$SPY February 11, 2025AMEX:SPY February 11, 2025
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY faced resistance around 604-605 levels being 61.8% retracement number.
We have 3 values.
The rise from 600.05 to 605.5
The last rise from 603.21 to 605.5
And the fib extension 600.05 to 605.36 to 603.21
For the first rise important to hold 602 levels to continue uptrend.
For the second number being the latest rise must hold today 604 levels.
A close below 604 will be supported by 602 levels. So not a day to short.
If we take the extension move, we have targets between 606 to 608 today.
Once 608 is broken and held at least 15 minutes the target will be 611-612 levels.
Moving Averages
Figs Inc | FIGS | Long at $5.24Figs Inc $NYSE:FIGS. Technical analysis play first, fundamentals second.
My selected historical simple moving average lines have converged with the stock price, which often leads to sideways trading and a reversal in the downward trend (i.e. future price increase). The downward trend is flattening, but that doesn't mean post-earnings drop to $1.50-$2.00 isn't out of the question...
The FIGS brand is growing within the healthcare world with significant opportunities overseas. While economic headwinds may impede near/medium-term growth, revenue is anticipated to grow into 2027. EPS is expected to rise from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.20 by 2027. While this is not a "value" play and there is high risk for rug pulls, something may be brewing within the chart for a move up. Tread lightly, however...
Targets
$6.00
$6.40
$7.00
$8.00
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $67.33Reentering Estee Lauder at $67.33 due to the persistence of the Director, Paul Fribourg, buying around $33,000,000 worth of shares between $63-$66 (even after the earnings debacle). While the company had a horrendous outlook for FY2025, the bad news may be already priced in (i.e. cutting 7,000 jobs, weak sales, etc.). A "profit recovery and growth plan" is underway, so buckle up for the high risk of further declines in stock price in the near-term. Personally, a buy and hold at $67.33 with the primary thesis being global expansion (recovering Chinese market) or potential buyout into 2027.
Targets
$80.00
$86.00
ETH all set for a 20% gain retest back to $3300Signals are currently swinging up to Bullish soon looking at daily charts.
🔹 US spot Ethereum ETFs recently acquired 146,540 ETH worth $420.2 million, indicating robust institutional interest.
🔹 Ethereum boosts efficiency by raising gas limit to 36 million, enhancing speed by 20% and cutting fees.
🔹 B3 launching Ethereum futures enhances trading options for Brazilian cryptocurrency investors.
Crypto market crash begins in 14 weeks / May 2025For the past decade, since 2012, a specific pattern has emerged that has consistently proven to be a reliable predictor of when the next market top will occur.
The first 2-day life cross (red circles) that prints after the previous market top has been an accurate predictor of the time until the next market top since 2012.
At most that time is 745 days away and could be as little as 550 days away.
The market top is in not more than 14 weeks from now, mid May 2025. And potentially as early as March 10th at 681 days as with the 2021 bull run.
Is this time different?
Ww
BTCUSD: Accumulation or Distribution?📉 The price dipped below EMA 50/200, likely triggering stops from retail traders. However, the low selling volume suggests large players might be accumulating liquidity at lower levels.
📊 Key levels to watch:
🔹 Break above 98K-100K with strong volume → Confirmation of Markup Phase (bullish continuation).
🔹 Drop below 90K with high volume → Potential Markdown Phase (distribution & further decline).
Volatility is rising. Stay cautious.
Keysight Technologies Sneaks HigherMany of the biggest technology names have struggled lately, but Keysight Technologies could be attempting a breakout.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the July 2023 peak of $172.72. The provider of network-testing equipment ended January making a new 52-week high above that level, which may suggest buyers are taking control.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in October. That may reflect a longer-term uptrend.
Third, the 8-day-exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA and MACD is rising. Those signals may reflect a shorter-term uptrend.
Finally, bullish price gaps after the last two quarterly reports may reveal improving fundamentals.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25) Overall Trend & Context:
The OANDA:USDJPY pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and has reached highly significant support/demand levels. Lower time frame has given bullish indications, we can try to capitalize on this.
Technical Findings:
Price broke above the 200 EMA - this can act as dynamic support so watch current levels.
Demand zone was formed after sweeping internal liquidity (which resulted in an impulsive bullish break).
RSI shows overbought conditions - resulting in a pullback which is what we want to see to confirm price action (currently trading below the 50% level of the RSI)
Potential Scenarios:
Since we have seen a reaction off HTF supply zones we should wait for proper confirmations prior to entry.
If the demand fails, short positions should be considered - analysis will need to be adjusted to adapt to changing supply levels.
$SPY February 10, 2025AMEX:SPY February 10, 2025
15 Minutes
For the rise 595.99 to 608.13 AMEX:SPY retraced 61.8%. So, 601-602 is a good level to go long with SL 598.
Since the retracement was 61.8% double top is possible around 607-608 levels.
So looks good R:R ratio.
Foe the fall 6018.13 to 600.65 need to cross 605.5 for uptrend.
Hence 601-602 buy will have a target 604-605 levels.
But AMEX:SPY at the moment is below moving averages with 200 and 50 being around 603 to 604 levels which i expect to be resisted.
Hence no trade today.
XAUUSD BULLISHAccording to the wave theory there can be another upward direction move. If any sell impulse wave is formed we will go for a sell trade. But for now we will go for a buy trade and the sl we set here under the last swing low. SR SL TP are given in the chart. The result will be updated soon.
Follow me for more trade setups. I will post the high probability signal on H4 timeframe of XAUUSD.
Downward pressure on XAUUSD concerning geopolitical developmentReports of a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon have emerged. If confirmed, this could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, potentially exerting downward pressure on its price .
On February 8, 2025, Lebanon formed a new government led by Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, ending a prolonged political deadlock. The new administration aims to implement reforms to address Lebanon's economic crisis and to ensure the reconstruction of areas damaged during the recent conflict with Israel. The ceasefire agreement with Israel, initially set to expire, has been extended to February 18, 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Shiba Inu AnalysisShiba Inu Analysis
Shiba Inu has recently experienced a downtrend, breaking through a significant support level. Currently, it appears to be retesting this level; however, this remains unconfirmed until the candle closes.
In my view, it would be prudent to await the closure of the current candle before contemplating a short position. I also believe that the pair is still aligned with the broader downward trend and has yet to complete its downward movement.
I would be interested in hearing your perspective on Shiba Inu's current market behavior. Please remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management strategies before making any trading decisions.
Cheers!
Algorand (ALGO): Coin is Trading In Bullish Channel!Algorand seems to be in a bullish channel here where we might go for a re-test of the upper resistance zone (in midterm). Before that, we are looking for a downward movement in the local support trend!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
Long term $180-$190 target. More downside likely short term.I think short term we can see a final push down. Company has way to much in OP EX and once it can figure out how to remove/cut the amount in half, this stock will show to investors that it has a plan for long term profitable growth.
Question is, which earnings report will it be and/or will they release news on lay offs once unemployment really spikes.
BUY THIS STOCK IN MY PINK ZONE AND HOLD 2-5 YEARS.
my main concern right now is AI hype flushing down and/or there cash on hand and free cash flow continues on its down trend...
RVSN Potential Reversal - AI Rail Paves the wayRail Vision is building behind the scenes.
There's interesting price action around this level. we might see it go lower for a big buyer and full fear but we believe this name will pave the way for great AI resources.
We can see that there's a potential push higher for upcoming summer mania. Clear skys ahead but be warned for any quick turns into caves or tunnels.
Could this go higher for longer? . Not Financial Advice. Risk at your own discretion.
CVS Health Corp | CVS | Long at $43Not much to write about here except the stock has reentered the "crash" simple moving average area (see green lines). Often, this signals an overall bottom, but it doesn't mean a further dip below $40 isn't possible in the near-term. Personally, I can't ignore this reentry and thus have started a position at $43 (after closing out a previous position in October in the $60's). The company has a lot of headwinds, but if Walgreens NASDAQ:WBA is also in trouble, is NYSE:CVS too big to fail in the short-term?
Target #1 = $53.00
Target #2 = $60.00
Target #3 = $65.00
Target #4 = $68.00
Las Vegas Sands | LVS | Long at $43.76Pros:
Earnings are forecast to grow 13.29% per year
Earnings grew by 18.4% over the past year
2.3% dividend yield
Cons:
Insider selling and exercising of options
Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.8x
Small price gap on the daily chart near $41 that may close prior to a move up.
If people can't buy houses, they will travel... thus, at $43.76, Las Vegas Sands NYSE:LVS is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$50.00
$57.00
$59.00
OM: the most resilient crypto asset todayI'm setting up a buy trigger for OM. Among the crypto assets I track, this one has shown remarkable resilience. During today's market drop, most assets pulled back to the 200-period moving average, with even major market cap leaders like ETH and BNB breaking well below this key support level intraday. In contrast, OM remained strong, with its deepest decline barely dipping below the 20-period moving average.
Today's sharp market recovery indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, which is an undeniably bullish signal. However, given the market's recent streak of failed breakout attempts, I plan to approach this setup with caution.
I'm taking a modest position in OM if the trigger is activated. Due to the relatively wide stop-loss (-32%), I will allocate only 3% of my portfolio, limiting potential downside risk to -1%. On the upside, if the trade performs well, the projected return is 160%, translating to a +4,8% portfolio gain.