MRK
MRK needs to find support - what to look forHey everyone,
Moving away from the typical crypto posts today.
We are checking out MRK.
This stock has seen some hefty losses in the past few days, pushing the RSI into a oversold area
The increasing bear volume has not been supportive, and the price is breaking past the .382 fib level.
The stock is looking to find support, but the last few days have not shown any. Before entering into this long position, we need to see some consolidation on price and bullish movement.
Increasing bear volume after a week of losses is also not supportive of increasing price levels.
The RSI will need to cool off towards the 40-45 range before we can see some bullish movement.
After consolidation, wait for price to retreat to a newly made bullish fib level, signaling a new trend.
Once a new high is made, it opens the stock up to a head and shoulders pattern, pointing south again. We would need to see bullish divergence either from volume or from the RSI to bring price higher after this.
As is, we are in a bear movement that could pose a falling knife until proper support forms.
What do you think? Where could we support form?
-Block
MRK Approaching Support, Potential Bounce! MRK is approaching our first support at 66.70 (horizontal overlap support, 100% fibonacci extension, 50% fiboancci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 74.94 (50% fibonacci retracment, 61.8% fiboancci extension).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching support where we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
Low risk setup for MRKWhy is this setup good?
Strong contextual uptrend
Price continues moving in the direction of main trend since it bounced at support EMA(100) and EMA(50)
Momentum building on MACD 12-26, MACD signal line crossed the 0 line
First reaction (contraction) since MACD crossover
Trigger Candle testing EMA 3, 6 and 18
Low Setup Risk - just 1.29% in risk
Entry rules:
Buy Stop order or Manual Buy at 79.58 at the next interval(candle) open
Cancel the order at the end of the day if 79.58 does not get triggered
Stop Loss (S/L) level at 75.26 (adjust position size accordingly, don't risk more than 3% for your current account balance)
Trade management
-Move S/L to break-even when price CLOSES above 76.70
Exit rules:
-Target 79.58 (Risk-Revard ratio ~3.41)
MRK - SHORTHead and shoulder pattern, right shoulder looking like it is currently in formation. Currenly prices are right at previous resistance and support. If 76.38 is bounced from, short target is at the next level of support at 72.78
RSI and Stoch indicate market is strongly over bought, which further point toward a short play being the case over the next few days.
MRK ShortShort based of channels and fibs
My Entry: 75.07 (any entry under 75.00 is okay)
Stop Loss: 78.00
PT: 61.00 area
Risk/Reward: ~1:7
This trade has a low probability of working, but it does fit my system, and if it moves in my direction the reward is very high. This trade will most likely take 6 months to a year.
MRK - Too Good To Be True?The price here has focused into the obvious descending triangle for almost about a year now!
It is not obvious if it will hold or not, but the current company health especially regarding profitability along with price action point towards a downward move, especially after the bullish momentum over the last couple of days.
This play is being taken to play on the chance that the stock continues to retrace some of its gains from the past week, ideally before the next earnings report.
Let's see how it goes down; it should be a very short-term trade.
Stop @ 60.13
Target @ 57.09
MRK weekly 0.618 retracement and demand zone combinationMRK was one of my favorite companies to trade back to the days I worked for the bank.
It suffered almost 20% pulled-back from its peak, and it might be time to look for mid-term positions!
I would like to wait for daily reversal sign near 53-54 to long, with stop loss below 50.00
Let's see how it goes!
MRK: Low risk long opportunityI think $MRK offers a terrific low risk long here, a great biotech company to own in this particular juncture.
$IBB is acting very strong, there is a monthly uptrend active currently in the sector, so, finding the strongest contenders will yield great returns going forward.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Bullish Moving Average Cross For MerckOn April 19, 2017, Merck & Co ( NYSE:MRK ) crossed above its 150 daily moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 227 times and the stock does not always move up. It has a median gain of 4.139% and maximum gain of 18.194% over the next 16 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 40.4843. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -18.4921. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down, but the decline is slowing making a potential reversal to the upside possible.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.7725 while the negative is at 1.1322. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 24.0888 and D value is 25.7547. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value, price action is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is on the verge is moving up and away from oversold territory.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in its macro trend channel, the stock could gain at least 2.12% over the next 16 trading days.
On April 18, the stock crossed below the 150 DMA. In the last 10 years when the stock is above the 150 DMA, crosses under for one day before re-crossing above, the stock has always gone up over the next 16 trading days. These occurrences were in July 2009, April 2010, November 2011 (3 times), June 2012, March 2013, February 2015, and January 2017. The stock gained 15.911%, 0.971%, 5.072%, 5.531%, 2.517%, 9.091%, 7.659%, 1.134%, and 5.080% respectively. The median gain was 5.080% during this period.
MRK @ daily @ highest H/L-Range (dow shares) while 2017This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
drive.google.com
4XSetUps for next week - friday close (DOW 30 Index & all shares)
Best regards :)
Aaron
MRK @ daily @ BreakedUp mostly (30 dow shares) while last weekThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
Break Downs (Dow Jones Index incl. all shares)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
MRK... one more advance Multiple reasons making MRK is so attractive to buy stock or option calls. Elliott wave count show that iv wave in undergo and not yet overlapped with wave i. Other reason is the price puased at 38% fibo. Third reason the EMA 70 is hold price from falling. I am in in call option and when wave iv overlapped with wave i I will sell my position. Remember I am short-term trading. Good luck
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: MRK IN MACRO UNCERTAINTY, ON MICRO RISKMerck fell into uncertainty on long term basis, but is on risk to fall on short term perspective.
On long term perspective price is now in lateral range after it failed 10-year uptrend, by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 54.65 (now the range upper border). The lower border of the macro lateral range is marked by 5-year mean, standing now at 46.50 - MRK has tested and held this level during the august selloff.
On short term basis price is now trading below 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly means, which are aligned with the 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean. It means that as long as price is below 54.65, there is ongoing risk of further decline and retest of the 5-year mean!