J-DXY
Sell EURUSD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1060, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1015
2nd Support – 1.0988
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1100 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Will the dollar bounce back from its current decline?
The US July PCE was in line with market consensus. Headline PCE prices rose 0.2% from a month ago and 2.5% from a year ago, which aligns with market expectations. Core PCE, the Fed's price benchmark, rose only 0.16%, slower than the previous month's 0.18%. This is the lowest level this year and has catalyzed the market sentiment of the Fed’s rate cut.
It is worth noting that despite a 0.3% increase in personal income, surpassing the previous month's 0.2%, the savings rate remains alarmingly low. This is because personal consumption expenditures are growing at a faster rate than personal income.
The current savings rate has dropped to 2.9%, marking only the second instance in the past 16 years, since the global financial crisis, the savings rate has fallen to the 2% range.
This implies that consumption in the United States could decline quickly, serving as a cautionary signal that if employment falters, there may be insufficient buffers to sustain consumption.
DXY sustained its uptrend after breaking out of the descending channel and advanced to 101.60. The price consolidates around the 101.50-101.70 range, waiting for an additional price trigger.
If the price breaches the resistance at 101.80 while holding above the EMA, the price may gain upward momentum toward 102.60. Conversely, if DXY fails to stay above both EMAs and retreats to the support at 100.50, the price could fall further to the 100.00 threshold.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 101.53
1st Support: 101.16
1st Resistance: 102.144
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DXY (1h timeframe )hello dear traders
this price acton for dollar curency index .... this is my personal opinion....
fundamental reason:
While British fund manager abdrn predicts that the U.S. economy will see a soft landing, there is still the risk of a prolonged slowdown in 2025, said Kenneth Akintewe, the company’s head of Asian Sovereign Debt.
Is the economy already weaker than the headline data suggests and should the U.S. Federal Reserve already be easing? Akintewe questioned on CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia.”
In the U.S. on Friday, data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation, ticked up 0.2% last month, as expected. The data seems to back a smaller rate cut...
FULL DXY ANALYSISHello my wonderful community !
it’s been a while I posted.
I really appreciate you guys for reviewing my charts
Kindly like and comment on how you feel the market will go , I’m open to learn and communicate with other hardworking traders on here.
The colors for each line/zone
Monthly - Yellow
Weekly - Orange
Daily - Green
4H - Red
1H - Purple
My Monthly chart view:
Ever since 2010, price has been in an uptrend by making higher highs and higher lows.
Price keeps breaking major resistance areas and turning them to dynamic support areas and respects the EMA 50 anytime it makes a correction.
Take note as price is trending upwards and respecting the channel constructed.
My Weekly chart view:
Going into the weekly TimeFrame, it is truly clear that price entered a range from 2017 until 2022 before the bulls came in fully in early 2022 and made an Uptrend and breaking the resistance with bullish candles before exerting a correction and respecting the newly formed support.
My Daily chart view:
I also noticed a range forming due to this same correction between the areas marked in red.
Notice the double top indicating a reversal after the break of the neck line. After the invalidation of the Red daily trend line by the break with bearish engulfing candle, The bears take full control driving the price down to an area of Demand.
Price is in a downtrend as this is due to the correction observed in the bigger timeframe
To play safe i feel i can capture a buy setup after the break and retest of the upper red resistance but that will take forever.
My 4H chart view:
I capitalized on this trade by executing based on my trading strategy with a nice sell setup after the break of the neckline with a risk: reward of 1:2.
So I’ll go further and look for buy Setups as we are in this same 4H time frame
Price currently approached an Area of Demand (this area also serves as a major support zone and has been respected multiple times )and bulls seems to be coming in strong with rising momentum.
My 1H chart view:
Sometimes we just have to go further with the believe that the market will reveal its hand , so I’m patiently waiting for buy setups as price is gaining momentum with the EMA 14 crossing over the EMA 50 and price still respecting the area of Demand and major support zone.
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 101.728.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 100.553 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Navigating Critical Market Levels: DXY & NAS100 Analysis👀 👉 The DXY and NAS100 are currently at pivotal points, with price action flashing caution signals. The DXY is probing key liquidity levels, while both DXY and NAS100 are showing signs of structural shifts in their trends. It could be prudent to approach the market cautiously today, waiting to see how the USD develops during the New York session and into Tuesday.
Disclaimer: The insights shared in this video are for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
DXY: Move Up Expected! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 101.820
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Happy Labour Day!2nd September
DXY: Within the bullish channel, (upside) could trade up to 102 resistance, needs to break 101.80. Downside only if price breaks below 101.50 (23.6%)
NZDUSD: look for reaction at 0.6220, Sell 0.62 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6810 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.31 SL 40 TP 65
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.10 round number support level
USDJPY: Look for reaction at 147 resistance level
USDCHF: Sell 0.8460 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Buy 1.3525 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: Break above 2500 to trade up to 2515 and 2530, needs to stay above 2480
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) Ascending Triangle in H1The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2513.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2485
2nd Support – 2461.50
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2530. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Still Bearish on DXYDXY can see some correction to the upside and reach 102.5 or even climb up to 103.5 before September 18, 2024, which, most probably we'll see the first rate cut after a long time.
So be patient and wait for this week's NFP.
Check out my post on June 11 to see how DXY followed our yellow scenario. 😉
Dollar 4hr Analysis1 Day Time frame
Dollar has been bearish for a couple of days how, ever after reaching a major support zone last week, Dollar bounced back from the support and its currently on a minor uptrend
Dollar: 4hr Time frame
When i spotted the double bottom last week, i knew there is a high probability for dollar to rise from this support.
This week, i expect dollar to continue to rise up to the 102.500 key area.Before we may possibly see the bearish continuation or breakout to the upside.
Fundamentally, US FED may likely cut interest rate this month, which will push the price of dollar down
USDCHF - Short Trade IdeaThis a short trade idea I have for the USDCHF.
It is pretty straight-forward. Trade back into a Weekly iFVG and SIBI then move lower from there. First target is the immediate swing low, and the second target is the older low to the left. Entry somewhere in the gap, and stoploss above the high that entered the previous SIBI.
Sometimes I feel as though I should make my analysis more complicated so it can get featured, but truth be told, there is nothing useful about having a complicated analysis. In terms of technical analysis, this is as accurate and simple as it gets. And usually if a trade is wrong, there is unanticipated news or the tides have turned and a trade in the opposite direction is warranted.
- R2F
DXY, what is next bro?DXY analysis 1/09/24💵
Few things about it:
DXY is oversold and it has 4h and daily FVG higher +
It just tested the bottom of the global range (almost 2 years in consolidation), and most likely it will bounce till dFVG,
On 15m and 1h time frame, DXY has an uptrend (MS( ChoCH) and BoS) until the uptrend on 1h is not broken I will not consider reversal on DXY
DXY and EUR always fill their gaps on high time frames, before they move further and the next move on DXY will be final, so most likely it will keep going higher till 0.5 zone ( equilibrium) of this global range ~103.2-103.4 area
Considering all of this I will expect EUR and all pairs that trade against USD will be bearish unless the uptrend on 1h is broken with DOUBLE shifts only then i will consider DXY's reversal
USDCHF - Catch This 500pip Trade!USDCHF is currently in a 5 wave impulse. Elliott wave theory suggests that if wave 2 is a simple correction, it is likely that wave 4 will be somewhat complex.
From the looks of things, we are seeing an expanded correction for wave 4. We are expecting wave C to complete at the local highs where we got the 0.5 fibonacci.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for wave C completion at the recent highs
- Watch for a trend reversal via trendline break, BOS etc
- once reversal is confirmed, enter with stops above correction or above wave 4 invalidation
- Targets: 0.844 (300pips), 0.825 (500pips), Taper thereafter
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!