Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft
Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 6% After Earnings ReportMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 6% After Earnings Report
According to the Microsoft (MSFT) stock chart:
→ The candle on 29 January closed around $441 before the company released its Q4 2024 earnings report.
→ As a result, the 30 January session opened with a significant bearish gap and closed lower at around $415, marking a total decline of over 6%, despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations.
Media reports indicate:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) stood at $3.23, surpassing the forecast of $3.11.
→ Total revenue reached $69.63 billion, beating the projected $68.78 billion.
However, investor concerns arose due to slowing growth in Microsoft's Azure cloud segment and rising AI development costs. Business Insider reports that Microsoft plans to spend $80 billion on AI infrastructure this financial year. While this substantial investment aims to strengthen its AI position, doubts remain about its long-term profitability.
The technical analysis of the Microsoft (MSFT) stock chart presents a concerning picture, as the price has dropped to a key support level—the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue). This channel was formed by a strong bullish impulse in early 2024 (indicated by an arrow), driven by AI enthusiasm. However, sentiment has shifted, with AI now acting as a selling trigger, increasing the risk of MSFT breaking below this key support.
If this happens, MSFT may test the psychological level of $400 per share once again. Notably, in 2024, the price has not stayed below this level for long.
Despite the recent decline, analysts remain optimistic about MSFT stock. According to a TipRanks survey:
→ 27 out of 30 analysts recommend buying MSFT.
→ The average 12-month price target for MSFT is $508.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they reported 49% stake in OpenAI:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 430usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $15.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MICROSOFT ahead of an expansion similar to the Internet BubbleMicrosoft (MSFT) has been practically neutral for half the year (last 6 months) as since the July 2024 High, it has been trading sideways, unable to catch a rally for a new All Time High (ATH).
This consolidation is technically no different that the July - December 1995 sideways sequence (green circle). As you can see, the two fractals since their September 2014 and September 1987 starting points respectively, have been virtually identical, especially in terms of 1M RSI.
The reason for these striking similarities is simple. The market is currently unfolding the A.I. Bubble just like it did with the Internet (Dotcom Bubble) in the 1990s. The two technological revolutions are not the same but the A.I. has the capacity to change the socioeconomic market structure just like the Internet did.
Based on that analogy, the current 6-month consolidation technically serves as a Re-accumulation Phase following the first part of the A.I. Bubble just like July - Dec 1995 was after the first past of the Internet Bubble up to the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level. If those similarities are extended until the end, then we should not see such a long consolidation again until the 0.618 Fib, when the final past of the Bubble will begin.
This chart comparison doesn't serve at giving us a specific Target for this Cycle but rather encourage investors that despite the seeming lack of direction these past 6 months, Microsoft is a strong buy opportunity long-term.
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Can Giants Maintain AI Dominance While Pursuing Independence?In the ever-evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, Microsoft stands at a fascinating crossroads that challenges conventional wisdom about technological partnerships and innovation. The tech giant's recent strategic moves present a compelling case study of how market leaders can simultaneously strengthen their AI capabilities while reducing dependencies on key partners. This delicate balance could reshape the future of enterprise AI.
Microsoft's remarkable journey is highlighted by Wall Street's growing confidence, with Loop Capital's target price increase to $550 reflecting strong market optimism. This confidence isn't merely speculative – it's backed by substantial investments, including a staggering $42.6 billion allocated to cloud and AI infrastructure in Q3 2024 alone. The company's financial performance reinforces this positive outlook, with earnings consistently exceeding expectations and revenue growing at an impressive 16% year-over-year.
What makes Microsoft's strategy particularly intriguing is its nuanced approach to partnerships and innovation. While maintaining its strategic alliance with OpenAI, the company actively diversifies its AI portfolio by developing internal models and exploring third-party integrations. This sophisticated balancing act, combined with strong institutional ownership and strategic insider movements, suggests a company that's not just adapting to change but actively shaping the future of AI enterprise solutions. The remaining question isn't whether Microsoft will maintain its market leadership, but how its strategic evolution will redefine the boundaries between partnership and independence in the AI era.
The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and Uncertain 2025The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and an Uncertain 2025
The Magnificent Seven is a term used to describe the seven largest technology companies that dominate the global economy through their scale, innovation, and high market capitalisation.
These companies are often key drivers of the US stock market, and in 2024 (as in 2023), they confirmed their leadership, with most outperforming the broader market indices. Below are approximate performance estimates for the end of 2024:
→ S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen): +26%
→ Apple (AAPL): +38%
→ Microsoft (MSFT): +18%
→ Amazon (AMZN): +52%
→ Alphabet (GOOGL): +42%
→ Meta Platforms (META): +43%
→ Tesla (TSLA): +87%
→ Nvidia (NVDA): +189%
What does 2025 hold for the Magnificent Seven?
Motley Fool offers a cautious outlook for the coming year, suggesting that some of these leaders may run out of steam due to inflated stock prices relative to their intrinsic value and profit forecasts.
Zacks analysts have examined the fundamentals and identified three stocks from the Magnificent 7 that are worth considering for value investors:
1. Alphabet (GOOGL)
Alphabet has the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio among the Magnificent 7, standing at 23.9. While this doesn’t say it is a value stock (value stocks typically have a P/E below 15), it is relatively cheap compared to its peers. Moreover, Alphabet now pays dividends.
2. Meta Platforms (META)
Meta Platforms remains attractively valued with a forward P/E of just 25.8. It also boasts a relatively low price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3 (a PEG below 1.0 indicates a reasonable price relative to expected profit growth). The 1.3 PEG is appealing, and like Alphabet, Meta has started paying dividends.
3. Amazon.com (AMZN)
Once aiming to be the "store for everything," Amazon has expanded far beyond this with its AWS division, Whole Foods, sports and entertainment programming on Prime, and even chip manufacturing. Amazon has the lowest price-to-sales (P/S) ratio among the Magnificent Seven, at 3.8. Although a P/S below 1.0 is typically considered attractive, Amazon remains appealing to investors. For comparison, Microsoft’s P/S ratio is 13.1, while Nvidia’s is 29.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
Microsoft - We Will See A Correction!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can actually create a correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Microsoft is one of the strongest stocks over the past decade and also over the past couple of months, there was no clear sign of weakness. Therefore, it is actually not extremely likely that a correction will happen, but if it does, this will offer a long term texbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $420, $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft - H&S Fake Out to Make Out! 16% Upside🖐️ H5 TRADE - NASDAQ:MSFT
There was to much going on to call out my exact entry on this at the retest area but to be fair I put it on everyone's watchlist a few weeks ago and said a retest would be a perfect entry. This will be different once the H5 Community is up and running as I will have a whole trade alerts channel were I post my trades and buy/sell notis right as after execution!
With this trade we still have over 16% to run upward from here. So, up to you friends! Them and other Mag7 names held up really well during that flash crash and that is very bullish to me! Also, to throw in a learning lesson for all: Just because a charting pattern forms (H&S on MSFT) doesn't mean it's a trade you should enter! Always wait for breakouts and retest! If you struggle with that then you better beat it into your head and tape you hands underneath your desk!
-H5 indicator is GREEN
-Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout and retest
-Launching off Volume shelf back to ATH and beyond
-Bottom of the two year rising channel
-Williams CB forming and believe we create support next week
I consolidated the account yesterday into the best trades and saw this OLD SAFE n RELIABLE trade and chose to buy some options!
🔜🎯$466
🎯$512
⏲️Before 05May2025
2 Contracts -$420 Calls for May 16th 2025
CB: $40.03 - Currently $43.75
Not financial advice.
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for:
If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control.
If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility.
Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for:
If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control.
If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility.
Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
MICROSOFT 460 BY 2025 ?TOP 3 REASONS WHY !!
Earnings Growth: One of the most important factors for any growth Astock is earnings growth1. Microsoft has a historical EPS growth rate of 21.3%, and it’s projected to grow 13.2% this year, outpacing the industry average. This consistent and robust earnings growth is a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and future prospects, which could drive its stock price higher.
Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure, the company’s cloud platform, has been a significant driver of growth. Demand for cloud infrastructure services is higher than ever, as organizations seek digital solutions in a post-COVID-19 world. With Azure’s revenue increasing by 48%, it’s expected to exceed both Office and Windows in annual revenue by next year. This growth in the cloud sector represents a massive opportunity for Microsoft and could be a major factor in boosting its stock price.
Productivity and Gaming: Microsoft’s productivity and business processes segment, which includes Office 365, has shown solid results with consistent revenue growth. The transition of Office to a subscription service has been beneficial for Microsoft’s core software business2. Additionally, the gaming sector, particularly Xbox, is another area where Microsoft is seeing significant growth2. With the successful launch of the Xbox Series X and Series S, and the rapid growth of the Xbox Game Pass subscription service, the future looks bright for Microsoft’s gaming business.
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH.
There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend.
Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range.
**This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
Bitcoins Bext Big Price MoveBitcoin’s price action is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, with the key points marked as A ($103,900), B ($92,400), C ($101,400) , and D ($94,600) , indicating a period of consolidation as buyers and sellers struggle for control. Notably, the price recently bounced off the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $94k , a critical support zone that aligns with the lower boundary of the triangle. Below this, the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $86.6k serves as the next significant support, while a break of this level could open the door to deeper downside risks. On the upside, a breakout above the triangle’s upper trendline, currently near $100k , could propel Bitcoin toward its next major target at $130k , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. The tightening price range within the triangle and declining volume suggest a major breakout is imminent, with traders closely watching for a decisive move in either direction. Given Bitcoin's historical behavior, the breakout direction could set the tone for its trend over the coming weeks. Microsoft is voting on purchasing bitcoin tomorrow, and the results from this and Amazon's vote later on could effect the direction of this breakout.
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Hits a 4.5-Month HighMicrosoft (MSFT) Stock Hits a 4.5-Month High
On 31 October, our analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) stock highlighted:
→ The price is forming a long-term upward channel, illustrated in blue.
→ The channel’s lower boundary serves as a significant support level.
On Friday, MSFT stock climbed to $445, its highest level since mid-July, buoyed by news that OpenAI may grant Microsoft access to key AI-related technologies.
Will the Price Continue to Rise?
There are reasons to suspect that the bullish momentum may not sustain.
Technical analysis of MSFT’s chart today suggests:
→ The price is near the median of the long-term channel, and this median could act as resistance. This is hinted at by the long upper shadows on Thursday and Friday’s candles.
→ The emerging bullish breakout above the September high around $441 might prove to be a false breakout, similar to the false bearish breakout of early October support near $408 (highlighted with arrows).
Additionally, Microsoft’s stock has underperformed compared to market indices, which are at historic highs. This could mean the price may retrace to $430 or lower, aligning more closely with average autumn levels.
Analysts, however, remain optimistic about MSFT’s prospects. According to TipRanks:
→ 26 out of 29 analysts recommend buying MSFT stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for MSFT is $497.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Microsoft - Breaking TradeThere was a great breakout trade opportunity on Microsoft's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key resistance level where the price struggled to break through. A breakout occurred with a strong bullish candlestick, confirming buyers' strength.
Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
Microsoft - Short Term Top Formation!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) could create a short term correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Almost for the entire year of 2024, Microsoft has been moving sideways and respecting the upper channel resistance trendline. It is quite likely that we will see a correction, considering that buyers are still weak, before we then see the overall trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft $MSFT - About to go on another run? 19% UpsideMicrosoft - NASDAQ:MSFT 🖥️
Microsoft with a big statement today for themselves and the MAG7! The runs not over! All MAG7 names are moving higher today and carrying the market.
Is this the beginning of the next leg up for BIG TECH?
Microsoft was forming a nasty H&S on the charts but has formed a Symmetrical Triangle pattern at then same time and is currently breaking out. They also broke out of the WR% downtrend and are launching off the AVP shelf to make a push back to ATH's.
Finally the H5 indicator is pointing upward and working on flipping back to GREEN.
🎯$466 📏$512 ⏳ May2025
NFA
$MSFT H&S top? Large downside move incoming?NASDAQ:MSFT is one of the worst looking tech charts out there.
There's a large H&S top that has formed and if it breaks below that blue trend line it's going to get ugly quickly.
I think it's possible we see a 20%+ decline over the coming months back to that $312-316 level.
1D, 2D, and 1W Heikin Ashi candles are all bearish. It would take a miracle for this stock to turn around.
Let's see if we get a H&S top confirmation.