CADJPY Triangle break-out buyThe CADJPY pair delivered us a very strong buy opportunity last time we made a buy call on it (December 22 2023, see chart below) :
Moving back to the 1D time-frame, the pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 07 2023 Low. Currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg, the price has entered a Triangle consolidation, similar to the pattern of January - February.
So far the fractals appear to be quite identical as following a +3.34%, the price pulled-back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is at the moment holding. As long as it continues to do so, we expect a bullish break-out similar to February's towards the -0.382 Fib extension, hence our Target is 113.500.
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Japaneseyen
GBPJPY Wait for the 1day MA50 to break.GBPJPY is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone.
Every time the 1day MA50 broke downwards, the pattern gave a sell signal with the minimum decline on the Bearish Wave being -4.17%.
If the price does break under the 1day MA50, sell and target 185.500.
The 1day RSI is already on a Bearish Divergence.
Previous chart:
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USDJPY Buy the Resistance break out.USDJPY has reached but yet failed to cross over Resistance A (151.950) since last Wednesday.
The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up so wait until a 1day candle closes over Resistance A and buy the break out.
Target 155.500, which would be a symmetric bullish wave as the first one of this Channel Up.
Previous chart:
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CHFJPY Hit the 1D MA200 after 1 year!The CHFJPY pair almost hit the 172.500 Target that we set on our previous call (December 19 2023, see chart below):
Since then it has pulled back significantly, giving rise to a new Channel Up pattern. The major development is that it is about to touch the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 06 2023.
We are prepared to buy after it breaks, at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, or if the 1D RSI hits the bottom of its Channel Down first, and target the Higher Highs at 173.500.
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AUDJPY Hit the top of the Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair has recently hit our long-term bullish Target of 99.300, which we set on our last trading idea (December 18 2023, see chart below):
That was at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the 1.136 Fibonacci extension of the 9-month Channel Up. We are technically expecting a pull-back now towards the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up and our Target is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 95.600.
If however the price breaks above the Higher High and the Channel Up, we will have a formation bullish break-out and as a result we will take the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at 102.700. In that case we will be expecting a rally similar to June 2023, which led to the creation of the current Channel Up.
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Long USDJPY as Bank of Japan Raises Rates!The hedge fund industry's short weakness on the yen is creating a fantastic opportunity for us to long USDJPY! As the Bank of Japan prepares to raise rates, now is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and potentially make some significant profits.
The recent weakness in hedge fund shorts on the yen has created a favorable environment for us to take advantage of. With the Bank of Japan signaling a potential rate hike shortly, the USDJPY pair is poised for a strong upward movement. This is a golden opportunity for us to get in on the action and potentially ride the wave of a bullish trend.
I urge you all to consider taking a long position on USDJPY and seize this opportunity to potentially profit from the upcoming rate hike. Don't miss out on this chance to make some serious gains in the forex market!
Let's make the most of this exciting opportunity and maximize our potential profits together. Get ready to long USDJPY and ride the wave of success as the Bank of Japan raises rates!
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EURJPY Approaching Channel Up top. Bearish signal.The EURJPY pair is very close to our 168.000 Target that we set on our last analysis (December 13 2023, see chart below):
That is at the top of the 2-year Channel Up that started on the March 07 2022 Low. Technically after that, it calls for a short-term trend-reversal. As a result we modify the bullish Target to 167.400 and then will go for a short-term sell, targeting 164.500.
This is because we have identified a short-term RSI bearish divergence pattern, which when the RSI in on Lower Highs and the pair on Higher Highs (i.e. Bearish Divergence), the price rises to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and then pulls back to the 1.0.
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USD/JPY at Critical Juncture: Evaluating Peaks and Intervention The USD/JPY has surged to multi-year highs in the 151.000s amid a broader strengthening of the US Dollar and shifting trade dynamics, exerting downward pressure on the Japanese Yen. Currently positioned at 151.590, the pair finds itself within a robust resistance zone, hinting at a potential retracement following the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting.
As the USD/JPY approaches a critical intervention zone, historically monitored by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) for FX market stabilization, there arises a likelihood of resistance to further appreciation. This intervention zone, noted by analysts at MUFG, underscores the BoJ's proactive stance in curbing excessive Yen weakness beyond the 150.000 threshold.
The proximity to this intervention zone implies a possible inflection point for the USD/JPY, suggesting a pending reversal or consolidation in the near term. Such dynamics highlight the intricate interplay between central bank interventions and market sentiment, shaping the trajectory of currency pairs like the USD/JPY.
GBPJPY: Head and Shoulders formed. Sell signal.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.345, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 29.640) as the recent bullish run came to an end on the HH trendline. For now the 1D MA50 held but the peak pattern formed is a Head and Shoulders. The 1D MACD is on a Bearish Cross, so the short signal is complete. Our target is the S1 level, potentially a contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 185.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDJPY: Excellent buy opportunity.USDJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.212, MACD = -0.110, ADX = 47.052) but not only is the price making a rebound on the 1D MA200 but the 1D RSI is also staging a rebound from nearly oversold levels, much like it did on July 13th 2023. All this price action is taking place inside a long term Channel Up pattern, so this is a buy opportunity with significant upside potential. Our target is the top of the Channel (TP = 160.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDJPY: Important Key Levels to Watch 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important key levels
to watch on USDJPY.
Resistance 1: 147.6 - 148.0 area
Resistance 2: 149.1 - 149.4 area
Resistance 3: 150.7 - 150.9 area
Support 1: 145.8 - 146.4 area
Support 2: 144.3 - 144.9 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Japanese Yen May Face A RecoveryJapanese Yen has been very weak since start of the year, but we can see a three-wave A-B-C corrective decline on Japanese Yen Futures chart, which can be now completed by current sharp reversal up above important trendline. So, we believe that Japanese yen may now face a recovery in the upcoming days/weeks, maybe months, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
GBPJPY Pull-back to the 1W MA50 as per historic pattern.The GBPJPY pair broke recently above the 2023 High has been consolidating these past 3 weeks. This consolidation can technically be the start of a new correction back towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in order to test the market demand and get confirmation.
This is exactly what took place in October 2014, which as you can see, is the fractal that GBPJPY's 4-year Channel Up (since the March 2020 COVID bottom), is almost identical to. In fact we are at the +53.99% increase level since the bottom as the pair was on September 2014, displaying remarkable fractal symmetry.
Based on that, we are medium-term sellers on GBPJPY, targeting 183.000 (1W MA50) where we will reverse to a buy again and target the top of the Channel Up at 200.000.
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USDJPY Bullish for the rest of the year. Sell in 2025.This time we view the USDJPY pair from a very long-term perspective as there has been much confusion lately over its trend and we want to put things into context. As you can see on the 1M time-frame, the price is getting out of a consolidation phase (blue ellipse) that has been lasting for a little more than a year. The rally since the January 2021 bottom has been enormous but this is not the first time that the pair is pulling out something similar.
Since the April 1995 bottom, there have been another 2 such rallies (Nov 1995 - Aug 1998 and October 2011 - June 2015) of +85% and +66.75% respectively. The first peaked marginally below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension while the second marginally above it.
This indicates that the pair still has considerable room to extend this rally to and the confirmation is that it ust got out of the blue consolidation phase. The previous two give us a Sell Zone within 171.630 - 190.500. As a result, we will stay bullish on USDJPY probably until the end of the year and start selling in 2025 after the price enters the Sell Zone.
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USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For This Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is trading in a bullish trend.
After the price set a new higher high, we see quite an extended consolidation
within a horizontal range.
150.9 is the resistance of the range.
If the market breaks and closes above that on a daily,
we can anticipate a trend-following movement.
Next resistance will be 151.6
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range
may trigger a bearish continuation.
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GBPJPY - GJ DailySimple Trading:
1. Perfect inverted head and shoulders
2. Pull back to the .382 of impulse
3. break above Monthly resistance with a strong higher high above .382
4. Restest to breakout zone/monthly Resistance.
Do not overthink it. We are in a bullish market with clean higher highs. Pay attention to previous high zones (yellow lines). The target is place for 200.000.
EUR-JPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bearish correction and will
Soon hit a horizontal support
Of 161.588 from where we
Will be expecting a bullish rebound
Because we are bullish biased on the pair
Buy!
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