NIFTY DAILY - 15/5/2024Nifty opens gap up and mad days high which is 22297 level but didn’t survive upper level and bear drag the nifty down to the 22151 points, after that index was in a consolidation and gave flat to bearish closing which is -17 points.
Index has formed red body candle with upper and lower shadow.
Candle is crossing 9 Days Moving Average Line on daily chart.
Nifty is able to hold 22200 level so, further resistance can be 22273 with support of 22166 level.
Bank Nifty levels
Support – 47305 Resistance – 48110
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 23
Decline - 27
FII Sell – 2832.83 crores
DII Buy + 3788.38 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Movingavarage
Bearish: If price moves below 111D MA - Could mean more PAINTypically, if the price falls below the 111D moving average for more than a few days, it signals a downtrend in price to come for the next significant period of time.
The 350D moving average (green) is still likely to trend upward for the next 2 years at least. Price will likely catch up to this 350 Day Moving Average (350D MA) in the coming years, probably at a price of around $150,000 - $250,000. It may take a while to reach that amount if the price falls below the 111D moving average for a significant period of time. Recently, the price bounced off of that MA, so we will see in the coming weeks if there is going to be a major trend shift in price or if the price will continue to bounce higher away from the 111D MA.
If there is a trend shift to the downside, we will see a divergence between the 111D MA and the 350D MA. If not, they will continue their path of convergence until they reach the Pi-Cycle Top. My guess is that the top is around $150,000 - $250,000 for this 4-year cycle.
What Is Flowing With The Market? We have all heard that it is a good idea to go with the flow of the market but what does that look like? It's not enough to just read about flowing with the market, it must be practiced and experienced. We must acquire the skill of following markets up and down through its changes seamlessly.
A disciplined trading plan will have an objective method and will objectively define entry, stop, exit, and management. Part of any good method is never wondering if the market is going up or down or about to turn, It's doing what it's doing. You want to independently know this information without having to check outside sources.
In the video, I show a simple way to practice using a 100-period moving average, but you can use anything you want as long as it is objective and follows the market. With just a few rules we can use the moving average to tell us if the market is up and we are looking for longs, or if the market is down and we are looking for shorts, or if it's neutral and we are neutral. This is a letting go practice, a learning to change with change.
Shane
BTC 4H 200 EMA BITCOIN is back at the 4H 200 EMA . The chart shows how since BTC flipped bullish above both the 50 & 200 4H EMA's , the moving averages have provided support when aggressively trending in the case of the 50 EMA (bounced twice). When BTC has a pullback/ranges we see that the 4H EMA provides support (bounced 4 times).
For the BTC rally to continue in the mid term this level must hold out to prevent further drawdown. With the halving only weeks away we have an decrease of supply and thus a a reduction in sellside pressure.
Greyscale do continue to sell but for how much longer we don't know. Once they do stop selling and the mining rewards halve we have a a very bullish environment for the rest of the year.
For now these are my thoughts on price action:
- Hold the 4H 200EMA, range between DAILY RESISTANCE and the moving average.
- Lose the 4H 200EMA, first support level is the DAILY SUPPORT, if that is lost then filling the wick at 59K could be on the cards and would offer a great place for long term holds.
Tilray approaching a swing trade and/or shorting opportunityNASDAQ:TLRY is approaching a resistance range and is at the top of a W pattern. It's rsi is also overbought above the 70 level. Volume is also trending upwards and has reached the level where the previous volume high (and price trend reversal) was.
The trading opportunity is around the 3 scenarios shown in the chart, with, due to the technical indicators mentioned above, scenario 2 and then 3 being the most likely.
Trading approach would be to wait until after the quarterly earnings are released and see if:
Scenario 1
The price breaks above the resitance range, apply a 3 day filter to ensure it's not a fakeout, and swing trade upwards to approx. $3.
Scenario 2
A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum tim eto enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade.
Scenario 3
Wait until the price reaches the support level since November 2023 (approx. $1.6) and enter a swing trade back up to the resistance range with an exit at approx. $2.5. To reduce risk, enter the swing with a combination of the RSI being at 30 and/or a 3 day filter to reduce the risk of the price breaking down from $1.6 to a new low.
Scenario 3.5
Same as scenario 3 but with the support level being around the DMAs and price range where the price movement faced some resistance on it's way up during mid-March 2024. A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum time to enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade.
NOTE:
Those with a risk appetite large enough may use the technical indicators mentioned in the first paragraph as enough of a comfirmation to enter a risky short trade:
Entry point: Now ($2.45)
Stop Loss: $2.70
Take Profit: $1.60
Risk:Reward ratio: 1:3
NIFTY DAILY - 28/3/2024Another gap up opening of Index and highly volatile session, Index has made days high that is 22516 level, there was profit booking in last hours of trading.
Third green body shaven bottom candle is formed on daily chart, which indicates todays open and low are same and buyers were buying from starting of the day.
Formation of last three candles are higher highs higher lows.
MACD is on an urge of Crossover. Candle is above 9 days Moving Average line on daily chart.
Today’s closing was below 22381 level so this will work as resistance with support of 22145 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 45
Decline - 5
FII Buy + 188.31 crore
DII Buy + 2619.52 crore.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NIFTY DAILY - 22/3/2024Second winning strike of bulls and took control over market and made days high that is 22180 level.
Nifty has formed big green body candle with upper and lower shadow.
Candle is taking support of 50 days Moving Average line.
Nifty is able to hold above on 22000 level so that next hurdle level can be 22115 and weakness could be seen towards 21831 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 38
Decline - 12
FII Sell – 3309.76 crore
DII Buy + 3764.87 crore.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NIFTY DAILY - 21/3/2024Gap up opening of Nifty with Positive note and made days high that is 22080.
Into second half bears were back into action and took Nifty down to the low of the day that is 21941 level.
Index has formed small green body candle with upper and lower shadows.
Nifty has taken support of 50 days Simple Moving Average line on daily chart.
Nifty is able to hold above on 22000 level so that next hurdle level can be 22115 and weakness could be seen towards 21831 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 40
Decline - 10
FII Sell – 1826.97 crore
DII Buy + 3208.87 crore.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
MINA/USDT Trading ScenarioBelow is the scenario of price movement for MINA.
As a result of an extended period of accumulation of large positions at a price of $0.6862, participants have begun to initiate an upward price movement. After completing additional accumulation at around $1.3297, the asset is once again approaching the local maximum and resistance level at the price of $1.6908.
We consider the possibility of conducting a deal on breaking through the local maximum at the price level of $1.6908 with the aim of consolidating above this level and subsequently continuing the upward trend of the asset's value.
AMA versus SMA. Is smarter really better?█ Adaptive versus Simple Moving Average Trading Strategies. Is smarter really better?
Computer-aided trading systems have revolutionized the way trading decisions are made. We now employ sophisticated algorithms to predict market movements and execute trades at optimal times. Among these, moving average(MA) strategies stand out for their simplicity and effectiveness among the many available strategies. This study by Craig A. Ellis and Simon A. Parbery compares two prominent MA strategies: the Adaptive Moving Average(AMA) and the Simple Moving Average(SMA).
Conclusion: While adaptive moving average strategies may provide an edge in certain market conditions by capturing trends more efficiently than simple moving averages, investors must carefully consider transaction costs.
These costs can significantly impact net returns, particularly in frequent trading strategies. Findings suggest that the effectiveness of adaptive versus simple moving average trading strategies is nuanced in varying market conditions, with no one-size-fits-all answer. Investors should weigh the potential benefits of adaptability against the increased costs and risks associated with such strategies.
█ Moving Average Trading Systems
Among the various types of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average(SMA) and the Adaptive Moving Average(AMA) are particularly noteworthy due to their distinct characteristics and applications in trading strategies.
⚪ Simple Moving Average and Its Calculation
SMA is one of the most basic moving averages in trading. It calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods. The SMA is straightforward to compute; you sum up the security's closing prices for a set number of periods and then divide this total by the number of periods.
This process results in a smooth line that traders can overlay on their price charts to assess the direction of the trend. For example, a 20-day SMA would add up the closing prices of the past 20 days and divide the total by 20. This calculation is continuously updated as new closing prices become available, giving traders a dynamic view of the market's trend.
// Function to calculate the SMA using an array
sma(source, length) =>
// Initialize an array to hold the prices
prices = array.new_float(length)
// Fill the array with the most recent `length` prices
for i = 0 to length - 1
array.set(prices, i, source )
// Calculate the sum of the array elements
sum = array.sum(prices)
// Return the average
sum / length
⚪ Adaptive Moving Average and Its Calculation
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA), proposed by Perry Kaufman in his book "New Trading Systems and Methods," represents a significant advancement in moving average technology. Unlike the SMA, which gives equal weight to all data points, the AMA adjusts its sensitivity based on the market's volatility. This adaptability makes the AMA particularly useful in identifying market trends with varying degrees of volatility.
The core of the AMA's adaptability lies in its Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the directionality of the market over a given period. The ER is calculated by dividing the absolute change in price over a period by the sum of the absolute differences in daily prices over the same period.
// Calculate the Efficiency Ratio (ER)
change = math.abs(close - close )
volatility = math.sum(math.abs(close - close ), length)
ER = change / volatility
The ratio helps determine how efficiently the price is moving in one direction. A higher ER indicates a more directional market, prompting the AMA to react quickly to price changes. A lower ER suggests a consolidating market, leading the AMA to respond more to recent price changes.
█ Data and Research Methodology
The data set encompasses daily closing prices for three major stock indices: the Australian All Ordinaries, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and the S&P 500, spanning from 1980 to 2002. This period provides a comprehensive view of market behavior, including various economic cycles, bull and bear markets, and periods of high volatility. Such a diverse data set is crucial for testing the robustness of the AMA in different market environments.
This study investigates whether AMA's adaptive nature results in superior performance compared to the more static SMA and the passive buy-hold approach. The key steps in the research methodology include:
Parameter Selection: Identifying optimal parameters for both AMA and SMA to ensure a fair comparison. This involves selecting the look-back periods and thresholds for triggering buy or sell signals.
Strategy Implementation: Developing trading strategies based on AMA, SMA, and a buy-hold benchmark. Each strategy is applied to the data set to simulate real-world trading, with buy or sell signals generated according to the specific rules of each approach.
Performance Evaluation: The performance of each strategy is assessed using several metrics, including total return, risk-adjusted return, and maximum drawdown.
This comprehensive evaluation aims to determine the effectiveness of AMA in navigating various market conditions compared to SMA and buy-hold strategies.
Statistical Testing: Conducting statistical tests to ascertain the significance of the differences in performance outcomes among the strategies. This includes tests for statistical significance in returns and risk metrics, providing a robust framework for comparison.
Sensitivity Analysis: Exploring how changes in the parameters of AMA and SMA affect the strategies' performance. This analysis helps understand the flexibility and adaptability of AMA in response to different market dynamics
█ Results
The empirical analysis focused on comparing the performance of Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) strategies across a variety of indices, including the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and NASDAQ.
The performance metrics were primarily based on the total return over the investment period, the Sharpe ratio, and the maximum drawdown to assess each strategy's risk-adjusted returns and resilience during market downturns.
The table demonstrates that the AMA strategy consistently outperformed the SMA strategy across all indices regarding total return and Sharpe ratio, indicating a superior risk-adjusted return. However, it's important to note that the AMA strategy also experienced slightly higher drawdowns than the SMA in certain instances, suggesting a potentially higher risk during market downturns.
⚪ In discussing the market timing ability of AMA, the analysis found that AMA could better adapt to changing market conditions, thereby capturing trends more efficiently than the SMA strategy. This adaptability resulted in higher returns during periods of significant market movements. However, when accounting for transaction costs, the advantage of AMA over SMA diminished, particularly in markets characterized by frequent, small movements that triggered more trading activity by the AMA strategy.
█ Reference
Ellis, C. A., & Parbery, S. A. (2005). Is smarter better? A comparison of adaptive, and simple moving average trading strategies. Research in International Business and Finance, 19, 399-411.
-----------------
Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Thoughts and Analysis. Today's focus: NDQ100 (Nasdaq)
Pattern – Continuation (Bullish)
Support – 17,804
Resistance – 18,047
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at NDX100 on the daily chart.
Today, we are asking if the NDX100 index will contnue to move higher after putting up several key price action points. Have buyers set the tone for a new extension higher? A main point for us will be that price remains above resistance. We have also run over a few warning signs if sellers start a new push lower.
Good trading.
After a 300% Run Mind has Retested and Gearing for More!First caught my attention by the scanner
🔎 *Symbol*: `MIND/USDT`
📈 *Signal*: `Long`
💲 *Current Price*: `0.005523`
🛑 *Stop-Loss*: `0.0029251700000000004`
💰 *Market Cap*: `0`
🚪 *Entry Prices*:
📥 Entry Price 1: `0.00422966`
📥 Entry Price 2: `0.00476767`
📥 Entry Price 3: `0.0052025000000000005`
📥 Entry Price 4: `0.005637329999999999`
🏁 *Exit Prices*:
📤 Exit Price 1: `0.00845267`
📤 Exit Price 2: `0.00932233`
📤 Exit Price 3: `0.01073`
📤 Exit Price 4: `0.01213767`
i realized this coin doesn't have an extensively long history, in fact it's very brief. But Recently We had a 300% Run. After that we Retested heading all the way down close to where a stop loss would be considerable at the bottom Fib Channel. On the other hand after a 300% a Correction is not only expected it's required.
Here are the the multiple reasons we'll Consider
MIND
a Continuation
We Have a Huge Breakout and the Swing Low Following Stayed above .213 Fib on Extension
Shortly After the Moving Average Providing Support Moved up through the Fib Channel it was Wicking toward during Correction
When ADX bottomed and turned around, the MACD Failed to break the signal line and signaled a buy now showing Strength
Unveiling Bitcoin's Golden Bull Run | Masters Edition | Remix
Bitcoin, the flagship of cryptocurrencies, has once again surged into the spotlight, signaling a potential golden bull run on the horizon. This comprehensive analysis leverages Fibonacci levels, trendline analysis, moving averages, and now, an exploration into long-term candlestick formations and their interplay with horizontal support and resistance levels. Let's delve deeper into the technical indicators forecasting Bitcoin's luminous path ahead.
1. Fibonacci Retracement: A Dance with the 78.6% Level
Bitcoin's recent price action has been nothing short of a technical analyst's dream. The cryptocurrency has tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, only to pull back to the 61.8% level, creating a suspenseful build-up. However, Bitcoin's resilience shone through as it catapulted back above the 78.6% level, setting its sights on the all-time high of $69,000. This movement not only demonstrates Bitcoin's strong market sentiment but also underscores the reliability of Fibonacci retracement levels as indicators of significant resistance and support.
2. Fibonacci Extension: Forecasting a Stellar Target
The Fibonacci extension tool, a favorite among traders for its uncanny ability to predict future valuations, has once again provided a glimpse into Bitcoin's potential trajectory. Currently, the tool forecasts an ambitious target of at least $128,000. This prediction is not plucked from thin air but is rooted in the tool's historical accuracy in pinpointing major price milestones for Bitcoin, offering a tantalizing glimpse into what the future might hold.
3. Trendline Analysis: Controversy Turns to Gold
While trendline analysis may spark debate among traders, its success in identifying key levels in Bitcoin's price history cannot be overlooked. Presently, these trendlines suggest the commencement of a golden bull run, pointing towards unprecedented higher levels. This analysis provides a roadmap for traders and investors, indicating significant points of interest and potential strategy adjustments.
4. Weekly MA and EMA: Shifting Sentiments
The weekly Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are showing a major shift in market sentiment, tilting the scales in favor of the bulls. These indicators, especially when configured with the right periods, can accurately pinpoint market reversals. The alignment of both MA and EMA in a bullish configuration underscores a growing optimism in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that the current momentum could have the legs to sustain a prolonged upward trajectory.
5. Long-term Candlestick Patterns and Horizontal Support and Resistance
Adding another layer to our analysis, long-term candlestick formations offer invaluable insights into Bitcoin's market behavior. Over the years, these patterns have interacted with major levels of horizontal support and resistance, providing a historical context that underscores the significance of current price movements. These interactions reveal how Bitcoin has responded to previous periods of consolidation and breakout, informing predictions about its future trajectory.
The examination of how Bitcoin has navigated through these levels in the past can help anticipate its future movements. For instance, a break above a long-established resistance level might signal a strong continuation of the current bullish trend, while support levels that have held firm over the years could indicate potential rebound zones during pullbacks.
Conclusion: The Dawn of Bitcoin's Golden Era
The synthesis of Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, trendline analysis, moving averages, and long-term candlestick patterns with horizontal support and resistance provides a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's potential. As we chart this journey, the anticipation of Bitcoin's next phases grows, with technical indicators aligning in favor of a significant bullish phase.
While the insights derived from these analyses offer a compelling narrative for Bitcoin's future, it's essential to approach investment with caution, recognizing the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Conducting thorough research and seeking diverse perspectives remain critical for making informed investment decisions.
To Learn More, Check Out Latest Analysis & Educational Publications
Mastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility
www.tradingview.com
Ethereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and Beyond
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Engage in your research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Ethereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and BeyondEthereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and Beyond
In this idea post, we delve into Ethereum's promising signs of a bullish future based on its recent technical achievements and market dynamics. Ethereum, a cornerstone of blockchain innovation, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential. This analysis focuses on Ethereum's breakthrough in breaching the Fibonacci golden zone, the formation of bull season support through trendline analysis, a strong bounce from its weekly moving average (MA), and the implications of the ETHBTC valuation.
Breaching the Fibonacci Golden Zone
Ethereum's recent price action includes a significant move above the Fibonacci golden zone, a pivotal area identified by traders for its potential market reversal implications. This achievement is a clear bullish indicator, suggesting Ethereum's momentum for sustained upward movement. The golden zone, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels, is crucial for identifying support and resistance levels that can predict future price movements.
BINANCE:ETHUSD.P Has tested golden zone retracement and broken above
Bull Season Support Formation
Through trendline analysis, we observe the formation of a bull season support for Ethereum, indicating a strong foundation for potential future price increases. This pattern, marked by consecutive higher lows, reflects growing buyer interest and market confidence in Ethereum's value proposition and its underlying technology's capabilities.
BINANCE:ETHUSD Has formed its Potential Bull Season Channel and right now is trying to break above the Midline
Strong Bounce from Weekly MA
Ethereum's vigorous recovery from its weekly moving average underscores significant buying pressure and investor confidence. This bounce from the weekly MA highlights the market's responsiveness to Ethereum at current price levels, suggesting a bullish sentiment and a potential shortage that could propel prices even higher.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD Ran 20%-50% at each test of the weekly MA
Upward Adjustment of Long-Term Targets
Given these positive technical indicators, the long-term price targets for Ethereum are being revised upwards. This optimistic reassessment stems from Ethereum's technical strengths, foundational role in the burgeoning DeFi and NFT markets, and its overall market performance, which hint at a much higher valuation potential than initially anticipated.
ETHBTC Valuation: A Buying Opportunity?
Despite the overall bullish outlook, Ethereum's valuation relative to Bitcoin (ETHBTC) is currently under pressure, indicating that Ethereum may be undervalued compared to Bitcoin. This underperformance in the ETHBTC ratio might present an attractive entry point for investors, signaling that Ethereum, at its current price relative to Bitcoin, could offer significant upside potential.
BINANCE:ETHBTC Indicates Strong Bounce on Mega Support
Concluding Thoughts
Ethereum's journey through the cryptocurrency landscape is marked by continuous innovation and a steadfast position at the forefront of the blockchain revolution. The analysis of its technical indicators and market dynamics paints a bullish picture for its long-term price trajectory. While the ETHBTC valuation suggests Ethereum is currently undervalued relative to Bitcoin, it also underscores a potential opportunity for growth.
Investors and enthusiasts watching Ethereum's progress will find these insights crucial for understanding its market position and future potential. As always, it's important to approach investment decisions with caution, armed with thorough research and a clear understanding of market risks.
Check Out Latest Analysis & Educational Publications
Disclaimer: This idea post is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Unveiling Bitcoin's Golden Bull Run | Masters EditionUnveiling Bitcoin's Golden Bull Run: A Comprehensive Technical Forecast
Bitcoin, the flagship of cryptocurrencies, has once again surged into the spotlight, signaling a potential golden bull run on the horizon. This comprehensive analysis leverages Fibonacci levels, trendline analysis, moving averages, and now, an exploration into long-term candlestick formations and their interplay with horizontal support and resistance levels. Let's delve deeper into the technical indicators forecasting Bitcoin's luminous path ahead.
1. Fibonacci Retracement: A Dance with the 78.6% Level
Bitcoin's recent price action has been nothing short of a technical analyst's dream. The cryptocurrency has tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, only to pull back to the 61.8% level, creating a suspenseful build-up. However, Bitcoin's resilience shone through as it catapulted back above the 78.6% level, setting its sights on the all-time high of $69,000. This movement not only demonstrates Bitcoin's strong market sentiment but also underscores the reliability of Fibonacci retracement levels as indicators of significant resistance and support.
2. Fibonacci Extension: Forecasting a Stellar Target
The Fibonacci extension tool, a favorite among traders for its uncanny ability to predict future valuations, has once again provided a glimpse into Bitcoin's potential trajectory. Currently, the tool forecasts an ambitious target of at least $128,000. This prediction is not plucked from thin air but is rooted in the tool's historical accuracy in pinpointing major price milestones for Bitcoin, offering a tantalizing glimpse into what the future might hold.
3. Trendline Analysis: Controversy Turns to Gold
While trendline analysis may spark debate among traders, its success in identifying key levels in Bitcoin's price history cannot be overlooked. Presently, these trendlines suggest the commencement of a golden bull run, pointing towards unprecedented higher levels. This analysis provides a roadmap for traders and investors, indicating significant points of interest and potential strategy adjustments.
4. Weekly MA and EMA: Shifting Sentiments
The weekly Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are showing a major shift in market sentiment, tilting the scales in favor of the bulls. These indicators, especially when configured with the right periods, can accurately pinpoint market reversals. The alignment of both MA and EMA in a bullish configuration underscores a growing optimism in the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that the current momentum could have the legs to sustain a prolonged upward trajectory.
5. Long-term Candlestick Patterns and Horizontal Support and Resistance
Adding another layer to our analysis, long-term candlestick formations offer invaluable insights into Bitcoin's market behavior. Over the years, these patterns have interacted with major levels of horizontal support and resistance, providing a historical context that underscores the significance of current price movements. These interactions reveal how Bitcoin has responded to previous periods of consolidation and breakout, informing predictions about its future trajectory.
The examination of how Bitcoin has navigated through these levels in the past can help anticipate its future movements. For instance, a break above a long-established resistance level might signal a strong continuation of the current bullish trend, while support levels that have held firm over the years could indicate potential rebound zones during pullbacks.
Conclusion: The Dawn of Bitcoin's Golden Era
The synthesis of Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, trendline analysis, moving averages, and long-term candlestick patterns with horizontal support and resistance provides a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's potential. As we chart this journey, the anticipation of Bitcoin's next phases grows, with technical indicators aligning in favor of a significant bullish phase.
While the insights derived from these analyses offer a compelling narrative for Bitcoin's future, it's essential to approach investment with caution, recognizing the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Conducting thorough research and seeking diverse perspectives remain critical for making informed investment decisions.
To Learn More, Check Out Latest Analysis & Educational Publications
Mastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility
Ethereum's Breakthrough: Navigating the Bull Run and Beyond
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. Engage in your research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
XEM Starting to breakout Ascending TriangleThe ADX Has Bottomed out showing we're soon to start rising and find strength in the upcoming Trend as well as currently Oscillators are traditionally performing better.
The MACD has recently signaled a buy and we're cruising above the signal line.
We're forming an ascending triangle with the price target taking us close to the next fib line more importantly running that 50 period moving average to form a golden cross more than likely forming a new more volatile uptrend!
Watch XEM Y'all
Fib Ranges have it running between 100-400%
S&P Situation: A Deep Dive into the Head and Shoulder Pattern! Johnny Seville here with your daily dose of Smart Money Trading insights. Today, we're dissecting the S&P situation – specifically, the potential short-term head and shoulder pattern that's been developing. Intriguing, right? Let's get into it!
The S&P has been giving off some fascinating signals lately. **We've fallen off the 2022 high and are now potentially developing a head and shoulder pattern**. It's not a guarantee, but it's a likely shape we're keeping a close eye on.
So what would happen if this pattern played out? Let's draw it out. If we measure from the top of the head down to the neckline and then duplicate that below the breakdown line, we land exactly where the 50-day simple moving average is. This adds some probability to the pattern.
**However, caution is key here.** We don't want to get drawn into any rally until this pattern is either over or disproven. So for now, we're keeping a close eye on the situation, ready to adjust our strategy based on the evolving data.
Gold's Maintenance of Record Levels - Following Trend - TADear Esteemed Members,
Gold holds record levels, as the price is above its moving averages and the upper Bollinger band, indicating a strong bullish trend and a high volatility. The price could update the previous high in a wave y, and reach $2100 soon. RSI, stochastic, and OBV, to confirm the validity and strength of the trend.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin AnalysisSo many ways you can look at Bitcoin and all say the same thing. My goal is to highlight the different perspectives in the market Crypto.
1. Eaglizer Strat Daily: Price needs to reclaim 8 EMA (white moving average) for upside.
2. Range: Price needs to reclaim the Median level (white dotted line) for more upside.
3. Trendline: Price needs to reclaim the Trendline (yellow) on for upside.
In summary we're at an area that will determine if we are going to reclaim and continue higher or go down for a correction.
CRV/USDT Accumulation PhaseBelow is the description of the accumulation phase potential development of the CRV/USDT cryptocurrency pair.
After reaching a local minimum in November 2022, when CRV was trading around $0.3982, there was a convincing upward movement that led to a significant increase to $1.29. During this period, the asset demonstrated a growth of more than 225%. Subsequently, the asset gradually declined, reaching a new local minimum at $0.3882.
During the price decrease, a descending trading channel was formed. At the moment, the asset is testing the upper boundary of this channel, which is occurring at the level of $0.6382.
Considering the current trends, we can assume that the asset is preparing to overcome the upper boundary of the trading channel. This could happen after a small corrective pullback to the average price within the descending channel.
Following a successful breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and a subsequent retest with a possible bounce from it, a positive signal for further growth of the asset can be expected. This scenario could indicate movement towards a price maximum at the level of $1.29.
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus IndicatorDear Valued Investors,
O n the financial markets, we find ourselves immersed in the story of Gold (XAUUSD), a tale of resilience and growth. Since November 13, 2023, Gold has gracefully embraced a bullish trajectory, dancing its way from $1928 to a harmonious $2002. This surge reflects the prevailing positive sentiment within the market.
O ur cherished Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator , a guiding light in the complex world of trading, has been whispering about this bullish dance for the past two weeks. However, as we embark on this journey together, let us tread with both excitement and caution.
W hile the absence of a bearish signal is reassuring, prudence suggests that initiating a new long position at this juncture might be akin to stepping into the dance mid-performance. The prolonged bullish stride, unaccompanied by a recent confirmation signal, hints at the potential for a gentle retracement or a graceful consolidation period.
T o navigate the delicate balance of risk in our existing gold long position, we extend our hand to the wisdom of the trail profit stop-loss order. This order, a silent guardian in the realm of trading, elegantly adjusts the stop-loss level as the market rhythm unfolds. It allows us to savor the sweet taste of profits while gracefully curtailing potential losses.
F or our gold long position, consider setting the trail profit stop-loss order at a Fibonacci retracement level – perhaps the enchanting 0.382 or the harmonious 0.5 retracement level. These levels, like gentle notes in a melodic composition, often serve as supportive zones during the ebb and flow of market pullbacks.
A s we waltz with Gold's positive momentum, let us also be attuned to the nuances of increased risk that accompany holding a long position without a recent bullish signal. The overarching melody is one of positivity, but the absence of a fresh confirmation note calls for a measured and deliberate approach.
I n closing, while the Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator paints a portrait of optimism for Gold, the prolonged bullish journey without a recent signal and the elevated risk call for a symphony of risk management strategies. Consider the trail profit stop-loss order as a gentle partner, guiding you through the dance, protecting profits, and gracefully managing the inherent risks of the gold long position.
Disclaimer:
This heartfelt guidance is not to be construed as investment advice. As you waltz through the markets, remember that the rhythm of each trade is unique. We encourage you to perform your own due diligence or seek the counsel of a financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
With Warm Regards,
Ely
Calling all investors!Overview
The Russell is at a potential attractive buy area for long-term investors.
The Details
The Russell ( FX:US2000 ) stock index is in a retrace move. Price is currently between the monthly 50 and 100 SMA's.
Historically, buying when the price is between the moving averages has been a favourable entry area for long-term investments.
Things to Consider
Recession could be on the horizon for the US. This would likely drive prices lower, especially for the Russell 2000.
Using an ETC, such as IWM, is often better for investing in stock indices than futures or OTC products.
Other stock indices may decline further before reaching new highs. The positive correlation between stock indices could bring the US2000 down further.