#EURUSD: Last Bullish Price Extension! Get Ready! EURUSD is approaching our buying zone, a key level, which suggests a smooth bullish reversal. As this is a swing trade, we advise keeping stop losses larger. There are two targets to keep an eye on. Remember, this is not a guaranteed move, and this is just our overview. Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
Pivot Points
USDJPY Price Accumulated|Time For Bullish Distribution|Setupsfx|The price has accumulated nicely and is now distributing. We have three targets in mind, but set your own based on your analysis. Our approach is purely technical, but also includes a basic fundamental approach. This analysis concludes over 1500 pips and is a swing move. Please use this analysis as educational purposes only, as it does not guarantee that price will move exactly as predicted.
If you like our idea, please consider liking and commenting on it.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
SPX500 Range-Bound Between 6223–6246 |Breakout Will Define TrendSPX500 – Technical & Fundamental Outlook
The SPX500 is currently trading within a narrow consolidation zone between 6223 and 6246.
A 1H or 4H candle close below 6223 would confirm a bearish breakout, with downside targets at 6191 and 6143.
Conversely, a 1H close above 6246 would signal bullish continuation, potentially driving the price toward the next resistance at 6287, followed by 6305.
Support: 6223 / 6191 / 6143
Resistance: 6287 / 6305
Fundamental Note:
The tariff situation remains a major driver.
Successful negotiations would likely boost bullish sentiment across indices.
Lack of progress may trigger renewed bearish momentum.
BTC — Weekend Pump Fades.. All Eyes on the Gartley Reversal ZoneBitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range between $110K and $105K over the past two weeks. This weekend’s attempted breakout stalled out quickly! BTC was rejected at the Point of Control (POC) of the previous range and came close to the 0.786 retracement of the recent drop.
🧠 Reminder: Weekend pumps are notorious for being unreliable, especially without strong volume.
Now, the charts point toward something much more structured — a potential Gartley harmonic pattern forming, with multiple levels of confluence suggesting the next key decision zone is just around the corner.
🧩 Gartley Completion Zone: $106,290–$106,400
This price zone is loaded with confluence:
✅ 0.786 Fib retracement of the XA leg sits at $106,290
✅ 1.0 trend-based Fib extension of the BC leg is at $106,370
✅ Anchored VWAP from all-time high aligns precisely at $106,370
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) sits at the same level
✅ Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) from earlier price inefficiency lies in this exact region
All of this stacks up into a high-probability reaction zone.
🎓 Educational Insight: How to Trade a Gartley Harmonic
The Gartley pattern is one of the most powerful harmonic setups — a structured form of retracement and extension that captures exhaustion before reversals. Here's how it works:
🔹 XA: Impulse leg
🔹 AB: Retracement of 61.8% of XA
🔹 BC: Retraces 38.2%–88.6% of AB
🔹 CD: Extends to 78.6% retracement of XA and aligns with a 1.0–1.272 Fib extension of BC
🟢 Point D is the entry zone — your reversal opportunity.
📉 Stop-loss sits just below invalidation (Point X).
💰 Targets usually lie at 0.382 and 0.618 of the CD leg.
🔎 Why It Works: It traps late traders and captures price exhaustion at natural Fibonacci ratios. Combined with other tools — like VWAP, liquidity zones, and order flow — it becomes a high-conviction strategy. These patterns are most effective on higher timeframes like 4H or daily.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
BTC 1 hr technical analiysis Asset: BTCUSDT.P (Bitcoin Perpetual Futures)
Timeframe Provided: 1-Hour (1H)
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
1. Higher Timeframe Bias (Assumed for 1H Context):
Based on the observed price action, specifically the strong impulsive bullish move around July 2nd-3rd, followed by a corrective pullback, it is reasonable to assume a bullish bias from the higher timeframes (Daily/4H). This assumption is crucial, as the 1H timeframe should ideally align with the dominant higher timeframe trend for high-probability setups. The strong push above previous resistance and the subsequent retracement suggest the potential for a continuation of an uptrend.
2. 1-Hour Structure Analysis:
Initial Structure: The price was generally ranging or in a slight downtrend until around July 2nd. We observe multiple internal bearish Break of Structures (1H BOS in red).
Change of Character (CHoCH): A significant bullish 1H CHoCH is observed around July 2nd, indicating a shift from a bearish to a bullish internal structure. This shift was followed by strong bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS): After the CHoCH, the market showed clear bullish 1H BOS, confirming the new bullish impulse.
Current Structure: The market has recently pulled back significantly after the strong bullish impulse. This pullback has tested a key demand zone. We are looking for a continuation of the bullish trend from this pullback.
3. Liquidity and Inducement:
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Prior to the bullish CHoCH, there were clear areas of sell-side liquidity that were swept, fueling the subsequent upward move.
Inducement: The current pullback, while corrective, may be acting as an inducement, drawing in early buyers or trapping sellers, before potentially continuing the upward movement. Price has swept some internal liquidity during this retracement.
4. Valid Demand/Supply Zones (1H):
Primary Demand Zone: The most prominent demand zone of interest is located roughly between $107,000 and $107,300. This zone represents an unmitigated order block (or a clear area of strong institutional buying) that initiated the significant bullish impulse. It also aligns with previous resistance that was broken and is now potentially acting as support (a "flip zone"). This is our primary point of interest for a long entry.
Mitigation: Price has begun to tap into this demand zone, indicating a potential mitigation phase.
5. Trade Setup Proposal (High Probability Long Setup):
Considering the assumed higher timeframe bullish bias and the current 1H structure, a long setup from the identified demand zone presents a high-probability opportunity.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Strategy: We are looking for confirmation within the demand zone. Given the 1H chart, a refined entry could be sought on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 5M) for further confirmation (e.g., an internal CHoCH, aggressive entry within the order block). However, based on the provided 1H chart:
Proposed Entry Price: Around $107,150 - $107,250. This is within the heart of the unmitigated demand zone. The visual suggests an entry around $107,200.
Stop Loss (SL): Slightly below the low of the demand zone/order block, and crucially, below any structural low that would invalidate the bullish short-term structure.
Proposed SL Price: Around $106,750 - $106,900. The visual places the SL at approximately $106,900. This allows for some wick hunting but protects capital if the demand fails.
Target (TP): We will target the high of the recent bullish impulse, and potentially higher if the higher timeframe bias confirms a sustained uptrend.
Proposed TP Price: Initial target at the recent high around $110,900 - $111,000. The visual suggests $110,950.
Rationale for TP: This target represents the next logical liquidity pool (buy-side liquidity) and a significant structural high that, if broken, would confirm further bullish continuation.
Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: ~$107,200
SL: ~$106,900 (Risk: $300)
TP: ~$110,950 (Reward: $3750)
Calculated RRR: Approximately 1:12.5. This is an exceptional RRR and highlights the potential of this setup.
6. Important Considerations & Trade Management:
Confirmation: While the 1H demand zone is strong, for institutional-level entries, further confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., a CHoCH or clear bullish momentum shift on the 5M/15M chart once price enters the demand zone) would be ideal.
Market News/Events: Always be aware of upcoming high-impact economic news (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes, NFP) that could induce high volatility and invalidate technical setups. For crypto, major exchange news, regulatory announcements, or large whale movements can also impact price. As of Saturday, July 5th, 2025, there are no immediate high-impact economic data releases on the calendar for this weekend, but traders should always check the economic calendar for the upcoming week.
Partial Take Profits: Consider taking partial profits at intermediate highs or psychological levels to secure gains and reduce risk.
Trailing Stop Loss: Once the trade moves significantly in profit, consider trailing your stop loss to break-even or beyond to protect capital.
This detailed analysis, even with the limitation of a single timeframe, provides a clear, high-probability long setup based on advanced SMC principles. Monitor price action closely at the entry point and manage risk diligently.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation or financial advice. All trading decisions must be made based on individual analysis, proper risk management, and careful consideration of market conditions by the trader themselves. As an AI model, I bear no financial responsibility for the outcomes of your trades.
SHIB – One Last Chance for a MoveGiving CRYPTOCAP:SHIB one last shot to do something big.
It’s sitting at a strong pivotal level with some clean weekly SFPs forming.
A 2x looks doable, especially considering how well it’s been holding—though it may take time.
CRYPTOCAP:PEPE and CRYPTOCAP:DOGE are showing strength too, so SHIB isn’t alone here.
The key? CRYPTOCAP:BTC needs to cool off and give alts some breathing room over the next two months. Otherwise, BINANCE:SHIBUSDT could drop another 50%.
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟
Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing.
Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis:
Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes.
Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry.
Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk.
Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉
Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈
Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward:
1. Trade-War Uncertainty
What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar.
Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid.
2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits
What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold.
3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning
What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions.
Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend.
🎯 Outlook Summary
Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints.
Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame
🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily)
Zone: $3,348 – $3,400
Why It Matters:
Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400.
📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups
Short at Resistance
Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,420
Breakdown Short
Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250
Targets:
TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,290
🔵 Potential Long Opportunities
Defensive Long (Aggressive)
Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290
Targets:
TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance)
TP2: $3,400 (key resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,230
Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative)
Trigger: Daily close above $3,400
Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,450
TP2: $3,500+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,360
📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price remains capped under $3,400.
Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts.
A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026).
Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability):
Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally.
Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades.
Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside.
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections.
Technical Trends:
On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term.
The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend.
Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds!
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3330-3320
TP:3300-3280
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
Gold Setup for longs and shorts This video covers gold on the local range whereby I expect price to eventually complete the move to the downside and clear the equal lows from MAy and June as well as take care of the poor lows and fill Quart Pivots .
I talk also about the Tradingview session volume profile chart and how this feature can really be a simple yet powerful guide for taking scalp trades off of specific levels and I show a couple of examples of the respect PA has for hitting those daily POC .
I Welcome any questions you may have
#GBPUSD: A strong bullish move incoming, comment your views The price has shown a possible price divergence, which could lead to a long-term move to 1.37. We expect the US dollar to weaken, which will likely push the price of GBPUSD to our target. Key economic data will be released later today and tomorrow, which could shape the price pattern.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
TONUSDT Following the official denial by UAE authorities regarding the possibility of obtaining a golden visa through staking OKX:TONUSDT , the bullish momentum driven by that rumor has faded. Selling pressure has increased, and TON is now consolidating within the key support zone of 2.720 to 2.760 USDT. If this support breaks, further downside is likely. However, if the price holds and reclaims the 2.860 USDT resistance, it could trigger a recovery toward 2.920 and 2.965 USDT. For now, the market sentiment remains bearish with a corrective bias.
Key Points:
UAE officially denied TON-based golden visa claims, weakening sentiment.
Current support zone: 2.720–2.760 USDT.
Key resistance: 2.860 USDT, then 2.920 USDT.
Break below 2.720 = further decline.
Break above 2.860 = potential bullish reversal.
⚠️ Please Control Risk Management in trades.
USDT DOMINANCE New Update (4H)By analyzing the chart, it becomes clear that the USDT dominance structure is bearish.
After the structural shift to a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming, it is expected that the price will drop to the main support zone in order to collect major orders from lower levels.
The price could drop from the current level or from the upper supply zone, which would signal a bullish move in the overall market.
The target is the green box.
A daily candle closing above the supply zone would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBPUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 1.3588 - 1.3633 area
Support 2: 1.3305 - 1.3400 area
Support 3: 1.3097 - 1.3175 area
Resistance 1: 1.3748 - 1.3835 area
Resistance 2: 1.3900 - 1.3400 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX500 Holding Bullish Structure – Eyes on 6287 BreakoutSPX500
The price maintains bullish momentum as long as it remains above 6225 and 6246.
Currently, the market is approaching the 6287 resistance level. A confirmed 4H candle close above 6287 is required to validate continuation of the bullish trend toward 6325.
However, a rejection from 6287 may trigger a short-term bearish correction, with potential pullbacks toward 6246 and 6225.
A sustained break below 6225 would shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the 6143 support level.
Pivot Level: 6264
Resistance: 6287 – 6325
Support: 6246 – 6225 – 6143
AUDUSD STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREThe AUD/USD pair has recently begun forming a bearish trend structure, signaling a potential continuation of downward momentum in the coming trading sessions. This shift in market sentiment is evident as the price has started printing lower lows, a key characteristic of a bearish trend. Lower lows indicate that sellers are gaining control, pushing the exchange rate downward with each successive decline. Traders and investors should remain cautious, as this pattern suggests further downside potential unless a significant reversal occurs.
On the lower side, the market is expected to test key support levels at 0.64500 and 0.63800. These levels may act as critical zones where buyers could attempt to step in, but if selling pressure persists, a breakdown could lead to an extended decline. A breach below these supports may open the door for deeper losses, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Conversely, if the pair finds stability near these levels, a short-term bounce or consolidation could occur before the next directional move.
On the upside, 0.65900 stands as a crucial resistance level. Any bullish retracement towards this zone could attract fresh selling interest, capping upward movements. A sustained break above this resistance would be necessary to invalidate the current bearish structure, potentially shifting the trend towards neutrality or even bullish reversal. Until then, rallies towards this resistance may present selling opportunities for traders aligning with the prevailing downtrend.
In summary, the AUD/USD pair is exhibiting bearish tendencies, with lower lows confirming seller dominance. The immediate targets lie at 0.64500 and 0.63800, while 0.65900 serves as a key resistance to watch. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for potential bearish continuation or signs of a trend reversal. Risk management remains essential, as unexpected macroeconomic developments or shifts in market sentiment could alter the current trajectory.
BTC/USDT Multi - time frame analysis and {4HR }BTC/USDT Multi-Timeframe SMC Analysis – July 8, 2025
1. Top-Down Analysis:
Daily Timeframe (Macro Market Structure & Narrative - Inferred from chart context):
The broader market structure indicates a prolonged consolidation phase, initiated around mid-June, characterized by defined support and resistance levels. The identified supply zone, ranging approximately from $108,000 to $109,500 and labeled as "Potential Supply Zone" on the chart, is a key daily-level area.
Crucially, despite entering this daily supply, the strong underlying bullish order flow suggests a high probability that this supply zone may not act as an effective distribution point. The overarching narrative from higher timeframes indicates robust institutional buying pressure, implying a potential shift in the broader trend to unequivocally bullish upon a clear breach of this daily supply.
4H Timeframe (Swing Structure, Internal BOS/CHoCH):
The 4H swing structure explicitly displays a very clear bullish order flow. We observe a series of consecutively confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside (indicated by "4HR CHOCH" and "4HR BOS" annotations). This unequivocally establishes a decidedly bullish 4H swing bias.
The most recent 4H BOS occurred around the $107,000 level, after which price has continued its upward trajectory.
Price is currently engaging with a 4H supply zone (marked by the white box). However, given the dominant bullish order flow on the 4H, there is a high probability that this supply zone will be invalidated, allowing price to extend its bullish movement. This phenomenon often signifies an "Imbalance Fill" or "Liquidity Grab" by smart money to fuel further upside.
1H Timeframe (Entry-Level Structure & POIs):
The 1H timeframe currently reflects a phase of consolidation or minor correction following the recent bullish impulse.
In alignment with the decisive bullish 4H bias, any retracement observed on the 1H timeframe is to be considered a buying opportunity.
The "PIVOT" marked around $105,000 serves as a potential 1H demand area, which could be a target for a deeper retracement before the continuation of the bullish move. However, considering the current market strength, price might not even reach this level and could resume its ascent from current or slightly higher levels.
The current "PIVOT" at approximately $108,500 represents a temporary internal resistance. A decisive break and sustained close above this pivot would provide stronger confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend.
2. Identification:
Clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH):
4H: Multiple clear bullish BOS and CHoCH events, indicative of strong bullish order flow.
1H: Internal structure currently shows consolidation prior to a likely bullish BOS to new highs.
Valid Supply & Demand Zones (Unmitigated only):
Unmitigated 4H/1H Supply Zone: Approximately $108,000 - $109,500 (marked by the white box). However, as noted, it is anticipated to be invalidated due to the overall bullish order flow.
Unmitigated 4H/1H Demand Zones: Lower down, around the $105,000 PIVOT and the green-shaded regions on the chart (potential demand areas that would activate upon a deeper retracement).
Internal and external liquidity pools (buy/sell-side):
External Buy-side Liquidity: Above the all-time highs or previous "High" (observed at $111,900 on the prior chart).
Internal Buy-side Liquidity: Above current range highs (approx. $109,500) and above recent pivots.
Internal Sell-side Liquidity: Below recent 1H pivots, particularly below $107,000 and $105,000 (which could act as inducement).
Inducement patterns and liquidity grabs (internal sweeps):
Any minor retracement or downside fluctuation from the current supply zone could act as inducement to draw in sellers, before price resumes its bullish trajectory.
Previous sweeps to the downside have served as confirmation of liquidity accumulation for prior bullish moves.
Order blocks, FVGs, mitigation blocks, and imbalance zones:
Given the impulsive nature of the bullish moves, bullish FVGs and OBs should be considered in retracements (e.g., around the $105,000 demand area).
The current supply zone (white box) also contains OB/FVG, but as mentioned, its invalidation probability is high.
Active market range and internal liquidity engineering:
The active 4H market range encompasses the recent bullish move from $102,000 to current highs.
Internal liquidity engineering currently involves drawing sellers into the supply zone and subsequently invalidating it for continued bullish advancement.
3. Delivery:
Directional Bias with Contextual Narrative:
Strongly Bullish. The 4H order flow is unequivocally bullish, with repeated confirmations of bullish BOS and CHoCH. While price is entering a supply zone, the overall bullish strength suggests it is highly probable this zone will be invalidated, leading to further upside to target new highs. The market narrative points towards a continuation of the uptrend, targeting external buy-side liquidity.
Actionable Setup (Long):
Asset: BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures
Entry Level (POI, OB or FVG):
Scenario 1 (Aggressive Entry - given market strength): Enter long within the $107,500 - $108,000 range (upon confirmation of bullish price action on the 1H or 15-minute timeframe within the supply zone, indicating its invalidation). This entry presumes the supply zone will be breached.
Scenario 2 (Conservative Entry - upon retracement): Enter long within the $105,000 - $105,200 range (the pivot area and potential demand zone). This point would activate upon a deeper retracement into a discount area.
Given the chart and current strength, Scenario 1 appears more probable, but price action confirmation is critical.
Stop-Loss (Invalidation Structure):
For Scenario 1: Place stop-loss below the last valid 1H structural low that confirms the bullish impulse, or below $106,500.
For Scenario 2: Place stop-loss below the demand zone and below the $104,500 pivot, e.g., $104,000.
Target Level (Minimum 3R+):
Target 1 (1R): $109,500 (Break of current supply range high and liquidity grab).
Target 2 (2R): $111,000 (Retest of previous "High").
Target 3 (3R+ / Primary Target): $112,500 - $113,500 (Formation of new highs and targeting fresh buy-side liquidity).
R-multiple Calculation Example: If for Scenario 1, entry is $107,700 and stop is $106,500 (1200 points risk), a 3R target would be $107,700 + (3 * $1200) = $111,300, which aligns with our targets.
Confluences:
Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Decisive bullish 4H order flow provides strong support for a bullish bias, treating any retracement as an opportunity.
Liquidity: New highs and external buy-side liquidity serve as clear targets.
Supply Zone Weakness: Despite price entering a supply zone, the underlying bullish strength suggests its probable invalidation.
Pivot Price Action: Repeated bullish pivots and structural breaks confirm the trend.
This analysis presents a high-conviction long setup for BTC/USDT. However, close attention to price action confirmations on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H or 15-minute) within the current supply zone will be crucial for aggressive entry. Should price retrace, anticipate a bounce from lower demand zones.
Disclaimer: This is a market analysis based on current price action and structure. It does not constitute a buy or sell signal. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before taking any trades
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
O'Reilly Automotive Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Oreilly Automotive Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ SIgnal)) At 65.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Zone Feature)) At 99.00 USD | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 85.00 USD
* Entry At 91.00 USD
* Take Profit At 100.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
NOV Inc. Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# NOV Inc. Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Downtrend Argument)) + Diagonal Shift At 20.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (EMA Settings)) - *100 EMA
- Lower Band Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 14.00 USD
* Entry At 13.00 USD
* Take Profit At 11.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC📊 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC
🕒 Binance Spot
📆 July 7, 2025 | 11:30 GMT Candle Observations
───────────────
💡 Price: 108712.97 USDT
📉 EMA200 (Dynamic): 108938.31
🟩 Support Watch: 107512.97
🟦 Resistance Target: 109782.97
───────────────
🔍 We're observing price action developing below EMA200, with a recent Piercing Line formation at a noted dip zone. This setup may suggest buyers are attempting to reclaim short-term control.
⚠️ Key tactical support remains near 107512.97, where historical reaction zones and liquidity zones intersect.
📈 A move toward 109782.97 is being monitored as a potential resistance test, in line with local OBV divergence and recovering bid pressure.
📌 Market Microstructure Notes:
• Order Book Imbalance leaning toward bids (+0.45)
• OBV Trend: +10.17% vs 5-period MA
• Thunder Engine Volume Acceleration: ⚡ Observed
• Whale Ask Cluster: ~640k USDT near top of range
📉 No guarantees of breakout or reversal watching how price reacts around key levels. Maintain cautious positioning near support/resistance pivots.
GBPCAD FORMING BEARISH FLAG PATTERNGBPCAD Bearish Trend Analysis (1-Hour Time Frame)
The GBPCAD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with the market forming lower lows, confirming a sustained downward momentum. This price action indicates that sellers are in control, and the bearish sentiment is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions.
Bearish Flag Pattern Signals Further Decline
The price is forming a bearish flag pattern, a continuation pattern that often leads to further downside movement. This pattern suggests that after a brief consolidation, the pair may resume its downward trajectory. Traders should watch for a breakdown below the flag’s support, which could accelerate the decline.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Downside Targets: If the bearish momentum continues, the pair could test 1.84500, followed by 1.83200. These levels may act as potential take-profit zones for short positions.
- Upside Resistance: On the higher side, 1.87700 remains a critical resistance level. A break above this level could temporarily halt the bearish trend, but as long as the price stays below it, the downtrend remains intact.
Trading Strategy
- Short positions could be considered near resistance levels, with stop-loss orders placed above 1.87700 to manage risk.
- A confirmed breakdown below the bearish flag may present additional selling opportunities.
- Traders should monitor price action around support levels (1.84500 & 1.83200) for potential pullbacks or continuation signals.
Conclusion
With the lower lows formation and the bearish flag pattern, GBPCAD is expected to remain under selling pressure. Traders should watch for breakdowns below key support levels while keeping an eye on resistance at 1.87700 for any trend reversal signals.
TSLA – Calm Before the Storm or Just Another Dip Buy?Tesla (TSLA) is trading around $315, bouncing off recent lows, but this isn’t just a clean technical setup. With Elon Musk’s political drama escalating (hello, “America Party”) and ongoing tension with Trump, TSLA is becoming a battleground stock with serious volatility.
As swing traders, that’s exactly where we thrive.
📍 Entry Plan
✅ Entry #1 – $315
✅ Entry #2 – $300
• Previous breakout zone — ideal for dip buyers
✅ Entry #3 – $265
• Strong macro support; only activated if market correction deepens.
🎯 Profit Targets
• TP1: $335
• TP2: $355
• TP3: 400+ – if sentiment + volume align with narrative momentum (think: Robotaxi or AI catalyst)
If $265 gets hit, I’m not panicking, I’m preparing for high-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m just sharing my plan and technical zones. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
📌 Follow for more ideas based on price, narrative, and timing. Trade smart — not loud. 🧭📈