Wormhole - Falling Wedge Close To Breakout - Potential 360% MoveA lot of new token launches (Airdrop/Pre-Sale at least) this year seems to suffer the same fate: Price might pump a bit at launch with decent volume, but soon after the interest dies and the price dumps. I've seen several coins now with huge falling wedges like we can see here, and the breakouts are usually insane. W looks like it's getting very close to finally getting out of this wedge.
This looks like a great place to enter a long. Main target is $0.786, and the plan would be to hold maybe ~20% if it looks like it can push $1. The VWAP has acted as a resistance in the past, if the price fails to go past this VWAP again I'd just sell, as it's likely to reverse again.
The St. Dev. Bands line up quite well with my targets, and could end up becoming more precise TPs.
The targets probably seem unrealistic, and maybe they are for the shorter term at least, but these markets move in strange ways, I've been seeing some crazy price action lately (like CLOUD for example)
Tight SL here, would probably look to enter somewhere lower if it gets hit.
Moving Averages
$DIS - a bounce for the mouseNYSE:DIS price is currently sitting at the 1 standard deviation of the anchored VWAP from November low to April high. Also, looking at the anchored volume profile, the POC is basically the current close price. I would like to see a pump next week into $92ish area with strong volume. Closed above both the 9 and 21 EMAs. RSI is curling up. I would look to exit around the gap fill between $107 - $114, roughly 25% upside at current level.
$DKNG - bet on the KingNASDAQ:DKNG chart looks like it is getting ready to rocket. Closed the daily on a bullish hammer after being in the red almost all day. Closed above the 21EMA, $0.10 away from the 9EMA, and looking to tag the 50EMA next week. Anchored VWAP shows we bounced nicely off the 1 standard deviation. Sell target would be when we hit the 2 standard deviation which this has done multiple times and rejected (i.e. purple bands). Improving fundamentals coupled with recent acquisitions and this is ready to move higher.
Based on fib extensions and resistance lines I would like to sell a portion of the position around $42.66 and $45.41. Not out of the realm of us hitting these targets within the next 6 months given sports betting season is upon us.
A Trade as Simple as "Shooting Ducks in A Barrel" Soybean ShortIf you follow my channel, you know I love to trade a strategy that I like to call "Ducks in a Barrel". Its a strategy that is as easy as shooting ducks in a barrel.
We have a setup forming on the Daily timeframe for the Soybeans market.
Step 1: Identify trend (I like to see the 52 & 39 period SMA's sloping strongly and pulling away from each other). In the case of Soybeans, we see a strong bearish trend.
Step 2: In a down trending market, we want to see an asset become OVERVALUED VS GOLD & US TREASURIES. We see with Soybeans, we are now overvalued on the Daily timeframe vs gold & treasuries. Assets that are overvalued in a strong downtrend are assets that we want to SELL.
Step 3: In a down trending market, we want to see an asset become OVERBOUGHT. We see on the Daily stochastic that Soybeans are overbought. Assets that are overbought in a strong downtrend are assets that we want to SELL.
Step 4: In a down trending market, we want to see advisor SENTIMENT become BULLISH. The advisors and general public are usually wrong, so when they become overly bullish in a strong down trend, we want to sell into that bullish sentiment.
Step 5: We can also look at accumulation/distribution indicators and momentum for further confirmation of our idea. But realistically, we just need to see 2 or more of the above indicators confluent with each other to have a setup market.
Step 6: For the Daily timeframe, I utilize the H4 chart for my entry. The safest entry is to wait for 2 full range days to form beneath the 18 period SMA, and from there market enter when the lowest low of these 2 candles is hit. There are other entry techniques to get into the market earlier, but they come with greater risk.
NOTE: If you follow my channel, you will know that I am long Soybeans based on my COT strategy. Commercials are close to the max long positioning of the last 3 years (bullish), OI grinding up on the multi-month down move caused by CM's (bullish), paunch forming (bullish), bearish weekly sentiment (bullish), undervalued on weekly vs gold and treasuries (bullish), major cyclical lows (bullish). I have different accounts for different strategies, as sometimes we get conflicting signals.
If you have any questions about these "ducks in a barrel" trade setups, feel free to give me a message.
As always, I wish you good luck & good trading.
NZD/USD powering higher as business confidence, milk prices surg- NZD/USD hits highs not seen since early January
- Latest leg higher fueled by big improvement in New Zealand business confidence
- Kiwi likely to outperform as long as traders continue to see a soft US economic landing
About the only thing rising as fast as dairy prices is New Zealand business confidence right now, and both are beneficial for NZD/USD which has surged to seven-month highs. Who said Kiwis can’t fly?
Kiwi flying on dairy strength, soaring business confidence
As covered in a separate note last week, NZD/USD has been a major benefactor of recent US dollar weakness, not only enjoying tailwinds from narrowing interest rate differentials but also soaring dairy prices. You can now add bullish New Zealand business confidence to the growing list of Kiwi tailwinds.
The confidence measure in the ANZ Bank New Zealand Business Outlook survey surged to a decade-high in August, surging 23 points to +51. Expectations for own activity also bounced, hitting fresh seven-year highs.
The bounce in optimism followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) first interest rate cut of the cycle earlier in the month, with the bank signalling a further 100 basis points of easing by the middle of next year.
“Things are definitely looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms,” ANZ’s economics team wrote. “It wasn’t the Reserve Bank’s cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR) that kicked off the lift – we saw an increase across much of the survey already in July, and the further large jump in August was already evident when the survey first opened at the very beginning of the month.
The table below from ANZ details just how impressive the improvement in the surveys internal components was during the month.
NZD/USD remains a buy-on-dips play
Having chopped back and forth through former resistance at .6218 earlier this week, the data has seen the Kiwi rocket higher in Asian trade on Thursday, hitting levels not seen since early January, breaking through another layer of resistance at .6277 in the process. The question now is whether it can hold there?
RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide bullish signals on the daily timeframe, although the former is now bordering on overbought territory. Even so, the inclination remains to buy dips rather than sell rallies in the near-term.
With nothing else on the New Zealand calendar this week, the biggest threat to the bullish trend arguably comes from incoming US labour market data which has been highly influential on Fed interest rate pricing over recent months, placing emphasis on initial jobless claims that will be released later in the session.
For a cyclical currency like the Kiwi, mild weakness screens as bullish. So too mild strength as both would allow the Fed to begin cutting rates without sparking fears of an impending recession. But if the data were to weaken dramatically, that would be problematic given the Kiwi comes across as a high beta play on the global economy.
If the US were to fall into recession, narrowing interest rate differentials would be more than overridden by fears of weaker demand, hammering risker cyclical plays as a consequence. However, such an outcome screens as unlikely on this occasion, potentially opening the door for the Kiwi to keep rising.
My preference would be to see how the data prints before entering positions. If the price pushes above .6277, you could buy with a stop below the level for protection. .63695 is one potential target. Alternatively, if it can’t hold .6277, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection targeting a pullback to either .6218 or .6150.
-- Written by David Scutt
3 Reasons Why Insider Selling Wont EndInsider selling is like a mole rat on a farm
they are hard if not impossible to
get rid of infact, some farming
experts say mole are good for the soil
fertility
i was watering a ground where a mole
had made a tunnel,
and i noticed that where the moles
had not drilled into the ground
the vegetables are not growing well
as compared to where the moles had
drilled underground tunnels
Its a very similar concept
when it comes to trading the
only difference here is that:
1-Insider selling gives you a map of what to do
2-Insider selling is public information
3-Insider selling helps you as a trader
In insider selling is good because it will
help you find the right trades
Watch this video again to learn more
about this
Also rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money
wether you like it or not
and so because of this please
learn risk management and
profit taking strategies
before you engage in trading.
A50 rips higher on mortgage rumours, downtrend under threatMedia reports suggest Chinese authorities are considering allowing homeowners to refinance up to $5.4 trillion in mortgages at significantly lower interest rates, providing the type of circuit-breaker that could boost consumption and reverse the downturn in the property sector. While it’s not the first time we’ve seen speculation over measures to boost flagging economic growth, for now, Chinese stocks are flying.
China A50 futures are threatening to break the downtrend they’ve been sitting in since the latter parts of May, staging a dramatic turnaround on Friday after closing at multi-week lows on Thursday. As the chart shows, a break of the downtrend could be significant for a market that has tended to trend nicely once a technical turning point has occurred.
Should we see futures break and close above 11900, a horizontal resistance level just above the downtrend where the 50 and 200-day moving averages are also found, consider buying the break with a stop below either level for protection. The obvious trade target would be 12352, a level that has acted as support and resistance earlier this year.
You could also flip the trade should futures be unable to break higher, selling below the trendline with a stop above for protection.
Good luck!
DS
Potential PO3 in formed on BitcoinThis fundamental analysis shows the potential of a PO3 pattern forming. We went to the EMA50 on the 1 hour time frame which was the manipulative move in the Po3 pattern. At the moment we are back in the consolation area, but there is a chance to go back to older lows that were respected by the last decline, which could have its turn now. So $56k is the target for now.
SPY holds steady while QQQ sells offDuring the past week, SPY and QQQ have diverged in their paths
QQQ slowly and steadily sold off
SPY traded flat during that time
This indicates that the sell off in QQQ was primarily tech driven and did not spread to the rest of the industries
other industries look to be holding stable
QQQ shows a reversal is nearQQQ experienced a number of turning points showing increased weakness in the sell off we have been seeing over the past week.
False breakout to the upside
Strong growth in volume confirming the breakout direction
Hammer candle on close indicating reversal maybe coming after later day retracement
RSI breaks above SMA line for first time
This change in direction we have seen today with a new interest from the bulls shows that ever selling we experience going forward will likely be tested by the bulls again.
For trend traders I would recommend sitting on the side lines until we see a stronger trend form either to the up or down side. This current down trend is showing weakness.
52 Week High Breakout - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Target Ratio 1:3. Small Cap Stock.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big we keep Initial Target Ratio 1:1
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
NVDA has good measured potential above last week's highs.NASDAQ:NVDA has room on the daily chart to about $135 if it can build above the highs from Friday and Thursday of last week. With earnings on Wednesday at 4:20 PM EDT, there should be significant opportunities to the long side if price continues to build above the daily 50 SMA. Equity was added long into the daily 9 EMA, and retest of the recent dark pool at $122.80, and I continue to swing long with targets at weekly highs and the daily upper Bollinger Band.
NVDA has a demand zone at the rising daily 5 SMA.NASDAQ:NVDA daily rising 5 SMA will be a potential demand zone tomorrow. I will be watching NVDA to hold this area for a long entry intraday. If NVDA loses this area, there is room back down to the daily 50 SMA, which is a major potential demand zone. This may provide an intraday short opportunity under today's low into these demand zones, and the ability to add equity long for a swing if these demand zones hold.
Dollar General | DG | Long at $90.00Dollar General NYSE:DG took a massive hit this morning after revising their future earnings guidance. The economy is showing many signs of a recession, and this is a clear warning. From a technical analysis perspective, it has retouched my "crash" simple moving average and may dip further into the $80's in the near-term. But, like many overall strong companies that suddenly plummet, I view this as a future opportunity given the strength of NYSE:DG as a business (holistically). Dollar General is the only grocery and home goods store around in many rural locations. So, while there is doom and gloom in the near-term, Dollar General is in a personal buy zone at $90.00. I view this as a starter position, though, with the potential for future declines/opportunities for additional share accumulation in the near-term.
Target #1 = $100.00
Target #2 = $122.00
Target #3 = $200.00+ (very-long term outlook...)
CONFLUX (A Possible Bullish Scenario)CFX made unfortunately a fake break out back in Mar 2024.
The best possible bullish scenario rn imo would be a fake break of Oct 2023.
Passing $0.165 is cancelation of the idea because it would be very bullish for cfx
$0.075 would be a good entry due to the Fibonacci cluster around $0.070 : $0.075
Breaking $0.048 is the first invalidation.
Breaking $0.022 is the final invalidation.
Darvas Box Strategy - Break out StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big we keep Initial Target Ratio 1:1
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Break out StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big we keep Initial Target Ratio 1:1
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.