Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 25-Nov-24 to 29-Nov-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 25-Nov-24 to 29-Nov-24
Nifty closed at 23907 (two weeks before 24141) and touched high & low of 24233-23265
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are still down at the bottom.
Market bounced back from Trendline Support around 23250 and bounced back. But FII might continue to sell, hence please apply caution and let market move above the Ist & IInd short term target to buy in bulk. However, small SIP type buy in stocks/ MFs always better at this critica time.
FIIs was continuously selling in Indian market due to valuation issues of Indian Stocks, rather FIIs invested in Bitcoin which lead to Extraordinary increase in Bitcoin vallue and nearing 100,000 $ post US Election. Maharashtra election results gave confidence to current govt and will ease the pressure with current govt and can take free decisions in upcoming budget.
US indictment of Adani in bribe crime is a very bad issue and definitely it affects Adani Stocks and allied stocks. Example ITD Cementation is a great valued stock, but fell down drastically, as Adani was about to buy this company as per the news. Hence, avoid adani related stocks at present, as SEBI also might take action ( show cause notice/ Audit) on adani stocks.
Slowly started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall, will continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks.
Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE ( Currently 22) was in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. PE touched 21.5 and bounced back.
Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period , further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time.
Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request. DM : karthik_ss ( Twitter) . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i analysed ) are added now after this downfall. Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyse and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile.
Nifty 23907 Short term ( Short Term : Neutral)
Nifty short term resistance Market to firmly cross 24500, 24767(0.5 Fib resistance) and 25122 ( 0.618 Fib resistance) to move ahead to 26000.
Support at 23266 ( Last week Low), 23000 & 22800.
Medium Term next target is 25335( Shoulder Pattern), if move up decisively above next target 26268 ( all time high), 26968
Medium term Support 22248.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance).
Support at 21240
Niftyanalsysis
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-01-Jan-24 to 05-Jan-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-01-Jan-24 to 05-Jan-24
Nifty closed at 21726 ( Prev Week Close 21349) and touched low & high of 21238 & 21800.
RSI and stochastics levels ( 78% & 95 % Respectively) . Stochastics in overbought zone after a short runup last week
Market had a little rally due to global market upward movement last week as expected and touched high of 21800 but with a small dip on the last day of last week.
On new year day market was almost flat and couldnt move beyond 21800-21850 which to be considered as resistance to market.
Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart which is 5 % from current level. Since there is a upward movement in global market, nifty likely move up temporarily to 21800-21850 / 22000 though Market is still in overbought zone.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last month, Almost i have booked 20% profit in Equities & Mutual Funds. 100% of ulip shifted from equities to balanced funds & money market as we get free switches in ulip.
Market can any time expected to turn volatile and it will continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road).
Nifty IT had a good run in last few days with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. But in expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies, certain bank stocks market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario.
Q3 Results & Policy changes are need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty.
Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral)
Resistances are at 21800-21850 , 22000 ( however no trend line, fibonacci resistance are available).
Support at 21260 ( MA 21 ) ,20000 ( Fib Resistance) , 20500 ( Fib Support) , 20225 ( prev high)
Nifty Medium Term & long Term -
Market decisively closed above 21000 last week and near to 21500
Can achieve 22500 target if close above 22000 decisively.
Support at 20225/ 20000/ 19850
Long Term
market range bound between 22500 to 18800 till elections are completed.