Newzealanddollar
GBPNZD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Up and has already completed a +4.40% rise since its recent Higher Low. That is the exact rise % that the previous two Bullish Legs of the Channel achieved.
As a result this is close to the most optimal sell signal we can get. Both previous Bearish Legs that followed such top sell signals, reached at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Therefore, our short-term Target on this pair is 2.09500.
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GBPNZD - The Correction Is ImminentGBPNZD has shown an impressive rally in recent weeks.
Bearish divergences are now all too obvious, and retailer sentiment is also very bullish - a combination that warns bulls to be cautious.
We are trying to position ourselves in the market with a short and benefit from a very attractive RRR of around 2.6:1.
AUDNZD Two levels to sell for the long-term.The AUDNZD pair gave us a strong sell-and-buy double signal last time (June 03, see chart below):
However it did manage to invalidate the Symmetrical Resistance Zone sell bias and even broke yesterday above Resistance 2 (1.108600), which has been holding since February 20 2023.
In order to make sense of this move, it is best to view it on the wider 1W time-frame. As long as the 1W candle is closing below Resistance 2, then the action remains a sell, targeting 1.08000 (0.236 Fibonacci level).
If the 1W candle closes above Resistance 2, we will take the loss immediately and sell at the top of the Channel Up with the same Target (1.08000).
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NZDJPY Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The NZDJPY has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 24 2023 bottom and today just made contact with its top (Higher Highs trend-line). We expect a strong rejection, similar to July 05 2023 that pulled-back all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
As a result, we treat today's rejection as a strong sell opportunity. Our Target is 95.580 (Fib 0.382).
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NZDCHF Strong buy opportunity within the Channel Up.The NZDCHF pair delivered a fast-profit buy signal last time (May 09, see chart below), with the price even breaking above the established Channel Up:
A new Channel Up prevailed as seen on the current chart and since it held the Support of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it broke again above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and gave a bullish confirmation.
We expect the extension of the uptrend in the form of the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up (1D RSI also rebounded on a bottom formation similar to all previous buy opportunities). Our Target is 0.56750 (Resistance 2).
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NZDCAD Excellent buy opportunity on this pull-back.The NZDCAD pair gave us a great buy entry last time we looked at it (May 08, see chart below) and made a direct hit on our 0.8500 Target:
The price got heavily rejected straight after and just hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. The pattern that seems to be prevailing is a Channel Up (blue). The last time we had a Higher High rejection on its top, the pair pulled-back to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and then made a short-term bounce to the Internal Lower Highs trend-line.
As a result, we will be using this opportunity to buy and target 0.84500 (just below the symmetrical Lower Highs trend-line).
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Capture 80 Pips on NZDCHF + Tips for Small vs. Big GainsIn this video, I'm diving into a quick trading opportunity on NZDCHF, aiming to capture a swift 80 pips! I'll also share valuable tips on how to determine when to go for small gains and when to aim for larger ones.
We'll analyze the current market conditions, key indicators, and technical setups that make this 80-pip gain a solid target. Plus, I'll explain my decision-making process and the factors that influence whether to pursue small or big gains.
Join me for an insightful session packed with actionable strategies and expert advice to enhance your trading decisions. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more high-impact trading tips and market analysis. Let's capture those pips together! 🚀💹
NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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NZD/USD: Takeaways into ThursdayNZDUSD – Technical Overview
The overall pressure remains on the downside, with the market stalling on attempts to move up into the 0.6500 area. However, there are indications that the market may be attempting to establish a longer-term base. To alleviate medium-term downward pressure and support this prospect, a break back above 0.6500 is necessary. A monthly close below 0.5800 would intensify bearish price action.
R2: 0.6222 – 12 June high – Strong
R1: 0.6200 – Figure – Medium
S1: 0.6083 – 22 May low – Medium
S2: 0.6031 – 15 May low – Strong
NZDUSD – Fundamental Overview
The New Zealand Dollar has benefited from the risk-on sentiment following the latest soft CPI print from the US, which has renewed demand for risk-correlated assets. However, rallies have been hindered by more hawkish communications from the Fed. Key highlights on Thursday's calendar include German wholesale prices, Eurozone industrial production, US producer prices, US initial jobless claims, and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZDUSD - Short Trade IdeaNZDUSD recently displaced to the downside but quickly made a recovery and displaced above the swing of the recent drop. There was buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs that were swept, but the candle bodies seem to be respecting the bearish Orderblock.
I am anticipating price now return to a discount, taking out the sellside liquidity below, into a weekly BISI.
- R2F
GBPNZD 1D MA50 rejection. Sell Signal.The GBPNZD pair recently made a Bearish Break-out as it broke below the Channel Up and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), introducing a new Channel Down pattern. On Monday we saw the latest rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been holding as Resistance since May 03.
As long as it holds, we expect the new Bearish Leg to start. The previous one stopped after a -2.75% decline, which currently gives a price tag at a little below 2.0300. However we will use a more modest Target, aiming at 2.04000 (a little above Support 2).
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EURNZD: Buy Opportunity
Well, as you can see, the price hit the daily bullish FVG in deep discount and cleared the sell-side liquidity. Here in the hourly chart, we know the market structure shifted and we are bullish now.
Now we are on the buy side of the curve so we expect the price to stay above the key level and respect the bullish PD Arrays, like Order block and FVG that you can see on the chart.
We need LTF confirmation for entry.
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🔎 DYOR
🗓️06/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability.
the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block.
Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target.
For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart.
First, the price can move down from here.
second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario)
As always we need LTF confirmation for entry.
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🔎 DYOR
🗓️07/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
GBPNZD 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: GBPNZD
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 2.06221
TP: 2.09800
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
GBPNZD 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: GBPNZD
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 2.06221
TP: 2.09800
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
NZDUSD 1H Short Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: NZDUSD
Action: Sell
RRR: 1:6
SL: 0.62053
TP: 0.60339
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.