Nasdaq Analysis Hi Everyone,
Nasdaq is still very bearish as we can see on the daily timeframe, we have this long wick that needs filling, I will be waiting to see the best entry for nasdaq sell, Currently the market is retracing and looking at the chart it looks like it will go to areas of 13743 or 13927 before pushing back down to 13400 area. Break of 13400 area will take us to 13066 which i think we may see by end of this week.
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NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Mar 07 week
NQ1!
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Mar 07 week
Last week, supply > demand for short, yet is a difficult week,
having to frequently re-calibrate the Asian vs US hours.
Market showing a topping, which may present
opportunity to short on retracement.
If 13700 is broken, market may test the lower levels.
Weekly = Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand,
but weakness still present.
Daily = Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
16767 16481 15992
15492 15160 14300
13700 13246 13025
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Have a profitable trading week ahead.
Nasdaq100 What To ExpectWho’s In The Nasdaq Market And What Are They Doing?
Presently, the bulls.
However, from the looks of things, it seems we are at equilibrium. The divergence that popped up on Thursday was no jokes. In the market presently, there are four different levels: The 14200, 14400, 14600, and 15000 levels respectively.
These levels all have resistance and at least some buyers and sellers ready to either take the market up or slash that damn—price. They are strong levels. If broken by the bulls, they become support meaning; the bulls become stronger. I mean for them to last, we need more support right?
What Chart Patterns Are Visible, The Current Market Structure, And Stage Of The Ndx
As for chart pattern visibility, That divergence and double bottom are pretty obvious right? Albeit, that empty daily wick the bears abandoned at the 13,000 level mean something as well. There’s an unfinished business by the bears at that level.
Who knows, maybe an inverse head and shoulder might form. Well with that—I think the bulls might just be winning this one. However, we need more signs—these bulls can’t leave us empty. If you know your market cycle well, you would know the current stage the market is at is—either: the dip or finally at the bottom. That accumulation might just be forming. An accumulation means, there’s hope.
Finally, the market hasn’t actually formed a new lower high yet. So like I said, “the bears definitely have an unfinished business”.. We need lower highs or higher high—the highs are still void at the moment. As for the lows, we have two lower lows. Hmm, what can that mean? The bears are probably saying, “we’ll be back”. On that note, “I’ll be back too”.
Have a great week.
Nasdaq 100 - Has the Nasdaq 100 index bottomed out? The Nasdaq 100 index fell approximately 22% between 22nd November 2021 and 24th February 2022, with the latter date marking the beginning of the Russian invasion into Ukraine. Since the beginning of this military conflict the Nasdaq 100 index managed to rise approximately 8% which marks its retracement from bear market territory. Recent geopolitical events have a tremendous effect on the world economy as they brought new, even stricter, sanctions against Russia which was banned from the SWIFT payment system. Shortly after, this was followed by numerous multinational businesses deciding to leave the Russian market. Overall, this has great economic implications for Russia as well as the world. Further, this may result in a change of narrative by the FED. We previously noted that we expected upcoming rate hikes to pose a substantial threat to the U.S. economy. Although, odds of a rate hike in March 2022 fell dramatically over the past week. We actually think the FED may postpone its rate hike decision into late 2022 or even into 2023. This could be potentially bullish for the stock market and it could result in trend reversal from bearish to bullish. We will monitor price action closely in the following days as Russia and Ukraine are set to continue peace talks. Progress in these talks would further bolster a bullish case for the Nasdaq 100 index.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI shows divergence (with price making lower low and RSI making higher low simultaneously). Stochastic reversed to the upside altogether with MACD. However, MACD still remains in bearish territory. DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains high value which suggests the bearish trend is near its peak or it peaked already. Overall, the daily time frame exhibits first bullish signs of possible trend reversal.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the daily chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!). It also shows the Relative Strength Index below the chart. Divergence can be observable between the price and RSI.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD continue to be bearish. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish area, however, it managed to reverse to the upside which is a bullish sign. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX grows which suggests the bearish trend of higher degree is gaining momentum. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Picture above shows the daily chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!). Volume bars are depicted below the graph. Decline in volume since 24th February 2022 can be observed. This may point to decline in selling pressure.
Support and resistance
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
NASDAQ changing channel bands for the next 10 years?This is Nasdaq on the 1M time-frame since the recovery from the sub-prime mortgage crisis was set in motion in 2010.
As shown, the index has been trading within a Channel Up (log chart) from 2010 until mid 2020. Then in July 2020, it appears that NDX switched bands to one zone higher, illustrated perfectly by using the Fibonacci Channel extensions. As you see, since July 2020, the Fib 1.0 level which was previously the Resistance (top/ Higher Highs trend-line) of the former 2010 - 2020 Channel, has turned into a Support (bottom/ Higher Lows trend-line), and is being currently tested by the current 1M candle of February.
Every such Channel bottom test, has been a unique long-term buy opportunity during these +10 years. With the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) rising rapidly towards the 1.0 Fib level, do you think that will turn into a Support for the next 10 years? Based on this pattern, that looks like the most probable scenario.
P.S. Check also the very consistent Resistance and Support levels on the RSI.
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NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 28 week
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 28 week
Last week's short on break of boundary was fruitful, with price
reaching a major demand area. Thereafter, demand came in
strongly to protect their position, presenting to us a wonderful
long opportunity.
Preference will be to long on retracement.
Scenarios:
1) If market comes down on low volume, look for long when price
finds support.
2) Supply overcome demand for short
Weekly = Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand,
but weakness still present.
Daily = High volume shakeout followed by average volume up bar
closing at high = Strength
H4: Very High Volume up bar closing at high = Strength.
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
16767 16481 15992
15492 15160 14180
13700 13246 13025
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
Ndx: Happy President's Day#nq It's 12am, the holiday continues due to the president's day and I thought, "make a video before you crash". Yup, I marked some levels on my chart as you can see.
These are levels I'm looking at. The Nasdaq100 is currently at the end of both the daily and hour 4 channels and I don't know what this means for the bulls. Two possible scenarios involves the market creating support and a possible divergence while bringing the bulls backs or it breaks and resistance is created whilst going for the 13k mark.
What's it going to be? Huh..
Levels:
Toc-14700
Moc-14300
Eoc-14000
Again, Happy president's day.
Nasdaq 100 - Upcoming FOMC poses threat to further rise in priceLast week major U.S. indices attempted to reverse to the upside. This was accompanied by technical indicators trying to break their medium-term bearish structures. However, RSI, MACD and Stochastic failed to fulfill this transformation which resulted in market meltdown. Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!) broke below significant support level at 14 031 USD. At the same time, volume saw an increase which signals that the selling pressure is strengthening. The FED's meeting is coming closer and the prospect of higher interest rates poses substantial threat to further rise of NQ1!. We expect selling pressure and elevated volatility to stay persistent ahead of the FED's meeting. We think the upcoming increase in interest rates will put additional stress on the U.S. economy; indeed, we think it will drag major indices lower. Because of that we would like to set a short-term price target for NQ1! to 13 750 USD and medium-term price target to 13 500 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are bearish. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX resumed growth which suggests the downtred has awakened and started to strengthen again. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. Same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX exhibits growth which signals that the downtrend started to gain momentum again.
Support and resistance
Short-term support lies at 13 706 USD. Support 1 is at 12 915 USD and Support 2 at 12 207.25 USD. Resistance 1 appears at 15 260 UDS and Resistance 2 lies at 16 009.25 USD. Major resistance level can be found at 16 767.50 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
NAS100: 2018 vs. TodayThey say history doesn't exactly repeat itself but it often rhymes. There are certainly similarities between the situation right now vs. 2018 but a huge lot of differences as well; in-fact probably more differences than similarities. Nevertheless, good to outline both NAS100 charts and overlay 2018 price action then you can make of it as you wish. Measured moves start from October 1, 2018 ATH all the way to the new highs of April 2019 before pulling back vs. November 21, 2021 ATH until today.
2018/2019: Bleeding stopped at June 2017 resistance, flushing out almost 16 months of gains.
2021/2022: Until today, bleeding took a pause at the February 2021 resistance, flushing out 9 months of gains.
What do you see happening next?
Nasdaq 100 - Outlook is turning less dire at the momentOver the past few days the Nasdaq 100 Index has been experiencing volatile sessions. Currently, it trades near 14 550 USD price tag. In our opinion, the overall picture for NQ1! is turning less dire with volatility taking a dive today. We are growing increasingly bullish on the Nasdaq 100 index. However, due to quickly changing conditions in the market we continue to be very cautious.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD remains in the bearish zone, however, it managed to reverse to the upside. Stochastic is bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. ADX continues to decline which suggests the selling pressure cooled off substantially over the past few days. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the daily chart of RSI of NQ1!. It also shows two trend lines with the lower one being penetrated to the upside. We will observe RSI in the following days and we will watch whether it manages to break above the upper trend line. This would be the bullish development that could mark the breakdown of bearish structure in RSI.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are neutral. MACD is bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish too. ADX continues to move sideways which suggests that the prevailing trend is neither gaining strength, nor losing it. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Support and resistance
Short-term support sits at 14 367.75 USD and short-term resistance lies at 14 585.50 USD. Support 1 sits at 14 367.75 USD. Resistance 1 can be found at 14 807.508 USD and Resistance 2 at 15 708.75 USD. Major resistance lies at 16 767.50 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 21 week
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 21 week
Short preference worked wonderfully last week for the confluence of
boundary + trend line short (Scenario a + b).
Since price is near lower boundary, will WAIT for reaction there.
Possible Scenarios:
a) Price returns into previous rotation zone 14582 - 14462 =
short at upper boundary resistance and and
long at lower boundary support 13706-13845
b) Short on trendline resistance / resistance at price reaction levels
c) If price breaks lower boundary and then returns above it and is
supported, will look for long opportunity
d) If price breaks through lower boundary on high volume, wait for a
test and reject at the edge of the boundary to short.
Weekly = Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand,
but weakness still present.
Daily = Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand,
while price came down on increasing volume = bearish strength
is still present.
H4: UHV down bar closing off low followed a high volume attempt
for higher prices but closed near its low = weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
16767 16481 15992
15492 15160 14462
13706 12955 12465
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NDX100 Potential rejection of the 0.382. Further downside?NASDAQ weekly analysis
Short IF
We have a rejection of the FIB 0.382 level on the weekly as previous weekly closes were bellow this area with bearish candles. Also this area coincides with the weekly MA50 also serving as resistance and a strong diagonal resistance.
ELSE Long IF
We break above this level and hold it as support, entry on the back test.
NDX Nasdaq W shaped recovery ???We might see an euphoric W shaped recovery after Russia reported pullback of military troops.
Some military units will start returning to their permanent bases after completing drills near the Ukrainian border, said the Russian Defense Ministry.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
No Solicitation here at all - dont hide me again please.*** this idea was previously hidden by a moderator -***
The previous title made a joke about people who use this site for advertising their "FREE" channels.
Anyway, the original post (less title is below)
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Insider info straight from Mr P himself.
He's supporting the QQQ's along with the Ukranians.
(This whole charade was so he could load up his position)
Besides, he said World cup's are a better cover anyway.
(NB volume has diminished on this decline)
Take 2 (if you missed it last time)
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|
v
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 14 week
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 FEB 14 week
Last week's trade from 14582 works again, but was resisted by 15160.
Scenario C weakness manifested on H4 where price advanced on
NARROW spread, market provided a wonderful short opportunity.
This week's preference will be to short when price retraces on low volume.
Possible Scenarios:
a) Price returns into previous rotation zone 14582 - 14462 =
short at upper boundary resistance and and
long at lower boundary support 13706-13845
b) Short on trendline resistance / resistsance at price reaction levels
c) If price breaks lower boundary and then returns above it and is
supported, will look for long opportunity
d) If price breaks through lower boundary on high volume, wait for a
test and reject at the edge of the boundary to short.
Weekly = Average volume up down closing near low = Weakness
Daily = Average volume down bar closing near low = Weakness
H4: UHV down bar closing off low = Strength
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
16767 16481 15992
15492 15160 14462
13706 12955 12465
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NDX swing low?March 2021 swing low coincided with October 2020 resistance. Will January swing low coincide with Feb. 2021 resistance range? Next few days will be telling, watch out for 13720-13760 if we revisit again. It's still quite soon to call it but I cant imagine daily RSI's going down to 0 from here :)
$NASDAQ Composite recession targets $IXIC $NDX$NASDAQ Composite recession deep targets $IXIC $NDX
More for my reference here since I’m going to clear out these lines so i can mark it up on a smaller scale for the near term - but if you find it useful it has some good potential targets.
THIS is how far we’ve come from the mean… anything under 9885 would be true bear country.
Yes, I trade one day at a time - and both ways - but truth be told, I think we slide into a recession quite effortlessly from here…
——————
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I have a huge tolerance for volatility so please know that. If you’re new to my trade setups please try them on a small scale first. Then go in with a risk you’re comfortable with.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. (If I have time)
And most importantly… Have fun, y’all!!
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NASDAQ is about to break into long-term bullish territory again.Basically this is a quick update to my January 31 analysis on NDX where I made a case for the importance of this Channel Down:
Initially the price got rejected near the top (Lower Highs) trend-line of the Channel Down but since yesterday, it is staging a comeback. As mentioned before, a break above it, will most likely restore the long-term bullish trend on Nasdaq and will aim for new All Time Highs (potentially near the 1.5 Fibonacci extension long-term).
The finding of the current idea though, is that the current Channel Down resembles that of the previous correction during September 06 - October 13 2021. For a better illustration, see that Channel below on the 12H time-frame, where th MA50 and the MA200 trend-lines are similar to those of the current Channel Down on the 1D time-frame:
Breaking above the 1D MA50 this time, most likely confirms the above.
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