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EDUCATION WHAT IS DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown ExplainedHey traders , is it drawdown . The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at a certain period of time . Imagine you started to trade with 10,000 $ account . At the end of the year , your account size reached 15,000 $ . 1 However , at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000 $ . It was the absolute minimum for the one - year period . At some point , your net loss was -4,000 $ or 40 % of your account balance . The account drawdown is 40 % . ! Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy . Usually , 50 % and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk . There are 3 types of drawdown to know Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated with the negative total value of opened trading position ( s ) at present . Once you start trading with 10,000 $ deposit , you open several trading positions . Being opened , with the constant price movements , your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative . For examples , with 3 active trades : EURUSD ( -500 $ at present ) ; GBPUSD ( + 200 $ at present ) ; GOLD ( -100 $ at present ) your current account drawdown is -400 $ or 4 % of your deposit . Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading position ( s ) at present for a certain period of time . While some of your trades remain active , some are already closed . Imagine the same deposit - 10,000 $ . On Monday you opened 6 trades , 2 still remain active and 4 are already closed . Your total loss from your closed trades is -500 $ . Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5 % . Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by dr_heidary
WHAT IS DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown Explained 📚 Hey traders, In my videos, I frequently use the term "drawdown". Many of you asked me to explain the meaning of that term and share some examples. The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at a certain period of time. Imagine you started to trade with 10,000$ account. At the end of the year, your account size reached 15,000$. However, at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000$. It was the absolute minimum for the one-year period. At some point, your net loss was -4,000$ or 40% of your account balance. The account drawdown is 40%. ❗️Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy. Usually, 50% and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk. There are 3 types of drawdown to know. Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated with the negative total value of opened trading position(s) at present. Once you start trading with 10,000$ deposit, you open several trading positions. Being opened, with the constant price movements, your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative. For examples, with 3 active trades: EURUSD (-500$ at present); GBPUSD (+200$ at present); GOLD (-100$ at present) your current account drawdown is -400$ or 4% of your deposit. Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading position(s) at present for a certain period of time. While some of your trades remain active, some are already closed. Imagine the same deposit - 10,000$. On Monday you opened 6 trades, 2 still remain active and 4 are already closed. Your total loss from your closed trades is -500$. Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5%. Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from the highest value of the deposit before a new maximum is reached. Starting to trade with 10,000$ you are already trading for 5 years. Your account were growing rapidly and at some moment it reached 25,000$. Then the recession started. You faced a dramatic loss of 12,500$ before you started to recover. That was the maximum observed loss for the period. Your maximum account drawdown was 50%. ❗️Different types of drawdown give a lot of insights about a trading strategy. Its proper assessment will help to spot a high risk strategy and to find a conservative one. Constantly monitor your account drawdown and always check the numbers. What is your highest account drawdown? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Editors' picks
Education
by VasilyTrader
15
High Risk & High Reward - LUNA CLASSICHello Team, As we can see LUNC is forming a massive falling wedge after a huge run up (Bullish Formation : *Upon Breakout). A strong volume resistance break to the upside from this falling wedge can have massive upside potential. We are looking to start adding small positions as we continue lower. Key Notes: This is a very high risk play due to being a highly skeptical trading pair; only for small position sizing. Fundamentals to follow: Bitcoin Strength/Weakness USD/Stock Market Strength/Weakness : Strong Correlation Previous Posted LUNA/C Trade: 1000%+ Run to the upside
Long
by GenesisGo
1
>1%Hello everyone Today I want to discuss with you a serious issue of risk management. Surely each of you has heard about the 1% rule: do not risk more than 1% of your capital in one transaction. The rule is well-known and quite useful, it is better to lose 1% than the entire capital. Beginners, although they know this rule, rarely follow it and this is a big problem. I think this is the main problem of beginners, people think that the problem is strategy, but FOREX trading is a game of probability. The Probability Game Not every trader understands what probability is. Most are afraid to study this question because they are afraid of long mathematical formulas. Do not be afraid, you need to study! And even if you don't want to do it, there is an easier way. In simple words: probability is something that happens more often than usual, but not always. Not clear? Let's take any pattern. By the method of research and observations, experienced traders decided that this pattern is often found on the market and it can be traded, while trading this pattern does not promise 100% results. This means that if you trade this pattern infinitely many times, you will be in the black at a distance. At a distance… We're getting close. Distance is a series of transactions. Whatever pattern you choose, whatever strategy you have, you need distance, you need to make a series of trades so that the pattern works out in order to understand whether this strategy is really profitable. But if you risk everything or almost everything in one trade, what distance will you have? Exactly. Without a series of trades, you will not be able to profit from the pattern, without risk management and following the 1% rule, you will not be able to make a series of trades, because your capital will disappear very quickly. Do you think that 1% is too little? Professional traders risk an even smaller percentage in transactions. The goal is to stay in the game as long as possible and that's when you'll be super profitable. Traders who risk less than 1% in transactions get huge profits at a distance, so don't worry about profits, think about losses, how to reduce and avoid them. Demo account The biggest advantage of a demo account, in my opinion, is that it is free and every trader can train to follow risk management for free and as much as he wants. I advise you to set aside a month for trading on a demo account with the right risk management. Set a goal not to open trades with a risk of more than 1%. And no matter what your strategy is, just follow the rule. I assure you, you will see the difference. Analyze, study, train and victory will find you. good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
6
Some helpful trading tips ✅✅Trading Advise from Richard Dennis who turned a $400 trading account into $200 million. 1. Whatever method you use to enter trades, the most critical thing is that if there is a major trend, your approach should assure that you get in that trend. 2. A good trend following system will keep you in the market until there is evidence that the trend has changed. 3. When you have a position, you put it on for a reason, and you’ve got to keep it until the reason no longer exists. 4. You should expect the unexpected in this business; expect the extreme. Don’t think in terms of boundaries that limit what the market might do. 5.  Trading decisions should be made as unemotionally as possible. 6. Trade small because that’s when you are as bad as you are ever going to be. Learn from your mistakes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by cryptobrainbox
Stop Loss Alone is not Risk Management - What is Your SystemTo be successful, you must develop consistency in your trading. You can achieve this by creating a system to trade. One that provides an edge to fit your lifestyle and personality. Discipline is required to stick to your system so that you can measure results (wins and losses) over a large number of trades. A simple journal helps you to measure your trades. This provides edge and success unfolds over time, requiring a strong mindset to create, adhere and measure. Goals are achievable through steps that are part of the process. Things to consider when developing your system are: Market Phase, Price Structure, Areas of Value, Areas of Entries as well as Exits, Multi Time Frame Analysis, Trend Lines, Support and Resistance, Dynamic Support and Resistance etc. Pro Tip: Trade clean and don't clutter your charts. Trade around a couple of levels with a single indicator. Be PATIENT to let trades come to you once you have made a trading plan. And when the market enters your zone, be READY to take action and trigger your entry based on rules. If you're a new trader or a struggling trader, feel free to reach out and ask me a question. If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Education
by imr4nkh8n
Trading Psychology | How to Perceive Your Trades 👁 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss a common fallacy among struggling traders: overestimation of a one single trade. 💡The fact is that quite often, watching the performance of an active trading position, traders quite painfully react to the price being closer and closer to a stop loss or, alternatively, coiling close to a take profit but not being managed to reach that. Fear of loss make traders make emotional decisions: extending stop loss or preliminary position closing. The situation becomes even worse, when after the set of the above-mentioned manipulation, the price nevertheless reaches the stop loss. Just one single losing trade is usually perceived too personally and make the traders even doubt the efficiency of their trading system. They start changing rules in their strategy, then stop following the trading plan, leading to even more losses. ❗️However, what matters in trading is your long-term composite performance. A single position is just one brick in a wall. As Peter Lynch nicely mentioned: “In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.” There are so many factors that are driving the markets that it is impossible to take into consideration them all. And because of that fact, we lose. The attached chart perfectly illustrates the insignificance of a one trading in a long-term composite performance. Please, realize that losing trades are inevitable, and overestimation of their impact on your trading performance is detrimental. Instead, calibrate your strategy so that it would produce long-term, consistent positive results. That is your goal as a trader. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
15
'Spidey sense' tingling? Depends how you know what you know.Safe experience lull you into a false sense of security, even when you know about a clear and present danger. That's what experts on risk and decision making** say about the role of our personal experience in our risk perception. Take 9/11 for example. Many, suddenly concerned about the risk in flying, opted to drive instead. However, in reality the risk of injury or death while driving is multiple times that of flying. Why was driving perceived as safer? Studies of decision making say that a big factor is the *way* people get most of their information. When that information comes from repeated personal experience (like car trips) it is given a bigger weight in the decisions we make. The catch is when the typical experience shows no danger simply because the threat is very rare, novel (for us) or out of our awareness. It's August 25th, 2022 and, stock indexes are levitating, held up by some unseen force. The "Doom and Gloom" on you tube is starting to ring hollow. We know the risks: inflation, dollar, rates, etc. etc. etc. I won't bore you further with my mundane perspective of, what has been for me, a mundane market. You already know the punchline cleverly hidden in the chart on the right (a 3 day chart of VIX). Out of curiosity, was I the only one caught off guard? If you were asked, out of the blue, to draw the 3 day VIX, would it look like that? and lastly- The best explanation I have is the one offered above. What would you add? or subtract? -Trade Safe. **The research on decisions from experience is extensive but these are good points of departure: Thinking Fast and Slow , D. Kahneman. Chapter 30. Rare Events The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable Paperback – January 1, 2008. pp 76-78 Decisions from experience and the effect of rare events in risky choices. Psychological Science . 15. 534-539. Hertwig, R., Barron, G., Weber, E., and Erev, I. (2004). The Effect of Safe Experience on a Warnings’ Impact: Sex, Drugs, and Rock-n-Roll ." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 106, no. 2 (July 2008): 125-142. Barron, Greg, Stephen George Leider, and Jennifer N. Stack. "
SP:SPX
by gb50k
1% risk per trade is too much, try this insteadHello traders, Remember when you just started trading, almost everywhere you could hear about the 1% per trade risk rule? While this is not too bad, I think in most cases 1% risk is too much. Here's why: 1. If you're trading a 100k prop firm account, 1% is $1000. Imagine you have a very usual losing streak of 3-4 trades. Now you've lost 3-4%, and $3-4k in dollar amount. If you're a day trader, it could happen in one day easily. Ask yourself honestly, how would you feel about it all and if you will be capable of executing your edge? 2. Most prop firms will have a 5-10% drawdown breach rule So again, a very usual losing streak will take you halfway to account termination. 3. 1% risk leaves almost no room for days where you executed poorly or traded emotionally. We are all humans and we make mistakes. Something goes wrong and you trade the setup you were not supposed to be trading. And instead of stopping after 3 losers, you continue to trade more. So what can we do about it? My suggestion is very simple: risk no more than 0.1-0.25% per trade. If your average winner is 3-7RR, then with a good account size a 1% winner is just huge and more than enough. And if you're going through the evaluation process, such a small risk will keep your equity curve in control and still will allow you to grow it to profit targets. Hope it helps!
Education
by Yelli_trades
Where are you now? The mean of volatility adjusted indexes.The summary: Stocks fell ("Faded"?) out of the main upward channel. Bulls can hang there hats on the ATR that has not confirmed a reversal. Chart shows the mean of 3 US stock indexes divided by their respective volatility index: SPX / VIX , NDQ / VXN , DJA / VXD. This is one approach to putting all 3 on a single scale and is conceptually similar to Z-score, Sharpe ration and Normalization, to name a few** Getting all 3 on the same scale is useful for both comparison and, as in the present chart, aggregation. (SPX appears above on top for reference.) Summary: Last session "stocks" fell out of the main upward channel. They have also fallen bellow the long term median (red dots). However, there are bullish features as well: ATR indicator: Typically inverse stocks Were *not* seeing the same "break out" (added Regression channel +/-2STD) It is not yet in free fall and there's plenty of structure to the left for support and pullbacks. Notes: ** There are issues with taking the mean of any of these statistics. For example two Zscores of 0 and 3. It's true that their mean is 1.5 but there are very few valid conclusions one can draw from that outcome. It will have a "smoothing" effect (mean reversion) which is not entirely undesirable for our purposes.
SP:SPX
by gb50k
Trade setups I would take and how to manage riskJust like this. Buy and sell limits above and below structure, as in the most recent highs/lows, with your TP in general being a return to structure. Brutally easy way to scalp and make money. Few more examples... This one shows where the stop loss might be. In general, I go with a 2/3 or 3/4 type rule, where I'll have a wide cluster of limits, then a gap, then a hard stop that closes all of them. Just in case. Your order clusters should be wide enough with this strategy that it almost never gets hit. Regular market movement should not be hitting your stop loss. That kind of behavior should generally be reserved for news events that catch you off guard. Now as far as actual risk goes, this is entirely determined by you and no one else. There's no single correct way to do this. A lot of people are dead set on the idea that you should never risk 10% of your account, but how big is the account? Is it $10,000? Is it $100? If it's $100, why not risk $50+ when the odds of a loss are very low? On EUR/USD, you might have a hard stop loss of 50 pips with 15 tickets separated by 2 pips each. Each ticket would be 1k (0.01 lots). If 1 pip on a 1k is $0.10, then a 50 pip stop loss is $5. Your second ticket is 2 pips away, so that loss would be $4.80. Third $4.60, and so on. It's doable, right? Maybe the price dips 20 pips into your counter-trend limit cluster, eating 10 limits. Then the price returns to the support or resistance near your starting point, and you decide to close all of your tickets. The profits from that would be $2.00, then $1.80, then $1.60, and so on. That might not seem like much in comparison to the stop loss, but consider this: your stop loss will have a 0-5% chance of ever getting hit. It's straight profit. And it's constant, and consistent. I cannot stress that enough! You can be doing this all day long. So, what if you want to follow a trend in this manner? It's the same deal, really... just throw limit orders below (or above) trending wicks. Like this: It's all just structure. You bet with structure, and you bet against structure. At all times. You only require a 50% retracement from your starting ticket in order to break even. If you even feel uncomfortable with what's going on in front of you, it doesn't take much for you to get out safely and start over with a new cluster of limits. There is absolutely nothing wrong with closing out safely. You'll be trading so frequently you aren't even a little bit obligated to let things "play out". Maybe you don't like how quickly the momentum built into your cluster, and it retraces down to the 50% area so you wanna break even, but then you start laying more limits above and below because you believe that momentum is likely to slow down. I'm gonna tear down a phrase that I'm sick of hearing: the trend is your friend . The trend could be the worst friend you've ever had. Sometimes he's really cool, and he's the life of the party. But he really likes hanging out with you, especially when nothing is going on. He really likes to wait! He doesn't exactly value your time, and he's perfectly content sitting in a chair next to you watching paint dry. He smacks the remote out of your hand when you try to turn on the TV. This trend guy can be a real jerk sometimes. You also suspect he might be bi-polar, because sometimes when you get excited to do things with him, his mood shifts the moment you open your mouth and suddenly the fun has been sucked out of the room. That is the trend. On some pairs like USD/JPY, a trend can go on for a very long time, and there's a lot of money to be made. The problem is it is speculative . You don't know where that trend is going to end. Nobody is clairvoyant, and most people will make incorrect guesses. If you simply remove this requirement of speculation, where you have to be "correct" in your guesses in order to make money, you will do better in almost any market. If your goal in trading is to make consistent money, then the trend is not your friend. He's an acquaintance at best. You have to associate with him in business and that's about it. You spend just as much time associating with the counter-trend, because you should be doing business with both of them constantly. Now, on the other hand, if your goal is to invest (AKA gambling), that's a separate concept entirely. You're trying to grow a tree from a seed when you invest, and there's nothing wrong with that. But most people cannot live off of it. You can't even order pizza with your investments until they come to fruition. A trader can make consistent money every single day, without knowing or caring where the market is going or what it's going to do. Price continues trend, price retests, trader makes money. Price reverses, price retests, trader makes money. That's it . No waiting for retarded "key support levels", no waiting for "confirmation", no speculation, no technical analysis. Just raw risk management, getting in and out of the market quickly and constantly. Now, the one downside to being this kind of trader is you generally can't do this easily with the basic tools provided by your platform, meaning you would need scripts, EAs or whatever in order to quickly deploy limit clusters. The tool I'm working on allows me to drag a horizontal line on the screen, and I have a panel of buttons that do interesting things. I can click "Sell limits" and a whole bunch of sell limit orders appear just above the line. I can move that line again and click "Adjust TP", and the take profits for all of those orders will appear right below the structural retest point I'm targeting. I have buttons to close profits, to close pendings, close all tickets... it's just the bees knees. This is an MT5 EA, which most people won't be using, but I trade on CryptoAltum so that's what I use. I will leave it here for free. Lastly, have some limit order porn. Every single rectangle is a place where you could've had limits that got filled and made money. On really strong trends, you might notice that the retracement only returns to around the 50% point of your limit cluster, but you'll notice how uncommon that is and how easily you could've gotten out with little to no loss. A lot of the time, I won't even restrict myself to structure (swing highs and swing lows) even though that's the most reliable way to do it. I'll literally just put limits above and below any wick because I feel like it and I can make a profit in all likelihood. ...Anyway. I hope you enjoyed this write-up. Leave a comment if you did, or have any questions!
Education
by WinkleTrades
The easiest way to make money tradingI'm going to show you one of the simplest, and most effective ways to trade. Period. Just about every other type of trading is speculation; this is not. This is making money regardless of where the market goes, and you don't even have to have a clue as to what the market is going to do next. I repeat: you do not need to know where the market is going to make money . In these pictures, every rectangle represents a cluster of small limit orders getting filled, with the anchor point (starting place) being a wick rejection. That's it! You'll notice that in almost all of those cases, the retracement from the limit block exceeds 100%, meaning 100% of the limit orders in that block are profitable. You only actually need to see the price retrace by 50% of that block to break even. This is why I laugh when people say "the trend is your friend". The counter-trend is your friend too. The market is your friend. You don't have to know where the price is going, and you can make money in either direction as long as you're placing your limit orders in a way that goes with the flow. You're trying to capitalize on liquidity 100% of the time, and liquidity is really, really common. You can literally place trades based on every single candle if you want to! If there is a wick, you can trade it. Even if you're wrong, having tiny limit orders spread out through a cluster based on that wick means your hard stop loss would be hit rarely. You should still definitely have a hard stop loss, just in case a doomsday scenario comes. So imagine you have a $2000 account. On a 1k (0.01 lot size), 10 pips is $1. Let's say you have 100 limit orders, separated by 1 pip each. 50 of your limit orders get hit, and then the price retraces by 50 pips. Given that your average entry point would be 25 pips (the halfway point), you would have made 25 pips profit on a 50k, meaning $125 profit on a very high probability trade. In those pictures, even the big moves don't hit all 100 of your limit orders, not at once. Not even 50 all at once. I'm not saying that doesn't happen obviously, but the probability of it happening is very low in relation to how frequently you'd be making profitable trades. So what you do is you either commission a script or write your own to deploy all these limits very quickly. I'm currently having one commissioned for me in MT5 which works very well. I can drag a horizontal line that serves as an anchor point, deploying x amount of limit orders with y distance between each other, z order sizes (0.01). I can even have them all share the same stop loss and take profit, or have SL/TPs a specific distance from each individual ticket. I'd show this stuff here, but TradingView doesn't like pictures coming from the outside. If you use metatrader 5 and would like my tools, feel free to message me. I'm not sure if I can edit this later, but I hope I can... I tend to rethink things a lot and hate having to finalize something. Anyway. I hope this helps.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by WinkleTrades
10
China's Economy Crisis: What You Need To Know‍China is the world’s second-largest economy. If that doesn’t impress you, consider this: It has grown from a ragtag collection of state-owned firms to the world’s second-largest economy in just 35 years. China is now the world’s largest producer of goods, from smartphones to steel, autos to aircraft carriers. In 2017 alone, China produced almost as much output as the U.S., Japan, Germany, France and Britain combined. However, there are signs that China is heading for a recession. The country’s stock market has crashed twice (in July 2015 and again in January 2016), and Chinese investors have lost a lot of money as a result. There are many reasons that explain why an impending economic crash in China is imminent... China Has a Debt Problem China’s debt-to-GDP ratio (Private Sector) is now over 250%, which is extremely alarming. China’s debt problem is a ticking time bomb that could go off at any moment. As interest rates rise in the U.S., the cost of servicing the debt will become more expensive for Chinese issuers. If China continues to grow its debt at its current pace, it could easily become the next Greece or Argentina, where economic collapse is imminent. The Chinese government has tried to curb the rise in debt by tightening its domestic monetary policy. That caused the country’s stock market to plummet and its currency to depreciate. China’s aggressive money-printing has helped to fuel an emerging debt crisis that could trigger a global economic slowdown. In fact, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) says that China’s debt-to-GDP ratio has jumped from 150% in 2008 to more than 250% today. The Chinese Yuan Is Dropping Like a Rock China’s controlled currency is starting to depreciate. And that usually occurs before an economic crash. The Chinese yuan (also known as the renminbi) has fallen more than 7.7% against the U.S. dollar since March 2022. The yuan’s decline is partly due to the trade war with the U.S. China’s central bank has been intervening in the markets to prevent the yuan from declining too quickly. That’s caused the dollar to rise against other currencies. It’s also helped to fuel a rise in Treasury yields. A strong U.S. dollar is bad for American exports. But it’s also bad for China, since a strong dollar makes it more difficult for Chinese companies to compete abroad. China’s controlled currency is starting to depreciate. And that usually occurs before an economic crash. CNH1! Manufacturing Is Slowing Down China’s manufacturing PMI has been falling for months. In July 2018, it was 48.3, which is below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. A number below 50 is also considered to be “bad”, while a number above 50 is “good”. The PMI reading for July 2019 was 49.7. This may sound like good news for those employed in the U.S. However, it’s not. A slowdown in the manufacturing sector usually leads to a fall in consumer spending and a slowdown in the economy. That’s because reduced consumer spending leads to fewer sales and an excess of inventory or unsold goods. That often leads to a drop in GDP. China is Producing a Lot of Empty Buildings As an economic crash approaches, developers start to build a lot of empty buildings. That’s because people start to slow down their spending and are not prepared to make the necessary financial commitments. China’s ghost cities are the canary in the coal mine. These are cities where 90% of the buildings are either vacant or incomplete. Now, it’s interesting to note that China’s ghost cities were entirely vacant as recently as 2010. At that time, few people would have predicted that China would build an entire city and have no one living in it. China's shadow banking problem is a major concern for the Chinese economy. Shadow banking refers to financial services provided outside of the traditional banking sector. These include weaker institutions such as peer-to-peer lending, pawnshops and informal lending networks. Shadow banking is often used to circumvent government restrictions on the traditional banking system, which can make it harder for the government to monitor and control the overall economy. Shadow banks are also more likely to lend to high-risk borrowers, fueling asset bubbles and economic instability. As a result, shadow banking has become increasingly important in China as the country's economic growth has slowed. Despite its importance, understanding shadow banking in China is difficult due to its complexity and lack of transparency. It is best to keep an eye on developments in this area as they could have a significant impact on the Chinese economy in coming years. China Consumer Confidence Index China Unemployment Rate Conclusion In the final analysis, there are many signs that indicate that a looming economic crash in China is imminent. Indeed, analysts expect that the country could be poised for a major economic slowdown in the near future. If this happens, it will have a negative impact on global economic growth. Investors should be careful about which companies they invest in and may want to avoid companies that are heavily reliant on the Chinese economy.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MCHI
by EQTSHARES
98
Position Sizing StrategiesPosition Sizing Traders spend much of their time looking at charts and analyzing using technical or fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. While this indeed is a very good thing to spend time on, not all traders take their time to focus on risk management, and more specific position sizing. I see a lot of new traders or old traders which trade only to have their accounts blown up by taking random positions with no plan whatsoever. Proper position sizing is a key element in risk management and can determine whether you live to trade another day or not. Basically your position size is the number of shares you take on a trade. It can help you from risking too much on trade and blowing up your account. Without knowing how to size your positions properly. You may end up taking trades that are far too large for your account. In such cases, you become highly vulnerable when the market moves even just a few points against you. Your position size or trade size is more important than your entry and exit when trading or investing. You can have the best strategy in the world. But if your trade size is too big or too small, you will either take too much or too little risk. So how do you prevent yourself from risking too much? How do you know the right quantity to buy or to sell when you initiate a position? Let's say you have $10,000 in your account, and there's a stock valued at $100 you like and want to buy. Do you buy 100 shares, 10 shares, or some other number? This is the question you must answer to how to determine your position size. If you decide to spend your entire account balance and buy 100 shares, then you will have a 100% commitment to the stock and this is not indicated also in taking a position that represents a large portion of your total portfolio. There is also the opportunity cost involved, you will have to pass up other trades that you may have liked to enter. Position Sizing is a critical issue that a trader needs to know beforehand and to do on the fly. It's as important as picking the right stock or currency to invest. Position Sizing Strategies ☀️ There are several approaches to position sizing and I will run down some of the more popular ones. 1️⃣ The first one and the most common one is "Fixed percentage per trade". Position Sizing can be based on the size of an overall portfolio. This means a percentage of that overall capital will be predetermined per trade and will not be exceeded. That would be 1% or even 5%. This fixed percentage is an easy way for you to know how much you are buying when you buy to use a simple example of fixed percentage position sizing. Let's take again the $10,000 account size and a $100 stock. If you take a simple one-person position based on your account size that comes down to a single share, you may be thinking you are no better than the person with a $100 account buying one share. The difference is that the $100 account holder has a 100% position size while the $10,000 account holder is putting just one percent at risk. Which position size allows a trader to sleep better at night? Of course, the second position sizing helps control the risk. A 1% hard limit on each trade allows you to tolerate many losses in your search for profits. Protecting your capital is your primary job. Your secondary job is allowing room in your portfolio to find other trading opportunities. The fixed percentage amount is an easier approach to accomplishing this 2️⃣ The second risk management approach involves a "fixed dollar amount per trade". This approach also uses a fixed amount for this time. It's a fixed dollar amount per trade, rather than a percentage of the actual portfolio. This involves choosing a number again and using the same $10,000 portfolio as an example. So you decide you won't spend any more than $200 on any trade. For traders with small account sizes, this can be an attractive approach because it limits how much you can lose. However, it also limits what stocks you can buy. You will have to roll out some securities based solely on their price. Of course, this is not necessarily a bad thing. 3️⃣ The third approach is "volatility-based position sizing" A more complex approach, but one that allows for more flexibility is position sizing based on the volatility of the security you plan to buy. It's more dynamic because it doesn't treat each stock the same. This approach allows you to drill down and exercise finer control over your portfolio. For example, growth stocks will invariably be more volatile, and that volatility will be reflected in your portfolio. To reduce that overall risk on your portfolio. You wouldn't buy less high volatility stocks than you would lower volatility stocks. You can measure volatility with something as simple as a standard deviation over a given period, say 15 or 10 trading days. Then depending on the deviation, you adjust the number of shares you buy when you initiate a position. This allows lower volatility stocks to have more weight in your portfolio than higher volatility ones. Position Sizing based on this ideology lowers the overall volatility within a portfolio. This strategy is frequently used in large portfolios. Even longer-term traders and investors face position sizing questions for them when the price of a security with their holding goes down. It represents more value. Adding to their position, in this case, is referred to as averaging down. Long-term traders can decide to average down using similar position sizing approaches by risking either a fixed dollar amount or a percentage amount when the stock trades down you can use standard deviation here as well to help figure out the dollar amount. Some additional common sense risk parameters seem worth mentioning and may be incorporated into your trade plan. For example, Once you've figured out how much you're comfortable losing a stop loss level for each trade should be determined and placed in the market. A seasoned trader will generally know where to put their stop loss orders after having optimized their trading plan and chart analysis is often performed when setting stop-loss orders rules of thumb should be followed when you use stops to manage risk on your positions. By now I hope you realized that correct position sizing is crucial. You should always consider how much you buy when you buy and also know how you came up with that number. Regardless of your account size. Take the time to come up with a consistent approach that matches your trading style and then stick to it. You can incorporate flexibility as well. For example, if you're willing to take more risks with your portfolio, you can die a lot of the person that you use. sound money management techniques can help make an average trader better and a good trader becomes great. For example, a trader that is only right half of the time, but gets out of losing trades before the loss becomes significant and knows the right winners to a substantial profit would be way ahead of most others with trade with no clear plan of action whatsoever. And you have to find the right balance because if you risk too little and your account won't grow and if you risk too much, your account can be destroyed in a few bad trades. 🌱 If you found value and learn something new, leave me a like to show your support. 👍🏼❤️
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by parissap
23
MRI, SPX divergence is a bull trap, not a bull run.we point out that the current SPX levels is as high as they were in late May, however MRI levels were higher, then. we were also unable to test WMA200 in daily chart, something we're doing right now. this could be a divergence, or SPX could be front running our MRI. in case SPX is a front runner, we'd expect a side way move withing the depicted gray box, just above the WMA200. in case it's a divergence, that would suggest a bull trap instead of a bull run. thus, we'd expect a false WMA200 breakout, topping most likely at the top of the box, reversing afterwards. thank you for your attention. best regards.
SP:SPX
by greenfield_br