Stock Market update for 17th October 22Good Morning Friends,
We have seen very volatile days in the last week. We have seen a huge gap up on Friday's session, but the index has failed to positive bias because of the profit booking on the top level. You guys need to understand the market cycle and the market structure and always consider seeing the big picture to understand it. Indian Market is not bearish at all, and Nifty still holds 16,900. During the week, investors have been risk-averse due to rising geopolitical turmoil and worries about the global economic slump. However, compared to global counterparts, domestic sell-off was not as aggressive since DIIs inflows supported FII selling. The domestic market also focused on quarterly earnings as the IT sector got off to a robust start, which improved the sector's spirits. Oil prices also decreased due to weak demand brought on by recessionary worries and tightening Chinese regulations, which marginally helped India. US inflation data came slightly higher than expected, raising fears of an aggressive rate hike. However, the US market rapidly recovered due to the oversold trajectory and limited upside risk to the market & economy. We expect the rally to continue in the short term, led by festival demand, Q2 results, and the positive trend of the global market. Buying at a dip is the best strategy in this scenario, focusing on domestic economy-oriented stocks and sectors. The sectors expected to outperform are IT, pharma, FMCG, durables, green initiatives, speciality chemicals, and mass manufacturers, with value buying as the theme.
Intraday
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SGX and India USD closed on a negative note on Friday night, but the Morning session remains, and it can be recovered, so we will see a flat to negative opening. Using 2 hours chart to understand the Intraday
Nifty50 is still in correction mode in the daily time frame, but we have seen a reversal sign in the hourly chart. Confirmation is above 17,500. I have marked some levels on the chart. Please look at the price formation and try to understand it. Lowers low stop, Created a double bottom on 13th October and opened with a massive gap up on the 14th October session. High Problaity trade is on the long side of the correction, not on the breakouts, and This is the best strategy to trade in a declining market.
Key Resistance : 17,350
Key Support: 17,140
Swing Positions for the October and November Month
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India USD and Nifty have made an Inverse head & shoulder pattern on a daily and 4-hour chart. We just need a confirmation ( 17,500) to build short-term long positions. So wait and watch, and the next couple of week is going so Important for traders. See the below chart to understand the swings.
Good Luck :)
