BABA $160 Options-Light traffic aheadso now there a fall five weave pattern has been completed, technically we have to correct which typically would bring you down to the 50 or to the 618. So by drawing a pitchfork to wear the football is headed I could still estimate that $160 target to be hit prior to the December 14 expiration... I’m on showing a 187% profit if it hits, here’s the link to Options PROFITS calculator, it’s dope. but these deltas ABSOLUTELY change as soon as stock crosses above the 382. Same thing happened w AMZN last week.
opcalc.com
Soon as it crossed above $1696, ZZZOOMM ZZOOM that thing took off.
The Delta went FROM 0.31, to 0.62, to screen shots, couldn’t believe it.
Options-strategy
KSS - Neutral Iron CondorThe stock price broke out from a range, made what looks like a head-n-shoulders pattern, and can mirror the channel pattern it made before the head-n-shoulders. Volatility is high and this is a neutral directional bet on the price action.
47.5/50/77.5/80 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.45 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
BA - Neutral Iron CondorTaking advantage of mixed market feelings toward stock to place wide neutral iron condor to box in price action.
255/265/365/375 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 1.67 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
LVS - Bearish-neutral Iron CondorStock has sold off since May/June, with no recovery since last earnings report. Betting on price to stay within this range.
35/40/62.5/67.5 JAN19 IRON CONDOR @ 0.64 CREDIT
General plan:
Roll if necessary & if possible to reduce risk.
Target maximum profit, unless significant profit appears early.
Comment or direct message for discussion, or on other interesting ideas!
Follow for updates.
Fb possible Bounce,strong support $130It is hard to predict o time the market but in this scenario is not much gain for shorting the stock until the stock is at leat near the upper band, max gain for short seller is limited to $4 bucks,also, as a remainder today was a big green candle if you look at 4 Hourly chart and risk takers buy below the lower band, also, the fundamental case for FB trades now at 19x his earnings,industry leader, at the power of reach the world, Never understimate good companys,because of the noise and CNBC propaganda, maybe if you are an option trader Dic 28 Calls ITM $130, If you want to take less risk with 30% Stop Loss or if you want to take more risk, $140.00 Calls OTM There is a good chance that the stock bounce between $147.37-$140.22 and the bearish case is $130.57-126.1533, this is still in down trend and for long term investor is good chance to buy very cheap, for swing trader set a stop loss for a good profit! have a nice day! :'V FB
Netflix Still Has Room To FallDespite a 36% dive, $NFLX can fall another 29% and still post a small gain for the year.
Given rising volatility and a broad-market correction, a short position on Netflix could be a good idea.
A bearish strangle with expirations on DEC21 is what I'm currently holding. The possibility for an end of year rally is still there (hence using a strangle for protection if things go awry), but the probability of that rally grows increasingly slim - particularly within the FAANGs as a correction is far past due.
BABA options Trade.. Hit $160 by Tues, and $175 by ThnxgivingNYSE:BABA
Tech: Has had trouble breaking thru major 382 fib level. Shallow “2 wave” due to market rally and AMZN (same sector) price action..
Trade Rationale: Alibaba’s Singles day (Amazon prime day equivalent) is Monday 11/11/18.. BABA reported highest consumer signups ever and last years 1 day rake was $24B.. I think the if news reports anything remotely good on the numbers, that will give NYSE:BABA enough BUY volume “Boom POW” momentum to get it over the 382 wall it needs to climb... and plus, JD.com ain’t been doin all that well w market share... #JD .com down -49% YTD ~ (-$30.9B mrkt cap)
and BABA down -18% YTD -$82.5B mrkt cap
Option strategy.
1. Long Nov 23 $160 Call Option, Trading at $0.78 currently.. when it hits, 451% return
Stop loss: think, If Baba < $144 = BAD
2. Long Dec 7, $175 Call Option, Currently trading $0.47... If it hits, 1,581% return... Lol
TSLA to $485 by apr?I'm not actually getting in on this trade, there is too much uncertainty around Musk and Tesla for my liking at the moment. I have traded TSLA in the past. This is a stock I would like to see get less unpredictable. That being said, the monthly candle suggests conditions for a bull run.
Bear move coming for NFLX, 26% drop by FebI'm actually long on NFLX stock but I think it'll drop over the next quarter. Overvalued compared to the other streaming services but lots of original content and a huge expected increase in subscriptions to streaming services over the long term.
This chart is based on a monthly consolidation but I am showing the weekly candle to show that my last 5 forecasts with NFLX all hit their targets, although they were shorter term targets.
$XLY Bearish Credit SpreadXLY Bearish Credit Spread - Opened. XLY leaning very bearish this morning (Monday) with a possible movement to test the 115 area as expected.
Entry 116.11.
Break Even 116.68.
1.7:1 r/r
Even with the heightened volatility this week, we will let this spread expire as it has a defined risk and reward.