NVDA
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.
The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications.
U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today.
In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024.
However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing.
In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers.
Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63.
The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure.
The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
$NVDA Buy now when everyone is in fear! Easy Rally to $165 !!Based on recent analyses and expert forecasts, NVIDIA's stock price (NVDA) is anticipated to perform robustly in the first quarter of 2025. Analysts have set a target price around $170 if the stock can convincingly surpass the $145 mark.
Reason to BUY NASDAQ:NVDA
Strong Demand for AI: NVIDIA's GPUs play a critical role in training complex AI models. The rising demand for AI technologies, particularly from major tech companies, is boosting the need for NVIDIA's specialized chips.
Data Center Growth: NVIDIA's data center revenue has been experiencing significant growth. This segment now accounts for a substantial portion of their total revenue, and ongoing investments in data centers by cloud service providers are expected to further drive demand.
New Product Launches: NVIDIA is preparing to increase shipments of its new H200 GPU, which boasts greater efficiency and power compared to its predecessor. This could attract more customers and boost sales.
Positive Market Sentiment: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA's stock, with some predicting further price increases due to sustained demand and strong financial performance.
AI Monetization: Companies such as Microsoft and Meta are seeing increased monetization from AI applications, potentially leading to higher spending on NVIDIA's products.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:NVDA !!
Fear & Greed Index: 39 (FEAR)
Green Days: 13/30 (43%)
RSI as of 01/13/2025
200-Day SMA: $119.35
50-day SMA: $139.86
Volatility: 3.12%
I also anticipate a dramatic increase due to the following events:
CPI 01/15/2025
Trump Administration 01/20/2025
FOMC Meeting: 01/29/2025
Cool +168% move $0.54 to $1.45 in 2 hours premarket $SGBXForget about market moving 1% on CPI news if you've got a stock like NASDAQ:SGBX moving 100% or 200%, taking a piece of the action at the safe spot in & out then moving on to the next one and repeating until you've got more money than you know what to do with
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
SPY Mid week analysis 1/14/25SPY - Monthly reversal is now being negated as we moved back above the monthly 2-2d trigger at Prev Month Low. We are also now failed 2D coming back through previous week range. The daily went 2-2 rev, but closed failed 2u as we made higher highs, but closed red near mid range of the day. The question for tomorrow is do we continue pushing back through last weeks range to expand the BF created by the 3 from last week, or do we take the failed 2u - 2D reversal, reconfirm the Monthly reversal down as well as the weekly 3-2D. We have a 3-1 setup on the 4HR as well as an inside bar 60 which is what I will be watching going into open tomorrow assuming no gap up or down. Should be an exciting rest of the week as we look to see if bears can reclaim control on the W and M, or if Bulls are setting up for a recovery back to ATH.
Levels to watch: Current 60 inside bar High and Low, Current 4HR bar high and low, Prev month low, 585.96 for upside which is the 2-2U rev target we did not get to today, but may compound 2Us tomorrow to get to if the bull scenario is playing out.
Major Price Movement Incoming for NVDA!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:NVDA trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
📅 What to Expect:
⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on NVDA’s price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
🔍 Observations:
Delta (+385.39K):
This is a very large positive delta, indicating significant buying dominance during this candle.
Buyers were much more aggressive than sellers, as reflected by the delta and overall volume distribution.
Total Volume (1.73M):
This is an extremely high volume, suggesting the candle occurred during a highly active session (possibly a news-driven event or significant market participation).
High volume with a strong positive delta typically signals strong buying interest and momentum.
Volume Distribution:
Buy Volume (1.06M) overwhelms Sell Volume (672.02K) .
Significant buy imbalances are evident at all levels:
At the mid-level: 451.73K (buy) vs. 271.14K (sell).
At the lower level: 71.42K (buy) vs. 65.81K (sell).
This shows that buyers were active across all price ranges, with sellers unable to contain the upward momentum.
Candle Structure:
The candle is green, closing near the top of its range, indicating strong upward pressure.
This suggests that buyers not only dominated but also maintained control throughout the session.
High-Probability Outcome:
Given the data, the high probability outcome is a continuation of bullish momentum:
The high positive delta, strong buy volume, and green candle closing near the highs indicate that buyers are firmly in control.
With such overwhelming buying pressure, the market is likely to see further upward movement in subsequent candles.
Market Analysis: NVDAMarket Analysis: NVIDIA
Over the past three to four months, NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA) has demonstrated solid performance, with its stock price increasing by approximately 4.96%. This steady growth reflects the company’s strong position in the technology sector, driven by its dominance in GPU production, AI advancements, and cloud computing.
The release of its latest financial results and continued demand for AI-related technologies have kept investor confidence high. However, market volatility and broader concerns in the tech sector may have tempered the pace of its gains. Overall, NVDA remains a key player to watch, especially as AI adoption accelerates globally.
Why has the title been stuck in the same range for over 90 days?
Let's always keep in mind that NVDA, from the low it reached in 2022, has now experienced an increase of about 1200%, so a sideways phase is completely normal, if not expected!
Let’s take a look at the chart since May 25, 2023 (599 days // 317%)
We can observe how the uptrend has always been accompanied by a very important trendline, which has now been retested and invalidated, all marked by a particularly unfavorable signal: a candle that opens higher, setting a new all-time high, and closes in the negative.
Nonetheless, NVDA has consistently exhibited a similar pattern – large uptrends, leaving gaps open almost everywhere, and long sideways phases, which usually lead to a breakout driven by earnings announcements.
Let’s look at the examples the market provides us:
We have the first upward move (1st), driven by earnings results that cause a gap up of about 20%, followed by a wide trading range in which the price remains trapped. Later (2nd), a strong bullish phase, and finally another sideways phase (3rd), all with very wide ranges!
Now, the current zone is a difficult one to analyze because initially it seemed to be a bullish zone, but now appears to be more of a consolidation…
So, the situation we find ourselves in now is another moment for a buy or a trend change? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
What’s Next for NVDA: $142 or $123?Good morning Trading Family
Here’s the game plan: if NVDA moves above $133.50, we could see it climb to $134.50, then correct back down to $123. If it breaks $129.33, it might drop to the $123 range. But if it pushes past $137, we could see it head toward $142.
This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar on how emotions can hurt your trading and how to take control of your mindset for better results.
Send me a message or check out my profile for details. If this added value to your trading, like, comment, and share it with someone who needs it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
BUY NVDA (130-135)NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading within a well-defined channel and is approaching a strong support zone between $130 and $135, a level where buyers have historically stepped in. The recent rejection from the $155 resistance suggests a potential rebound from the lower range. This setup provides a bullish trade opportunity, with an entry around $130-$135 and a target of $170, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. A stop-loss below $125 is recommended to manage risk.
Signal:
Buy Zone: $130 - $135
Target Price: $170
Stop-Loss: $125
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NVTS TRADE UPDATE - Massive upside potential...STILL!NASDAQ:NVTS UPDATE 💾
The H5 Trade is still intact...for now. We are at an inflection point in the markets and although I believe we get a big bounce higher soon nothing is concrete.
If we do get a bounce and what I believe will be a blow off top in this bull market then this name base on the setup will do very well to start blasting through these profit targets.
- H5 indicator is green
- At volume shelf
- Higher low
- Already successfully retested falling wedge breakout area.
- Broke out of downtrend
-Volume gap to fill
-WCB is formed and thriving
When companies break out and successfully retest it is common for them to consolidate above the breakout area to create new support before continuing higher
Don't make buy/ sell decisions based solely off price action, have a strategy and follow it so you don't get burned up in the massive swings...especially on volatile stocks. This name has given me 70% gains off the initial breakout and after we loaded back up off the retest.
Not exiting this name unless my strategy indicates a correction or crash in the markets is upon us or my strategy tells me to exit this name (Red H5 Indicator/ Break of support on WCB).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE