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Nikkei225index

NIKKEI Long Trade Targets Await!NIKKEI Trade Details: The Nikkei index on the hourly timeframe confirms a bullish setup, with a clear long entry signal as per the Risological swing trading indicator . The trend is gaining strength, and the chart suggests a potential move towards profit targets. NIKKEI Key Levels: Entry: 38304 Stop Loss (SL): 38004 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 38674 TP2: 39273 TP3: 39873 TP4: 40243 NIKKEI Analysis: The chart indicates a recovery with higher lows and sustained buying pressure. The Risological trendline confirm the bullish trend, and momentum indicators align with the upward trajectory. With calculated risk, this trade offers a solid reward ratio. NIKKEI Outlook: Monitor for momentum consistency to hit targets. Stay alert for profit-locking opportunities at each target level to maximize gains. Watch out for resistance near higher levels to secure returns effectively.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by ProfitsNinja
Japan 225: Amid Bearish Momentum and Global UncertaintyThe Japan 225 index is currently trading below the FibCloud, signaling a potential downward trend. My target for this short trade is around the 35,500- 36,200price area, where I anticipate significant support based on historical price movements and Fib levels. For now, I’ll let the trade run, while closely monitoring price action near the 40,000 zone. It’s crucial that the price remains below this level for the short trade to remain valid. A recovery back above 40,000 could signal a reversal, and in such a case, I may reassess my strategy. Technical Overview: • Partials: 38,000- 37,000area. • Stop Loss: Monitoring the 40,000 zone as a key level of resistance. • Key Indicators: The FibCloud provides strong bearish signals, and the declining price action suggests continued selling pressure. • Risk Management: I’ll adjust the stop-loss level accordingly if the market shows signs of recovery or increased volatility. Taking partials at key support levels to secure profit remains an essential part of this strategy. Fundamental Overview: • Asia-Pacific Market Sentiment: As noted in the news, Asia-Pacific markets are mixed with attention on China’s loan prime rate announcement and Japan’s general election at the end of the week. While China’s central bank cut the one- and five-year LPRs by 25 basis points, this has not done enough to boost confidence, especially with property stocks tumbling. • Japan’s Economic Data: Japan’s exports fell by 1.7% in September compared to the same period last year, signaling a potential slowdown in trade. Additionally, the Nikkei closed marginally lower recently, indicating bearish market conditions. • Global Outlook: Japan’s market might be impacted further by inflation figures and GDP data expected this week, adding volatility and making the short trade setup timely. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by AR33_
2
JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Thief_Trader
NIKKEI 225 INDEX: Breaks Out! TP1 Done – Higher Targets AwaitNIKKEI 225 INDEX Analysis: The Nikkei Index shows promising bullish momentum on the 15-minute timeframe, with the first target (TP1) successfully reached using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator. This long trade setup suggests a potential continuation towards higher targets as buying pressure remains strong. Key Trade Details: Entry Level: 38,384.25 Target Levels: TP1: 38,544.16 (Achieved ✅) TP2: 38,802.91 TP3: 39,061.66 TP4: 39,221.57 Stop Loss: 38,254.88 Market Insight: The Nikkei’s breakout reflects positive sentiment in the Japanese equity market, likely influenced by global economic factors and investor optimism. This upward movement aligns with a strengthening technical trend, supporting the possibility of reaching the remaining targets if the bullish momentum sustains. Summary: With TP1 already hit, traders eye the remaining targets. A tight stop loss below the recent breakout level offers protection while allowing for gains as the trade progresses towards TP2 and beyond.
NLong
by ProfitsNinja
NKD: Japan Beyond Carry TradeCME: Nikkei 225 USD Futures ( CME:NKD1! ) Tokyo: The Ministry of Internal Affairs reported last Friday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Japan increased 2.5% in September year-on-year, down from 3.0% in August. The CPI excluding fresh food rose 2.4%, down from 2.8%, during the same period. The core inflation measure, which excludes both fresh food and energy costs, rose slightly to 2.1% in September from 2.0% in August. Service prices, considered a crucial indicator by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), gained 1.3% year-on-year, slowing from 1.4% in August. To counter the recent economic slowdown, the Japanese Government rolled out subsidies on electricity and gas prices. These fiscal measures were a major contributor to the cooling inflation, estimated to have shaved 0.55% off the annual inflation rate. The BOJ is widely anticipated to maintain its interest rate at 0.25% during its upcoming policy meeting on October 31st. Despite the dip in inflation, BOJ has signaled that further rate hikes may still be on the table if inflation continues to align with its projections. However, policymakers are cautious following criticism of their July rate hike, which triggered a market downturn. As the US Federal Reserve will have its rate-setting FOMC meeting on November 7th, the all-important interest rate spread between the US and Japan could continue to narrow: • With the Fed Funds at 4.75%-5.00% and the Japanese Interest Rate at 0.25%, the US-Japan interest rate spread is currently at 450 basis points (our calculation takes the lower bound from the US policy rate range) • According to CME Group FedWatch Tool, as of October 20th, the futures market expects a 99.3% chance that the Fed will cut 25 basis points in November. If that happens and the BOJ maintains its current rate, the spread will narrow to 425 bps • If the Fed pushes for a supersized 50bp cut again, same as they did in the last meeting, the interest rate spread could further shrink to 400 bps • Over the course of the next 2-3 years, I expect the Fed to normalize interest rates to 3% or below, to a level not restrictive to economic activity. Meanwhile, the BOJ could maintain the 0.25% rate throughout this period. If that is the case, the US-Japan rate differential could further move towards the 200-250bp range, in my opinion Carry Trade May be a thing of the Past Two years ago, I published a market commentary, “Land of Rising Sun and Falling Yen” on November 7, 2022, and received TradingView Editors’ Picks. In that writing, I discussed Carry Trade, a wildly popular FX strategy. In a nutshell, a trader would borrow Japanese Yen with ultra-low interest rate, exchange the fund into Australian Dollar or US Dollar and earn a higher return. At the end of the investment horizon, the trade would exchange the proceed back to Yen and pay back the loan. The differential between the investing interest rate and loan rate would be the return from this strategy. With 50x to 100x leverage common in FX trade, carry trade could be hugely profitable. Carry trade carries two significant risks. The first is the appreciating yen. The trader may need more dollars to exchange back to yen and pay back the loan. The loss from exchange rate changes could eat up all the interest earning profit. In the last writing, I commented that Yen at 150 may have bottomed out, and explored the idea to take cover for carry trade. Over the following two months, the Yen sharply rose 15% to 127. A trade that earned 3% in interest would have been wiped out completely and may incur huge losses if executed with high leverage. In the present time, we are observing the second risk, a shrinking interest rate spread. Carry trades may have 400-bp interest spread in 2023 and could see the spread narrowing to 200 bps in the next two years. With central banks around the world cutting interest rates, and volatility of exchange rates on the rise, this is probably not a good time for carry trade. The Japanese Stock Market on Focus While the currency play may be out, the Japanese stock market could offer both a good return and diversification for an investor’s portfolio. The Nikkei 225 index is the main stock market index for Japan. At 39,290, its year-to-date return is 17.9% as of last Friday. It is lower than the 22.7% YTD return for S&P 500. However, Nikkei was initially up 27.6% in July. When the BOJ raised rates, the Japanese stock market entered a huge correction, wiping out all the gain. Since then, the Nikkei popped up about 17% in the past six weeks. Japan is the world’s third largest economy with GDP of $4.2 trillion in 2023. Comparing to the other large nations, Japan is more intertwined with the rest of the world. We would explore two trading strategies based on Japan’s unique economic fundamentals. The first aspect: Japan has an export-oriented economy. Its top 3 trading partners are • China: exports were $153 billion in 2021, accounting for 21% of the total ($728 billion) • United States: $137 billion, 19% of the total • The European Union: $97 billion, a 13% share These top 3 partners contribute to 53% of Japan’s exports of goods and services. In essence, economic growth in its trading partners will result in more demand for “Made-in-Japan”, while economic slowdown could spill over to Japan. In my opinion, there is more tail wind than head wind on the way. The US is already in a rate-cutting cycle. Its economy has been resilient during the high-rate environment. The economic health would continue to improve with lower cost of capital. I would also point out that Japan’s export data did not tell the whole story. Most Japanese cars are now made in the US. The data does not show up on Japan’s GDP, but is included in the profit of Toyota, Honda and Nissan. Many of the Japanese car makers are component companies in the Nikkei 225 index. China is implementing massive economic stimulus. Hundreds of business-supportive new rules and trillions of yuan are putting in the economy. I expect China to revive in Q4 and in 2025, which would lead to higher demand for Japanese goods. To summarize, I consider the Nikkei 225 has room to grow. A long position in CME Group’s Nikkei 225 Futures could be deployed to express this view. The second aspect: Japan is a net importer of natural resources • Japan, ranked fifth-highest consumer of oil in the world, relied on imports to meet 97% of its demand in 2022. Japan imports crude oil primarily from Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, and Russia. In 2022, Japan’s crude oil imports increased to 2.5 million barrels per day, up from 2.3 million b/d in 2021. Not only does Japan depend on foreign oil, but it also sources crude oil from regions with heightened geopolitical tensions. If the conflicts in the Middle East escalate further, crude oil production and/or shipping routes could be interrupted. The chart below shows an inverted relationship between Nikkei 225 and WTI crude oil price trends. This suggests that a spread trade could be constructed. For most of 2024, Nikkei moved up as crude oil trended down, except for the BOJ rate hike disrupting the trend. If geopolitical crisis escalated, oil prices could soar while the Nikkei would tank. For someone holding this view, a long position on WTI Crude Oil futures ( NYSE:CL ) and a short position on CME Nikkei futures ($NKD) could be deployed to express such a view. Introducing CME Micro Nikkei USD Futures On October 28th, CME Group will be launching a USD-denominated and Yen-denominated Micro Nikkei futures. The new contract has a notional value of $0.50 times the Nikkei index. At Friday closing price of 39,150, each contract would be worth $19,575. The Micro contract is 1/10th the size of the standard Nikkei futures ($NKD). It will provide a new way to access broad-market Japanese index exposure with greater trading precision and lower capital commitment required. The timing of the new contract launch is critical. It is a week before the US presidential election (November 5th) and ten days before the next FOMC meeting (November 7th). Let’s watch this space to explore the trading opportunities presented by the standard Nikkei futures and Micro Nikkei futures. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:NKD1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
NIKKEI 225 Falls Hard! Short Trade Hits All TargetsThe Nikkei 225 has displayed strong bearish momentum after the short entry at 39921.50, with the price moving through multiple profit targets. Key Levels Entry: 39921.50 – The short position was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish pressure. Stop-Loss (SL): 40104.00 – Positioned above recent resistance to safeguard against potential reversals. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 39695.93 – The first target was reached, confirming the initial strength of the downtrend. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 39330.93 – Further selling pressure led to this level being hit. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 38965.93 – The downward trend continued, achieving this target. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 38740.36 – The ultimate target, indicating a significant bearish move. Trend Analysis The price is firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The continuous downward movement highlights strong selling momentum, suggesting that bears remain in control. The short trade on the Nikkei 225 has progressed well, with all targets reached. The final target at 38740.36 underscores a strong decline, supported by the Risological Dotted trendline and consistent selling pressure.
NShort
by ProfitsNinja
JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Cash Index Market Money Heist PlanHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Cash Index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Thief_Trader
JP225 / NIKKEI INDEX 225 Money Heist Plan On Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist JAPAN 225 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent Swing Low Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Thief_Trader
JPN225 Drops to Correction Levels Ahead of the BOJThe Japanese benchmark index is having another banner year, which culminated to July’s record peak. The central bank’s accommodative stance despite the policy pivot and the Yen’s protracted slump, were the key drivers. But even if slowly, the Bank of Japan is moving towards a less loose setting, after exiting negative rates regime in a historic decision in March. Policymakers have pointed to less bond buying ahead and there are mounting expectations that policymakers will hike again next week. These prospects help the ailing Yen rebound (along with intervention speculation) and send the JPN225 to correction territory, with a more than 10% slide for the all-time highs. This threatens the pivotal 200Days EMA (blue line) and a breach would open the door to bigger losses towards and beyond 35,771. However, there is ambivalence around the timing of the next rate increase, while officials have disappointed hawkish expectation in the past and have wrong-footed markets before. Furthermore, the Yen’s demise has made Japanese equities more appealing to foreign investors and ultra-loose monetary policies may have been key drivers of the rally in Japanese equities, but they are not the only culprits. Structural reforms, favorable policies by the government and strong corporate earnings are among the supportive factors. Furthermore the drop is stretched from a technical perspective, as the RSI reached the most oversold in years. This can help JPN225 stage a comeback as it already defends the 200Days EMA. It may get the opportunity to reclaim the EMA200 (black line) at around the 40K mark. Successful effort would reinstate the bullish bias, but strong catalyst would be needed. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:JPN225
by FXCM
The Nikkei snaps a 6-day losing steakNikkei futures found some stability on Monday around the May high, before going on to snap a 6-day losing streak. The daily RSI (2) was oversold to further suggest mean reversion could be due. And with Wall Street showing signs of stability ahead of tech earnings, we suspect a bounce could be due. The 1-hour chart shows the 14-period RSI spent some time in oversold before a 2-bar bullish reversal triggered a rebound at a key support zone. Bulls could seek dips within Monday's range on the assumption of a break above 40,000, with a minimum upside target of 40,500 in mind. If sentiment improves from here, perhaps a move to 41k could be on the cards near the June VPOC and gap resistance.
OSE:NK2251!Long
by CityIndex
Nikkei 225 in weekly outlookDear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody
INDEX:NKYLong
by mehdi47abbasi79
The third wave of a larger wave is formingDear FRIEND, I hope you're doing well and that the new year has started on a good note for you. I wish you success in your business endeavors and a happy new year with your loved ones. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it to be a valuable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. I am sharing my analysis with you. However, please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions. In the attachment, I have included my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily). I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished. Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, (Mr. Nobody)
INDEX:NKYLong
by mehdi47abbasi79
Nikkei 225 Trade Idea for 20thDec2023 Super BullishNIKKEI 225 trade idea for 20/12/2023. Major catalyst BOJ is out of the way now, Nikkei shows super bullish continuation from the monster move today. Text book bull flag break out just after the close to 500 points move after BoJ press conference. Price consolidated after that and shows another bull flag in the after hours trading. Plan for 20/12/2023 Entry: Ideally pull back at the open at bull flag base -33353 or at 33227 - yesterday's VWAP Targets: 33632, 33681, 33808 and 34030 Support: 33227,33096 Happy trading, feedback welcome to improve my analysis. Thanks for reading
EIGHTCAP:JPN225Long
by trikkone
Expanded Diagonal??Hello! I am a big fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find very interesting and useful for market analysis. I have developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that could occur in the market. While I would like to share my analysis with you, please note that I am not providing a buy or sell signal. My primary intention is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can utilize it as a guide to make an informed decision. To build your confidence in my analysis, I always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare and see the progress. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, which should make it easy for you to understand. I hope that my analysis is useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. I am looking forward to hearing from you. Lastly, I would like to mention that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, just like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you. Sincerely,
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by mehdi47abbasi79
One Wave Upside Before DropGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week. I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further. I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you. I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market. However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time. If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes. It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is. No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get. We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities. Let's mention a few opinions and ideas! Based on mathematics. I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future. Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success. Best regards, Mr. Nobody Keep trying and never give up. Good luck!
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by mehdi47abbasi79
Bear market, you may be careful (Next idea)Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week. I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further. I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you. I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market. However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time. If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes. It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is. No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get. We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities. Let's mention a few opinions and ideas! Based on mathematics. I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future. Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success. Best regards, Mr. Nobody Keep trying and never give up. Good luck!
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Short
by mehdi47abbasi79
Selling Nikkei into a rally.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 28280 (stop at 28505) Buying pressure from 27629 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. Our profit targets will be 27705 and 27605 Resistance: 28505 / 29295 / 29710 Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NShort
by VantageMarkets
Nikkei to find sellers at previous support?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27310 (stop at 27425) Previous support level of 27266 broken. Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at oversold extremes. Short term bias has turned negative. A higher correction is expected. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 26980 and 26700 Resistance: 27390 / 27815 / 28500 Support: 27040 / 26700 / 26270 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by OANDA
Is the Santa Claus rally real?As we approach Christmas, for yet another year, we wonder if Santa is real, or rather if the Santa Claus Rally is real. Some hypotheses about the Santa Claus rally include the lowered Institutional liquidity as traders go on holiday (just like us, soon!). That leaves the retail crowd, proven to be bullish on just about anything, pushing markets higher. There have been many studies on this effect on the US markets with results ranging from slightly better than a coinflip chance to none at all. We thought to experiment with this idea and look at the same effect but on another market instead. With the massive benefit of hindsight, a simple, buy the Nikkei 225 in the middle of December and sell at the high/low before March comes around strategy, giving a win rate of 70% and an average win return of 10.3%, while the average loss was -11.3%. Interesting, but nothing much better than a coin toss with some variance. Now as a Trader, we always try to position ourselves in highly expected value situations and find a unique edge where others might not look. In this instance, how we can re-position ourselves is perhaps by looking at the spread between the US Index against the Japanese Index, before trying to identify the seasonal factor (Santa Claus Rally). But before we go further, it’s often good to think about how or why this trade might just work out: 1) Holiday impact – generally the Christmas holiday holds greater cultural importance in the US, hence it is likely that more will be on holiday in the US during this season. 2) Diverging monetary policies - The Bank of Japan remains one of the last central banks which stick to its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) even as inflation creeps higher. While the US Federal Reserve has led the world with its ultra-hawkish stance, raising its policy rates in a steadfast manner. The differences in monetary policies could nurture different directions for equities in respective markets, namely hawkish or tight conditions for the US vs dovish easing condition for the Japanese market. 3) Difference in accounting/Financial years – Differing accounting practices and book closure dates mean flows will differ for each market as institutional traders prepare to close their positions for their financial year. 4) Investors trying to front-run the January effect, where investors re-establish their positions after tax loss harvesting in December. These factors combined drive the Japanese and US markets differently, especially over this, year-end, holiday season. On to specifics, one way to look at the spread between the US and Japanese market could be to use the S&P500 Futures and Nikkei 225 Futures as proxy for the individual markets. Adjusting each Futures contract by the point value, $50 USD x S&P 500 Index point for the S&P500 Futures and $5 USD x Nikkei Stock Average for the Nikkei 225 Futures allows us to compare the two on a contract value/dollar for dollar basis. Applying the same, buy in the middle of December and sell before March strategy, gives a similar 60% win rate, but the average win now returns 71.4% while the average loss is -18.3%. A very rough back of the napkin expected value calculation gives this strategy a rough 35% expected return while the strategy on the Nikkei 225 alone returns roughly 4%. While one could try this strategy, we intend to provide a starting point to reflect on how we could creatively pair products to extract more value out of decades-old strategy. For example, on CME the listed Japanese Index Futures suite alone consists of products, such as the Dollar & Yen denominated Nikkei 225 (NIY/NKD) and Topix (TPY/TPD), all of which could be used to form variants of the above strategy. Something to think about as we head into the holiday season and prepare ourselves for an even better trading year ahead. And just like that, we are on our last piece for the year. We will be taking the rest of the year off and back in January with more! Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone! The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Sources: www.jstor.org www.fool.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
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CME_MINI:ES1!
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