PLTR
PLTR: Will have to retest new supportWe have certainly over extended (I'm proud to say as a PLTR investor who has remained in the stock since IPO).
Let us be reasonable in the short term, and look forward to a potential correction/buying opportunity.
If you're long but have been hesitant about acquiring some shares, we all may have the opportunity to load up.
Now that $45 has been breached, there hasn't yet been a clear retest of that price range which is now support.
I feel as though the overall market will continue to look for reasons to sell in the short term -- which should be healthy going forward.
This wouldn't only apply to $NASDAQ:PLTR. The entire market will be on sale.
Don't be scurred!
I love you, and good luck.
PLTR: Big Move Coming—Key Levels to WatchMorning Trading Family
PLTR is approaching a major decision point.
If the price breaks above $69.57, we could see a strong move up to $92 and beyond.
If the price falls below $66, the downside targets are $57–$59. If these levels don’t hold, watch for $49, $45, $39, and $36.
This is a critical moment—stay prepared for either direction!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
1.19.2025 Trade Idea: Long Side.- NASDAQ:PLTR : Setting up for a potential upward scalp if the price holds at $67.88. There’s a possible retest of the downside at $66.91, highlighted by a Doji on the daily close.
- Long-Side Target: $76, contingent on finding support at $69.63.
- Option to Watch: January 24, 2025, $70 C.
PALANTIR: 1st test of the 1D MA50 since August. Is it a BUY?Palantir has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.953, MACD = 2.150, ADX = 40.007) as it almost touched the 1D MA50 today for the first time in 5 months. The last time it was under it was on the August 5th low (which was supported by the 1D MA200) and is practically the trendline that helped the stock go parabolic inside the curved channel you see on the chart. Even if the 1D MA50 marginally breaks, the trend will stay bullish as long as the RSI S1 Zone supports. Until it breaks, we will stay bullish on PLTR, expecting the parabolic channel to make at least one more bullish wave, aiming for a standard +60% rise (TP = 100.00).
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Market Close Update: PLTR Continuation Outlook to New 52-Wk HighPLTR bounced on the Jan 3th, 2025, after finishing 2024 as the top stock in the S&P 500, rising 340% as it leaned heavily into artificial intelligence. It has since retraced and retested support, showing potential to continue pushing higher. We're looking for a current entry of around the $75 Price Levels to be positioned before tomorrow's Pre-Market Session, with a $74.60 Stop Loss and $79.98 Price Target going into the end of January. Even with it's recent bounce back, it's only $4.14 off it'sl 52-Week High meaning we could potentially see some heavy pushes higher above those $84 to at best, set new 52-Week Highs.
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Palantir (PLTR): Is $79 the Key to Big Moves?Morning Trading Family
Palantir is at a crossroads, and $79 is the level to watch. Whether it holds or breaks will tell us a lot about what’s coming next. Let’s keep it simple and dive in.
If PLTR Breaks Above $79
The bulls might take charge, and here’s where we could be headed:
$82: The first stop. We’ll see if the bulls have enough strength to push through this.
$93: If $82 gets taken out, this could be the next big move.
If PLTR Stays Below $79
it could get a little rough. Here’s what to watch:
$64–$66: This is the median line and a possible landing zone if the selling continues.
What’s the Game Plan?
Keep it simple:
-Watch $79—it’s the key.
-Be ready for both the bullish and bearish moves.
-Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
If you like this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Palantir or struggling with another chart? Send me a DM—I’d love to chat!
Feeling stressed, burnt out, or finding it hard to stay consistent as a trader? You’re not alone. Reach out—I’m here to help you trade smarter and stay balanced. Let’s crush it together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Buy or Sell PLTR?Overview
Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) is a software company involved in data analytics and operations management. Its primary revenue is generated by subscriptions and government contracts. PLTR has been making headlines as a growth stock so the question remains, is it too late to get in on the action? The truth is that nobody knows so this is where the savvy investors will shine.
Fundamental Analysis
The stock is overvalued with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 494. A massive P/E ratio tells you one of two things: (1) the stock is overweight and due for a correction or (2) there are high expectations for strong growth. The P/E ratio isn't the end all be all, but it's worth knowing to get a pulse on market sentiments.
YTD (EPS) Earnings-Per-Share: $390,982,000 / 2,459,589,000 = $0.16
(Q3 Nine Months Ended Net Income) / (Q3 Total Diluted Shares) = YTD EPS
P/E Ratio: 79.08 / 0.16 = 494.25
(Current Market Price) / (EPS) = P/E Ratio
This could be an exciting time to invest in PLTR, but precautions should be taken in the event that the Q4 Annual Report falls short of expectations and sends the share price barreling downwards. Expectations vary per analyst but here is what I would like to see on the next Earnings Release on Feb 12, 2025:
2024 Annual Revenue (approx): $2.9B (+30.34%)
2024 Annual Basic EPS (approx): $0.20 (+100.00%)
Q4 Revenue (approx): $849M (+17.02%)
Q4 Basic EPS (approx): $0.09 (+28.57%)
Since 2020, Palantir has experienced an average annual growth rate of 89.05% and became a profitable company in Q1 of 2023 (earnings released May 9, 2023). The share price has grown tenfold since then. If Palantir can maintain profitability and reliable growth, then the rally is probably far from being over.
Technical Analysis
There are no reliable technical patterns that can provide trading confidence at this moment. In times like this, I feel that less is more. I am only utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels and drawing basic support lines to dictate the depth of potential corrections. The use of oscillators such as MACD and RSI seem like they may prove to be more misleading than helpful.
Scenario 1:
If the share price continues to rally, then my short-term price target would be between $111 & $123 before I would expect to see any resistance. In the event mixed sentiments continue then Support 1 (white line) may not see the bulls taking control again until the price drops around $76.50. The 78.6% Fib level rests at $75.31 so any further drops from this price level would leave me hopeful of a strong support around $63.
Scenario 2:
If Support 1 fails entirely then Support 2 (yellow line) would likely contain the next significant support level. The share price could drop to as low as the mid 50s where there is a 50% Fib level.
Potential Trading Strategies
Getting a pulse on the market and financial health of a public company goes a long way to provide confidence, however, it's not airtight. A poor earnings release or unexpected bad news could deteriorate an investment in a short amount of time. Rather than staying out when in doubt, I've always enjoyed safely expanding my experience and awareness of available tools.
Stop-Loss Limit Orders
If I don't feel like supplementing my investment with derivatives then I place a stop-loss limit order to execute at whichever price level shakes my confidence. If the share price hits my stop-loss level then the next condition that needs to be met is my limit price. If the stop-loss was activated and the share price remains above my limit price, then it will automatically try to sell all of my specified shares at my limit price or higher.
Protective Puts:
Options contracts can be very intimidating for investors that aren't familiar with them. However, knowledge is power and options contracts can be very beneficial when used correctly. Whenever I buy shares in a company that I think is going to grow, but contradicts my impression of market direction, then I buy Protective Puts to shield my investment and give me peace of mind. This can either complement stop-loss orders or provide me the confidence to withstand turbulent price fluctuations without the risk of exiting my positions prematurely in the event that a stop-loss would become activated.
Cash-Secured Puts:
I'm new to writing contracts but I can see the allure. If I'm not confident that a share price is about to rally, or if I think that it may dip significantly, then I would consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy. My initial shares purchase would be a fraction of my available funds with the intentions of exposing my portfolio should the stock rally sooner than expected. In the meantime, I would write/sell Put contracts at strike price levels that I am both capable and comfortable of purchasing 100 shares per contract at. This strategy minimizes my exposure to gains and losses, while allowing me to collect premiums.
If those Cash-Secured Puts were exercised, then I would purchase 100 shares per contract at the contracts' strike price(s). This would effectively lower my cost-basis. If those contracts expire worthless then I get to keep the premium and my cash is freed up. If the stock begins to rally and I want to bail on my contract obligations so that I can get in on it, then I can buy-to-close the Puts at their lowered price and keep the difference as profits.
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market?
By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia vs. Custom Chips
In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively.
With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips.
How big is the custom chip market?
Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027.
Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI).
What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors:
The strength of CUDA.
The yearly product improvement cycle.
I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers.
Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.
Next Small AI Stock Poised for a Breakout: $AIFU Next Small AI Stock Poised for a Breakout: NASDAQ:AIFU
AI stocks are the talk of the market, with explosive growth seen across the sector. Take NASDAQ:PDYN , for instance—it doubled in just two days! After digging into patterns behind such surges, I’ve spotted a small AI stock, NASDAQ:AIFU , that’s showing similar breakout potential.
### Why NASDAQ:AIFU Looks Promising:
1. Technical Pattern:
NASDAQ:AIFU ’s chart mirrors NASDAQ:PDYN ’s pre-surge behavior, forming a triangular consolidation pattern. With the stock near the apex and increasing volume, a breakout appears imminent.
2. Volume Spike:
Recent volume expansion is strikingly similar to NASDAQ:PDYN ’s activity before its massive price jumps, signaling heightened investor interest.
3. Fundamental Catalyst:
NASDAQ:AIFU recently completed a significant merger with BGM, which valued its assets far higher than expected. This deal is set to generate a notable accounting profit, likely to be reflected in its next earnings report—a potential game-changer.
### The Bottom Line:
Combining strong technical signals with a powerful fundamental catalyst, NASDAQ:AIFU could be the next big AI stock to surge. If you’re hunting for a hidden gem in the AI sector, keep an eye on this one!
PLTR volatility ahead! more volatility ahead as market digests decreased Fed funds rate cuts in 2025.
buy target at 90$ AFTER we fill the gap on 15min chart near 71.2-71.5 level imo..
looking to trade this setup via 80$ strike call option contracts for 1/10/25 & 1/17/25 expiration dates
after 90$ is reached, still anticipating additional volatility back down to 65-68$ range one final time before Inauguration Day. After that, I think this turns strongly bullish once again and runs above 100$
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups.
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it
NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range
NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week.
Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry.
Bearish:
NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap.
NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above.
NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
Price target $35 remaining underweight for FY 2025- Ugly draw downs for NASDAQ:PLTR next year.
- Fundamentals don't support the rosy valuation. Stock is priced more than perfection.
- Investors expectations are way to high and will met with disappointment in upcoming quarters in FY 2025
- FY 2025 will likely trap bulls and lead to severe corrections at much lower levels than Twitter bulls claiming PLTR to the moon 100+
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Palantir: Target Zone Ahead!We now primarily assume that Palantir’s turquoise wave 3 has concluded at $82.72. For the ongoing turquoise wave 4, we have outlined a matching Target Zone (coordinates: $59.15 – $51.84), where the price should complete its interim correction and realize an upward trend reversal. However, as part of our alternative scenario, there is a 33% chance that the price will surpass the $82.72 mark directly to develop a higher high of the turquoise wave alt. 3.
Doesn't make any sense a drop, right?It makes no sense that this company is dropping today, but there is a reason for it: it was forming this massive symmetrical triangle that aims to take us to a new high. In fact, it left two vectors with a formation waiting to be completed, perhaps today or during this important week of the FED meeting.
PLTR to $80 by EOYPLTR had a great day today, and has had a great month so far following an earnings report that beat estimates. Using the Magic Linear Regression Channel we can see that PLTR broke out of a 2-year long channel at the beginning of the month (November 2024) following it's earnings report.
This means that its price structure has a brand new change of character. Using a second Magic Linear Regression Channel , we can create a new channel based on the pivot high prior to earnings and the pivot high prior to today. However, PLTR is also breaking out of that channel. By adding an additional outer Fibonacci band to the new channel, we can see that PLTR has a potential area of interest at around $80 - a 10% move.
If the new channel is valid, then this can be the first area where we might see a correction in a bullish scenario. Since PLTR is already at the top of the new channel, it could potentially bounce back from there, but it's already moving up in post-market trading, so, I'm guessing that bearish scenario is less likely.
Barring some crazy world events, I'm guessing we can see a steady move to $80 before seeing any kind of major correction.
Is $POET the next AI RUNNER?! 86% UPSIDENASDAQ:POET
A great looking H5 Setup that just needs a breakout!
Warning: High Risk/ High Reward Small Cap
-H5 indicator is GREEN
-Pennant breakout that needs a retest. Measured move is $6.13 which puts us to a breakout of the Cup&Handle!
-Williams Consolidation Box needs to create support and bounce in order to be live! A big pullback to retest the Pennant breakout then bounce would be a perfect area for an entry into this trade.
-Large Volume Shelf with nothing but SPACE above.
📏$6.13 🎯$7.75 📏$11
Not Financial Advice - NFA
BUY OPPORTUNITY COMINGPLTR has been slow to get off the ground, but treading below 30 has proven to be strong long term accumulation. That said, while the structure is a little unclear due to it’s recent parabolic nature, there is evidence in possible counts that a pullback is near, and will possibly create a buying opportunity. With the lack of weekly divergence, I would lean toward a wave three top being near, with a target in the 70 zone. The wave 4 pullback will like target the 50 zone, but could be as low as the 40 zone. If correct, I see value in buying the dip for long term growth.