Palantir ($PLTR) IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK! 5 RY:NYSE:PLTR IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK!
Retail investors don't hate me for this. I'm a shareholder, too! DIP BUY INBOUND?!
5 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ We have Volume Profile Gap Down
3⃣ It's a TRIM according to my Valuation Metric Tool (0/6 score)
4⃣ Top 5 gainer in AMEX:SPY
5⃣ Have a SIP and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Will Palantir finally have a pullback? What price would you like to load up on more shares?
Not financial advice.
Palantirstock
Palantir Technologies | PLTRPalantir stock is set to pop in the next year as the tech firm erects an artificial intelligence "fortress" that will help it become one of the biggest players in the AI race in the coming decade, Wedbush Securities analysts wrote on Friday.
According to Wedbush's Dan Ives, Palantir is headed to $25 a share in the next 12 months. That represents a surge of 54% from Thursday's closing price of $16.15. Shares were up 5.7% at $17.07 early Friday.
The data software firm, which has been funded in part by the CIA's In-Q-Tel venture capital arm, is the "Messi" of AI, Ives said, referring to Argentine soccer superstar Lionel Messi.
"As we begin the 4th Industrial Revolution, Palantir is engaging in the widespread trend of various industries leveraging recent generative AI innovations to streamline operations and improve expense profiles," the Wedbush analysts wrote. Given Palantir's wide roster of partners in both the public and private spheres, Wedbush sees the next six to 12 months as a period of significant expansion for the company as it serves the growing demand for enterprise-scale large language AI models.
"This is early innings on a sum-of-the-parts AI story just on the cusp on monetizing this massive green field AI opportunity," it predicted.
Palantir CEO Alex Karp has been a vocal proponent of the rapid development of AI even in the face of risks associated with the technology.
In an op-ed for the New York Times this week, he wrote that AI will shape political developments in this century in the same way that nuclear weapons drove geopolitics in the last century. He cautioned that there are risks, but they should not deter the continued advancement of AI. "If these technologies are to exist alongside us over the long term, it will also be essential to rapidly construct systems that allow more seamless collaboration between human operators and their algorithmic counterparts, to ensure that the machine remains subordinate to its creator," he wrote. "We must not, however, shy away from building sharp tools for fear they may be turned against us."
Palantir is one of the most popular stocks, and for many, it's been a wild ride. Since the direct listing, investors have seen shares skyrocket to the high FWB:30S , crash to $5.84, and ride the AI boom back to the high teens. I invested in PLTR at the direct listing and purchased shares on the way up and as they declined in price. I was vocal about my dissatisfaction with how Alex Karp handled what has now become the infamous Q2 2022 conference call and became bullish again as PLTR turned things around. 2023 has been a strong year for PLTR as shares have increased by 182.47% YTD. Some investors have done well, while others got back to even or chipped away at the losses. Since May 5, shares have appreciated by 143.59%, appreciating from $7.41 to $18.05. Q2 2023 earnings are around the corner as PLTR is set to report post-market on August 7. Shares can continue higher into earnings and continue throughout 2023 if PLTR delivers growth across its revenue, earnings, customers, and contracts while maintaining its Q2 free cash flow (FCF) margins. In this article, I will discuss what I am looking for in the Q2 2023 earnings report and provide some insights as to what I think shares of PLTR could be worth in the future.
In 2021, PLTR made 45 official announcements through its website newsroom, and in 2022, PLTR had 44 announcements. PLTR has been busy in 2023; through July 18, they have made 26 official announcements. This doesn't include any of the blog posts PLTR has written discussing the work their conducting. I continuously research these aspects as they provide insight into what will be discussed on the earnings call and in the 10-Q. In Q2 2023, PLTR posted 14 press releases and another four in July. For PLTR to continue its growth trajectory, it needs more adaptation of its products in the government space as well as the private sector.
I expect PLTR to deliver strong growth numbers as there have been significant partnerships announced since April 1. On the government side, Palantir announced two deals with government entities in Ukraine, including the Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine and the Ministry of Digital Transformation of Ukraine. PLTR announced that Ukraine would utilize its technology to support the defense and reconstruction of the country and empower Ukraine investigators with critical data processing tools regarding 78,000 registered war crimes. US Special Operations Command entered a multi-year contract worth up to $463 million to expand its enterprise capabilities.
On the commercial side, PLTR expanded its cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT), entered into an agreement to build an integrated management flow system on top of Foundry for CA Modas S.A, and expanded its partnership with Jacobs Solutions (J). These partnerships are critical because it will allow PLTR to expand throughout several sectors through some of the largest counterparts. I expect the Jacobs and Microsoft partnerships to be extremely beneficial in the coming years as more companies look to create value by enabling AI and moving toward data-driven decisions.
PLTR guided for revenue to come in at $528-$532 million in Q2 and revenue of $2.185-$2.235 billion for the full year. In Q1, PLTR delivered $525.2 million in revenue which is 24.04% of the low-end estimates and 23.5% of the high-end estimates for 2023. For PLTR to meet its 2023 full-year revenue guidance, it would need to generate an average of $553.27 million in Q2–Q4 to meet the low-end projection and an average of $569.94 to meet the high-end estimates.
I expect PLTR to deliver at least $550 million in revenue for Q2 and discuss how they will increase incremental revenue throughout the year as more contracts continue to be initiated on an ongoing basis. If we see anywhere from $550-$575 million in revenue for Q2, it would be a strong indication that the high-end estimates will be met or exceeded when they report their 2023 fiscal year numbers. If PLTR records $550 million in Q2, $575 million in Q3, and $601 million in Q4, PLTR will generate $2.25 billion in annual revenue for 2023. This would be an average QoQ revenue increase of 4.6% over the next three quarters. I think it will be a strong signal coming off the AIP conference if PLTR is on track to beat the high-end estimates, as that would mean PLTR will be moving into the $600 million quarterly revenue bracket sometime in 2023 and inching their way closer to generating over $1 billion in revenue on a quarterly basis.
PLTR has now strung together two consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability and is projecting its adjusted income from operations coming in at $118-$122 million in 2023 and between $506-$556 million for their fiscal year. In Q1 2023, PLTR generated $125.11 million in adjusted income from operations, which is 24.73% of the low-end projection and 22.50% of the high-end estimate. This would mean that PLTR would need to increase its adjusted income throughout the year to meet its annualized projections.
I dislike adjusted numbers and prefer free cash flow (FCF) as it's harder to distort than other profitability measures. In Q1, PLTR generated $188.9 million in adjusted FCF, which is a 36% margin. PLTR's true FCF number was $182.6 million, as they generated $187.4 million in cash from operations and allocated $4.8 million toward CapEx. This places PLTR's FCF margin at 34.77%, which is the largest margin they have operated at since becoming a publicly traded company.
I have previously indicated that I believe PLTR can replicate similar growth to Salesforce (CRM). CRM currently has a market cap of $223.51 billion and, in the TTM, has generated $32.19 billion of revenue and $7.06 billion in FCF. Mr. Market is valuing CRM at a 6.94x multiple on sales, and 31.64x FCF. CRM has seen explosive growth over the last decade as its grown its revenue by 690.67% and its FCF by 1,125.54%. Including the TTM, CRM has operated at a 20.57% FCF margin over the previous five years.If PLTR finishes on the high-end of their revenue estimates for 2023 they would deliver $2.25 billion in revenue. PLTR's previous projections placed their 2025 revenue at $4 billion or more and I don't recall seeing updated estimates. If PLTR comes in on the high end of the 2023 projections and generates $2.25 billion, its YoY revenue growth would have decelerated from 41.11% in 2021 to 23.61% in 2022 and 18.12% in 2023. Hypothetically, if PLTR can grow its revenue at a 15% YoY basis over the next decade from 2024–2033, it would generate $2.98 billion in revenue for 2025 and $9.12 billion in 2033. At a 33% FCF margin in 2033, PLTR would generate $3 billion in FCF. At a 32x multiple on FCF, PLTR would be valued at $96.17 billion.
If PLTR can maintain an 18% YoY revenue growth rate and maintain a 33% FCF margin, PLTR will generate $11.78 billion in revenue and $3.89 billion in FCF in 2033. At a 32x FCF multiple, PLTR would be valued at $124.42 billion. If PLTR was to grow at a quicker pace of 21% YoY on average, they would generate $15.15 billion in revenue and $5 billion in FCF in 2033. Assigning a 32x multiple on their FCF would place PLTR at a $159.93 billion valuation.
Based on these assumptions, PLTR could grow between 151.49%-318.23% over the next decade, which would be an annualized return of 15.15%-31.82%. These are just assumptions regarding what could occur and why I feel PLTR could be a good long-term investment.
For those who think a 32x multiple on FCF is a crazy valuation, I am going to place a table below. Based on the current market caps, big tech has multiples from 31.29x to 221.31x. Putting the outliers aside, it's not uncommon to see companies trade in the 40x range. Even companies such as the Coca-Cola Company (KO) trade at a 29.90x multiple and PepsiCo (PEP) trade at a 45.41x multiple on FCF.
PLTR - Buy orders - Saruman aint having it 3 Buy orders
General
Palantir is in a downtrend and generated a lower swing compared to the recent swing low. However we are close to the start of all time low. Also in my opinion its due for some uptrend.
3 buy orders placed. First will be executed now.
Target
Next resistance level (level 1).
Confluence with the recent swing low.
Requirements
- None, just hitting the orders
Invalidation / SL
- None
Stop- Loss
- None
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Good luck
Upper space of PLTR stock has been opened!Upper space of PLTR stock has been opened!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Palantir stock from the end of 2020 to the present. The top to bottom golden section is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Palantir's stock has broken through the 2.000 level of the golden section in the past three weeks, and its previous low point was at the 2.618 level of the golden section in the figure! So, the next strong pressure on Palantir stocks is around the 1.618 or 21.53 position of the golden section in the graph!
Palantir: I gotta go 🏃♂️Although the Palantir stock is currently moving downwards, we're expecting the course to climb further North, before corssing the support at $6.44, to reach the turquoise target zone between $15.24 and $17.21 to finish the turquoise wave (iii). Thereupon, we predict a course correction to finish the turquoise wave (iv) before turning the trend back up in order to surpass the resistance line at $14.86. In our alternative scenario, the stock would continue its current movements further downward and drop below the $6.44-mark before heading back up.
Palantir struggling? Palantir Technology
Short Term
We look to Sell at 10.57 (stop at 11.75)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 10.65 from 14.86 to 6.44. The daily chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Our profit targets will be 6.43 and 6.01
Resistance: 10.40 / 14.40 / 20.00
Support: 7.60 / 6.43 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Palantir ( PLTR 1D) - Bearish short term scenario Hi Fellows,
This is my Idea of BEARish scenario for Palantir.
From the view of TA its almost clear. But we have to wait for Earnings report to be release this tuesday 9/11/21.
BTW: Im big Bull on Palantir for long term but want buy with best entry price ;)
On the chart you can see strange overlaping what I think could be abc corrective wave and one more impulsive wave down (made of 5 subwaves) will come.
First subwave of that impulsive wave is probably there.
I will make and post also a chart of possible BULLish scenario. ;)
Trade safe and enoy the ride.
Palantir Changing the Trend? Palantir Technology
Short Term - We look to Buy at 14.24 (stop at 13.28)
Previous resistance, now becomes support at 14.00. Short term oscillators are moving higher. Price action has broken from the previous formation. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 17.80 and 19.50
Resistance: 18.00 / 20.00 / 27.00
Support: 14.00 / 10.00 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
PLTR Palantir Technologies Price TargetIf you haven`t sold PLTR here:
Then you should know that PLTR Palantir continued lack of profits.
Net loss of $156.2 million, or 8 cents/ share VS a loss of $148.3 million, or 8 cents/ share, in the year-prior quarter.
Palantir earned 2 cents/ share, down from 3 cents/ share a year earlier.
And the Market Cap is $28 Billion.
My buy area is $8.80 - $10.50.
PLTR So much for the growth stocksArk Invest sold more than 2Mil shares of PLTR yesterday.
The options are also slightly bearish ahead of the February earning call.
Palatir Technologies expects fourth quarter revenue of $418 million with 2021 revenue growth of 40% to $1.53 billion.
The earnings are still negative, so looking at the mk cap, PLTR is trading at 16.6 times revenue.
Maybe a pullback to 9-10X revenue would be healthy.
My buy area is between 8,8 and 10.5.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PLTR Bearish Idea (Short term) 120121One year support level at 20.24 has been breached.
Zooming into to 1M reveals three consecutive high RSI to low RSI moves. Each move lower resulted in sideways price action with a small move higher then subsequent lower move. The first drop resulted in a -18.63% decline, the 2nd -13.77%, and the 3rd a -8.88% drop, each decline approx 5% less then the last. Extrapolating this I would estimate the next drop to be approx -3.8% resulting in a $18.68 price, possibly a next support level?
Moving averages: 200 moving day average has been above the 50 since November 10 with the price action currently below both lines.
RSI: Oversold at 21.08, we could see a slight move higher soon before the next drop.
DMI: Red (bearish) trend line looks like it's gaining strength from an upward looking trend strength indicator (yellow line)
Current analysis: Short term bearish, however it's looking like it's poised for a breakout due to being so oversold, watching the $18.68 level. The bearish trend on the DMI looks like there could be more downward price action for the near term.
This idea is for informational/entertainment purposes, this is not investment advice. Please use caution and do your own research before trading.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stock forecastPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is trying to pull back to a demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe located around $11.42 per share. Palantir stock price has been stalling and stagnating for a few months since last February 2021 after the stock surged to all-time highs at almost $45 per share.
It’s likely that you’ve already heard the news that Palantir (PLTR) just reported a strong Q2 2021. It is a fact that there will probably be plenty of coverage of those results, including the tremendous growth and increased cash flow outlook. Do we really need to know about Palantir stock forecast by taking into consideration the second-quarter results?
$PLTR Big News with BMW! ($75 PT End of Year)We just got news that BMW will be working with $PLTR
This contract is big in the sense that 60% of the contracts $PLTR has are with the government.
They also have done this with no commercial sales team or advertising. $PLTR has room to grow into the commercial section as data is just simply apart of our future. They have alot of room to grow outside government contracts and this could be the catalyst to do so.
THE CHART
-$21.50 currently the support within the wedge we are in. (green trend lines )
-Short interest has fallen substantially in the last 180 days from 10 percent to 4. That means people betting against PLTR are backing off. This is good for a stock coiled up as it is.
-I think this news with good earnings could see buyers coming back to $PLTR as alot of traders were shaken out due to the massive shorts during the WSB debacle
I agree with alot of analyst that data mining is apart of our future. Everything we do practically is data at this point. I am looking forward to more commercial contracts from $PLTR . This deal is impressive seeing as $PLTR has no ads or commercial sales team. So All this is a recipe for some substantial growth.
If liked my video breakdown below! be Sure to check it out. If you dig this content be sure to follow and leave a like! Thank for the support!
BUY THE DIP | READY TO POP $PLTRPalantir is primed for another run, will you tag along?
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Waiting for a strong confirmation on Monday to confirm but PLTR is looking beautiful into this close...
Tag along for some Easy Loot!
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PLTR is reacting to a key level at $22.59 as it looks to hold it as support. Today we seemed to have made our first test, would like to see a nice bounce Monday will confirm stronger support (bounce 4-5%). After we should see a nice run toward $31.5 to test as resistance before blowing past.
After we bounce & breakout:
Target: Long HODL (NEVER SELL)
2rd Target: $31.5
3nd Target: $37.98
Easy Loot Speculation $80-$120 minimum within next 5 years
DCJ
PLTR - DOUBLE TOP: LONG --> SHORTWe see a reversal pattern: "Double top". All the main conditions are met (volumes, uptrend, etc.). Now there is a breakdown of the "Neck" level. The theory tells us that after the breakdown of the "Neck" level, there is often a return movement to the "Neck" level, and then a further fall.
Plus, the drop is now at the 20 EMA (near $20), which often acts as a support level. This increases the probability of returning to the "Neck" level.
In this regard, it is advisable to open the Long to the level of the "Neck" (+8%), then turn over to the Short (+10%).