Coinbase Gap TradeI find Coinbase very interesting right now, especially since we’ve likely completed Wave 4 around the $240 level. Since then, price has been stuck in a sideways consolidation, following an unfilled breakout gap after Wave 4 ended. This gap is still open, and I believe there’s a strong chance we’ll at least partially close it.
From a market cycle perspective, we’re currently in the accumulation phase, followed by the manipulation phase (red), and then the distribution phase (green). My plan is to target that distribution phase, aiming for the gap closure.
I’m placing a limit order roughly in the middle of the gap, just above the Yearly Open, which I expect to act as support. The RSI is still low—not oversold yet—but there’s some room for more downside before the entry triggers.
The limit order is set at around $259, with a target of at least $326, offering solid reward potential—exactly the kind of setup I’m looking for.
🔹 Asset: Coinbase
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Entry: 259.36
🔹 Stop: 244.25
🔹 Target(s): TBA
Manipulation
ETH – What Happened? A Detailed Breakdown and What to do next!Crypto Panic or Manipulation? Breaking Down Ethereum’s Crash and the Entire Market
🔥 Hello everyone, this is Ronin!
The last two trading days have seen one of the biggest crashes in the history of the cryptocurrency market. 📉 We witnessed a massive wave of liquidations that burned through the capital of many traders.
Looking at the numbers:
Most assets lost 10–30% of their value.
Some altcoins dropped by 50%.
The total crypto market capitalization shrank by more than 10% in just a few days.
But the biggest victim of this crash was not Bitcoin, nor low-cap altcoins—it was Ethereum (ETH) itself.
What Happened to Ethereum? Why Did It Drop from $3600 to $2000?
If we talk about the strangest asset in this cycle, Ethereum stands out.
While other coins were breaking all-time highs, ETH didn’t even come close to its peak valuation. This is despite:
The launch of Bitcoin ETFs, bringing in a wave of institutional capital.
News that Donald Trump was reportedly buying ETH for his projects.
Growing interest in L2 scaling solutions and Ethereum network upgrades.
None of these bullish catalysts helped ETH break even $4000.
And then, within just four days, Ethereum plunged from $3600 to $2000. On Binance’s futures market, the price briefly hit $2080.
❓ Has Ethereum ever seen such a sharp drop before?
Personally, I don’t remember such a massive drop happening in such a short time without catastrophic fundamental events.
This wasn’t a network hack, a mining ban, or a major DeFi collapse—nothing fundamentally bad happened.
So who crashed the market, and why?
Who Benefited from This Crash?
Let’s analyze the key question: who had the most to gain from this crash?
The obvious answer is that the biggest winners were major crypto exchanges and market makers.
Why Didn’t Bitcoin Drop as Much?
At the time of the crash:
📌 Bitcoin’s liquidation zones were nearly empty. Many traders had both buy and sell orders in place, so there was no strong incentive to push BTC down.
What About Ethereum?
📉 ETH futures open interest exceeded tens of billions of dollars.
📉 Leverage was heavily skewed towards long positions, meaning liquidations brought massive profits to exchanges.
📉 ETH’s open interest was even higher than BTC’s, making it a prime target for manipulation.
How Crypto Exchanges Made $2 Billion in One Night
The cryptocurrency market is unique because the major players not only provide liquidity but also profit from liquidations.
💰 Crypto exchanges are not just trading platforms—they are global market makers who actively move prices.
📌 On Sunday night, the following happened:
Big players spotted an overloaded leverage in ETH long positions.
They triggered a wave of sell-offs, forcing liquidations.
On Binance alone, exchanges raked in $2 billion in a single day from liquidations.
⚠ Ask yourself this: if you had the power to make $2 billion in a single day, wouldn’t you do it?
Of course, they want to and they do.
How the Smart Money Strategy Works
If you’ve heard of Smart Money trading strategies, you know that big players always think ahead.
📌 The classic scheme:
1️⃣ Pump the market up—give traders confidence that the rally will continue.
2️⃣ Open short positions in zones overloaded with leverage.
3️⃣ Dump the market sharply, triggering stop losses and liquidations.
4️⃣ Buy back at the bottom, raking in billions.
📉 This is exactly what happened with Ethereum—exchanges used a false news narrative about trade sanctions to tank the price.
How I Survived This Crash
🔥 I was long on Ethereum with leverage and held a total position of over 200 ETH.
Honestly, that night was brutal.
📌 When the price dropped to $2080, I had two options:
❌ Panic and close the position, taking a six-figure loss.
✅ Hold and wait for a recovery, because I knew this was a fake move.
I chose the latter. Not only that—I added to my position at the lower levels.
This doesn’t mean the market can’t drop further, but…
📌 Trading rule: Buy when everyone is selling—Sell when everyone is buying.
📌 Right now, the market is in panic mode—which means some smart players are accumulating ETH at these prices.
Conclusion: What Comes Next?
📌 This was an artificial correction—big players intentionally crashed the market.
📌 The coming days should see a recovery, especially if trading volumes start picking up again.
📌 Market psychology is the key factor. When everyone is afraid, that’s when big players accumulate assets.
If you’re interested in how I will navigate my $200,000 ETH drawdown, follow me on TradingView—I’ll be posting regular updates.
🚀 In upcoming articles, we’ll break down the analysis of other altcoins and provide a microeconomic perspective on the most promising assets.
💬 Boost this post if you found it insightful—your engagement helps, and a little positive activity never hurts!
This was Ronin—stay tuned for more updates! Big things are coming. 🎯
BTC: broadening wedge or channel retest? Bullish or bearish?There are three possible patterns in formation right now, two of the which would be bullish and one bearish. I'm not 100% on which one I'd pick so I'll present here the three cases.
right-angled broadening wedge (the bullish case):
- check the following links www.forex-central.net and www.centralcharts.com
In this case we should expect a dump to the 86K levels and then a bounce back to breakout and push price to 125K:
right-angled broadening wedge (the bearish case): see the previous links for the examples. In this case the wedge support wouldn't hold breaking down and bringing price to the 75K area. Notice that the upper resistance of the wedge shows alsoa double top which is a very bearish pattern:
descending channel retest: for this case I've used the coinbase's chart, it's just because the chart is less messy. As you can see the break out happened already days ago and this could be the retest of the previous R. This is a bullish case that would make price bounce to 109K
At the moment I don't know where to lean because my gut says market are overreacting to this AI fuss so I stay open to any possibility and I'm not doing any margin trade, just buying what I think has potential.
Good luck
EURUSD ADR Continuation Swing to 1.06500Weekly swing trade level - using ADR from level 2
-Level 1 & 2 Confirmed,
- Target 1.06500 Area
False day start (1/3 ADR)
W at volume profile imbalance area
78.60 intraday Fib. confirmation
Divergence and trend continuation
Backup order below at 1.04900 area due to potential larger reverse distance on level 2
-Retail formation possible confirmation with liquidity grab
-Multiple red news events upcoming in the day
Reach out for TG notfier
And please give boosts!
Drop after Election Pump with FOMCMy trading idea for next week is as follows. I will be watching the price action very closely on Monday, the day before the election. This will prepare the price for the volatility of the election. I expect the price to move to the EMA50 on the 1D time frame next week. That would be around $64k. Then there is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, which could lead to a significant rise in the price. Next week is very important. The use of leverage should be taken carefully.
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla
As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT.
We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET.
This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400!
We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC.
i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know!
TSLA MOONING
Consolidation before the BOJ Policy Rate DecisionWe probably won't see much price action today even though rates were cut to 5% yesterday. Many market participants are bullish, but this feeling can quickly disappear if the Bank of Japan (BOJ) decides to raise rates again, creating a situation like the one on August 5th. We got some clusters of liquidation around ~$63k but we have alot more at <$58k to liquidate.
You Are a Puppet - How The Elite is Manipulating the MarketsWelcome back Future Demons
Let me make it very clear. I’m here to help you become a better trader, and make money. I’m not a fan of Wall Street, the Elite, the big asset management companies like BlackRock, Vanguard who own most of the biggest companies in the world.
They are known for manipulating the markets, to bait you in, and take advantage of you. They are ruthless. They have secret collabs with journalists around the world from big mainstream media, who will trick you with clickbait articles. But there is way more..
Also there is a big misconception, that the big American asset management companies only hold Western stocks.
No, my friend. They hold Russian and Chinese stocks as well. They try to disguise it of course via shadow companies and banks.
The Elite in USA, Europe, Russia and China are all "working together", and all have part in the world’s biggest companies and share the same goal. More money and more power.
This is NOT a war between sides - East vs West - as they will portrait it in the mainstream media. They have and will continue to brainwash you to believe in this narrative, while they are making money, and the people are dying in war.
This is in reality a war between up and down. The elite vs the people.
Historically it has always been like that. The church vs the illiterate people. The Kingdom vs the peasents.
And there is no difference this time.
——
Why am I telling you this?
We haven’t seen a bear market in 15 years, which is unheard of. We have been very close many times, but suddenly came COVID, which made the markets blossom again. The small businesses went bankrupt, while the giants made money again.
After some time we saw a decline again. Russia invaded Ukraine, and USA (NATO), didn’t try to stop the war. They rejected any kind of diplomatic negotiations.
Why? Obviously because they knew, that especially a proxy-war is good for the markets. All the weapons US has sold to Ukraine, made the markets recover.
Then again very conveniently Israel had an excuse to use their power against Palestine, which meant more war-money, and again the market managed to recover.
The recent little trick is now the 600,000 polio-vaccines UN will give to the Palestinian kids, who are suffering in Gaza. There is catch though, that many is not aware of.
The polio vaccine is made by a French company Sanofi. It only takes a Google search or 2 to find out, who the biggest investor is: Dodge Cox, owned by Johnson, Wells Fargo, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft and more.
Last but not least, let me also state, that the AI hype lately has been the main reason the markets has increased.
But with this post I just want to make it clear, that the Elite, the Deep State, whatever you want to call them, will do whatever it takes to make money. And they are ruthless.
What to do now?
If you are out of the markets, stay out! If you are in the markets secure profit. We have no idea how high we will go, but there is no doubt imo, that this is a huge bubble, and we will most likely soon go into a Depression like we did 100 years ago in the 1930s.
War has historically always been the last instrument before a crash.
Kind Regards
LaPlaces Demon
PS. I know that some people might disagree with my analysis, which is totally ok. What I have learnt the last 10 years trading is to follow the money. And market psychology is my biggest strength.
4hr BITCOIN mean reversion rejection - Leave the rest for laterIn #Bitcoin's 4-hour chart scenario, we reject the EMA50 we are currently at and take the low at $56k in the next couple of days. We get a lot of economic data in the next few days until Friday, which could strengthen the US dollar and lead Bitcoin into a sell-off. Chart-wise, it looks like a rejection of the 4hr EMA50. The first target would be $56k and if things look really ugly, we should also consider $51k as a possible target.
The Ultimate Bitcoin Guide - All You Need to Know Right Now!Welcome Future Demons
Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader.
I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation.
I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection.
The Beginning
I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios.
I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology.
I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades.
The Predictions
The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of:
1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %.
2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %.
"Long" Term Prediction:
3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s.
-------------------------
Why?
Mid-term:
1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD.
Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though.
2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k?
Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers.
What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell.
3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle.
"Long" Term
1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more.
Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years.
That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends.
What should You do now?
Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation.
Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers.
If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long.
-----------
I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy.
Kind Regards
Laplace's Demon
PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.
Long term bullmarket scenarioThis idea is a long-term bull market scenario. This idea could start on the day of the FED interest rate decision. The rate decision could lead price action into a bear trap by making traders think we are making a lower low. Well, we do, but this should be considered a bear trap as we have been moving sideways since March and a big event like the FED rate decision could lead to a trend change. Considering the fact that we are making lower lows, it seems like we are constantly liquidating the long positions and the market makers are keeping the short positions alive to sell on a late uptrend.