$ARBK Long + Bitcoin + PivotI have been bullish on Bitcoin for a long time and have posted a ton of charts on here regarding the bilateral trades with Bitcoin miners so this is part of that work.
$ARBK , $BTCM , $MARA are the main longs I am in and building positions right now.. the main reason is these mining companies are currently mining under $5,000 per Bitcoin so even if Bitcoin falls to $9800 which is likely in a capitulation dump (IF)
These 3 miners have strong balance sheets, low cost to capital, and are extremely under valued due to earnings and tradfi not understanding the trade. (exclusion there is Mara... they have not sold any Bitcoin so they have the biggest exposure to a dump)
This long is simple... I believe the fed will pivot before 3.0001% and any higher than that we will see a real crash which will never happen for midterms.
Under the long term moving averages and I am wrong on my timing.. and I will take the L then look for reentry
Mining
Agnico Eagle Mines: Keep Your Eyes on the Ball! 👀This is what we tell the bears currently busy with Agnico. Our furry friends shouldn’t let themselves get distracted by the little countermovement, but should rather continue to focus on our primary scenario – just as they have been doing so admirably lately. Thus, we expect the stock price to resume the descent and to fall below the next support at $31.03. However, there remains a 30% chance that Agnico could develop massive upwards momentum and rise above the resistance at $74.50. In that case, the stock price should gain even more drive and cross the next resistance at $89.16 as well.
$BTC Daily TF : 🔴 PLEASE READ THE CAPTION 🟢By examining the daily and weekly chart of Bitcoin (the weekly chart is mentioned to this chart) , we can see that the price reacted negatively after reaching the High of The Month (the highest price recorded in JULY ) and started to correct, currently the most important price resistance is the range of $24,300 to $24,650 is , so if the weekly and monthly price candle can close above this price, we can expect growth up to the target of $26,800! Currently, the price is trading in the range of $24,000! The next scenario, which I also expect, is correction to the range of $20,700 to $21,400. If we see a positive reaction, we can enter a long position in this range! The guys who are looking for sell positions can enter the trade with the target of $21,400 when they see the signal within the resistance range that I told them! So my main and primary scenario is the drop to the mentioned range!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 08.01.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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The $BTC rally is gaining traction and hitting key levelsI am still bullish on Bitcoin very long term, but in the short run, things are slightly uncertain but starting to look rosier. The bulls seem to be taking control now with BTCUSD now making higher highs and higher lows. It appears that the momentum has switched to the upside as the 20-day moving average has crossed up through the 50-day moving average; indicating a potential change in trend. It has also just reached its .236 fib level at 24,261.96 and has been fighting it.
BTCUSD appears to now be at a decision point with 3 choices:
1) Hold & break .236 Fib level and truly establish an uptrend
2) Build a big base with a lot of accumulation at the .236 Fib level as bulls and bears duke it out (setting up for a very large directional move, direction unknown)
3) Lose hold of the .236 Fib level and head lower showing bears still have some control/fight left
The previous battleground was the .382 Fib level which is 29,625.82 on bitcoin. The new battleground/key level as previously stated is the .236 Fib level, 24,261.96.
Once bitcoin breaks through the .236 Fib level, I believe it will hit my shorter-term price target of 30k.
$MAYwatching for a push above the breakout line for entry signal,
Green box is the target if we get entry signal.
currently backtesting the low for that "daily range" that sent the market lower into the 1 month consolidation.
A push above the ema's and into 95-96 price range will be but signal.. lets see.
FYI a lot of news coming from the US this month so got to be cautious.
$BTCM great risk to reward ratio 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Recap: My team took profit and ran away with a 34% gain from $BTCM just a few weeks ago. Price has dropped significantly since then and looks ready to pop.
My team entered Bitcoin Mining Company $BTCM today at $.67 cent per share. Our first take profit is $1. We also have a stop loss set at $.615.
This company is a standout from other Bitcoin mining companies. It doesn't exactly trade the same as the others due to China relations, but with investors now eyeing investments overseas this could become a goldmine soon.
OUR ENTRY: $.67
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $1
STOP LOSS: $.615
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Pan American Silver: Exciting!The tension is building! Pan American Silver is getting closer to the middle of the blue zone between $21.88 and $13.94, where it should ideally complete wave (ii) in blue. As soon as this is done, Pan American Silver should turn around and move upwards, heading for the resistance at $40.11. A 38% chance remains, though, that the price could drop through the blue zone and below the support at $10.61, thus initiating further descent below the next support at $5.38.
Blockware Intelligence NewsletterBlockware Intelligence Newsletter Summary (for week 7/4 - 7/8):
The equity indexes have seen a strong bounce this week, much of which has stemmed from short-covering as we can see with QQQ’s Aggregate Short-Interest.
While it’s certainly possible that this is the market’s bottom, there are a few areas close overhead that could turn into resistance in the coming sessions.
Fixed-income securities began to sell off again this week and the 2/10Y yield spread flipped negative for the second time in 2022.
The Atlanta Fed has continued to lower their Q2 GDP estimate and it now sits at -1.9%. As discussed last week, unemployment data does not back the thesis that the US is currently in a recession.
Bitcoin is 31 days into a miner capitulation according to the hash ribbon metric. The end of a miner capitulation historically marks a bear market bottom.
Updated: Miner Network Breakeven Distribution Table and Chart
Mining difficulty is trending down, but not at the same pace as the China mining ban which was unprecedented.
GDXJ: Excellent!GDXJ is still acting squarely in accordance with our expectations and has advanced into the magenta zone between $37.26 and $24.77, where it should soon finish wave ii in magenta. Afterwards, GDXJ should turn upwards, crossing $36.58 and heading for the resistance at $51.92. There remains a 30% chance, though, that the ETF could fall through the magenta zone and below the support at $19.52, thus activating further descent.
ETH 30M : A trade Position is blinkingEth in 30M time frame has a perfect potential for both buy & sell positions ; Buy after the pullback if the bearish trendline is broken or sell after the pullback if the static support is broken. Let's see
What is your idea ?
share your idea , and if you have any questions feel free to ask me in comments .
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First Majestic: Should I Stay Or Should I Go?“Darling, you’ve got to let me know – should I stay or should I go?”
This song by The Clash seems to be sounding in the background while First Majestic is thinking. As it has already reached the ideal target point for wave 2 in turquoise, the share price could directly go upwards now, rising above the resistance at $19.41. Likewise, it could stay to finish wave 2 in turquoise a bit deeper in the turquoise zone between $12.36 and $6.89. However, there is also a 45% chance that First Majestic could drop below the support line at $5.30, thus activating further descent.
Ethereum we have been here beforeThis idea is based on a crypto winter of approximately 12-months. There are all kinds of real possibilities and many depend upon a 4-year in the works upgrade to remove mining and replace it with proof of stake. Many are still invested in this software project and have steady diamond hands at the moment.
Assuming the winter is only a few more months is short-sighted. The US financial markets are in a long-term downward trend and do not look to be recovering until 4th quarter or 1st/2nd of 2023.
The crypto markets have a long way to fall from here, I don't see Bitcoin suffering as much of a flush but it will all be down until the longterm trend is bucked.
FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER - PRESSURE BUILDINGThis is a weekly chart of AG, First Majestic Silver Corp. I like to call this pattern a giant compression wedge - it's just a simple descending triangle. But considering this is on the weekly timeframe, it's a mammoth-sized wedge. I like the pattern but I really like the company. I'll try to focus on the technical analysis, but First Majestic looks incredibly well positioned for what's unfolding in the metals market. They have their ducks in a row.
If you follow my ideas, then you'll know how I feel about precious metals. I believe we're facing a perfect storm that will propel precious metals & miners to incredible levels. The monetary circus, supply & demand, inflation, gold:silver ratio, and the commodity cycle are just a few of the ingredients in the recipe.
I'm torn about direction. Equities, the dollar, precious metals, and the miners are in a pivotal place. The dollar looks like it's trying to find a bottom. It's possible that the metals, miners, and equities get pushed down hard again.. potentially another crash. Having another crash in equities, metals, miners, etc.. would be my preferred path because I suspect that it wouldn't last long.. Inflation is coming but don't rule out another deflationary hiccup. I like to buy stuff cheap and so I'll be thrilled to have another discount. Watch the dollar. I think we're going to know soon.. and watch First Majestic. It would be incredible to have it tag (E) of this wedge. The measured move of this pattern is somewhere around 39-40 but a move from $4.00 to 40 is a 10x compared to the 2x it is from current prices.
$BTC/USD 1M (#Index) Ascending trendine on supportBitcoin is pulling back to 50MA (monthly) where a bounce would make sense like it happened in 2018 and 2015 as well!
RSI looks very bottomed (new ATL) and this seems enough to buy Low in order to sell High later this year, or at the beginning of the next one.
But first comes the boring part for 5-6 months of ranging and choppy moves, better be very patient..
Current Price= 22006.84
Buy Entry= 22000 - 18881
Take Profit= 52825
Expected Profit= +158%
Fib. Retracement= 0.786
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 9 months
Tags: #BTC #BTCUSD #XBT #WBTC #BTCB #Blockchain #PoW #Mining #Satoshi
Website: bitcoin.org
Contracts:
#Mainnet
#ERC20 0x2260fac5e5542a773aa44fbcfedf7c193bc2c599
#BEP20 0x7130d2a12b9bcbfae4f2634d864a1ee1ce3ead9c
#BEP2 BTCB-1DE
Vox Royalty to test C$2.15 $VOX $VOXCFWhen the TSX asks you to explain why there was a pick up in volume after you hired a known "pump and dump" firm, you have to wonder how that is going to reflect on the company.
Different message boards are full of investors or potential investors posting articles and youtube clips which describe the nefarious goings-on of the National Inflation Association (NIA), who Vox has agreed to pay $100k for a year's worth of promotion.
One damning article explains who NIA are:
National Inflation Association runs a website called inflation.us. According to their website they claim they are an organization dedicated to preparing Americans for hyperinflation and helping Americans survive and prosper in the upcoming hyperinflationary crisis. They try to create the image of legitimacy and professionalism. However, the site is actually set up as a type pump and dump operation. National Inflation Association typically recommends microcap stocks that trade on the NASDAQ with a low float. They will typically own a large position in a stock they are recommending and send out thousands of emails to their subscribers urging them to buy the stock they are recommending.
The National Inflation Association gained a huge following through a variety of their YouTube videos. The National Inflation Association is run mainly by two stock promoters: Gerard Adams and Jonathan Lebed.
Both of these guys run other websites where they get compensated thousands of dollars for profiling small companies and sending emails to investors urging investors to buy shares in it.
Gerard Adams operates the website WallStreetGrand(dot)com, an investor relations/stock promotion website that sends out stock alerts on penny stocks. Jonathan Lebed also runs his own stock promotion site lebed(dot)biz. Lebed gained national attention back in 2001 when the SEC accused him of fraudulently manipulating stocks in a pump and dump scheme when he was in his teens.
Vox Royalty Corp. has been on a promotional tour, meeting and greeting anyone who attended one of the many mining and investing conferences. They have also been using promoters like Crux Investor, Rich TV, Liberty & Finance, Ellis Martin and Proactive Investor.
Every time the Vox Corp. media machine went to work, the share price would stumble and fall. With many private investors are frustrated at the lack of dividends or value left over for PIs. "The recent deal probably makes economic sense for Vox, especially with the price calculated for the Vox shares issued in the payment but not sure how the market will appreciate their revenue mix with a significant percentage of revenue coming from 2 iron ore projects. Like the company more than I did yesterday but will watch from the sidelines for now. A little taken back by the 20% option plan, RSU's and PSU's seems excessive to me. Most companies are run with a 10% option plan. This management team does not leave much for the shareholders."
Looking at the sentiment of the PI's this stock is on its way lower.
Technically, the close below 61.8% from the lows of C$2.15 to the most recent significant high, now looks more likely that momentum is going to also drag this share price lower. Possibly below the C$2.15 level.
As much as I was hoping to see this share price rising based on the royalties and acquisitions over the next year or so, I am not going to pretend that fundamentals are going to beat sentiment and momentum. May be there will be a place lower to buy where the risks are a lot lower.
Freeport McMoran Strong Future PositionFreeport-McMoRan's relatively strong position
significant producing assets in the U.S.
and Indonesia and expansion opportunities
puts it in a somewhat stronger position. In short,
the outlook for copper prices is good
They are forecasting steady annual sales growth.
2023 is expected to be an even stronger year than 2022, and
2024 is expected to be weaker but still stronger than 2021.
This provides a runway for significant sales improvement
for the company and continuous income for the company in the upcoming years
Agnico: On Track!Despite smaller counter movements, Agnico continues to follow our primary scenario. We expect it to fall below the support line at $45.42, which should confirm further descent below the next support at $31.03. However, there is a 32% chance that Agnico could chose the other direction and cross the resistance at $74.50, thus reinforcing upwards movement above the next resistance at $89.16.
An amazing story unfolding for ERGO as one of the best POW coinsIn comparing to BTC you can see that Ergo is holding it's ground far better at the moment.
No coin is without it's history, in the case of Ergo I believe there was a pre-mine but the coin has stood strong among POW coins and is currently one of the most profitable to mine.
If you have a rack of 3060ti's there is more money in pool mining ERG right now than mining ETH.
In addition ERG is less heat producing, is early in it's lifecycle and could be the next top Alt going into what will promise to be a bountiful Bull run in the next 18-24 months.
Overall I am neutral right now, the coin should hold steady just below $2 for some time and then enjoy a quite nice run as it becomes the next Ethereum.
$BTCM earnings tomorrow 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered Bitcoin Mining Company $BTCM today at $1.78 per share. Our first take profit is $2.40. We also have a stop less set at $1.60
This company is a standout from other Bitcoin mining companies. It doesn't exactly trade the same as the others due to China relations, but with investors now eyeing investments overseas this could become a goldmine soon.
OUR ENTRY: $1.78
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $2.40
STOP LOSS: $1.60
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney