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#202439 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Similar structure to dax. Nested bull wedges inside a big broad bull channel. The current bullish structure has a potential to lead to much much higher prices but I favor the trading range continuation more. The bull wedge will break over the next 2-3 days and we will likely have an answer on the next direction. Bulls need a strong break above 5800 and bears below 5670. Quote from last week: comment: Favored the bears last week and wanted to load on shorts on this pullback but bears were practically gone, so no shorts for me. Lower highs and higher lows. Triangle on the daily chart until broken. Not much difference to the other indexes. Above 5670 bulls are favored for 5700+ and maybe a new ath and bears would need a strong reversal below 5650 for bulls to cover their longs again. Similar to 2024-09-03 where bears printed a huge bearish engulfing bar, that is that they would need here as well. comment: Bears did absolutely nothing last week except selling highs. Not a single daily bar below the previous one. Very strong buying with resulted in an obvious new ath on Thursday. Are bulls done or will we get hit 5800? Most likely we will hit it because of the obvious liquidity grab (stop running) above it. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5670 - 5850 bull case: We are trading around the ath. Will the market find more buyers to push this even higher? We are inside nested bullish patterns and bulls are favored but buying near the ath without a better pullback is not the best trade you can do right now. On lower tf you can find reasonable longs but not on the daily. I’d rather wait for a breakout of the smaller wedge and see where the market wants to go. I do think bulls can print 5800 and some next week. Most outrages target I have on sp500 is 6144 but I will only address this once bulls close a weekly bar above 5800. Invalidation is below 5670. bear case: Bears want the breakout below the wedge and test the daily ema around previous support 5670. If they are strong, they could hit 5600 next week but as of now the bears have nothing to support this but hope. Best they can probably get is some sideways around 5760. Invalidation is above 5810. outlook last week: short term: Neutral between 5400 - 5670. I slightly favor the bears when they print a good bear bar on Monday because of the triangle. Above 5670 I scalp long and see how high we can get. → Last Sunday we traded 5629 and now we are at 5762. I leaned bearish but only if… If never came true since bears could not get a lower low all week. My read that above 5670 it’s a long, was good for 110. short term: Neutral around 5760. No interest in buying besides small long scalps on the 5m or lower tf for 5800. Market is contracting in a tight range, best not to do anything and wait for a clear breakout. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect at least 5300 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: None chart update: Only bullish pattern left and added an outrages measured move target.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#202439 - priceactiontds - weekly updateGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: New ath but market rejected it with -300+ points. Bulls are still inside nested bull wedges and a big bull channel on the weekly/monthly chart. I favor bulls as long as the current bull wedge is alive but we could test down to 18500 on Monday. Bulls should not let it get below 18400. Above 19000 I expect another ath and targets above are 19100/19200. Quote from last week: comment: Disappointment bar on Monday, bears tried again on Tuesday and Wednesday but market held above 18200 and bears then quickly gave up. My bearishness last week was a bit too strong but slightly profitable until the reversal on Wednesday. So, not much harm done. Market formed a bull wedge and if bulls can close the bear gap to 18750 on Monday, we will very likely see 18990 or 19000 over the next days. Bears have nothing until they can get below 18200 or we reach 19000. I don’t think that many traders will be interested in buying above 19000 but let’s see next week. comment : Monday left no doubt where we were heading and my outlook was perfect. No one wanted to buy above 19000 and we traded 300 points down again. We are contracting inside the bull wedge and will see a breakout over the next 3 days. That can go either way so I will go neutral into next week. Both sides have reasonable arguments. I do favor the bulls slightly but need confirmation for that and this would only be above 19300/19400 and that is 600 points away. We are inside a trading range 17700 - 19000 for over 6 months now. That is as neutral as it gets. We are making higher highs but by how much? Couple of points and that’s absolutely normal inside trading ranges. And if you think “bUt YoU sAiD wE aRe iN a BuLl wEdGe”, yes. Might blow your brain out but markets can trade inside a multiple of patterns on different time frames and you have to prioritize them by the one starting on the highest tf and working yourself to the lowest tf you want to trade. current market cycle: big trading range key levels: 17000 - 19000 bull case: Bulls are slightly favored since we are inside nested bull wedges or a bigger broad bull channel, depending on how you want to draw it. Does it matter? No. We are also in a trading range inside the given key levels and that does not change how you trade the current patterns either. Bulls made a lower high last week and a higher high. As long as the lower high holds, bulls are favored for more upside. Should you buy 18720? It’s not unreasonable but Friday was quad witching and we closed at the low. I’d rather wait for bulls to come around on Monday before buying. We could touch the bull trend line around 18500/18600 before reversing but I do think we will retest at least 18900. My most insane upside target currently is 20900 but until we have a weekly close above 19400, it’s a waste of time thinking more than 2 minutes about it. Trade patterns that are valid and until they are clearly broken. Invalidation is below 18500. bear case: Bears rejected 19000 by 300 points again and the big questions is, will they get follow through selling on Monday and can they push below the bull trend line out of the bull wedge? I highly doubt that. It’s possible but unlikely. Market will probably spent more time inside the wedge before we break out by going sideways or below, once it’s contracted enough. Anything above 19100 would show great weakness by the bears and a possible giving up for 19300 or higher. On the weekly chart the highest weekly close was 18906 and bears need to keep it that way. Any weekly close above 19000 opens the door for higher prices. Invalidation is above 19100. outlook last week: short term: Neutral. Bullish above 18750 for 18900+, bearish below 18200 and neutral in between. → Last Sunday we traded 18699 and now we are at 18720. High was 19044 and that outlook could not have been more perfect. Nailed the long above 18750 and the rejection above 19000. Hope you made some. short term: Neutral around 18720 but expecting bulls to come around and retest 19000. Could drop to 18500/18600 first though. Anything below 18500 would surprise me big time. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19000 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. current swing trade : None chart update: Removed the bear gap and added the insane potential measured move to 20900. Don’t bet on that.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
XRP: buy📊 Analysis by AhmadArz: 🔍 Entry: 1️⃣ 0.5676 (Main Entry) 2️⃣ 0.5455 (Support) 3️⃣ 0.5232 (Support) 🛑 Stop Loss: 🔴 0.5545 🎯 Take Profit: 1️⃣ 0.5797 2️⃣ 0.5919 3️⃣ 0.6076 🔗 "Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz. 💡 Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets." 🚀 Please boost and 💬 comment to share your thoughts with us! --- This chart represents the XRP/USDT (Ripple to Tether) pair and highlights two "Good Entry" points 📉 within support zones 🟥 and 🟦. Additionally, the main entry point is noted at 0.5676 📊. Here’s a general analysis with emoji annotations: 1. Entry Points: The main entry is 0.5676 🟢. The first support entry is at 0.5455 📉, within the blue zone 🟦. The second support entry is at 0.5232 📉, within the red zone 🟥. 2. Price Targets: TP1: The first target price is 0.5797 🎯. TP2: The second target price is 0.5919 🎯. TP3: The third target price is 0.6076 🚀. 3. Support and Resistance Zones: 0.5676 is the main entry point 🟢. The blue support zone is between 0.5455 and 0.5260 🟦. The red support zone is between 0.5210 and 0.5232 🛑. 4. Analysis: If the price holds above 0.5676 🟢 and breaks through resistance 🟠, it could move towards the targets at 0.5797 and 0.6076 🚀. Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 0.5545 🔴 to protect against downside risks. In case of a fallback, the price may drop back to the first support entry at 0.5455 or lower, around 0.5232 🔄. This analysis suggests a potential upward movement 📈, with the main entry point at 0.5676 and clear stop-loss protection at 0.5545.
Long
by ahmadarz
GBP/CHF - Bullish Flag Breakout & Strong UptrendOverview: The GBP/CHF pair has not only been in a strong uptrend but has also formed and broken out of a bullish flag pattern, further signaling the continuation of upward momentum. The breakout above the 1.2300 resistance level suggests a potential for further gains. Technical Analysis: Bullish Flag: A clear bullish flag pattern has formed, with a breakout confirming further upward movement. Next Resistance Levels: 1.2550 and 1.2600 RSI: Currently at 65, indicating there’s still room for more upside. Fundamental Analysis: GBP Strength: Strong economic data from the UK, including better-than-expected GDP growth and improved employment figures, support the pound’s rise. CHF Weakness: The Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) dovish stance continues to weaken the franc, providing a favorable environment for the pound’s strength. Trading Strategy: Targeting 1.14036 ,1.15070 , 1.16159 Stop Loss: Place a stop below 1.1120 to protect against downside risk.
Long
by mohammad_alavi
Bitcoin Bullish count up.If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Reacting and testing level identified. Bulls need to break this level (63380) and the pivot (65k) as a show of force. Here is my conservative take if an impulse completes. All hinges on 61779 and (1) pivot holding. Possible ZZ completing so looking for a reaction off most likely targets. One reaction is given. Looking for an impulse down. Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
SasanSeifi|Metis Analysis: Potential Breakout Ahead? In the 10-hour timeframe, as you can see, The price has touched the downward trend line four times and is now trading around the critical $32 level. Given the previous interactions with the trend line, a breakout seems possible. If the trend line is broken, we can expect the price to rise towards targets around $35, followed by a potential further increase to the $37-$38 range after a minor correction. To understand the ongoing trend better, observe how the price reacts to the $35 level. Key support is at $29-$28. This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Long
by SasanSeifi
LINK - Bullish Control Soon...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After rejecting the $20 round number, LINK has been in a correction phase in the shape of a falling channel marked in orange. Currently, LINK is hovering around a strong structure, support and round number $10. 🏹 Once the orange channel is broken to the upside, we will expect the next bullish phase to start leading to a movement towards the $20 mark again. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
2024-09-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - I said if bulls get above 61500, they are favored for 64000+. High of the day was 63848. Next target for them is 65000 and if bears fail there, we will see 67000/68000 again. Right now it’s still a triangle on the daily chart and bulls had 3 pushes up. Slightly favoring the bears if they come around tomorrow and if it stays below 65000. comment: 3 pushes up on the daily chart and near previous resistance between 64000 and 65000. For weeks now, every strong daily bar is followed by disappointment. If the market has done this so many times, I do not expect this to change and rather see bears coming around over the next 2-4 days again. current market cycle: trading range (again a triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 57000 - 65000 bull case: Bulls want the breakout above 65000 and trade back to 68000 and touch the bear trend line from the ath. Can they get it? I doubt it. We made 21% over the past 2 weeks but given that we made -30% in 7 days in July, this rally was weak. You can also draw the bull channel for the current rally but the arguments would be the same. We are at the top of the channel and prior resistance. I don’t expect market to find many buyers above 64000. Invalidation is below 61500. bear case: Until bulls can print 65000, odds favor the bears for a reversal. We are at prior resistance, the top of the bull channel, bulls had 3 legs up and the daily and weekly 20ema are as flat as can be. What are the odds of a big bullish breakout? Very low. Can happen but betting on it is a losing strategy. Best here is to wait. If bulls get it, join em. If bears come around, don’t sell the first pullback. Wait for a retest (probably on the 1h tf) Invalidation is above 65000. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 65000 and bearish below 61500 or on good momentum after a second signal. medium-long term: Down to 40000 (could take 1-3 months). Could also drop to 20000 again but let’s make 40000 first and see how many want to buy there. —unchanged since March, obviously updated the time range which was 6-9 months before. — current swing trade: Swing shorts got burned bad. None currently but looking for shorts again. trade of the day: Very bullish day. Buying the 15m 20ema was profitable many times.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal. With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal. Technical analysis Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545 SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618 BUY attention zone 2565-2545
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
PriceAction StrategyIn this chart we are focusing on 1h time frame for EURUSD currency pair. In this analyze we are using price action concept along with support and resistance. So here we have two conditions. 1: If price break the consolidation or ranging area toward upside than we will go for buy. 2: If price break the ranging area toward downside than we will look for sell. So wait for price when price give us clear breakout than after confirmation we will execute our trade. Always use proper risk to reward ratio for your trade.
by Bullionbuzz
2024-09-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bull trap above the bull wedge as I wrote. Bears confirmed it with the close today. I look for shorts tomorrow and expect 2560 or lower to be hit tomorrow. Anything below 2540 would be a huge surprise and we could see an acceleration down to 2500. If bulls reverse this and trade back above 2610, bears will most likely give up until we hit 2700. comment: Another spike and new ath but huge rejection. I do think the rejection was strong enough to expect follow through and test the lower bull wedge trend line around 2550/2560. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 2550 - 2630 bull case: Bulls tried to break above the bull wedge and failed. Odds now favor a retest of the lower trend line (daily ema is also there), where I expect buyers to step in more strongly again. If bears somehow fumble this again, bulls would need a reversal of the huge 1h bar and get back above 2600. The longer bulls can stay around 2600, the better. Invalidation is below 2540. bear case: Bears want to keep the momentum strong tomorrow (after the 50+ point rejection from the new ath) and test down to 2550. If they somehow manage to break below 2540, we could see an acceleration down to 2500/2520 but I highly doubt that. Since we had a spike up and then a huge spike down, the dominant pattern is still the bull wedge and there is not much more magic to it than what I described. Bears absolutely need to keep it below 2600 to have a chance of lower prices. Invalidation is above 2605. short term: Neutral until bears get follow through below 2570 or 2600 is clear resistance now. medium-long term: 7 consecutive months where Gold barely went below previous month’s low. Strong buying on the monthly chart but also the third push up we are currently in. I highly doubt bulls get another one so if it continues, it’s without me. I am waiting for a bigger correction. current swing trade: None trade of the day: How could you predict those spikes today? You can’t. How can you trade them? Only viable could have been shorting the spike above 2620 but those are hard to take. You would need a wide stop and scale in. One time you short it correctly and make the trade of the week and next time you blow your account if you are not humble enough. Today was no obvious good trade to be honest.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2024-09-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment : Look at the daily chart and then you can’t be anything but neutral after yesterday and today. Consecutive doji bars with huge tails above and minor tails below. I don’t care about the new ath on the cash index since I trade the chart in front of me and that’s where the ath was in July and due to contract switch it’s now at 5782 while today hit 5756. The high was high enough to qualify as a tripple top now and we can sell off or make a new one above 5800. The dominant feature is the bull wedge and we are kinda closer to the middle than to the top or bottom. I can see this going either way to be honest. Ask yourself this, has the market a reason to sell off right now after the big rate cut? Answer was no before and definitely no after the cut. Does not mean it can not happen anyway. current market cycle: trading range (bull wedge) key levels: 5660 - 5800 bull case: Bulls made another higher high and a higher low. Does not look that good for bulls to buy the close 5680 but it sure as hell does not look bearish. As long as support and resistance are holding, I lean bullish and scalp long. Market is still trading above the 4h 20ema and obviously the daily, so bulls remain in control. Obvious targets above are 5782 and then 5800. Invalidation is below 5665. bear case: Bears need a lower low below 5665 and that’s they only target for now. Until they can achieve that, they have no good arguments on their side. I do think market will spend some more time in this area before we see another breakout. If bears would get below 5665, their next target is the daily 20ema at 5640 and below that is the bull trend line around 5570. Invalidation is above 5810. short term: Neutral between 5665 - 5782. Big range but that’s today’s range where we wildly went up and down multiple times. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect 5000 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5690 and selling 5720 but you needed wide stops to trade this.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds