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Japaneseyen

USD/JPY breaking down from channel support line..!The Japaneese yen is getting stronger after the japaneese stock market is crashing. People panic selling stocks to buy Yen.. The 12.4% loss on the Nikkei stock was the worst day for the index since the “Black Monday” of 1987. Looking at FX:USDJPY we have broken down from the trading range we have been in since DEC 2022. We could now go up for a re-test of the channel resistance line before further downside could be the next moove. Next demand zones should be at about 137 and 131 and i look for a short opportunity at the re-test of channel resistance line. Make sure to follow me on X for weekly trade analysis: @PuppyNakamoto
Short
by WOLFofBlockStreet
JPY Strengthens Amid BoJ Tightening, USD Faces HeadwindsThe Japanese Yen (JPY) exerted downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD) during the early European session. Despite the USD's initial attempt to recover value following yesterday's decline, the JPY continued to strengthen due to rising expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may implement further monetary policy tightening. The BoJ recently raised its short-term rate target by 15 basis points (bps), adjusting it to a range of 0.15%-0.25%. Additionally, the central bank announced plans to reduce its monthly purchases of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) to ¥3 trillion, starting in the first quarter of 2026. These moves have bolstered the JPY, adding to its momentum against the USD. Meanwhile, the upside potential for the USD/JPY pair appears limited as the USD encounters significant headwinds. Expectations are growing for a 50-basis point (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 74.5% probability of this rate cut at the September meeting, a sharp increase from the 11.4% chance reported just a week ago. From a technical perspective, incorporating our Supply and Demand analysis, we missed the initial entry in the Supply area due to a rapid spike that reached our entry point. Nonetheless, we are monitoring for a potential retest of that area for a possible short position. USD/JPY Chart ✅ Please share your thoughts about Japanese Yen Futures in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6J1!
by FOREXN1
1
USD/JPY Reaches Key Demand Zone: Is a Bullish Reversal Imminent?The Japanese Yen (JPY) has extended its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) for the fifth consecutive session on Monday. This consistent momentum is driven by increasing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may further tighten its monetary policy. The BoJ's potential shift towards a more hawkish stance is attracting significant market attention, as investors anticipate changes that could impact the currency's value. Additionally, the unwinding of carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets, is providing sustained support for the JPY. This unwinding trend suggests a repositioning of investments that favors the Yen, contributing to its recent strength. From a technical standpoint, the current price action has led the USD/JPY pair to a strong demand area, which aligns with multiple indicators pointing to a potential bullish reversal. Firstly, the pair has entered an oversold condition, suggesting that the selling pressure might be overextended and a corrective bounce could be on the horizon. Secondly, there is the potential start of bullish seasonality, a period during which historical data shows the JPY typically performs well. This seasonal trend could further bolster the case for a rebound. Our supply and demand strategy, which focuses on identifying key levels where price imbalances occur, indicates that the current demand zone is a critical area for a potential price reversal. This strategy has been effective in highlighting areas where buying interest may outweigh selling pressure, leading to upward price movements. Given the confluence of these technical factors, we are closely monitoring the price action for a long setup. We are particularly attentive to the behavior of the USD/JPY pair in this demand area. Should the price action confirm our expectations, we will look to enter a long position, anticipating a rebound. This approach aligns with our broader market analysis and strategic outlook, which aim to capitalize on identified opportunities supported by both technical indicators and market fundamentals. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY: Where is the Support?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵 As a bearish rally on USDJPY continues, the pair keeps violating key historic support levels, one after another. Here are the next significant supports to pay close attention to. Support 1: 140.2 - 141.0 area Support 2: 137.2 - 138.1 area Support 3: 133.0 - 133.9 area Support 4: 129.6 - 130.8 area Support 5: 127.2 - 128.1 area These supports may indicate the levels/zones where the fall may stop. Pay attention to these areas and strictly wait for a strong confirmation before you open any trade. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
2
USD/JPY Analysis: Anticipating a New Bullish ImpulseUSD/JPY, after retesting the demand area around $149.000, shows potential for initiating a new bullish impulse. This technical retest suggests the possibility of a fresh upward leg in the pair's price movement. By examining the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, we notice significant bullish sentiment among large traders, indicating support for a long position in USD/JPY. This aligns with our supply and demand analysis, which identifies the $149.000 level as a crucial demand zone where buying interest has emerged, providing a solid base for the price to move higher. Seasonality trends also favor this bullish outlook. Historically, this period tends to see strength in USD/JPY, adding confidence to our expectation of a new long setup. The combination of the retest of the demand zone, positive COT positioning, and favorable seasonality trends reinforces our anticipation of a bullish continuation. We are closely monitoring the price action and are prepared to enter a long position, expecting further gains from the current levels. This comprehensive approach, considering technical, sentiment, and seasonal factors, supports our strategy for a bullish setup in USD/JPY. Japanese Yes Futures: ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
6
USDJPY Analysis==>>Falling Wedge PatternUSDJPY is moving in an Ascending Channel and Falling Wedge Pattern . According to the theory of Elliott waves , USDJPY seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves in the Falling Wedge Pattern . I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the first target after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
GBPJPY Correction technically over. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair is currently on a 3-week correction, the strongest and longest since the one that ended on the week of December 11 2023. That was also the last time the pair closed a 1W candle below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). As the long-term pattern is a 22-month Channel Up, every 1W candle closing below the 1D MA50 is a buy opportunity. The last Higher High was priced on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension from the first 1W closing below the 1D MA50. As a result we treat this as a new long-term buy opportunity with our Target at 210.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDJPY But signal when the 1D MA50 breaks.Last time we looked at the USDJPY pair (May 22, see chart below), it gave us a solid buy signal at the bottom of its Channel Up: Since then the price got rejected on Resistance 1 (161.950), forming a Diverging Higher Highs trend-line and pulled back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the bottom of the (blue) 7-month Channel Up. Once the price breaks above the 1D MA50 and better yet the 1D RSI breaks above its MA period (yellow), we will have a new buy opportunity at our hands as in the past 4 occasions that has taken place, it was the absolute bullish break-out confirmation. If it does again, we will buy and target 163.000 (contact with Diverging Higher Highs trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Strong JPY, Weak Nikkei. Trading Plans Post FallAs the JPY has gained value, on propping up rumours via Japan Authorities, we have seen a drop in the Nikkei. The pro growth rates set by the BOJ have allowed the Japanese Nikkei to grow to higher highs continually, inline with the positive market sentiment spurred on by a better global economic outlook and a soft landing. A retracement, however, would reflect some of the economic woes induced by low rates. Anything that turns this around will likely take us back to highs. Conversely, a continuation of current sentiment will bring us lower. Any longs, therefore, must be tiny, if any. Save them till later.
SPREADEX:NIKKEI
by WillSebastian
2
Yen's Sudden Strength: Is the Bank of Japan Back in Action?The recent dramatic rise of the Japanese yen has sent ripples through the financial world. Three sharp surges – on July 11th, 12th, and 17th – have fueled speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is once again intervening in currency markets. These interventions have resulted in a 4% appreciation of the yen against the US dollar, bringing it to ¥156 per dollar. This is a significant rise, especially considering the yen's plunge to 37-year lows earlier in July. While the BoJ hasn't explicitly confirmed its involvement, the timing and nature of the surges strongly suggest its influence. Central banks typically intervene in currency markets to achieve specific economic goals. In the case of Japan, the recent depreciation of the yen has become a cause for concern. A weaker yen makes imports more expensive, contributing to inflation. Additionally, it can destabilize financial markets and harm Japanese exporters who rely on a competitive exchange rate. Possible Reasons for Intervention: • Curbing Inflation: Japan has recently experienced a rise in inflation, exceeding the BoJ's target of 2%. A stronger yen makes imported goods cheaper, helping to ease inflationary pressures. • Supporting Exporters: A weaker yen can initially benefit exporters by making their products cheaper overseas. However, a persistently weak currency can erode profitability in the long run. By stabilizing the yen, the BoJ might be aiming to create a more predictable environment for Japanese exporters. • Signaling Resolve: The BoJ has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy for years, keeping interest rates near zero. This policy has contributed to the yen's weakness. By intervening in the market, the BoJ might be sending a signal of its commitment to preventing further depreciation. Potential Challenges and Implications: • Market Backlash: Excessive intervention by the BoJ could be seen as manipulating the market. This could lead to a loss of confidence in the yen and potentially trigger counter-interventions by other central banks. • Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of currency intervention is often debated. While it can achieve short-term results, it's difficult to sustain a stronger yen in the long run if underlying economic fundamentals don't support it. • Impact on Global Markets: A stronger yen can have a ripple effect on global markets. It can make Japanese investments less attractive to foreign investors and potentially trigger capital outflows. Looking Ahead: The BoJ's recent actions have certainly bolstered the yen. However, it remains to be seen whether this can be sustained. The long-term trajectory of the yen will depend on various factors, including global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and investor sentiment. The BoJ might need to continue intervening if it wants to maintain a more stable exchange rate. However, it will have to tread carefully to avoid unintended consequences and potential market backlash. In conclusion, the recent surge in the yen's value has reignited the debate about currency intervention. While the BoJ's actions might provide some temporary relief, the long-term outlook for the yen remains uncertain. The future path of the Japanese economy and global financial conditions will ultimately determine the fate of the yen.
by bryandowningqln
1
GBPJPY Bearish Robbery Plan to Steal the moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist GBPJPY Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Short
by Thief_Trader
NZDJPY Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The NZDJPY has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 24 2023 bottom and today just made contact with its top (Higher Highs trend-line). We expect a strong rejection, similar to July 05 2023 that pulled-back all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). As a result, we treat today's rejection as a strong sell opportunity. Our Target is 95.580 (Fib 0.382). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CADJPY Strong sell opportunity at the top of the Channel UpThe CADJPY pair gave us an excellent buy signal last time we looked at it (May 30, see chart below) that easily hit our 116.500 Target: Now it is flashing the opposite, a strong sell signal right after a Higher High (top trend-line) rejection on the 7-month Channel Up pattern. Ahead of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross, the opportunity becomes even more obvious. Every Bearish Leg hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before making a Higher Low, so our Target is set at 115.500, which is an optimal level towards the final week of July. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CHFJPY Channel Up resuming towards 189.000The CHFJPY pair is about to end a short-term consolidation, which seems to be symmetrical with the first week of May 2023. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up since December 2022 and the Higher High on that sequence was priced on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. As you can see the 1D RSI sequences between the two Bullish Legs fractals are very similar and we are currently on a bounce formation similar to the May 11 2023 bottom. Our long-term Target is 189.000 (just below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY Approaching the long-term Sell ZoneThe AUDJPY pair gave us an excellent short-term sell signal last time (May 23, see chart below) but after that broke above the medium-term Channel Up aggressively: We now need to zoom out to the longer term 1W time-frame, where we clearly see the dominant pattern of the pair, which has been a Channel Up since the March 16 2020 (COVID) market bottom. Each Higher High was formed when the 1W RSI started forming a Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs. The 1st Bullish Leg was priced after a +32.90% rise, while the 2nd one at +26.70%. As a result, with the 1W RSI overbought above 70.00 for the 2nd time in 6 weeks, we believe that the pair is approaching its long-term Sell Zone on the Higher Highs region. Its Higher Lows have been priced near or on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), so we will take this sell opportunity to target 101.000 (expected contact and breach of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURJPY On a very aggressive Bullish Leg.The EURJPY pair is extending the rise since the December 04 2023 Low, which was a Higher Low on the 27-month Channel Up. Technically, we are half-way on the new Bullish Leg of the pattern and as you can see the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the ultimate Support since its start. The previous 2 Bullish Legs have rose by at least +19.30%, so we expect a similar development. Our Target is at 180.000 (marginally below the +19.30% mark). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot