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Stock market weakness affects goldGold retreated over $100 from its all-time highs established earlier this month. Interestingly, this move down follows a pullback of similar magnitude in the U.S. stock market, which we have repeatedly referred to as a threat to gold’s spectacular performance; one minor detail to point out here is that this time around, gold seems to be falling in reaction to what has been happening in the stock market, unlike in previous corrections throughout 2023 and 2024, when gold either preceded weakness in stocks or did not react to it. But now, the stock market appears to be at a critical point of either breaking down or staging a recovery, with many big names reporting their earnings this week, which can help to achieve one of these objectives. If corporate results do not meet investors’ expectations and, by any chance, there are significant downgrades to future guidance along with announcements of new layoffs, then it is unlikely the situation will calm investors’ nerves and lead to recovery. Contrarily, it is more likely to produce more fear among market participants, which could inadvertently lead to more selling in the stock market, accompanied by weakness in gold. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. The area between $2,000 and $2,075 acts as an important base in the case of a strong stock market selloff. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 depicts XAUUSD’s RSI on the weekly timeframe. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover, a worrisome sign for gold. The same crossover can also be observed on the daily chart; besides that, Stochastic and MACD also reversed to the downside. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bullish (stalling with bearish signs) *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
2
Copper: just some infosHi Guys, Interesting time for copper! Chinese smelters and global miners meet every November to negotiate the annual benchmark for the following year’s TC/RCs. Miners pay treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) to smelters to process concentrate into refined metal. When supply is scarce, refiners have to charge less to attract what they need. This comes when an unofficial Chinese ban on Australian copper concentrate imports could hurt Chinese smelters in their negotiations with miners on benchmark treatment charges for 2021, traders and analysts said. While Australia is not a big supplier of copper concentrate to China, the row comes as supplies from South America have been disrupted by the coronavirus epidemic which looks set to erode the bargaining power of smelters in China to buy for next year. On Monday the Candelaria Union will decide how to carry on the strike commenced at the beginning of October that disrupted supply. From a technical point of view to note that despite the divergence between price and sentiment, the commodity keeps pushing towards the 3.2 level. Will it drop from this level or will it continue higher? Please share your view in the comments below. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Cozzamara Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumstances.
OANDA:XCUUSD
by cozzamara
2
Gold when markets entered risk-offHi Guys, On Feb 20 markets started to go down due to COVID19. Here I posted some daily screenshots of: SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, DAX, CAC, FTMIB, FTSE, WTI When economic conditions weaken and risk appetite decline, Gold normaly goes up because it is considered by many a safe haven. But the move in Gold did not happen right on Feb 20. Instead Gold went down to find support on the 200SMA before starting the run up into April. To note that RSI is approx to enter above 70 zone which means overbought. However, in the short term, this is a signal of strong bullish momentum IMHO. There is also to note that the move made by Gold from Mar 20 is very similar to the move made by stock markets on Mar 23 when FED shot their "bazooka". However, whilst what happened from A in stock markets is a "bear rally", what happened in Gold from A is a "bull run". GOLD BULL RUN SPX BEAR RALLY Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Copper: some infosHi Guys, both formations V-Shape and U-Shape are considered to be supportive formations. V-Shaped recovery: www.investopedia.com U-Shaped recovery: www.investopedia.com Please share your views or comment and if you have any questions please do not hesitate to ask. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
OANDA:XCUUSD
by cozzamara
Copper (HG) comes back to the support attack in the $ 2.54 areaBeyond all fakeouts, for copper until now the area $ 2.54 has proven to be hard to breakthrough. If the US stock market maintains its bearish bias also in March, then most likely this will be a right time to see copper below $ 2.50. However, the decline will be more pronounced on the copper at the LME (London Metal Exchange) than on that at the NYMEX. Be careful though, copper certainly suffers from the situation in China due to the 2019-nCoV, but keep in mind that China was the first infected nation and will be the first to resume, compared to other countries affected by the virus.
COMEX:HG1!
by TradingwDavid
GOLD: what if...Hi Guys, uncertainties over a US China Trade Deal by year end formed a double bottom in divergence with RSI that favoured the pullback from D into descending 200SMA and on upper band of the 100BB. To note that this encounter between BB and SMA occurred when sentiment was overbought. A similar formation occurred few weeks ago when B was forming. Here the idea posted at the time: The pullback from B retraced 0,382 Fibo of AB before receiving the push down by the 100SMA to from D. Is the 200SMA pushing the same? Or will price manage to break through towards E(D) into descending trendline? If the latter was going to happen, and that is a CUP & Handle, a good opportunity may be when handle breakout. But, it may not be that easy to position with adequate stops as a 200SMA keeping price down is very strong. TO NOTE. NFP will be released today. For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by cozzamara
GOLD: US vs China trade war TimelineHi Guys, I had this idea from Reutres as today they published an article with a nice SPX chart with a timeline of the US-China Trade War. For easy reference please find below the article. www.reuters.com To note how trade news impact both markets in a short-medium terms whilst on longer terms other factors IMHO have a much bigger impact i.e. monetary policies and fiscal policies. Please share your view and for additional infos about GOLD have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by cozzamara
7
GOLD: some infosHi Guys, Just some thoughts. Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. The GOLD Discussion CHAT is real fun. Join IN. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Gold: narrative of the pullback from BHi Guys, here below technical structures: Here the post iro pullback of AB: More infos: Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
2
Gold: where are the opportunities?Hi Guys, it was on Aug.12 when I posted the following chart and Gold was at 1495 running into 1560: Fear of tariffs and worries over deterioration of US-China negotiations drove that run. Today those worries are creeping in again at 1445, and this is what stopped Gold at B. As far as the main Daily Chart of this post is concerned, to note that from 2 price commenced a correction inside a TR with the shape of a flag with lower point at B (1445), retracing 0.382 fibo of the Bull Run (1->2). Click & Play the followings to watch how price moves compared to structures: Questions: 1) Can the retracement of bull run (1-2) be extended into 200SMA? 2) If yes, how why and when? 3) Can the pullback from B be extended? 4) If yes, how why and when? 3) Disregarding directions, where are the opportunities? Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
3
Gold: some infosHi Guys, the top made when price hit 200SMA diverge a little with RSI. Lower band of light blue area may be last line for support for the distribution period B to C to continue. Need to consider that retracement of AB may be completed. Price is forming 3-3-3 moves inside violet TR. B was formed due to uncertanties iro US-China negotiations and possibly deteriorations affecting World economies. But how USD/JPY is reacting? What are DXY and other inter-connected markets doing? Will the Yuan be subject to manipulation? What's their structure and what can they tell us? Please share your view and for additional infos about Gold have a look to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: potential Cup & Handle formation to end ABHi Guys, This is my view on Gold for a short term pullback into 0,382 Fibonacci retracing AB at 1472. Below how AB looks in the daily chart and where 1472 is. Please also click & play the following chart prior of making B (above) And this is the 1hr chart with more or less the same infos. For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
1
Gold: there is a divergenceHi Guys, the above chart is providing a structure within the context of SPX and US-China trade deal. Gold pulling back following Reuters' news Following what happened in the last few days based on growing optimism iro US-China trade deal, here is the link to an article published by Reuters today on the subject. (www.reuters.com) The vertical grey line is when I posted the same chart yesterday morning. If you click & play the following, you will end up looking at the same structure. To note: RSI lows are in divergence with 3 to b. RSI makes a low higher then b right when Trump tells to journalist that he had not agreed to roll back tariffs. Technically the short term structure may suggest a pullback into descending SMA but in order for it to happen, optimism must fade away otherwise please note that Friday closed below 3, which, IMHO is very bearish. IMHO the question is: the RISK-ON mood that was triggered last Thursday is still ON or is already feading? If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
5
Gold: some infosHi Guys, following the idea posted yesterday, Gold broke out the distribution period to make a low at n.3 lower then n.2 and complete the Zig-Zag. Yesterday's bullish opening of the stock market prompted Gold bearish move into n.3. Growing optimism in respect of US-China Trade Deal is favouring a Risk-On mood despite lot's of issues are still pending. However, the rolling back of tariffs is the latest sign of progress. As fas as the above chart is concerned please refer to yesterday's post to appreciate the 200SMA pushing down into n.2 for the breach of 1480 level (violed dotted line). Gold stopped at 3 to pullback during night time (after US markets closed). However it fell again this morning just after 9:00 (European Time) o'clock. Another period of distribution into descending 116SMA may be a possibility like it happened after n.2 was made. However it could still keep falling from A (red) towards n.3 or below if stock markets increase their gains. Please note that RSI is adjusted at 47 in order to follow below 116SMA. AToW sentiment remains into bearish territory below 50line. Latest candlesticks on Daily and Weekly structures looks bearish to me: If you have any questions or comment to add please do not hesitate to post it. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Gold: some infosHi Guys, here some infos and some questions iro Gold daily. For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. For example click & play the following chart to watch how it moved since August 12th when it was posted. In relation to such structure please note how price found support just above the upper boundery of previous flag pattern. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Gold: some infosHi Guys, the above structure is a follow up of my post published on Jul 3: What will happen next? What does it mean the big divergence with sentiment? Is it an opportunity to buy the pullback for a run towards 1500 or is it a bulls' trap? For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
7
SILVER: Close up on support at $14Hi Guys, double bottom supporting at $14. 2nd bottom forming in divergence with RSI oversold. 230SMA stopping the pull back and pushing down as in 2016. IMHO a cross of the 230SMA with price breaking and consolidating above $16 may trigger a run towards $20 (1000SMA) with 1st TP at $18. Otherwise, IMHO, if support at $14 is breached, Silver will probably keep going down. Here is a scenario for the run IMHO unlikely but possible...key level $15 to support otherwise next $14.5. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:SILVER
by cozzamara
Gold: what's behind impulse 1 and 2Hi Guys, This 4 hour chart.N2 follows previous daily chart N.1. The idea is to provide a technically correct structure that follows the move commenced at 0 (ZERO). Key factors that supported Gold into 0 (ZERO) for the breakout are: 1) Deterioration of US China negotiations that entered a stalemate at the beginning of May; 2) Arising tensions in the Middle East Mid-May; 3) Worries over a No-Deal Brexit gets real when Theresa May announces she is stepping down on May 24th (officially on June 7h). These are IMHO the three Key Factors that led Gold into 0 (ZERO) and generated the breakout of the handle. 0 (ZERO) = c in below chart (the end of the handle) The meeting of the FED happend after, on June 19th. This factor triggered impulse 2 as the FED statement induced the market to expect a rate cut. TO NOTE: These expectations are in contrast with FED posture since January this year. PAUSE mode. The shift was induced by deteriorating wording in the FED statement plus dovish comments by Chairman Powell. When FED members expressed cautiosness in the days following the meeting Gold was already at 1440. QUESTION: Is this run completed? For additional infos about Gold please refer to the related ideas linked at the end of this post. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
Gold: what's happeningHi Guys, the first time I thought it could form a Cup & Handle it was on March 26, 2019 when I published the idea on TradingView. For easy reference please click the image below: Since then I've been trying to undestand gold behavior until it broke out the handle for the upside which confirmed the overall bias as a bullish continuation pattern. Factors that helped Gold to breakout the handle for the upside are: 1) US China stalemate beginning of May, 2) Theresa May stepping down with increase uncertainties over Brexit; 3) Raising tensions in ME; 4) FED posture; All these ingredients increased appetite for safe havens and Gold reacted in accordance with fundamentals and technicals. The main reason why I neglected Gold these days is because I could not find a target after the breakout. I knew it was running high but when it slowed down at 1360 I thought it was topping. Instead it went to 1440 following the FED on Jun 19. The day after the FED markets expected a rate cut in July. But the following week FED members inlcuding Bullard didn't sound dovish at all. This "U-Turn" made gold hit 1440 and retreat IMHO. Technically the move is completed IMHO as 1440 was the perfect Take Profit following the breakout of the handle. Infact, according to Investopedia: "A profit target is determined by measuring the distance between the bottom of the cup and the pattern’s breakout level, and extending that distance upward from the breakout." For full detail about Cup&Handle please refer to the full article: 1300 - 1160 = 140 1300 + 140 = 1440 Now we have to wait for the G20. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: from week17 to week20Hi Guys, the above picture is intended to provide a structural meaning to the moves made by Gold in the last two weeks. AToW, 10 minutes into the hourly candlestick, Gold is trying to break above 1300. If it does please consider this structure void. With reference to the BIG S H S letters in red above, please focus on the LITTLE S H S in red in the chart below: Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: Building divergence at 1285Hi Guys, the title speaks for itself. The trend is still down below 200SMA but the building divergence with RSI at 1285 may well favour a pull back into the 200SMA but AToW 50SMA still pushing down. OTOH it could still push and break below 1285 before mid week13. Don't forget the Cup & Hanlde Formation and the Bull Run started mid-Aug'18 which Gold is now retracing at 1285 (related ideas linked below). IMHO it will extend into the handle for a little time longer but the intra-day pullback may present an opportunity. Let's see how the move unfolds. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara
GOLD: focusing on the 4H chart (and triple S)Hi Guys, following my previous post please find above 4H chart focusing on the triple S support before the pullback at the end of week17. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
TVC:GOLD
by cozzamara