Cross Roads for the CableOn the Weekly, we see that the market is in a Bullish swing. After prices rallied to form the high, it has begun the bearish retracement, dipping towards the reversal zones which are refined from the existing PB of the Weekly.
This narrative above is also the same for the Daily chart. On the Daily, not only dow e see a chart that is bullish and now retracing bearish into the refined zone, but we can notice that at this time, price is well inside the zone, and even threatening to break bearish and breach the zone.
Now my analysis:
I expect the Daily reversal zone to hold. Where that happens, we expect to see prices go all the way up to hit Daily liquidity target and at the same time give us an extension of the current bullish swing on both the Daily and Weekly charts. If it does go this way, we will pull our our panzy pips trading system and begin to catch trades on the extension rally.
On the other hand, in the unlikely event that our daily zone fails, we will expect to see prices retrace deeper and dip lower towards the weekly reversal zone, from where we will watch out for reversals inside that zone. The rally will be expected to begin from there, and from there drive prices all the way up towards the Weekly liquidy target. This is gonna be one hell of a rally, so y'all better be ready to cath some great deal of profit off of that rally.
As usual, we will look to trade that rally applying our same trad entry systems unique to panzy pips traders.
See you at the top of that cliff guys ...
Pound
Will GBP Drop Further? Bearish Pressure Mounts Near Key LevelThe British Pound (GBP) continues to face downside pressure near the key level of 1.3100 against the US Dollar (USD) during Monday’s London session. The GBP/USD pair remains under strain as the US Dollar holds firm, near a seven-week high, bolstered by strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September, released last Friday. This robust US labor market performance has further supported the dollar's strength.
In our previous analysis, we closed our positions on this pair (view chart below):
GBP/USD Previous Forecast.
Bearish Sentiment: Continuation or Reversal?
Looking ahead, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail traders remain heavily on the bearish side, which adds weight to the possibility of further downside pressure. While there is no immediate position to open, we will be closely monitoring market developments.
Given the fundamental outlook, our attention will turn to a potential long position if the price retraces to our identified Demand area. Until then, we remain cautious, awaiting clearer signals for a possible entry point as the market evolves.
Conclusion
With the US Dollar's recent strength driven by solid economic data, the GBP/USD pair continues to hover near critical levels. While the current sentiment leans bearish, we will keep a close watch on fundamental shifts and technical signals to reassess future trade opportunities.
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GBPJPY H4 - Short Signal GBPJPY H4
For those that watched the market analysis and live charting video, you would have seen us discuss GBPJPY and the 195 psychological price/sell zone. We have since seen this zone tested and subsequently rejected. How much mileage this setup has... I don't know, but if we can break 194.500, we should see a send lower.
A break and candle close around or below 194.500 is important, breaking this H4 and H1 consolidation, EUR and LON session could certainly be enough to drive this setup where is needs to go.
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has dropped more than 200 pips since last week up until now, finally reaching the demand level we had marked on the chart. After reaching the 1.30720 demand level, the price encountered strong demand pressure, rising over 60 pips and ultimately closing at 1.31132 . The total return of this analysis so far has been over 260 pips . It is likely that after an initial upward movement, we will see further price correction.
The Main Analysis :
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GBP/USD Pulls Back as USD Strengthens Ahead of Core PCE DataThe GBP/USD pair edged lower during the Asian session on Friday, retreating from the highest levels it had reached since March 2022, around the 1.3435 region, which was touched the previous day. The decline was largely driven by a technical reversal after the pair tested a key daily supply-demand zone. This move coincides with data from the latest **Commitment of Traders (COT) report**, which shows that retail traders remain strongly bullish on the GBP.
Despite the bullish positioning from retailers, the pair saw a pullback as the market anticipates important economic data out of the United States, including the **Core PCE Price Index** for the month of November. A positive reading from this inflation gauge could add further support to the US Dollar (USD) and push the GBP/USD pair lower. The USD is expected to strengthen if the data signals persistent inflationary pressures, which could keep the Federal Reserve cautious about loosening monetary policy too quickly.
However, expectations regarding the Bank of England (BoE) are playing a counterbalancing role. The BoE is widely seen as taking a more gradual approach to cutting rates compared to the US Federal Reserve, which could help support the British Pound (GBP) in the medium term and limit losses for the GBP/USD pair. Still, with immediate market momentum and potential upside for the USD, the pair remains under pressure in the short term.
In light of these developments, we are maintaining a **short position** on GBP/USD, as the combination of technical resistance and USD strength points to further downside in the near future. While GBP sentiment remains supported by BoE policy expectations, today's price action suggests that USD demand is likely to drive the pair lower, especially with key data releases on the horizon.
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Seeking dips on GBP/CHFA bullish trend has developed on the daily chart. Prices have pulled back lower, yet support was found at the 50 retracement level and the cross now trades back above the 200-day MA.
A bullish divergence has formed on the 4-hout chart, and price action appears to be corrective on this timeframe. Also note that the 2-year spread between GB-CH yields ahead of prices to suggest upwards pressure could be building on GBP/CHF.
Given the bullish structure of the daily timeframe, pullbacks towards the monthly pivot point could be appealing for bullish setups, in anticipation of a move up to 1.14.
GBP/USD Trendline Support Breakif GBP/USD breaks below the current trendline support, it could trigger further downside movement.
🎯 Next Target: The next major level to watch will be the support level, where we may see a potential pause or bounce.
Keep an eye on price action and volume for confirmation.
EUR/GBP H4 | Potential bullish bounceEUR/GBP is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8413 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.8390 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.8453 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Trading Idea: GBP/EUR Resistance BreakoutCurrent Resistance Level: GBP/EUR is currently facing a resistance level.
If the price breaks above this resistance, it could signal a potential bullish breakout.
Next Target: After the breakout, the next key resistance level becomes the target.
Bullish Pattern: There is also a potential bullish pattern forming, which could further support the breakout scenario.
A confirmed breakout above the first resistance could lead the price to rally toward the second resistance level.
Confirmation: Wait for a clear break and close above the current resistance, and a confirmation of the bullish pattern, to strengthen the breakout signal.
Risk Management: Consider placing a stop-loss below the previous support level to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
USOIL D1 Analysis - Bearish Pair Name = USOIL
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bearish
Pattern = Symmetrical Triangle
Details:-
USOIL will keep following the bearish trend. Currently Facing a good Support. From this support level USOIL will Stay here for Few More day. It will Move Between the level 65 to 70. But when breakout confirm Price will hit 55 to 57 price level
GOLD D1 Analysis - BullishPair Name = Gold
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Pattern = Bullish Flag
Explanation :-
Gold is bullish over all and getting a good volume. we can see price around 2550 or more. In Daily Timeframe Gold is making Bullish Flag Pattern. Here we are looking for breakout. After breakout We see big entries that will pump the market.
GBP/JPY H1 | Potential bearish breakoutGBP/JPY is falling toward a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 184.78 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 186.60 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 182.97 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD : Possible Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has reached a demand zone and has also created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near its current level, which I expect to be filled in the short term. After that, I anticipate further decline in GBP/USD. The potential targets for this drop are 1.31060, 1.30870, and 1.30330.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/USD Struggles as Dollar Strengthens Following Economic DataThe Pound Sterling has continued to underperform against the US Dollar, following a series of key economic events. Initially, on Friday, the USD experienced a brief weakening after the release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims, which pointed to weaker-than-expected economic signals. U.S. employment growth for August came in below forecasts, casting doubt on the overall health of the labor market. However, the dollar quickly regained its strength, in line with last week’s price action, after market participants absorbed these figures and focused on other economic data points.
Our previous forecast for GBP/USD, as outlined last week, highlighted a key supply area that would likely serve as a turning point for the pair, and indeed this has played out. The price action during the London session shows continued weakness in the British pound, confirming a bearish continuation as the USD maintains its momentum. The GBP remains under pressure as the pair seems unable to sustain any recovery attempts, particularly as the USD continues to recover its losses from earlier in the month.
Previous Analysis:
Looking ahead, tomorrow’s U.S. economic releases, including Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, and Unemployment Claims, will be crucial in determining whether the dollar can extend its bullish momentum. Additionally, the upcoming U.S. pre-election debate could add further volatility to the market, making this a key event for traders to watch.
In conclusion, GBP/USD remains on a bearish trajectory, and further downside pressure could emerge if the upcoming U.S. data continues to support the case for dollar strength. Traders should stay alert to these key data points as they will likely set the tone for the pair’s movement in the coming days.
Bearish BO ...After a bearish weekly candlestick, GBPUSD firmed a endless pullback and tried to BO above last high that was unsuccessful and pushed price lower. Endless pullback, lower high, double top and now bearish BO are signs that Pound sterling can weak against US Dollar.
Trade safe.
Good luck.
Watch out as EURGBP net short positioning is reversing quicklyLeveraged money net positioning is reversing from extreme short levels in EURGBP futures.
We do acknowledge the UK's recent positive political momentum amid political turbulence in the EU, however we believe the effect is in the price.
On top of that, our fundamental macro model is slightly bullish EURGBP, certainly not indicating a further drop from these levels.
This might indicate a rally in EURGBP towards 0.86 after a recent 2 standard deviation selloff.