Levels
Most important levels for BTC and how you can mark them yourselfCurrent Year view BITMEX:XBTUSD
Marked more important levels.
Yearly open YO
Yearly low YL
Monthly open MO
Monthly high MH
Monthly low ML
Weekly open WO
Weekly low WL
weekly high WH
Green if above YO MO WO
Red if below opens.
I'll update this post all months!
You can see these levels in you chart with this script:
Asynchronous BTC cycle with some altcoins. How to make money.How to make money on some altas that go completely against the Bitcoin trend or are ahead / behind? How to use it for profit taking? The cycle on the principle of working on btc / usd - alt / usd - btc / usd.
On many coins, a downward channel has now formed, both in the Alt / btc and Alt / USD pairs, most go synchronously to bitcoin. Which is logical, as bitcoin is growing in value in dollars. And on the one hand it seems in dollars, that is, in real money you will not earn anything on this. But some coins, on the contrary, move asynchronously, or at least late to the BTC / USD movement. Very often the difference is quite significant even in pairs to USD. This will be discussed.
There are many pairs that asynchronously go a large period of time Alt / BTC, Alt / USD. I think that it is understood that the price itself does not move as a counterweight, but it is intentionally directed at a certain period of time by people who have their own interest in this.
For a long time I have been watching how this is discussed in various resources on the topic of trading and cryptocurrencies. As a rule, these discussions and explanations do not have practical application, because the explanations come retroactively on the chart.
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Explanations of the work.
XLM / USD
As an example, we see that a false breakdown on XLM / USD happened on November 12th. + 80% Then lowering the price to the lower border of the internal channel. And now the price is kept at the same level + - 15%. Roughly speaking, the price is kept from rising.
BTC / USD
At the same time, bitcoin is a completely different situation, although at first glance it seems similar. Just on November 12, a gradual, and then a sharp decline in the price of BTC / USD to the lower border of the domestic channel began, by -22%. And the price immediately rebounded + 20%. Let me remind you after reaching the borders of the internal channel on the XLM / USD pair, the price is kept at the same level, not allowing it to grow.
It is also worth noting that the channels are enormously different in terms of percentage step by XLM / USD and BTC / USD:
XLM / USD - 180% / 60%
BTC / USD - 50% / 25%
I think that you understand that this and the difference in the percentage step of the channel, plus the delay in price movement, is used to take profits. Also, the XLM / USD coin has good liquidity, then you can take substantial profits. In this pair, due to the large liquidity, you can scroll a fairly large amount of money.
Principle of operation.
Here is a simple example on an XLM / USD coin that formed a downstream channel like BTC / USD. But inside the channel, the movement is asynchronous to BTC / USD. Now the price of XLM / USD is moving down to the trend line of the internal channel , which acts as a support, the movement is now frozen in a lateral movement above this trend. Price does not allow further movement.
While BTC / USD, the price goes up to the upper trend line of the domestic channel. At the upper border of the channel, if there is no breakthrough and consolidation above, we sell BTC / USD (sold at the local maximum of the channel). At the same time, perhaps XLM / USD will reach the bottom of the channel. We buy at the local minimum of the downstream channel XLM / USD for dollars that we received for selling bitcoin at local maximums.
Then the whole action is repeated the other way around. It should also be borne in mind that this asynchronous arbitration is a profitable business, but altas always, when trend reversals, are ahead of BTC in profit in making real money. The correct entry / exit point is important. Hurry and greed is never necessary.
I also want to add that in most cases, those coins that are sent to Bitcoin asynchronously are clamped in the horizontal channel. Rare cases, as an example, are higher on the XLM in the downstream channel, even less often in the upstream channel. The reason I think is understandable, as it is a completely manipulative action and it is easier to adjust the price precisely in the horizontal channel. You also need to understand that a certain pair can work for a while. I only know a few pairs that have been working asynchronously for bitcoin for more than a year and a half. This is a gold mine.
Part 1. An Algorithm Based Support & Resistance ToolWelcome!
Today I'll be demonstrating the efficacy of a method I've determined to identify and trade support and resistance (S/R) zones in real-time.
Normally, traditional technical analysis requires a S/R zone to experience multiple validation events (touches, reverses, bounces), before it becomes tradeable. The downside to this method is that numerous profitable trades are bypassed while confirmation is being developed. Unfortunately, many of the most profitable S/R trades appear soon after a level develops (think double/triple tops).
After much research and experimentation, I've come up with a tool/indicator that can identify significant S/R zones in real-time. Once a bar closes, there is ZERO repainting. As the chart above shows, this means that you can trade a level as soon as price returns to it - no matter how quickly that occurs.
The tool takes into account (not in order of weight):
Price action
Volume
Chart patterns
Volatility
Momentum
By combining multiple methods of analysis, levels are formed quickly, yet accurately. It's pretty important at this point to mention that I'm not claiming this is a get rich quick plan. All the tool does is identify potentially profitable zones that price will often react to. However, it's not infallible (nothing is), and it doesn't teach you to trade. You, as the trader, need to know how to trade price action to ensure a confirmation signal is given before trading a S/R event. You also need to know how to set a stop less, determine appropriate levels of risk, and undertake trade management to ensure profitability.
Now, some people say S/R zones are easy to identify - in that case, what's the point of this tool? Simply, this tool takes the guesswork/bias out of S/R zones. As human beings, we're uniquely unsuited to investing money. We're irrational, emotional, ill-disciplined, and impulsive. Frankly, the average person (of which I'm one), needs every useful tool they can get their hands on. This tool means that one step (determining a trade area), is covered for you. That's it.
Given the proprietary nature of the tool, and the value it has, I won't be releasing the code for it. At least not yet. However, something I really enjoy is helping other traders, so I've decided to start producing charts across various markets that identify relevant S/R zones identified by this tool. At this point in time they'll be provided free of charge, but depending on the demand for multiple markets (and time frames), that may change in the future.
Oh, and remember that zone I mention in the chart above? The one between 27.47 and 27.17? The one from 1995? See the comments below for an example of how it came into play 24 years later...
If you have any queries please let me know. And let me know which charts & time frames (bearing in mind, like most things, the higher the time frame the more reliable the signals).
DD
Support and Resistance Levels with auto Fibonacci Setup TutorialIdentify horizontal support and resistance lines using your choice of 6 methods.
Available options
Lookback window: Number of bars back to consider in calculations
Lookback window right (only applicable for methods 3 and 4): Number of bars to the right to consider in calculations
Number of S/R lines to plot: S/R lines to plot (currently the max setting is 4 so 8 lines due to pine limitations. I can post separate scripts for each method that allow more depending on user feedback)
Use Custom Time Frame? (M1, M6, M5 only work if viewing lower TF): Set a custom timeframe in minutes, then 1D for daily, 3D for 3 daily etc.
Calculation offset: How many of the most recent bars to ignore in the calculations.
Update Frequency: How many bars to wait until updating the lines since the last update.
Things to tweak.
I still need to test the methods, depending on that and feedback I can post separate scripts for each method that allow more depending lines or scrap some.
I'll tweak the parameters for using linebreaks to scrap them. Currently required a three close through it (so two in one direction and one in the other).
Fibs don't work on the static timeframe as I've reached certain restriction in the coding system.
Link to Indicator
Below are some examples using the default settings (which I have not optimized as of yet)
Method 1
Method 2
Method 3
Method 4
Method 5
Method 6
Referral Links
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www.bitmex.com
TradingView (50% off after trial period ends)
tradingview.go2cloud.org
Tip Jar
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level attack without buildup, the recipe for a trapWhen you have your eyes consistently at the same important levels (preferably horizontal ones), you'll quickly see the difference between a buildup that creates a powerful breakout vs a breakout fail / trap.
Naked run ups like this can be scary to get in front of, and it's not a straightforward entry, especially if you're executing on the H1. But this is why you should be building libraries of similar setups. If price knifes through that level and shoots straight up, its likely because of some really spectacular news catalyst. But in NORMAL market conditions, this is a great trap patter to study.
I think I recently shared a chart showing consistent buildup ahead of a level on the NQ. Several turns, wedging, etc BEFORE the level's probed. That's power, like a coiling snake. But no coiling here.
Think about the psych of the traders involved here.
The Bulls who bought down low are happy and probably looking for an excuse to cover. Smart longs are covering at least part of their position here (sell orders).
Some late FOMO Bulls are looking to get in and will try and buy on a probe past highs. Big money isn't doing this.
Bears are entering and keep pushing price back under the level (check out the 15m). With each bar, more Bears are selling.
IF price pokes back up above highs, that's usually where Bears will tap out and the BO will be safe. This actually momentarily happens on the 15m, but it ends up turning into a second Bull trap.
From the same perspective, once we've got that wedge, a push below the wedge spells the end of the Bulls. When it happens, there's no fail of a fail....Bulls pull out, and price crushes back into the big range.
Sell GBPJPY (educational)Sell GBPJPY (educational)
"kalbotical retracement confluence 1"
1. Up Trend line broken
2. down Trend line formed
3. second leg has a strongest momentum
so possible third leg
for some kind of 1-2-3-4-5 structure )
You can catch momentu e.g with
Squeeze Momentum Indicator
4. Look left for S/R zone
5 perfect Fib level - .618
6. Kalbot RSI shows
the fastRSI line in the
overbought area,
so there is a possible end of retracement
7. Top predictor (or your mentor)
loves this structure too
8. Plan your trade
trade with one of possible strategies .
e.g countertrendline break ( 9 ) strategy
StopLoss 30 pips above U-turn
Take profit
:- 100 pips (3:1 trade)
:- or -0.25 Fibs extension (10)
:- or Look left for S/R level (11)
12 trade your plan