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The USD/JPY pair rises to its highest levels since 1990The USD/JPY pair rises to its highest levels since 1990 The Japanese yen continued its losses during trading on Wednesday, with the USD/JPY pair falling to its lowest levels since July 1990, that is, in nearly 34 years, with the continued strong upward momentum of the American currency and the failure of the recent shifts in monetary policy at the Bank of Japan to give sufficient support to the yen. Japanese. The dollar/yen pair rose to the level of 151.975 yen during early trading in the session, which is the highest level recorded by the pair since the beginning of July 1990, after the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, stated that the Bank of Japan will continue to maintain its current accommodative policy as long as necessary. To support economic growth. But the yen was then able to regain some ground and recovered a bit after Japan's Finance Minister, Shunichi Suzuki, came out with an immediate warning, calling for decisive action by the government, a phrase he last used in late 2022, before the Bank of Japan intervened in the forex market. To buy yen and sell dollars. Last week, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, but despite this, the Bank of Japan's tightening is expected to occur very gradually, which has reinforced the yen's losses, especially in light of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may have to wait. longer before he could cut rates, which gave additional support to the dollar.
by Alexview009
Usdjpy - is market anticipating for something?Tradingview Ideas: Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Has been sideway for the past 6-7 days...something is brewing for USDJPY? Let's watch first..personally i dont have a crystal ball..lend me if you do... so not sure if its gonna break which way..though its still bullish. But let's see.. Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 90.85 from 91.25 to 90.20. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 90.80. We look to Sell at 90.80 (stop at 91.10) Our profit targets will be 90.05 and 89.90 Resistance: 90.80 / 91.10 / 91.40 Support: 90.20 / 89.90 / 89.60 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USDJPY to breakdown?USDJPY - 24h expiry Price action continues to be mixed and volatile for 6 days in succession resulting in spikes in both directions. The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net losses yesterday. Bespoke support is located at 148.96. A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 148.95. Rumours of intervention have resulted in a spike in volatility. A break of 151.02 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. We look to Sell a break of 151.02 (stop at 151.62) Our profit targets will be 149.52 and 149.32 Resistance: 151.97 / 154.73 / 155.00 Support: 150.50 / 149.96 / 148.54 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
CHFJPY Hit the 1D MA200 after 1 year!The CHFJPY pair almost hit the 172.500 Target that we set on our previous call (December 19 2023, see chart below): Since then it has pulled back significantly, giving rise to a new Channel Up pattern. The major development is that it is about to touch the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 06 2023. We are prepared to buy after it breaks, at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, or if the 1D RSI hits the bottom of its Channel Down first, and target the Higher Highs at 173.500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Could USDJPY downside momentum continue?Price is rising towards a pullback resistance level and could potentially reverse from the level to our take profit Entry: 151.659 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 151.974 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance Take profit: 151.033 Why we like it: There is a pullback support Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDJPY Hit the top of the Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair has recently hit our long-term bullish Target of 99.300, which we set on our last trading idea (December 18 2023, see chart below): That was at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the 1.136 Fibonacci extension of the 9-month Channel Up. We are technically expecting a pull-back now towards the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up and our Target is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 95.600. If however the price breaks above the Higher High and the Channel Up, we will have a formation bullish break-out and as a result we will take the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at 102.700. In that case we will be expecting a rally similar to June 2023, which led to the creation of the current Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Sell NZDJPY Bearish FlagThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish flag pattern. This pattern often indicates a continuation of a downtrend following a brief period of consolidation. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) around the current price of 90.85, positioned near the resistance line of the flag. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the downtrend. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels: 90.30: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected downwards from the breakout point. 89.92: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the flagpole (the initial downtrend before the flag formation). Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag, ideally around 91.30. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks above the flag pattern. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
2
Tokyo Inflation to trigger yen Intervention? But at what price?Recent remarks made by Masato Kanda, Japan's vice-finance minister for international affairs, have led to heightened cautiousness regarding potential actions by authorities to support the yen through intervention. The USD/JPY has comfortably surpassed the 150.000 threshold, which historically has prompting interventions by the Bank of Japan to limit the weakness in the yen. This precedent was observed in 2022 when the currency reached 151.950 against the US dollar. But have the intervention goal posts moved? Maybe only slightly. Credit Agricole’s FAST FX model suggests a selling strategy for USD/JPY if it crosses 152.20. Anticipated inflation data for Tokyo, scheduled for release later this week, could serve as a potential trigger for intervention. A higher-than-expected reading may positively impact the JPY, indicating bullish sentiment and potentially help the BoJ avoid the need to intervene. Conversely, a lower-than-anticipated figure could exert a bearish influence on the JPY.
by BlackBull_Markets
Long USDJPY as Bank of Japan Raises Rates!The hedge fund industry's short weakness on the yen is creating a fantastic opportunity for us to long USDJPY! As the Bank of Japan prepares to raise rates, now is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and potentially make some significant profits. The recent weakness in hedge fund shorts on the yen has created a favorable environment for us to take advantage of. With the Bank of Japan signaling a potential rate hike shortly, the USDJPY pair is poised for a strong upward movement. This is a golden opportunity for us to get in on the action and potentially ride the wave of a bullish trend. I urge you all to consider taking a long position on USDJPY and seize this opportunity to potentially profit from the upcoming rate hike. Don't miss out on this chance to make some serious gains in the forex market! Let's make the most of this exciting opportunity and maximize our potential profits together. Get ready to long USDJPY and ride the wave of success as the Bank of Japan raises rates! www.hedgeweek.com
Long
by bryandowningqln
EURJPY Approaching Channel Up top. Bearish signal.The EURJPY pair is very close to our 168.000 Target that we set on our last analysis (December 13 2023, see chart below): That is at the top of the 2-year Channel Up that started on the March 07 2022 Low. Technically after that, it calls for a short-term trend-reversal. As a result we modify the bullish Target to 167.400 and then will go for a short-term sell, targeting 164.500. This is because we have identified a short-term RSI bearish divergence pattern, which when the RSI in on Lower Highs and the pair on Higher Highs (i.e. Bearish Divergence), the price rises to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and then pulls back to the 1.0. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Building The Case For The BIG Yen Reversal?? (Coming Soon)Unless you've been living under a rock the last few years you have seen the massive depreciation in the Japanese Yen against every other major currency pair in this post I'm going to share with you why I think the BIG reversal in fast approaching. This post is much like the post I did on the CHF at the beginning of the Year where I correctly predicted a major correction (see related post) where every single CHF pair had reached key higher timeframe support levels and buy zones at the same time. A similar story is occurring in the major JPY cross pairs also at the same time we have the BOJ finally ending negative rates and hinting of more possible rate hikes this Year whilst other central banks are talking about cutting rates with the SNB leading the race last week. First off is the USDJPY you can see on the Monthly chart where 152 is acting as a key resistance level that goes all the way back to 1990 this is a key technical level. Next is the GBPJPY I did a post on this last week about the likelihood of a sell off from the 193 Monthly resistance level (see image below) Then we have the AUDJPY which the 100 mark last week which is approaching a key resistance zone @101 above this zone has seen massive corrections in the past (see image below) Next is the NZDJPY which I done a post on several months ago showing you the importance of the 93 resistance and the likelihood of a correction from this level which the chart below shows we got a rally to here followed by a sell off. Next is the EURJPY which last week got the break above 165 before selling off shortly back below last years high of 164 the chart below shows 2 key resistance areas here @164 and @167 where we have seen massive sell offs before. As you can see all the major pairs are at or approaching key Monthly resistance levels and sell zones where there have been huge corrections from in the past. To me this is a massive correlation across all the major pairs and very much indicating that a change in the tide is coming very soon. This very much is mimicking exactly what happened with the CHF pairs this year. Will the same happen with the JPY pairs only time will tell but it's looking very good there are several ways to trade this build into sell positions across all pairs off course this can increase your risk exposure and off course swap fees or you can trade yen futures. Off course the timing of this reversal is the hard part as it's the Monthly charts could take several months to play out or more. And then there is the possibility that I am wrong and the YEN weakens more and all these major levels get blown out at the same time :) Let me know what you think in the comments :)
Short
by TheFxAce
8
This week’s 4 major trading eventsIn the United States, traders are awaiting insights from Federal Reserve policymakers, particularly Chief Jerome Powell, scheduled to speak on Friday. Fed members Bostic and Cook will also appear on Monday. Economic data in Europe will be limited this week due to the Easter break, with major bourses closed for Good Friday and Easter Monday. Perhaps the only event of note is ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking on Monday. In Japan, attention will be focused on minutes from the BoJ's recent meeting and the Summary of Opinions for insights into potential follow-up actions following the historic interest rate hike seen last week. In Australia, February’s inflation rate expectations for March, as well as consumer confidence, are expected to fall. Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance and seize trading opportunities (see below for link)
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
EurJpy at a level to watchHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Trend on the jpy crosses were mostly to the upside, pullback was seen on last thur,fri, currently lets see how the trendline and key support holds. will it propel it higher? This is same for EJ. UJ has a potential double tops.not confirmed yet though Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY 1. Monthly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point. - Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones. 2. Weekly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY. 3. Daily Time Frame: - Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe. Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators 1. Federal Reserve's Stance: - Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached. - Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing. 2. Economic Indicators: - Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain. 3. Market Reaction: - Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it. 4. Future Projections: - Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY. - Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics. 5. USD/JPY Specifics: - Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen. Trading Implications for USD/JPY - Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs. - Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning. - Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair. Conclusion For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
Long
by Wiiso
Will EURJPY bearish momentum stall?EURJPY - Intraday Price action looks to be forming a top. A lower correction is expected. Short term bias is bullish. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 163.40 level. We look to Buy at 163.40 (stop at 162.30) Our profit targets will be 164.40 and 164.70 Resistance: 167.35 / 168.95 / 171.20 Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA