Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidiacorporation
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence.
Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects.
Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations.
As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge.
Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns.
Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term.
Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections.
Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
Exploring Nvidia's India Strategy: AI and LanguageNvidia, a leading technology company, has solidified its commitment to India with a series of significant announcements. The company unveiled a Hindi language model and forged strategic partnerships with major Indian corporations, underscoring its ambition to drive AI innovation and language technology in the country.
One of the most notable partnerships announced by Nvidia is with Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani. The two companies have outlined plans to build AI infrastructure in India, leveraging Nvidia's cutting-edge hardware and software solutions. This collaboration aims to accelerate AI research, development, and deployment across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and education.
In addition to the partnership with Reliance, Nvidia also launched Nemotron-4-Mini-Hindi 4B, a small language model specifically designed for the Hindi language. Hindi, as the most widely spoken language in India, holds immense cultural and economic significance. The availability of a powerful Hindi language model will enable developers to create innovative applications and services tailored to the needs of Hindi-speaking users.
Nvidia's investment in India comes at a time when the country is experiencing a surge in AI adoption and development. The government's initiatives to promote digital transformation and innovation have created a favorable environment for technology companies to thrive. By partnering with leading Indian firms and investing in language technology, Nvidia is positioning itself as a key player in India's AI ecosystem.
The launch of the Hindi language model is a significant step towards bridging the language gap in AI. While English has dominated the AI landscape, there is a growing recognition of the importance of developing language models for regional languages. By investing in Hindi, Nvidia is demonstrating its commitment to making AI accessible to a wider audience and empowering local communities.
Beyond the immediate benefits of language technology, Nvidia's India strategy also has broader implications. By fostering partnerships and investing in AI infrastructure, the company is contributing to the development of a skilled workforce and promoting innovation in the country. This could have a long-term impact on India's economic growth and competitiveness on the global stage.
In conclusion, Nvidia's announcement of a Hindi language model and partnerships with major Indian companies marks a significant milestone in its India strategy. By investing in AI and language technology, the company is positioning itself as a key player in the country's digital transformation. As India continues to embrace AI, Nvidia's commitment to the region is likely to yield substantial benefits for both the company and the nation.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Rockets Higher! TP1 Hit, Eyes on More Gains!NVIDIA (NVDA) Long Trade (15m time frame)
Entry: $135.03
Current Price: $145.21 – Momentum strong as first target hit.
Key Levels:
Stop-Loss (SL): $131.88 – Below key support level to manage risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $138.92 – First target hit, confirming upward trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $145.21 – Next target likely to be reached soon.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): $151.50 – Key level for continued bullish momentum.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): $155.38 – Final target for this strong upward move.
Trade Outlook:
NVIDIA has surged after a clear entry signal at $135.03. With TP1 already achieved, bullish momentum remains intact, and we're aiming for the remaining targets as the stock pushes higher. The trend and technical setup suggest further gains are possible.
NVIDIA | A Second Technical Entry Opportunity This Year
NVIDIA has presented two key technical entry points for investors in 2024.
The first entry came during a correction in early August around the $100 level, which was shared on my TradingView channel.
The second opportunity is now, following last week’s close at an all-time high level.
After NVIDIA's strong rally in 2024, there have been two technical opportunities to enter the stock. The first was during the correction in early August around the $100 mark , which I highlighted in my earlier TradingView post.
The second opportunity has emerged now, as last week's closing price marked the highest in history. While the stock hasn't officially hit an all-time high yet, it has broken through the critical $130 resistance level, which had been a barrier for the past four months. This breakout puts the stock in what is often called "open waters," where there is no significant resistance overhead.
It's important to note that while this presents a potential technical buy, fundamentals play a key role here. The resistance of four months is relatively short in terms of a breakout, and from a psychological perspective, buying at current highs can feel doubting. While the technicals suggest a reasonable entry, it’s crucial to have a clear thesis, a long-term holding plan, and solid fundamental research.
At this point, I would say that entering the stock now carries more risk. It’s not a good entry point for short-term gains, and I wouldn’t recommend an "all-in" approach at these levels. Only investors who are willing to add to their position during a pullback, and who have done their fundamental homework should consider buying now with a long-term perspective.
Summary
NVIDIA has presented two technical buying opportunities in 2024, with the latest one emerging after a modest breakout above $130. While there is potential for further gains, such as a move toward $150-$170, this is a riskier entry, especially for short-term traders. Investors should consider the current market environment, do their fundamental research, and only buy if they’re prepared to hold for the long term or add to their position in case of a pullback.
Regards,
Vaido
NVIDIA 4 Hour -30 Minute Wave Counting Where are We Going ? Morning Traders
We are looking at if this market has finished making a wave 4 correction or are we in for a treat with either a small correction down before we punch up to the 137-138 target we have in our wave counting and projections.
The question is always be aware of the worst case scenario here and the best case scenario, take caution
Happy Trading
MB Trader
Nvidia Stock Analysis: Demand for AI Chips Fuel Bullish MomentumNvidia’s meteoric rise in 2024 has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the surging demand for its AI chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described this demand as "insane" during an interview with CNBC, sparking even more excitement around the chipmaker’s stock. As of Thursday's premarket trading, Nvidia shares are up 1.91%, and all eyes are on the company’s continued growth potential.
Insane Demand and Strategic Partnerships
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) has emerged as a global leader in AI infrastructure, with its next-generation Blackwell AI chips driving much of the growth. Huang's comments highlight the unprecedented demand for these AI chips as companies across various industries race to build out their AI capabilities. Nvidia’s strategic partnership with IT consulting firm Accenture is another critical factor driving growth. The collaboration aims to help businesses implement AI-powered solutions using Nvidia’s cutting-edge technology, further extending Nvidia’s reach into the enterprise AI market.
This partnership underscores Nvidia’s ability to build an ecosystem of AI-driven businesses, drawing comparisons to tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle. By expanding its AI infrastructure, Nvidia is ensuring its long-term dominance in the AI space, and investors are responding in kind. Nvidia’s stock has surged 140% year-to-date, far outpacing expectations.
Strong Financial Performance
Nvidia’s financials remain impressive. The company has consistently outperformed Wall Street’s projections, driving a rally in its stock price and contributing significantly to the broader market rally in the S&P 500. The expanded partnership with Accenture further solidifies Nvidia’s position as a dominant force in the AI landscape. Additionally, demand for AI chips from companies and governments alike continues to rise, making Nvidia the go-to choice for building AI infrastructure.
Nvidia’s massive year-to-date gains have been driven by demand across various sectors for AI solutions, cementing its place at the center of the AI revolution. This success is only expected to continue as Nvidia rolls out more advanced chips and expands its partnerships.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Nvidia’s stock is showing signs of even further upside potential. After peaking in June, NASDAQ:NVDA has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic chart formation that suggests a period of consolidation followed by a significant move in the direction of the prevailing trend.
This pattern is a bullish signal, especially given Nvidia’s already strong uptrend in 2024. If Nvidia’s stock breaks above the triangle's resistance level, the technicals point to further upside. Key price targets to watch are $128 and $139
### **Support Levels: Key Breakdown Area to Watch**
Despite Nvidia’s strong bullish momentum, it’s important to consider potential downside risks, particularly in light of the stock’s history of price fluctuations. The key support levels to watch are $110 and $97, which aligns with a trendline linking the March peaks and the 200-day moving average. This area could provide a safety net if Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) faces short-term selling pressure.
Conclusion
Nvidia paints a compelling picture for long-term investors. The ongoing surge in demand for AI chips, coupled with Nvidia’s strategic expansion into enterprise AI through partnerships like the one with Accenture, sets the stage for continued success.
With Nvidia’s stock forming a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern and key price targets pointing to significant upside, now may be the time for investors to ride the wave of this AI-powered growth story. However, investors should also be mindful of potential support areas in the event of short-term volatility. All in all, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is primed for continued dominance in the AI chip market, and the stock's technicals suggest there's more room to run.
NVDA - Weekly Fall PotentialNASDAQ:NVDA ’s stock has been on a meteoric rise, fueled by the growing demand for AI technology and high-performance computing solutions. However, recent market behavior and technical analysis suggest that a significant pullback may be imminent. The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made shares more accessible to retail investors, but it has also introduced increased volatility. The market has responded positively to the split, but the momentum might be slowing down.
Looking at the NVIDIA chart in a logarithmic scale, we observe three major bullish legs, each with gains exceeding 1000%. The current, third leg appears to be reaching its peak. This trend is further supported by the stock’s position within a rising channel, currently touching the upper boundary, indicating potential resistance. Additionally, lower time frame charts reveal a reversal pattern, suggesting a potential downturn.
Technical indicators show that NVIDIA’s price is at a critical juncture. The stock has demonstrated a reversal pattern in the lower time frames, which is often a precursor to a decline. Moreover, the price is at the top of a rising channel, which typically acts as a resistance level. Given these factors, a pullback seems likely, especially considering the stock’s impressive run-up without significant corrections.
In conclusion, while the broader market sentiment remains optimistic with expectations of new highs for NVIDIA, the technical indicators and recent stock behavior suggest a different story. Investors should be cautious and consider the possibility of a pullback. It is crucial to monitor the stock closely and be prepared for potential profit-taking, especially in the context of the recent stock split and the overall market dynamics.
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%.
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Business Revenue Sources:
84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking"
15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics"
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US34.80b
DEBT: US8.46b
Equity: US58.16b
Total Liabilities: US27.07b
Total Assets: US85.23b
14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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Idea:
NVIDIA: Weekly To 30 Minute: Correcting where are we going up? Good morning Traders
Here is my video analysis on NVIDIA at the moment. Have a review and let me know what you think.
The main areas of concern are: 108 and 110 if we break those levels I dont see why the market cant go to 114 range.
Any questions, comments, ideas, want me to share more ideas on any topic let me know.
The trend is your friend and lastly we dont predict the market we follow it.
MB Trader
Nvidia is Going to ZERO. AI Will Not Change the World.Hello Everyone,
Anybody buying NVDA at these levels will suffer the same fate as the Intel (INTC) buyers during the Dotcom bubble. Chances are Jun 20, 2024 was the top and so far we have been making lower highs and lower lows. Weekly timeframe shows a bearish engulfing, however we will need a confirmation dump candle with another follow through candle to confirm further dumping as shown in the chart above.
Massive bearish divergence on weekly and the RSI might be confirming a lower high for the third divergence.
This bearish engulfing candle can be cancelled if we can't close below the candle next week. Whether we still trade around these levels for a little bit longer or dump now, eventually NVDA will be headed towards $5-$10 during this upcoming recession.
The NVDA hype will die during this recession and everybody is going to forget about it and will have many competitors in the future. We may never see NVDA this high again in our lifetime.
Nvidia Stock Soars On Blowout GuidanceSoaring demand for the chips needed to train the latest wave of generative artificial intelligence systems such as ChatGPT led Nvidia to issue a revenue forecast far ahead of Wall Street expectations, prompting a surge in its stock price in after market trading.
The US chipmaker on Wednesday said it expected sales to reach 11bn dollar in the three months to the end of July, more than 50 per cent ahead of the 7.2bn dollar analysts had been expecting and confirming its position as the biggest short-term beneficiary of the AI race that has broken out in the technology industry.
The forecast fuelled a 27 per cent leap in Nvidia’s shares, which had already more than doubled since the start of the year, and lifted its stock market value to a record 960 bn dollar.
Jensen Huang, chief executive, said the company was “significantly increasing our supply to meet surging demand” for its entire family of data centre chips, including the H100, a product launched this year that was designed to handle the demands of so-called large language models such as OpenAI’s GPT4.
The race in the tech industry to develop larger AI models has led some customers to worry privately about a shortage of H100 chips, which only went on sale earlier this year. However, Nvidia’s $4.28bn in sales to data centre customers in its latest quarter topped even the most optimistic analysts’ forecasts, and the company said there had been strong sales of both the H100 and its A100 chips, based on its previous chip architecture.
Nvidia’s forecast noted a potential doubling of sales to data centre customers in three months, even though data centre sales were running at an annualised rate of $17bn in the opening quarter of this year. Growth is coming from customers across the board, Kress said, with consumer internet companies, cloud computing providers and enterprise customers all rushing to apply the generative AI to their businesses.
The bullish forecast came as Nvidia reported revenue and earnings in its latest quarter, to the end of April, had also topped forecasts, thanks to a jump in sales to data centre customers as demand for AI took off. Revenue reached $7.19bn, up 19 per cent from the preceding three months but down 13 per cent from the year before, as sales of chips for gaming systems dropped.
Earnings per share rose 22 per cent from a year before to 82 cents, or $1.09 on the pro forma basis Wall Street judges the company. The consensus view on Wall Street had been for revenue of $6.52bn and pro forma earnings of 92 cents a share.
now let's delve into the numbers. Nvidia's different business units did not all perform equally well during the quarter - which can be expected, of course. Nvidia's data center business grossed revenues of $4.3 billion during the first quarter, which represents a new record high. Data center demand is not very cyclical, and companies kept investing in new equipment despite a potential recession being on the horizon. This can be explained by the fact that data centers are mission critical for many companies, so they don't really have a lot of choice when it comes to allocating capital to this space. Strong data center sales also have been seen in the results of other chip companies such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Both Nvidia and AMD also were able to benefit from the weak performance of their competitor Intel (INTC), as Intel has been losing market share in the data center space in recent quarters due to self-inflicted problems and an unconvincing product line-up.
Nvidia is a major graphic chip or GPU player and is thus heavily impacted by the performance of related end markets. This includes both cryptocurrency mining and gaming. While some cryptocurrencies can't be mined with GPUs economically, such as Bitcoin, others, such as Ethereum, can be mined with GPUs. Ethereum moved from a proof-of-work model to a proof-of-stake model in the fall of 2022, but some miners still use GPUs for Ethereum mining. Not surprisingly, Nvidia's sales to this end market depend on the price for cryptocurrencies - when cryptocurrencies are expensive, miners are more eager to acquire additional GPUs and they may also be willing to pay high prices for them. During times when cryptocurrencies are less expensive, mining is less profitable, and GPU demand from cryptocurrency miners wanes. This has had an impact on Nvidia's sales in the past and likely played a role in Nvidia's Q1 sales as well.
GPU sales have been under pressure in recent quarters due to lower demand by gamers as well. Many that like to play video games upgraded their hardware during the lockdown phase of the pandemic when staying at home meant that consumers had more time for video games. With many gamers having relatively new equipment, demand has declined in the recent past. At the same time, inflation pressures consumers' ability to spend on discretionary goods. On top of that, some consumers prefer to spend their money on experiences over things now as there are no lockdowns or travel restrictions in place any longer. All in all, this has resulted in a difficult macro environment for Nvidia's gaming business.
Combined, the headwinds for the gaming market and the cryptocurrency market explain why Nvidia's sales and profits kept declining during the most recent quarter, relative to the results the company was able to generate one year earlier. The strong performance in the data center space was not enough to offset the headwinds Nvidia experienced in other areas.
I personally going to take huge profit right now and wait for 250 $ levels
Nvidia: the pattern play out again?Nvidia is set to release its earnings report on Wednesday night, with expectations sky-high.
Market Prediction:
41% year-over-year surge in earnings
113% increase in sales, reaching $28.73 billion.
This would mark the fifth consecutive quarter of triple-digit gains for the AI chip giant.
What's your opinion about NASDAQ:NVDA earnings?
Buy NVIDIA CorporationShort Term Trading Advice by Naranj Capital
Buy NVIDIA Corporation
● Buy Range- 111 - 115
● Target- 125 - 127
● StopLoss- 107
● Potential Return- 9-10%
● Duration- 14-15 Trading Days
Nvidia's Stellar Rise Amidst the AI Gold Rush
Nvidia, the tech giant renowned for its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has been riding a wave of unprecedented success. As the world dives deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's GPUs have become the indispensable hardware powering the most advanced AI models. This surge in demand has propelled Nvidia's stock to new heights, solidifying its position as a leader in the semiconductor industry.
The AI Revolution Drives Demand
The rapid advancements in AI technology have created a voracious appetite for computing power. Nvidia's GPUs, originally designed for rendering complex graphics, have proven to be remarkably efficient at handling the intensive calculations required for training and running AI models. Their parallel processing architecture allows them to perform multiple tasks simultaneously, making them ideal for the demanding workloads associated with AI.
As AI applications continue to expand across various industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and customer service, the demand for high-performance GPUs has skyrocketed. Companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Google are investing heavily in AI research and development, and Nvidia's GPUs have become a critical component of their infrastructure.
Nvidia's Strategic Moves
Nvidia has been proactive in capitalizing on the AI boom. The company has made significant investments in research and development to enhance its GPU technology and expand its product offerings. In addition to its traditional gaming GPUs, Nvidia has introduced specialized AI accelerators, such as the A100 and H100, which are optimized for AI workloads.
Furthermore, Nvidia has been expanding its ecosystem through partnerships and acquisitions. The company has collaborated with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform to offer AI services based on its GPUs. This has made it easier for developers and businesses to access and utilize AI capabilities.
Challenges and Opportunities
While Nvidia's prospects appear bright, the company faces certain challenges. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and there is a risk of a slowdown in demand for GPUs if the AI market experiences a correction. Additionally, competition from other chip manufacturers, such as AMD and Intel, is intensifying.
However, the long-term outlook for AI remains positive, and Nvidia's strong market position and technological leadership give it a significant advantage. As AI continues to penetrate various sectors, the demand for high-performance computing power is likely to grow, providing ample opportunities for Nvidia to expand its business.
Conclusion
Nvidia's success story is a testament to the transformative power of AI. The company's ability to leverage its GPU technology to meet the demands of the AI revolution has propelled it to the forefront of the semiconductor industry. As AI continues to evolve and reshape the world, Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market and maintain its leadership position.
Market Analysis and Projection: NVIDIA Stock OpportunityI WILL BUY NVIDIA STOCK AT $112.
On the 5th of this month, NVIDIA (NVDA) experienced a significant downturn, with its stock price plunging to approximately $90—a day marked by widespread volatility in both the financial markets and cryptocurrency sectors.
As of now, NVDA has rebounded to $115. Based on my market analysis, I am anticipating a pullback to $112, at which point I plan to initiate a buy position. My target for take profit is set around $126.
For investors and traders, NVDA still presents a strong potential for growth, making it a stock worth monitoring closely.
Nvidia's Meteoric Rise: $420 Billion Added in Four Days
Nvidia Corporation has once again captured the world's attention, this time with a stunning market value surge. The tech titan, synonymous with the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) landscape, has added a staggering $420 billion market capitalization in just four trading days. This represents a 17% surge in its stock price, leaving investors and analysts alike in awe.
The rally comes on the heels of a tumultuous period for Nvidia shareholders. The stock had experienced a significant downturn, wiping out billions in market value. However, the recent rebound has been spectacular, propelling the company into the spotlight as a dominant force in the tech industry.
What's driving this incredible resurgence?
Several factors are likely contributing to Nvidia's meteoric rise. Primarily, the company is at the forefront of the AI revolution. Its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs) have become the de facto standard for training complex AI models. As the demand for AI applications continues to explode across industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and gaming, Nvidia stands to benefit immensely.
Investor sentiment has also played a crucial role. The recent dip in the stock price created a buying opportunity for many, with investors recognizing the long-term potential of Nvidia in the AI space. As the company prepares to release its earnings report at the end of the month, anticipation is building, and investors are positioning themselves for potentially strong results.
It's important to note that Nvidia's performance has had a ripple effect on the broader market. The company has accounted for a significant portion of the S&P 500's gains during this period, highlighting its outsized influence. This has led to a more optimistic outlook among investors, as positive sentiment surrounding Nvidia has spread to other tech stocks.
While the recent surge is undoubtedly impressive, it's essential to approach it with a degree of caution. The stock market is inherently volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors must conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Looking ahead, market participants will continue to closely watch Nvidia's trajectory. The company's ability to maintain its technological leadership in the AI space and its capacity to capitalize on emerging opportunities will be key determinants of its future success.
As the world becomes increasingly reliant on AI, Nvidia's role as a key player in this transformative industry is likely to solidify, making it a company worth keeping a close eye on.
Nvidia's Unshakable AI Dominance: Why No Giant Can Topple?Nvidia is renowned for its stellar performance in the AI chip manufacturing sector. However, the company's core strength lies in building a business barrier made up of a tight integration of software and hardware, effectively keeping customers loyal and competitors at bay.
Over the past two decades, Nvidia has meticulously crafted a "walled garden" in the tech world, akin to the ecosystem created by Apple. While Apple's ecosystem mainly targets consumers, Nvidia focuses on serving developers who use its chips to build AI systems and other software.
This closed system explains why Nvidia has maintained its dominant position in the AI market despite fierce competition from other chipmakers and tech giants like Google and Amazon. It's unlikely that Nvidia will lose significant market share in the coming years.
In the long run, the competition over Nvidia's dominance will likely focus more on its coding prowess rather than just circuit design. Competitors are racing to develop software that can bypass Nvidia's barriers.
CUDA: The Foundation of the Walled Garden
Understanding Nvidia's "walled garden" hinges on its CUDA software platform. Since its launch in 2007, CUDA has solved a problem that others haven't—how to run non-graphics software, like encryption algorithms and cryptocurrency mining, on Nvidia's specialized chips designed for labor-intensive applications like 3D graphics and video games.
CUDA supports a variety of computing tasks on these graphics processing units (GPUs) and allows AI software to run on Nvidia's chips. The explosive growth of AI software in recent years has elevated Nvidia to one of the world's most valuable companies.
Importantly, CUDA continues to evolve. Year after year, Nvidia releases specialized code libraries to meet the needs of software developers. These libraries enable tasks to be executed on Nvidia GPUs at speeds far surpassing traditional general-purpose processors like those made by Intel and AMD.
The Importance of Full-Stack Computing and Software Platforms
The significance of Nvidia's software platforms also explains why Nvidia has historically invested more in hiring software engineers than hardware engineers. CEO Jensen Huang recently emphasized the company's focus on "full-stack computing," which involves everything from chip-making to AI software development.
Whenever competitors announce AI chips meant to rival Nvidia's, they're effectively competing against a system that's been in use for over 15 years, with vast amounts of code written for it. This software is challenging to port to competitors' systems, which is a true advantage of Nvidia's coding capabilities.
At its shareholders' meeting in June, Nvidia announced that CUDA now includes over 300 code libraries and 600 AI models, supporting 3,700 GPU-accelerated applications used by over five million developers across approximately 40,000 companies.
Market Predictions and Competitive Landscape
The vast size of the AI computing market has prompted multiple companies to join forces against Nvidia. Atif Malik, a semiconductor and networking equipment analyst at Citi Research, predicts that the AI-related chip market will reach $400 billion annually by 2027. In comparison, Nvidia's revenue for the fiscal year ending in January was about $61 billion.
Bill Pearson, Intel's vice president for AI for cloud customers, states that much of the industry's collaboration focuses on developing open-source alternatives to CUDA. Intel engineers are contributing to two such projects, one involving companies like ARM, Google, Samsung, and Qualcomm. OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, is also working on its open-source project.
Investors are flocking to startups working on CUDA alternatives, driven partly by the prospect of engineers from many global tech giants potentially making it possible for companies to use any chips they want, avoiding what some in the industry call the "CUDA tax."
Open-Source Alternatives and Industry Dynamics
In the AI chip sector, Nvidia retains a strong leadership position, but competition is intensifying. Startup Groq recently secured $640 million in funding at a $2.8 billion valuation to develop chips that can rival Nvidia's, marking the rise of open-source software and bringing new vitality and possibilities to the industry.
Not just startups, but tech giants are also making moves. Google and Amazon are developing their AI training and deployment chips, and Microsoft announced in 2023 that it would join this effort. These moves challenge Nvidia's market position and push for industry innovation.
In this competition, AMD has emerged as one of the strongest challengers to Nvidia's AI chip dominance with its Instinct AI chip line. AMD Executive Vice President Andrew Dieckman states that although AMD's market share is still behind Nvidia, the company is heavily investing in software engineers to expand its software resources and narrow the gap. Last month, AMD announced a $665 million acquisition of Silo AI, further enhancing its AI development capabilities.
Two major Nvidia customers, Microsoft and Meta Platforms, have started purchasing AMD's AI chips, reflecting the market's demand for diverse suppliers and a desire for competition in high-end products.
Challenges and Opportunities for Nvidia
However, Nvidia's market barrier isn't impenetrable. Babak Pahlavan, CEO of startup NinjaTech AI, revealed that he would have preferred using Nvidia's hardware and software if costs allowed. But due to shortages and the high cost of Nvidia's H100 chips, NinjaTech AI turned to Amazon, which offers its AI training chip Trainium. After months of effort and collaboration, NinjaTech AI successfully trained its AI models on Trainium chips and launched AI "agents" in May, boasting over one million monthly active users, all supported by models trained and run on Amazon chips.
This shift wasn't easy. Pahlavan admitted facing numerous challenges and errors along the way. Amazon Web Services Executive Gadi Hutt acknowledged early mistakes from both sides but stated they are now on track. Amazon's AI chip customer base is growing, including companies like Anthropic, Airbnb, Pinterest, and Snap. Although Amazon offers customers the option to use Nvidia chips, they are more expensive, and transitioning takes time.
NinjaTech AI's experience highlights one major reason why startups like it endure the extra effort and development time to build AI outside Nvidia's "walled garden": cost. Pahlavan says NinjaTech's cloud service bill at Amazon is about $250,000 a month to serve over a million users. If the same AI ran on Nvidia chips, it would cost between $750,000 and $1.2 million.
Nvidia's Response and Future Outlook
Facing these competitive pressures, Nvidia is acutely aware of the high costs associated with its chips. CEO Jensen Huang has pledged that the company's next generation of AI-focused chips will aim to reduce the costs of training AI on Nvidia's hardware.
Malik of Citi Research expects Nvidia to maintain a 90% market share in AI-related chipsets for the next two to three years. This suggests that despite competition, Nvidia's leading position remains solid.
In the foreseeable future, Nvidia's fate will depend on the kind of inertia that has historically kept many businesses and customers locked into various "walled gardens."
NVIDIA (NVDA) | Over a Long Time, Technically An Opportunity!Hi,
It's a bit hard to get in technically if the stocks are constantly making new higher highs without any certain pullbacks and NVIDIA was one of them.
Now we have seen some red weeks and we have an opportunity where some criteria are matching with each other around $100.
If you are still interested then it might be your chance.
Good luck,
Vaido
Musk Hails Memphis Supercluster: Nvidia Stock Soars on AITech entrepreneur Elon Musk took to social media platform X to celebrate a significant development in the world of artificial intelligence (AI). In a post, Musk lauded Nvidia for their contribution to the launch of training for xAI's Memphis Supercluster. This massive computing facility, equipped with a staggering 100,000 of Nvidia's H100 GPUs, marks a significant leap forward in AI development.
The Power of Memphis: Supercharging AI Training
The Memphis Supercluster is no ordinary data center. Custom-designed for the specific demands of AI model training, it boasts a colossal 100,000 H100 Tensor Core GPUs from Nvidia. These cutting-edge processors are specifically architected to handle the immense computational workload required to train complex AI models. The sheer scale of the Memphis Supercluster signifies the immense processing power required to push the boundaries of AI capabilities.
Grok Gears Up for a New Era
The Memphis Supercluster isn't just a showcase of technological prowess; it has a clear purpose. This powerful facility is dedicated to training the next iteration of xAI's chatbot, Grok. While details about Grok's new capabilities remain undisclosed, the involvement of the Memphis Supercluster suggests a significant upgrade in its functionality. This could pave the way for more advanced natural language processing, improved reasoning abilities, and potentially even greater human-like interaction.
Nvidia Stock Rides the AI Wave
The news of the Memphis Supercluster's activation coincided with a surge in Nvidia's stock price. This rise can be attributed, at least in part, to the positive sentiment surrounding the project. The successful collaboration between xAI and Nvidia showcases the potential of H100 GPUs in the field of AI. This, in turn, could lead to increased demand for Nvidia's technology from other companies and research institutions working on cutting-edge AI projects. Additionally, the broader market may be recognizing the growing importance of AI and the role Nvidia plays in its development, leading to a general uptick in investor confidence.
A Look Ahead: The Future of AI
The launch of the Memphis Supercluster is a significant milestone in the ongoing quest for artificial intelligence advancement. The immense processing power it offers opens doors for the development of even more sophisticated AI models. As xAI trains the next version of Grok on this powerful platform, the world awaits with anticipation to see the new heights AI can achieve. This development, along with the positive reception of Nvidia's technology, suggests an exciting future for AI research and its potential applications across various industries.
💫NVIDIA might be ready for ATH: Multitimeframe💫☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
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Nvidia Races Ahead: Can It Lead After Apple Stock SplitNvidia Races Ahead: Can it Maintain the Lead After Apple's Stock Split?
The tech world is abuzz with the news of Nvidia's staggering outperformance of Apple's stock price in 2024. Annually, Nvidia has surged a remarkable 190+%, leaving Apple in the dust with a meager 19% gain. This stark contrast comes just ahead of Apple's highly anticipated 10-to-1 stock split, raising questions about the future performance of both tech giants.
Nvidia's Stellar Rise: A Chip Powerhouse on Fire
Nvidia's dominance can be attributed to its position as a leader in the booming semiconductor industry. The ever-growing demand for powerful graphics processing units (GPUs) for applications like artificial intelligence, gaming, and data centers has propelled Nvidia's growth. Their cutting-edge technology has made them the go-to choice for tech enthusiasts and professionals alike.
Apple's Stagnant Growth: A Maturing Giant?
While Apple remains a tech behemoth, its stock price hasn't mirrored the explosive growth seen in other sectors. This could be due to a number of factors. The smartphone market, a cornerstone of Apple's success, has reached a saturation point. Additionally, competition from other manufacturers, particularly in the Chinese market, has intensified.
Stock Splits: A Psychological Boost or a Price Trick?
Stock splits themselves don't change the underlying value of a company. They simply increase the number of shares outstanding while proportionally reducing the share price. However, stock splits can have a psychological impact on investors. A lower share price can make the stock appear more affordable, potentially attracting new investors and boosting short-term trading activity.
Volatility Ahead: Will Apple Reclaim Its Throne?
Apple's upcoming stock split has the potential to introduce significant price volatility in the short term. The lower share price might entice retail investors, leading to a temporary surge. However, long-term performance will depend on Apple's ability to innovate and tap into new growth markets.
Beyond the Numbers: A Look at the Fundamentals
While the current stock price performance paints a clear picture, a deeper analysis of both companies' fundamentals is crucial for long-term investors. Here are some key aspects to consider:
• Product Pipeline: Both companies have a history of successful product launches. Analyzing their upcoming product lines and potential disruptions will provide insights into future growth prospects.
• Innovation: Continuous innovation is vital for sustained success in the tech industry. Evaluating each company's commitment to research and development will shed light on their ability to stay ahead of the curve.
• Market Expansion: Identifying new markets and customer segments that either company can tap into can be a significant growth driver.
The Verdict: A Tale of Two Tech Titans
Nvidia's current lead is undeniable, but Apple shouldn't be counted out. The stock split has the potential to reignite investor interest in Apple, and its brand loyalty remains unmatched. Ultimately, which company emerges victorious will depend on their ability to navigate the ever-evolving tech landscape, deliver innovative products, and expand into new markets.
For investors, this is an exciting time to be in the tech sector. By carefully analyzing both companies' fundamentals and long-term strategies, investors can make informed decisions about where to place their bets. The race between Nvidia and Apple is far from over, and the coming months will be a fascinating test of their respective strengths and resilience.
Nvidia Analysis After SplitThe Nvidia share price has never risen so steeply. Each rise lasted about 30 months and was followed by an average correction of 50%. I think we are getting close to the next correction. It will be an excellent buying opportunity. But until then we can even see $160 because of the FOMO and the new investors who came after stock split.
