Elliott Wave (3) Awakening: Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd.Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. has completed wave (1) in blue Intermediate degree on the weekly chart from its inception till the peak in September 2021. Wave (2) has completed at the bottom in June 2024. We are now possibly starting to unfold wave (3) in blue Intermediate degree on the weekly chart, which is generally a strong impulse wave.
Wave (3) Characteristics and Strength:
- Strong Impulse: Wave (3) is typically the most powerful and extended wave in the Elliott Wave cycle, characterized by strong price movements and high trading volumes.
- Fibonacci Extension Target: The ideal target for wave (3) is the 161.8% extension of wave (1). Using the Trend-based Fibonacci Extension tool, this projects a price target near 1000.
- Subdivisions: Wave (3) is expected to subdivide into five smaller waves (minor degree), each representing a smaller impulse move within the larger wave.
Current Price Action:
- Current Price: 265
- Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level: 220 (last swing low)
- Breakout Confirmation: 277 (a break and close above this level will confirm the start of wave (3))
Technical Indicators:
- Bullish Divergence: At the bottom in June 2024, double bullish divergence was observed, signaling potential reversal.
- Dow Theory Confirmation: We are waiting for the first higher high and higher low formation to confirm the bullish impulse. This pattern will strengthen the case for wave (3) initiation.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Risk: Very low, with the stop-loss set at the invalidation level of 220.
- Reward: Potentially huge, with a target of 1000 or more, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (1).
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Excellent, considering the low risk and high reward potential.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry Point: Consider entering a position now while the price is at 265, with a stop-loss at 220.
- Confirmation Entry: A more conservative entry can be made once the price breaks and closes above 277.
Conclusion:
Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. appears to be in the early stages of wave (3) in blue Intermediate degree. Given the characteristics of wave (3) and the current technical setup, this presents an attractive trading opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Monitoring the price action for a break above 277 will provide further confirmation of the bullish impulse wave.
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RK💕
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The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Laxmiorganic
Why Laxmi Organics is a strong Short to Medium term BUY NSE:LXCHEM
TEN POINTS
1. Laxmi Organic Industries is a specialty chemical manufacturer, focused on two key business segments - Acetyl Intermediates (AI) and Specialty Intermediates (SI)..The company is currently among the largest manufacturers of ethyl acetate in India with a market share of approximately 30% of the Indian ethyl acetate market. Laxmi Organic exports about 25% of the manufactured products.
Additionally, it is the only manufacturer of diketene derivatives in India with a market share of approximately 55% of the Indian diketene derivatives market in terms of revenue in FY21 and one of the largest portfolios of diketene products
2. Stock gained 50% in one month only after listing -hitting a high of 628 and reported a significant jump in its net profit to ₹98.68 crore in the quarter ending June as compared to ₹18 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal. Its revenue from operations also witnessed a massive jump to ₹689 crore from 354 crore in the year-ago quarter.
3. However massive rainfall in Pune factory forced the company to close one of its factories for some time during the SEP 21 quarter and Net profit tumbled from ~98 cr in SEP 21 to 10.3 cr in SEP 21 qtr.
4. Coupled with profit booking the stock tumbled to 385 levels.
5. After a 3 month consolidation the company seems to be turning around its limitations shown in the previous quarter.
6. On the positive side- India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has upgraded Laxmi Organic Industries Limited’s (LOIL) Long-Term Issuer Rating to ‘IND AA-’ from
‘IND A+’. The Outlook is Stable, the ratings agency quoted
7. Despite 60% decline in SI volumes on qoq basis on account of 45 days shut down at SI Unit (Mahad) which caused heavy loss, Laxmi’s H1FY22 profits were close to FY21 performance led by rapid growth in specialty business and higher spreads in acetyl business during the first quarter and normalised acetyl spreads during the second quarter. There is a strong visibility on SI order book for H2FY22. Laxmi has acquired significant international accounts during Q2FY22, as 24% of SI sales were from exports as against 5% in Q2FY21.
8. Buying at current levels is recommended for a short to medium term target of 500-520 for the short term and 620 for the longer term.
9. Maintain stop loss around 430
10. Risk reward ratio of 1:3