smarter Together Trading isn’t just about levels; it’s about collaboration and constant learning. If you have questions, ideas, or just want to discuss this analysis, drop your thoughts right here in the comments. I’d love to hear from you and dive deeper into any topics you find valuable. If you found this idea useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it. That way, you can revisit it later and track how the price moves along my markings—it’s the perfect way to refine your trading skills and spot opportunities. By the way, all the rays and levels you see here? My custom indicator does the heavy lifting, drawing them automatically based on Fibonacci principles. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, feel free to reach out via direct messages—we’ll discuss how to make it work for you. Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? I’ve got you covered. Whether it’s a free idea shared with the community or a private, tailored breakdown for your strategy, we can work something out. Just leave a comment with the asset you want me to analyze, and I’ll do my best to help! Rays work universally across all assets—crypto, stocks, commodities, you name it. If you’d like a personal markup for a specific chart, let me know. And remember, the more engagement this post gets, the more ideas I can share here for everyone. Lastly, make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my future insights and strategies. Let’s build a community of smarter, sharper traders together! 🚀
Short
by brandlabelden
2
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King! If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out! Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom! Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade: Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far. Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed? ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where: A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak. B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level. C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see: The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement. The B wave goes to the 0.382 The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began. CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down. Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming. Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat. Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun! Conclusion: The King Needs to Reset! No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits. Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
CME:BTC1!Education
by Candle_Styx
GBPCAD Signals a Shift: Key Moves to Watch This Week In the GBPCAD market, all signs are pointing to a pivotal moment early this week. Monday and Tuesday present a strong likelihood of price rejection, potentially signaling a shift in direction. On higher timeframes, the bias suggests an imminent change, as the price approaches a key supply zone. Meanwhile, on the lower 1-hour chart, the story becomes even clearer—price action has already begun to hint at this transition, painting a picture of an anticipated reversal. With the supply zone within reach, traders can expect a significant movement in the coming days. The bias indicates not just a brief fluctuation but a probabilities trend that could sustain momentum for at least two weeks. This week holds the potential for dynamic trading opportunities, setting the stage for a compelling narrative in the GBPCAD pair. Keep an eye on the charts—this could be the moment where preparation meets opportunity.
Short
by jshafx
Even if it falls, you should prepare for an uptrend Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The High Boundary Zone has been changed to the 101947.24-103706.66 range. Therefore, anything above 103706.00 is considered a high range. However, the basic 106133.74 point is likely to act as resistance. - The StochRSI indicator is showing a decline to the 50 point range. Therefore, since volatility is likely to occur, a quick response is required when trading. Therefore, the point of observation is whether there is resistance near 106133.74. When a new candle is created, if the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point, the key point is whether there is support near 101947.24-103706.66. If there is support, I think there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone and falls below 101947.24 and shows resistance, you should check whether it touches the BW(0) indicator or the HA-Low indicator. The 93576.0-34742.35 zone is expected to be an important support and resistance zone. ------------------------------ It seems that a lot of funds have flowed into the coin market through USDC. Accordingly, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend soon. As I said before, for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend. The maximum decline point of USDT dominance is expected to be around 2.84. After that, since USDT dominance is expected to show an upward trend, the coin market is expected to show a downward wave. If it goes up by 4.97 or more, I think you can definitely tell that a downtrend is in progress. - Based on the above coin market cap chart, this uptrend is expected to be the last uptrend. Therefore, even if the price falls, a trading strategy that prepares for an uptrend is needed. The point to watch is whether this uptrend can rise to the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (116940.43). This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31. The next volatility period is expected to be around February 9-16. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle. Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things: - strong trend on senior timeframes - locally the price does not update the minimums - resistance retest is formed - consolidation on the background of the uptrend. Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
Long
by AndeWave
2
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ? i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well : not financial advice Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Investwine
BTC - Steady... steady... almost there!BTC in the short term is looking very much like a WXYXZ is forming. We should therefore see a low, which could temporarily breach the lower trend line. In fact, it'd make for a bullish signal if it did - so watch this carefully. If we see it ping back within the channel, then the formation will likely complete. Next thing we'll need to look for us the breakthrough of the upper trend line. This would then lead to higher higher and the completion of wave 5 of 1 which we have long been looking for. I'm not going to take any actions here until either trend line is decisively broken leading to a trend change. Looks good though, follow for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
2
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
Long
by farhadnmd
5
ONDO 4H TRADE SETUP ONDO is a very exciting project with massive potential in the tokenization of real world assets, an aspect of crypto that has many very high profile interested parties, such as BlackRock and now the US Government via the Trump administration. World Liberty Financial (which is run by the Trump family) has an ONDO position currently and has been adding to it over time, so what is the future of ONDO? For me the chart has some key points: - Structurally ONDO been bearish since the later stages of December, retracing 50% from local high and losing the 4H 200 EMA in the process before bouncing off the bullish Orderblock that started the end of year rally in the first place, a very strong support area. That bounce was capped off by the bearish orderblock zone with rejection in that zone on four separate occasions, so we now have a local range with a clear S/R level at the midpoint. - Within that mini range we have higher lows constantly which forms a diagonal support as buyers put increasing pressure on price to break through the Bearish orderblock. The 4H 200 EMA has also been reclaimed and in a bullmarket this level is a key level to consider, more so during a trending phase and not chop but still important in this situation. - That's the technical analysis but money is made in execution of the trade. For me a reclaim of the bearish orderblock would be a bullish trigger for ONDO to climb back up the hill towards local high with consideration to set SLs in stages. The trade would be invalidated on a loss of the bearish orderblock flip as this Swing fail pattern often leads to a further sell-off. - In a bearish scenario, say BTC misbehaves or some bad news hits the timeline I would step away from the coin if diagonal support is lost. I would look to become a buyer at the bullish orderblock which would give a higher probability entry with the range midpoint and bearish orderblock as targets for price to reach. BTC still runs the market currently with alts not getting much liquidity, I do believe that will change soon going into the second half of Q1. Once Bitcoin can get a trend going altcoins will follow in my view.
COINBASE:ONDOUSD
by ProR35