BTCUSDT1. Bitcoin has given us 3 fractals and examples on how to counter trend sediment.
2. Max Fear in bull Markets are unbelievable entry points.
3. We have many huge bids at $57k-59k that will never be filled IMO.
4. Market will take off as in last 3 examples leaving buyers behind.
5. 2.1B Short Liquidations above us will give us great fuel to restart this run.
M-oscillator
Why I Think EURUSD Will Buy This Week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
I think EU will be buying this week. Please remember that this is only a technical analysis, so check the news and cross-reference your chart and indicators. Here is what I am looking at:
- The market has already rejected a previous demand zone causing the price to continue to buy
- The 3 EMA (blue) has crossed above the 10 EMA (purple) on the H1 timeframe, which is a confirmation of a buying trend for me
- The STOCH is facing up and the fast line (blue) has already crossed above 20 and back into the shaded area.
Signals you can wait for:
- The 3 EMA (blue) to cross above the 10 EMA (purple) on the H4 timeframe.
- The slow line (orange) to cross above 20 and back into the shaded area
I entered this trade for a market execution buy and set a buy limit in the demand area.
Great luck and happy trading this week on all your trades! Let me know if you take this trade idea and how it plays out for you.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
$SPY April 18, 2024AMEX:SPY April 18, 2024
15 Minutes.
Closed shorts yesterday at 500 in SPY.
We have 494 as a daily 100 average and 21 in weekly.
At the moment I do not expect a trend change to long.
I expect any upside to be resisted around 506 levels being 50 average in 15 minutes.
If we consider the fall from 517.28 to 499.12 we have 61.8% retracement around 510 levels. It is also 200 averages in 15 minutes.
The three LL in 15 minutes had created an oscillator divergence.
Hence if we have a gap up or a relief rally towards 506 levels I will short.
1-Indicator Strategy For Beginners...The Stochastic Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Wednesday!
I wanted to share one of my top 3 favorite indicators with you.... The Stochastic (STOCH). As a leading (vs lagging) indicator, it is perfect for beginners because you can find entry and exit signals with only a few key details.
Adding the STOCH to your chart:
1. Search the indicators for "STOCHASTIC" and click once to add to your chart. The only thing that I modify is the thickness of the lines but feel free to make further changes to your liking.
2. Make sure that the "indicators and financial values" option is ON. Right-click your scales, select labels, and make sure "indicators and financial values" is checkmarked.
Entry signals for a buy:
- The STOCH is facing up
- The fast line (blue) is above the slow line (orange)
- The STOCH has crossed above the 20% level, from oversold, back into the blue-shaded area
Exit the trade or take profit once the STOCH has crossed back below the 80% level, from overbought, into the blue-shaded area.
Entry Signals for a sell:
- The STOCH is facing down
- The slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue)
- The STOCH has crossed below the 80% level, from overbought, back into the blue shaded area
Exit the trade or take profit once the STOCH has crossed back above the 20% level, from oversold, into the blue-shaded area.
I hope that this video helps someone become a more independent and profitable trader. Let me know in the comments if you try this strategy!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
DAX short-term traders are bullishThe DAX hourly chart is showing signs of support. However, the daily chart is still under pressure.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
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Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$SPY April 17, 2024AMEX:SPY April 17, 2024
15 Minutes.
Consolidation day.
Today is Wednesday. I am expecting a one sided move.
For the fall 506.5 to 502.61, AMEX:SPY retraced 78% and fell at close.
For the two lows 502.43 and 502.22 we have oscillator divergence.
I believe the uptrend for that divergence is over from 502.2 to 506.
Today action will be above 507 or below 502.
My upside target is limited to 509-510 levels.
My downside target is 497-500.
I prefer to short at the moment.
I generally go long ony when AMEX:SPY is above all moving averages.
SOUN Analysis: Support Zone Rebound Potential with RSI UptrendTicker: SOUN (SoundHound AI, Inc.)
Current Price: $4.04
Analysis:
Support Zone and Historical Context:
SOUN is currently within a potential support zone, outlined by a purple rectangle from $3.75 to $4.35. This zone has been historically significant, previously acting as both support and resistance levels. Notably, a breakout from this zone led to a high of $10.25 before retracing back to $3.75, followed by the recent rebound to $4.04.
Technical Indicators:
- 200 SMA (Magenta Line): The price is nearing the 200-day Simple Moving Average on the 4hr chart, adding to the zone's importance.
- RSI Trend (Grey Line): RSI stands at 36.46, showing an upward trend and indicating growing buying pressure.
Analysis and Strategy:
SOUN's rebound from the $3.75 level and the rising RSI suggest potential for a support zone rebound. Traders might consider watching for confirmation signals, especially near the 4hr 200 SMA, for possible bullish opportunities.
A break above the upper boundary of the support zone, around $4.35, could signal a bullish continuation, targeting higher levels.
Conclusion:
SOUN's technical setup points to a support zone rebound potential, with RSI strength supporting the bullish outlook. Traders are advised to monitor price action, particularly around the support zone's upper boundary, for potential entry opportunities aligned with the ongoing uptrend in RSI.
$SPY April 16, 2024AMEX:SPY April 16, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected 505 levels in SPY. Opened gapped up.
So after the first 15 minutes a sell below was triggered for 515 was a level to short as planned.
As expected 50 day average was touched in daily.
Now for the rise from 493 AMEX:SPY has retraced 61.8% levels.
Crucial to hold for any uptrend to continue.
If this level is not held we have to consider the rise from 409 to 524 levels. For that 23.6% retracement is 493 levels.
It is also 100 averages in daily.
At the moment bias is only on the downside. AMEX:SPY below all kinds of moving averages in multiple time frames.
For the day considering the fall 512.62 to 503.58 508-509 will be a good level to short SL 511 for 497-500 as target.
USDUSD Oil Prices react to Middle EastOn Thursday January 11th ( earlier today) WTI Crude prices gyrated widely
likely in reaction to US /UK intervention on the terrorists who seized a tanker on the behalf of
Iraq in the Red Sea / Suez Canal area putting shipping and supply concerns into the oil industry
to offset any weak demand. The 15 minute chart shows a megaphone pattern as a
demonstration of waves of relative volatility in price action. I have a position shorting oil
and will now close that position as I see a long entry developing here. US companies that use
rail and pipeline matching domestic production to consumption are less impacted by this
oceanic shipping issue. I will focus on them especially. OXY is at the top of the list and then
MRO.
Can Lennar Hang On?Homebuilder Lennar has been grinding higher this year, but some traders may expect a breakdown.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rising trendline along lows in January, February and March. Prices have sat there for the last four sessions with little sign of a bounce, which may suggest it’s losing relevance as support.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average is in the same area. That could give extra weight to the current zone and confirm a potential bearish move.
Third, MACD is falling.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 21-day EMA last week for the first time since early November. That may suggest the short-term trend has turned negative.
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INTC Analysis: Potential Rebound from Support towards ResistanceTicker: INTC (Intel Corporation)
Current Price: $36.49
Support and Resistance Zones:
INTC is currently showing signs of bouncing off a crucial support zone, delineated by a purple rectangle spanning from $35.50 to $37. This area has historically attracted buying interest and is pivotal for the stock's current movement.
Looking ahead, we have identified a resistance zone marked by another purple rectangle, ranging from $41.50 to $42. If the bullish momentum continues, this zone could be the next target for potential price movement.
Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Grey Line): The RSI stands at approximately 32.23, suggesting a slightly oversold condition. This indicates a potential for upward movement as buying interest may increase.
- ADX (White Line): The ADX is at 27.39, indicating moderate strength in the current trend. A rising ADX could signify increasing momentum in the stock's movement.
Analysis and Strategy:
INTC started the day at $36.02 and is currently showing resilience around the support zone. The convergence of the RSI near oversold levels and the ADX showing moderate trend strength implies a potential rebound scenario.
Traders may consider monitoring price action around the support zone for confirmation of a bounce. If the price shows strength and breaks above the resistance zone at $37, it could signal a bullish continuation towards the $41.50 to $42 range.
Conclusion:
INTC's current technical setup suggests a possible rebound from the support zone towards resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals and adjust their strategies accordingly to capitalize on potential price movements within these key zones.
TQQQ Tech 3X levarged ETF LONGOn this 15 minute chart, TQQQ is in an anchored VWAP band and volume profile breakout.
Near to the end of the regular market, the RSI indicator ran from deep oversold. After hours,
NVDA reported a sizable earnings beat. The AI machine learning and backtesting indicator
forecasts and uptrend continuation. I will get call options targeting $58 for Friday's expiration.
This is a risky play, price trend could reverse and there could be no time left to recover from
that reversal. The rewards for the trade going right could easily exceed 100%.
USOUSD rising for LONGUSOUSD after its minor correction on the 15-minute chart is resuming its
bullish trend with an engulfing green bar and confirmatory indicators
including an uptick in the postive directional index and on the BB a
move from a bounce near to the basis band toward the upper bands.
I will go long on leveraged forex.
Can Bitcoin break resistance and head to 75K LONGBTCUSD is impending on its third attempt to break through the resistance zone of 69-70K,
having hit about 72K on March 13th. Buying volume relative to selling remains high. Both
the faster and slower RSI lines remain above 50. I amd holding my long position in BTCUSD
and watching to see if price can break resistance. If it can another leg higher could begin.
So, if the break occurs, I will add substantially to the position
DAX Opens Positively to Start the WeekThe DAX has put the geopolitical risk premium behind it to start the week, despite the Iranian attack on Israel over the weekend. IF the hourly stochastic can reach its upper quartile and maintain, a positive swing is likely to result.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
GBPAUD - Cup & Handle-Bullish Continuation-Bullish DivergenceFX:GBPAUD has created a new HH after a bearish rally. The new HH was created following bullish divergence on different timeframes (1 hr, 2hr, 3hr and 4hr). Price has also created a Cup & Handle pattern which indicates a potential bullish move incoming if price breaks the handle!
Navigating the TurbulenceA Trader's Perspective: Unpacking the Market's Ebb and Flow
Hey fellow traders, I've been keeping an eye on the charts and I wanted to share my take on the latest price action. It's been quite a ride recently, with the market throwing us some curveballs. We've seen our share of ups and downs, but there's something about the way prices bounced off the low of 0.000196 that's caught my attention. That level held up like a champ, and the rebound was strong enough to challenge the 0.00300 ceiling, but alas, it wasn't meant to be – the rejection was almost as if the market said, "Not today, folks."
Diving into the indicators, the RSI flirted with the overbought zone, which kind of set off a little alarm bell for me. And sure enough, our custom indicator flashed a 'SELL' right when we hit that resistance. Talk about timing, right? Prices are now playing tag with 0.002318, and it feels like we're all holding our breath to see which way the wind blows.
So, what's next? Well, the market's sending us some mixed vibes. The Ichimoku cloud is starting to look a bit stormy above the current price, hinting that we might be in for some rain (or a price drop, in trader speak). But hey, if we can stick the landing above that stubborn 0.00300 line, we might just see a nice sunny rally. On the flip side, a slip could send us sliding down to revisit the lows. My two cents? Keep those stop losses snug and don't get too carried away chasing profits. It's all about playing it smart in these choppy waters.
Wanchain (WAN) - To the moonOn the above weekly chart price action has corrected 96% since April 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support and resistance. Price action prints a double bottom on past resistance.
3) The bull flag breakout with confirmation. 1000% forecast.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6%
Timeframe for long: yesterday
Return: 10x
SOUN Analysis: Emerging Bullish Signals at Key SupportTicker: SOUN (SoundHound AI, Inc.)
Current Price: $4.39
Technical Analysis:
- RSI Observation: The RSI (grey line on custom indicator) is currently at 32.79 on the 4-hour chart, approaching oversold territory. This aligns with the increase in the 1-hour RSI from 25.50 to 34.44, suggesting a building momentum for a potential reversal.
Support and Resistance Zones:
- Support Zone (Purple Rectangle): Currently being tested, this potential support zone ranges from $4.00 to $4.35. Previously, this range acted as a strong resistance area multiple times. While it has not yet been confirmed as a stable support level, its historical significance suggests a possible base for upward movement.
Analysis and Strategy:
Although there hasn't been a confirmed stabilization above the newly formed support zone, the combination of the RSI nearing oversold conditions and the price interacting with a historically significant level presents a bullish scenario. The declining ADX indicates a loss of downward momentum, further hinting at a possible weakening of the bearish trend.
Traders should closely monitor this zone for signs of bullish reversal. Considering entering positions if we see signs of support solidification within this range, with potential upward moves possibly reaching new resistance levels or retracing past higher price points.
Conclusion:
While SOUN is yet to establish firm stability above the support zone, the technical indicators suggest a weakening bearish trend and potential for bullish reversal. Investors and traders should watch for positive changes in price action around the current levels to potentially capitalize on early signs of a trend reversal.
Badger DAO (BADGER)On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal in August 2021 (not shown). Now is a good opportunity to go long. Why?
1) A strong buy signal prints. (not shown).
2) Price action resistance breakout.
3) Strong positive divergence between price action and multiple oscillators. This divergence occurs over a 80 day period.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: Don’t know.
PS: Does the above chart look familiar? ;-) (hint nudge wink etc - how thick do you want it?)
AMD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal Potential with RSI Div.Ticker: AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)
Current Price: $163.26
Technical Analysis:
- RSI Observation: The RSI (grey line on custom indicator) is currently at 35.08, indicating oversold conditions. Notably, there is a bullish RSI divergence (yellow lines on chart) with the price, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside.
Support and Resistance Zones:
- Support Zone (Purple Rectangle): Positioned around $160 to $162, this area historically attracts buying interest and may act as a catalyst for a bullish reversal.
- Resistance Zone (Purple Rectangle): Located around $182 to $185, this level could be the target for a potential upward move if a bullish reversal occurs.
Analysis and Strategy:
The bullish RSI divergence, combined with the presence of a support zone, indicates a possible bullish reversal in AMD's price. Traders may consider monitoring price action for confirmation of a bounce off the support zone and targeting the resistance zone for potential profit-taking.
Conclusion:
AMD's technical analysis suggests potential for a bullish reversal, with the RSI divergence adding weight to the bullish scenario. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and plan their strategies accordingly.
TSM Analysis: Double Top and Support Zones Signal Bearish TrendTicker: TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
Current Price: $142.57
Technical Analysis: Potential Short-Term Bearish Signal
Price Action Observation: TSM is currently trading at $142.57, with a possible double top formation identified around $147.40 (purple dotted line). This formation often signifies a potential reversal in the ongoing uptrend.
Support Levels: A crucial support zone is marked by the purple rectangle between $133.50 to $136. These levels historically indicate increased buying interest and could potentially act as a floor for the price.
Indicators Analysis:
- RSI (Grey Line): The RSI, represented by the grey line on a custom indicator, has been declining, signaling diminishing bullish momentum.
- ADX (White Line): The ADX, depicted as the white line on the custom indicator, has also been decreasing, suggesting a weakening trend strength.
Potential Strategy:
Considering the technical analysis indicating a short-term bearish outlook and the identified support levels, traders may watch for price movements around the support zone of $133.50 to $136 for potential buying opportunities or confirmation of the bearish trend continuation.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the double top pattern (purple dotted line), support levels (purple rectangle), RSI, and ADX, there's a possibility of a short-term bearish direction for TSM. Traders should closely monitor these levels and indicators for potential trading signals.