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Sell ​​Gold in 2740-2750 areaGold has risen to around 2740 driven by geopolitical risks. Obviously, gold is currently in a clear bullish trend, but the more it gets to this point, the more dangerous it is. Gold is now completely out of the normal range of rise. We can see that gold does not give a big chance of callback at all now, just to make more people chase long gold at a high level. But chasing long gold in this way can easily get trapped at the top. As for the top area of this round of gold's rise, I expect it to be in the 2740-2750 area. So after gold touches this area, gold may fall back at any time. So in short-term trading, we can start shorting gold in batches in the 2740-2750 area. So, bros, while you are immersed in the enthusiasm of going long on gold, I am now shorting gold in batches! Let's look forward to the next results!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Hawkeye
GOLD 1H & 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1H chart hitting two bullish targets 2730 and 2739 and one remaining at 2747, which will be further confirmed with ema5 lock above 2739. 1H CHART ROUTE MAP This 4H chart had ema5 lock above 2715 opening 2737, which was also hit perfectly completing this setup. A PIPTASTIC start to the week!!! We will now look for ema5 lock above 2737 to confirm the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldturns for our reactional bounces. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2737 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2715 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2760 POTENTIALLY 2779 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2797 POTENTIALLY 2814 BEARISH TARGETS 2715 2693 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2669 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2669 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2640 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Gold reaches historic high – $2700!Gold prices (XAUUSD) have reached a new all-time high, surpassing $2700 per ounce for the first time in history! The yellow metal, which has been rising for nine consecutive months, received fresh momentum in September from the Fed’s rate cut. Silver (XAGUSD) hasn’t been left behind either, and is currently trading at highs not seen since 2012. Prices are now around $32.30 per ounce, with silver’s growth this year increasing to 35%! On November 21, 2023, we first alerted traders to the immense potential of precious metals. Less than a year has passed, and the returns since our forecast have reached 36%! After reaching yet another historical high, gold shows no signs of slowing down. Factors driving precious metal price growth and expert opinions: Major purchases by central banks: Gold prices are rising due to significant metal purchases by central banks, increasing its value. Geopolitical instability: Escalating geopolitical instability, particularly in the Middle East, is driving demand for metals as safe-haven assets. Ongoing conflicts in various regions also contribute to rising gold and silver prices. Expectations of a Fed rate cut: Investors are anticipating a possible interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, making metals more attractive as investment tools. According to CME data, the probability of a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting on November 7 stands at 92.3%, increasing the appeal of precious metals as investments. Growth forecasts: Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $2850 per ounce by the end of the year and $3100 in the long term. Projections by major financial institutions: ING and other financial organizations expect gold prices to peak in the fourth quarter of this year, with potential prices reaching up to $2900 per ounce by mid-2025. Read quality analytics and profit with us!
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2720.0 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 2738.8 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 2688.3 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an ascending channel. The chart broke through the dynamic resistance, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheGrove
1
GOLD is fully supported with a low data trading weekDue to escalating tensions in the Middle East, uncertainty about the US election and expectations of looser monetary policy, OANDA:XAUUSD surged up and created new all-time record highs. The market will still focus on increasing geopolitical tensions after Israel announced the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Sinwar was the mastermind of the Hamas attack on southern Israel that sparked the year-long Gaza war. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel will continue to fight until all hostages captured by Hamas last year are released, while US President Joe Biden said it is time for the war to end. During times of geopolitical and economic instability, investors often turn to gold as a safe haven asset. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets such as gold, due to risk aversion and concerns about instability in global markets. On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank could cut interest rates again in December. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders also see a 90.4% chance of a Fed rate cut. interest rate in November. Since gold does not yield interest, a rate cut could reduce the opportunity cost of investing in gold and increase its appeal. This week, the People's Bank of China will announce its decision on interest rates. In September this year, the People's Bank of China kept the one-year prime lending rate (LPR) and five-year LPR unchanged at 3.35% and 3.85%, respectively. The larger LPR cut should be seen as an impetus to push gold prices even higher early next week. S&P Global will release the preliminary value of the US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October next Thursday. If the PMI unexpectedly falls below 50, indicating a contraction in private sector business activity, the short-term reaction could pressure the dollar and push up gold prices. On the other hand, a positive surprise could support the dollar. The market reaction to the PMI data was not large enough to have a lasting impact on gold prices. In general, this week will be a week with quite a bit of economic data, but with the current basic picture, gold will still be focused on due to escalating geopolitical developments. Readers also need to pay attention. add other threats of conflict from China - Taiwan, North Korea - South Korea,... in addition to the Middle East region, which already has too many potential risks. Economic data to watch out for this week Monday: IMF meeting begins Tuesday: BRICS summit begins in Russia Wednesday: Bank of Canada monetary policy meeting, US existing home sales Thursday: Weekly unemployment claims; S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI Survey; US new home sales Friday: US durable goods orders Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD As we have sent to readers throughout the publications, the gold price still has an overall bullish technical structure on the daily chart. Currently, gold closed above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and this is necessary for it to continue towards the next target of about 2,741 USD price point of the 1% Fibonacci level. With the trend from the price channel in the short, medium and long term, gold is in an upward trend, combined with a strong upward momentum when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) points up with a significant slope. There is no sign of a break from the overbought level, a signal that the bullish momentum continues ahead. However, the level of 2,741USD is also the closest current resistance for expectations of a short-term correction because it is also the confluence position of the edge on the price channel with the 1% Fibonacci extension level, correction price drops. Corrections are not considered trends, they only have a short-term impact. Finally, the main technical outlook for gold prices is bullish, the notable points will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,711 – 2,700 – 2,688USD Resistance: 2,741USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2745 →Take Profit 1 2634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2629 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2699 - 2701⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2695 →Take Profit 1 2706 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2711
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
Gold has not yet reached its peakThe intraday trend of gold continued last week's slow rising trend, without a sharp and rapid rise, because the faster the rise, the more unstable the market trend will be, and it will easily peak later.Even if gold falls currently, there is very little room for retracement, and the correction time is very short. Bulls have full momentum, and gold has no upper limit for the time being! Gold has support near 2730, and the upper resistance area is near 2749, 2757.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Donald-trading-star
Gold Prices Surge to New Heights The weekend news cycle has once again ignited tension in the market, leading to gold prices hitting a historic high of $2732 at Monday's open, followed by a sustained increase of approximately 10 basis points. This trend aligns with my forecasts, and I anticipate that both the London and New York markets will continue to rise in the coming days. Looking ahead, gold prices are expected to reach new dimensions this week. In terms of trading strategy, I recommend employing a buy-low, sell-high approach, with particular attention to the critical levels of 2725 and 2712. Members utilizing rapid trading strategies should remain vigilant, as new strategies will soon be announced.
TVC:GOLDLong
by George_parse
XAUUSD Potential breakout to a new ATHXAUUSD has broken and closed above the downward channel, signaling a strong bullish trend. As the price approaches the all-time high (ATH) level, there is potential for a pullback as traders may take profits or reassess positions. However, with the current bullish momentum, the market is likely to continue moving higher, even if a slight pullback occurs. If the price does pull back, looking for rejection signs near key support levels could confirm further upside. The target is the resistance zone at 2698
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
Will gold keep updating higher highs upto 2800 ?Hello ligand traders ! I hope that you are doing good . Today we will talk about our gold update. As you can see gold is updating its upper boundaries levels with higher highs and higher lows . We can draw the upward channel here . this channel is looking super aggressive for buyers .As you can see that this channel is produced from the reversal point which is 2690 zone .As this upward move is liking bubble effect , price can move down as retracement for further growth . We can't purchase gold at high prices and also we cant sell in a strong bullish market .There is also small liquidity area constructed between 2722 and 2732. We will monitor it too . So we will closely overlook for any proper rejections from below or any possible double bottom in the ranged area. Stay tuned with ligand .
TVC:GOLDLong
by AHAD_FX
HelenP. I Gold will correct to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price, some time ago, rebounded from support 2, which coincided with the support zone and tried to grow but failed. After this, the price started to decline, and some time later, it reached support 2 again. Then Gold broke this support level and even fell lower support zone and reached the trend line, after which price started to grow. But firstly, the price broke the trend line and then in a short time rose to the 1-st support level, where Gold broke the trend line with this level again. Next, the price continued to move up between the trend line, and even later made a gap. Some time later Gold reached support 1, and even broke it, after which broke the trend line too and now it continues to grow higher this line. In my mind, XAUUSD will correct to the trend line, some time trades near, and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2745 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
4
Gold (XAU/USD) Upward Channel with Potential Correctionhello guys! let's analyze GOLD! Rising Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, showing a continuous bullish trend over the medium term. Resistance Zone: The price is nearing a significant resistance zone around $2,747, which could act as a cap on further bullish momentum. Possible Double-Top Formation: The chart suggests the possibility of a double-top forming near the upper boundary of the channel, which may signal a short-term reversal. Correction Expected: After testing the resistance, a pullback to the channel's lower trendline is expected. Previous support levels mark the initial downside targets, which are around $2,724 and $2,708. Fibonacci Retracement: A deeper retracement could target the 0.618 Fibonacci level at approximately $2,691, where strong buying interest may re-emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
7
XAU/USD : $2700 Reached, What's Next ? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that gold has finally managed to break above the $2700 level, just as we anticipated in our previous analysis. Currently, it is consolidating above this level. Note that the $2714 level is a key supply zone (based on important Fibonacci ratios) for gold, which is why the price reacted to it. However, at the moment, gold is trading around $2711, and I still expect further growth from gold unless I see otherwise on the chart, in which case I’ll update you. The next short-term targets for gold are $2727 and $2743.7. Keep an eye on how the price reacts to these levels. Also, the most important support zone for gold is between $2673 and $2688.7. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-21: Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests an opening price Gap is likely. Given the markets are trading slightly lower this morning, this Gap potential plays very well with my Roadmap trading outline from last week. I highlighted the need to sell out of positions last Friday and look to buy into the Gap Potential pattern today. If the markets rally off this opening gap pattern, we could see a nice move in the SPY up to 587-588+. Gold and Silver are rallying again. But be aware today is a TOP pattern for Gold/Silver. That means both Gold & Silver will attempt to identify resistance and move away (lower) from that resistance level. Bitcoin looks to have moved into the Ultimate Peak level on an intermediate-term Excess Phase Peak pattern. Additionally, the deeper low sets up a longer-term Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests Bitcoin has entered the Consolidation Phase (#3). Because of this, I suspect Bitcoin will fall below the FWB:67K level and potentially move into broad consolidation for a minimum of at least 5-6 weeks. These Consolidation phases in longer-term Excess Phase Peak patterns can be brutal for traders. The volatility of these consolidation phases can present real challenges and last about 50% of the time it took to Flag. Given this information, we may see many weeks of consolidation within a range in Bitcoin - possibly lasting into December 2024. This will be a tough week for traders. Try to stay aware of the bigger picture and play the rotation headed into next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
5
How to Position if you Missed the Gold RallyGold prices have reached another all-time high, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, the composition of buyers has shifted. While central banks fuelled the previous phase of the rally, institutional investors and retail buyers are now leading. Over the past six months, ETF inflows have totalled nearly $5 billion, and asset managers continue to build net long positions, nearing the peak levels seen during the pandemic. Despite the bullish outlook, higher prices are tempering demand and reducing the potential for future returns. As an alternative, investors can opt for a tactical position using CME Micro Gold futures and the Van Eck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). RATE CUTS ARE A GOLD DRIVER Over the past four easing cycles, gold prices have appreciated by 10% following the start of Fed rate cuts. This time around, prices are up 5% since the first rate cut in September. That leaves room for further gains as the Fed cuts further. Still, it is crucial to consider that gold prices are already trading at an all-time-high. Higher prices are pressuring further gains and consumer demand. According to Prithviraj Kothari, president of the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA), gold demand during this year’s festival season in India is likely to be 20% lower YoY in terms of quantity of gold purchased. CENTRAL BANK BUYING NO LONGER THE DRIVING FACTOR Since April, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) has halted gold purchases, while Poland and India acquired 24.3 tons and 17.7 tons of gold, respectively, between June and August, exceeding their purchases from March to May. However, the pace of buying from these central banks may be slowing. The latest data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) shows a decline in gold reserves by $98 million to $65.6 billion, indicating a slowdown in gold accumulation despite still substantial holdings. One of the largest buyers of gold this year, Turkey, also slowed its pace of purchases as it acquired just 7.9 tons of gold between June and August compared to 27.6 tons between March and May. Source: World Gold Council Additionally, the urgency for central banks to buy gold has lessened. Earlier, rising yields and a strong U.S. dollar prompted increased gold buying. As U.S. interest rates decrease, a weakening dollar is expected. ASSET MANAGERS NET LONG POSITIONING IS NEAR ALL-TIME-HIGH Asset Manager net long positioning has increased consistently over the last six months. It is near the highest level since the pandemic and 2016. Crucially, the increase in long positioning has been driven by both increasing longs and declining shorts indicating bullish consensus among asset managers. SUBSTANTIAL ETF INFLOWS OVER THE PAST 6 MONTHS Gold ETFs listed in the US have accumulated USD 4.9 billion in inflows over the past 6 months. Inflows have grown by more than USD 1.7 billion since the Fed cut rates in September. While substantial outflows were observed on 8/Aug as global markets fell sharply, the decline was reversed in just 2 weeks. Gold ETF inflows tend to follow cyclical patterns, and their current levels are relatively modest compared to previous inflow cycles, which have been significantly larger. Substantial flows to gold ETFs and rallies in gold prices also tend to trigger flows into gold miner ETFs. Though these flows tend to lag flows into gold ETFs by several months. GOLD MINERS HAVE STARTED TO CATCH UP The outlook for gold remains mixed. While bullish momentum is supported by the anticipation of a Federal Reserve easing cycle, gold is already near all-time highs, which is discouraging further investment, particularly from retail investors. A strategic way to capitalize on the later stages of a gold rally is through gold mining stocks. Gold miners typically lag behind gold during rallies, as returns from equities take longer to materialize and involve greater risk compared to direct gold investments. However, the impact of higher gold prices on miners' profitability is clear. In Q2 2024, Barrick, the world's largest gold miner, saw net income rise by 24% quarter-over-quarter, driven by a 13% increase in realized gold prices. Similarly, Newmont's net income increased by 32%, alongside a 12.3% rise in gold prices. Gold miners are also benefiting from easing cost pressures. While costs remain high compared to last year due to inflation and energy-related increases, they improved in Q2, and further reductions are expected based on company guidance. The gold to gold miner ratio is a cyclical quantity that has been trending higher for decades but also tends to mean-revert when the ratio edges to far in either direction. As the ratio is due to cross the 200-week moving average, it may be due for an extended period of decline favouring gold miners. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Gold remains bullish through the Fed easing cycle and strong investment demand provide momentum. However, higher prices are dampening consumer demand and central bank buying is slowing. Further increase in gold is likely, however, further gains may be limited. Gold prices have already realized half of their average increase following a rate cut. Alternatively, a position that is long on gold miners also benefits from rising gold prices. Gold prices, as tracked through gold futures, are highly correlated with gold miners, measured by ETFs like GDX and SGDM, with a correlation coefficient typically near 0.9, though there are occasional period breaks. Since December 2023, gold prices have outperformed SGDM by nearly 20% and GDX by 5%. As the current gold rally progresses, increased flows into gold miner ETFs are expected to support their prices. Additionally, improving cost structures for miners and higher realized gold prices create positive momentum. Investors can hedge a long position in GDX by taking a short position in CME Micro Gold futures. This hedge protects the ETF position against potential declines in gold prices. The smaller contract size of CME Micro Gold futures makes them ideal for precise hedging, particularly given the smaller unit size of ETFs like SGDM. 637 units of GDX (at a price of 43.15 as of 18/Oct) are balanced by a hedge of 1 CME Micro Gold futures contract expiring in December. CME Micro Gold Futures require margin of just USD 1,100 while the GDX leg requires notional of USD 27,470. The position offers multiple income-generating advantages. The GDX ETF provides a net dividend yield of 0.65% (after accounting for the management fee), and the short position in CME Micro Gold futures benefits from contango, which adds approximately 1% per quarter. The payoff scenarios for this position are provided below: MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by mintdotfinance