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Theta Machine - 12/07/2022THETA MACHINE UPDATE No New Trades Today I want VIX and IV to go higher so we can collect extra premium...if not tomorrow, by Friday I will increase the cost basis to +500, and Theta will be around $150/day. Overall POP = 84% POP = Probability of Profit *Next Week volatility can spike as we will have CPI (Dec 12) and FED (Dec 13). With that said, I will probably hedge with Micro Futures. *Quick TIP if you want to hedge your portfolio> +50 Delta = 1 /MES (Micro) +500 Delta = 1 /ES (Mini) My Delta Beta Weight now is around 100, so In order to hedge I need to Sell 2 Micro Futures (2x /MES)
CME_MINI:ES1!
by IronMan_Trader
1
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 07/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. Nifty: Options data indicating mild bearishness ahead of RBI policy. Smart money/big players have added plenty of new bearish positions. USA market are already nervous ahead of another rate in next week. Tomorrow, we can expect a sideway move ahead of RBI policy. Post RBI policy market direction will be dependent on rate hike & commentary by RBI regarding inflation & growth outlook. Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days: 1.RBI meeting is going on. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike approx. 0.35% on Dec-07 2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen. 3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll results looking good for market Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday) Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 06/DEC/2022 NIFTY IS DOWN BY -58 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 18643 18701 -58.30 -0.31% India VIX 14.04 13.73 0.31 2.26% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 10207000, CE LTP: 6.5) Max OI (Puts) 18600 (Open Interest: 7505150, PE LTP: 39.4) PCR 0.71 (PCR is in bearish zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation Nifty Puts: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
AVDL hedged options strategyDublin-headquartered biopharmaceutical company Avadel Pharmaceuticals currently has a buzzy formulation of sodium oxybate in a Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of narcolepsy, among other candidates. The current twice-nightly U.S. narcolepsy oxybate market is estimated at $1.8 billion -- up to half of those patients quit because they need to wake up in the middle of the night to take the second dose. AVDL's LUMRYZ, taken once before bedtime and offering much more ease of use, was recently granted tentative approval by the FDA. Speculatively, in an era where melatonin use and sleep studies are so common, specialized research in sleep disorders and cataplexy may also lead to other medical breakthroughs. Looking at the last wick on the weekly chart, the bulls seem to want to push the stock up. Will the uptrend continue? According to its profile on Yahoo Finance, it's a Strong Buy. Here's a hedged options trading strategy that makes up to 38% (33% annualized) on AVDL and also protects from a price drop of up to 44% as of 1/19/24. Buy 2 $7.50 call Sell 2 $10 call Sell 3 $5 put Exp 1/19/24 Capital required: $1450
NASDAQ:AVDLLong
by oliveinvest
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 06/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. Nifty: Options data indicating sideways. Smart money/big players are adding bullish positions. However, as a retail investor, we should continue to book profit near new lifetime high & wait for good trade setup/good buy on dips opportunities. Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days: 1.Today, RBI meeting started. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike (approx. 0.25%) on Dec-07 then what will happen in banking stocks????? 2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen. 3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll stuff started today evening. Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday) Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 05/DEC/2022 NIFTY IS UP BY 5 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 18701 18696 4.95 0.03% India VIX 13.73 13.45 0.28 2.10% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 9728050, CE LTP: 15.95) Max OI (Puts) 18700 (Open Interest: 5218500, PE LTP: 78) PCR 0.68 (PCR is in bearish zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
1
Nifty Bank Levels & Strategy for 05/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. Bank Nifty: Options data indicating mild weakness. FIIs are super bearish & Retail traders are super bullish. Retail traders should be trading carefully near lifetime high levels & hedge their overnight positions. Wait patiently & trade only good quality trade setup with decent R:R. Please find below BANK NIFTY scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 02/DEC/2022 BANK NIFTY IS DOWN BY -157 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 43104 43261 -156.90 -0.36% India VIX 13.45 13.36 0.09 0.67% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 43000 (Open Interest: 3056650, CE LTP: 333) Max OI (Puts) 43000 (Open Interest: 2718500, PE LTP: 191) PCR 0.71 (PCR is in bearish zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
7
BLNK Hedged Options StrategyEVs and infrastructure-related businesses such are "charging" ahead. Blink, having experienced a bit of a downturn with other EV and EV-economy companies, still garnered buy/hold/maintain ratings from analysts. With a market cap of 561M, the company offers residential and commercial EV charging equipment, hardware, and software on its cloud-based Blink Network that enables the remote management of charging stations and gives drivers station information. Blink also has partnered with different destinations such as attractions, airports, transportation hubs, schools and healthcare facilities, hotels, apartment buildings, parks, religious institutions, retailers, stadiums, supermarkets, and office locations. As of 2022, it has ~30,000 charging ports and its revenue of $9.8 million in Q1 was 339% of the same quarter last year -- note that government grants and subsidies are a main source of funding for EV charging companies, while other companies may feel more QT stress. With a one-year target price of $17-$25 and hinting at consolidation, here's a strategy to make up to 20% while allowing room to safely fall up to 78% before losing any money. Buy 2 $13 Calls Sell 2 $15 Calls Sell 7 $3 Puts All expiring 1/19/24 Capital requirement for this strategy: $2078
NASDAQ:BLNKLong
by oliveinvest
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 28/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is just a step away from new lifetime high. Shorts are build up in ATM/OTM/ ITM calls as well as puts options which is indicating sideways move. Retails traders should wait patiently for range breakout/short covering in either direction. Important Note: Big players are short on index & retails traders are highly bullish. We must hedge our positions without fail to handle any surprise move. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 25/NOV/2022 NIFTY IS UP BY 29 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 18513 18484 28.65 0.16% India VIX 13.33 13.48 -0.14 -1.08% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 7804750, CE LTP: 2.7) Max OI (Puts) 18300 (Open Interest: 7209900, PE LTP: 23.9) PCR 1.03 (PCR is in sideways to mild bullish zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 25/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty continued to hit new lifetime high. Bank Nifty started action with gap-up, mild profit booking, breakout above open price, consolidation through out the day & finally break-out. Bulls have clearly dominated the show. Volatility is quite low. US Dollar Index has corrected significantly. Brent crude is trading around $85 which is quite good for India. All factors are positive. We have seen significantly rally from lower levels. Is it really a bear market rally????? Options data Call (ATM -long & ITM-Short covering) & PE writing in indicating strength towards long side. Today option buyers who waited patiently for breakout or breakdown opportunity were rewarded. Retail traders need wait patiently for good quality setup & simply replicate profit making trades again & again. Retail traders should continue to trade with caution near new lifetime high, buy on dips with hedge & book limited profit at higher level or loss at lower level. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 24/NOV/2022 BANK NIFTY IS UP BY 346 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 43075 42729 346.30 0.81% India VIX 13.48 14.04 -0.56 -4.02% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 43000 (Open Interest: 1430350, CE LTP: 339.9) Max OI (Puts) 42500 (Open Interest: 1596950, PE LTP: 83) PCR 1.42 (PCR is in overbought zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Long Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 24/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty once again hit the new lifetime high. Profit booking strategy at highest level of all time worked really well. Big players have long positions (mainly PE writing) as well as short positions (mainly CE writing). They are ready on both the sides. Gap-up is likely to be sold & vice-versa. It looks like once again we are heading for another range bound expiry. Option bias is once again positive with new calls addition (ATM -long & ITM-Short covering) & PE writing. We should continue with profit booking at higher level as well as lower level. Option writers are really doing exceptionally well. Option buyers need to be very careful and wait patiently for breakout or breakdown opportunity. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 23/NOV/2022 BANK NIFTY IS UP BY 272 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 42729 42457 272.05 0.64% India VIX 14.04 13.84 0.20 1.44% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 24/NOV/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 43000 (Open Interest: 3501750, CE LTP: 21) Max OI (Puts) 42500 (Open Interest: 3720600, PE LTP: 46) PCR 1.22 (PCR is in buying Zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
2
How to Trade in Options?In this video we try to make you understand to get right entry to avoid Stop Losses #nifty #priceaction #priceactiontrading #optionanalysis #banknifty #bankniftyprediction #nifty50 #niftytomorrow #niftyprediction #niftyanalysis #niftyfifty #niftytoday #niftybank #banknifty #bankniftytomorrow #bankniftyprediction #bnkniftytrading #charts #technicalanalysis #crypto #sensex #nse #nseindia #bse #optionsellingstrategy #optionstrading #optionsellingstrategy #optionstrategy #optiontrading #optionsellingstrategy
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by gurubhai
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 22/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is trying to fill-up left out gap. Put side long buildup & short covering indicates the little weakness in Nifty. Call writing continued in all types of options. PCR shifted in oversold zone. India VIX started increasing but still at lower/comfortable level which indicates that Bulls are looking ready to buy any decent dip. Overall bias is slightly negative. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 21/NOV/2022 NIFTY IS DOWN BY -148 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 18160 18308 -147.70 -0.81% India VIX 14.80 14.39 0.41 2.83% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 24/NOV/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 18300 (Open Interest: 12104450, CE LTP: 37.5) Max OI (Puts) 18000 (Open Interest: 6988150, PE LTP: 20.7) PCR 0.64 (PCR is in oversold zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
4
Long Options Strategy on EWZElections in Brazil have more or less settled down, and so has the initial volatility following results. While there is still some pessimism about President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's victory and consequent spending, the economy seems fundamentally strong enough to support it. Expanding the portfolio to foreign countries, iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) includes exposure to commodities and oil/gas giants such as Petrobras and Vale. Looking at the weekly chart, EWZ may rise to follow the bull flag, but this hedged options strategy can protect from a fall of <26% (to below $21.83) as of 6/16/23 while still maintaining the potential to quickly make up to 10% (18% annualized). EWZ is attractive to long-term investors as a dividend stock, which may buoy its valuation as well. Buy 1 $29 Call Sell 1 $31 Call Sell 1 $22 Put All expiring 6/16/23 Capital requirement: $2183
AMEX:EWZLong
by oliveinvest
1