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Bitcoin: Bullish Trend with Potential ReversalBitcoin Technical Analysis - January 21st, 2023 Key Findings 1. The market is currently in a strong uptrend with bullish momentum, as indicated by high +DI and ADX values. 2. However, traders should also be aware of potential resistance levels and monitor them closely. 3. RSI values are mostly above 50, indicating bullish momentum. 4. HMA values are trending upward, indicating a bullish trend. 5. The trend indicator values are mostly above 70, confirming bullish momentum. 6. CCI values are mostly above 0, also indicating bullish momentum Chart Patterns The trend is mainly bullish, with some bearish corrections. 1. The analysis of the chart patterns indicates the presence of a bullish divergence pattern in the CCI, RSI and the trend indicators. 2. Bullish Flag pattern can be seen in the price movement. Price Movement Analysis From analyzing the price movements, it can be seen that there is a clear uptrend. 1. The prices have consistently been above the HMA, indicating a bullish market. 2. The deviation between the highest and lowest prices is significant, indicating high volatility in the market. Based on this trend and volatility, traders should expect the prices to continue to rise in the short term, with potential pullbacks along the way. Support and Resistance Levels A. The key support levels to watch in short-term; - 22,500 with a probability of holding at 75% - 22,250 with a probability of holding at 60% - 22,000 with a probability of holding at 50%. B. The key resistance levels to watch in short term; - 23,000 with a probability of breaking at 30% - 23,250 with a probability of breaking at 20% - 23,500 with a probability of breaking at 10%. Conclusions A. Day Traders : - The best move at the current price would be to sell and enter at around 22,800 or 22,600 with a high probability of success. - They should have a tight stop-loss at 22,950 and a take-profit at 23,100. B. Short-term Traders : - The best move at the current price would be to wait for a pullback and enter at the key support levels of 22,500 or 22,250, as these have a high probability of holding. - The best take-profit price would be around 23,000 and the stop-loss price would be at 22,750. - The best next entry price would be around 22,500 or 22,250 and the exit price would be around 23,000. C. Long-term traders: - They can hold their positions as the overall trend is bullish and bulls are in control with a high percentage. - The best move would be to hold and wait for a breakout above the key resistance level of 23,000, which has a probability of breaking at 30%. The best take-profit price would be around 23,500 and the stop-loss price would be at 22,750. Overall In order to make well-informed trading decisions, it is essential to keep a close watch on technical indicators and chart patterns and stay current with market conditions. This analysis shows that the market is currently displaying a strong upward trend with a bullish momentum. However, an overbought CCI value may indicate a potential reversal in the future. To stay ahead of the market, it is important to keep a lookout for signs of reversal, such as chart patterns. Traders should make their decisions based on their risk appetite and investment horizon. Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Additionally, it's important to note that technical analysis is just one aspect of evaluating a market and it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis such as fundamental analysis and market sentiment analysis.
by BC-WHISPER
Weekly Outlook on Gold 04.04-08.04I am long this week on Gold, because I see a couple confirmations. Elliot wave analysis: The correction that we have at the moment retraced to 61.8% Fibonacci level of the previous Impuls move, which is enough. Normally the correction should close the gap and test the previous consolidation, which in this case is the big triangle, but it not necessary. If the price can not close this gap, means that the trend is very strong and the price will return later to close it. Chart patterns: Right now the price is forming a sideways move, which have 2 patterns inside - Head and Shoulders and Double bottom. Normally if there is 2 reversal patterns are inside of consolidation in the middle of the trend, this is a continuation pattern. The market rejected very strong the the 1890-1895 levels. Candlestick analysis: If you watch the whole consolidation at daily Timeframe, you can see that there are more bullish candles than bearish. You are able to see that there are more consecutive bullish candles than bearish. This means that the structure have bullish momentum. Volume analysis: If you observe the volume, you see that there is no volume to the downside. Market: The slope of the whole down move from 2070 is not comparable with the slope of the previous up move. The slope and lack of volume make me thing, that the this is only a correction, before big move up. Monthly structure is bullish and monthly candle is the second bullish candle, although the big wick. Indicators: Bullish move is supported from 50 EMA, 200 EMA, RSI and Ichimoku cloud. Fundamentals support the bullish continuation too. Of course there is a possibility to drop to the 1850, testing the triangle, before the big bullish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SerpentForexClub
BTCUSDT Anatomy read the description Hi,,, Today I will show you the anatomy of BTCUSDT using Dow theory chart patterns with RSI & Gann method and at the last I will put my opinion , First using Dow theory BTC trends are: 1- Primary bull trend 2- Secondary bearish trend 3- Minor bull trend if we want to be in a secondary bull market we should close above 46K or we will stay at secondary bearish trend. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Second using chart patterns: 1- BTCUSDT breaks the Primary descending channel small divergence (semi-positive). 2- BTCUSDT is inside the ascending triangle there is small divergence (semi-positive). 3- BTCUSDT is now inside small ascending channel and there no divergence (positive). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Third using Gann methods + Fib extension : First our main support at 33K,,,, Second we are at very important resistance it is a cluster of 3 different Gann angles at almost 46K the same price to change the secondary bearish trend int bullish !! if we want to crosse this level we need a big volume and HUGE bullish candle if cross happened our first target is 57K and there is another cluster of 3 Gann angles and 0.618 fib extension so I highly recommend you to take your profit if we reach this level because we may have some correction before we continue our bullish market NOTE: it might keep going up but in my opinion I do not think this will happen. At the end my opinion is that we will break 46k after few days from now and it is very important that we do not lose our main support at 33K. and if you have any opinion please feel free to share it in the comments below + if you like my analyze please give me a like and follow me @hazem44 for more Have a nice day :)))
by hazem44
3
ADA = Bump & Run Reversal BottomADA just put in and retested the trendline of a Bump & Run Reversal Bottom Pattern. thepatternsite.com This is the best performing chart pattern one can find, according to the Encyclopedia of chart patterns by Thomas Bulkowski. Per the Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns: Price tends to rise 17% - 24%, with a breakeven failure rate of just 9% when this pattern forms. A rise in this range would conveniently test another developing larger Bump & Run Reversal Bottom on the ADA chart. (Orange Line) I have two TP levels at $1.72 & $1.80. If price breaks through the orange line and retests, it could go much higher. I have a feeling the orange trendline may serve as resistance though, as ADA would be pretty overextended at that level. Regardless I will take profit at my two levels and wait for confirmation of the larger pattern.
Long
by Cousin_Fat_Fat
Potential Break Out Of Months Long Resistance Very SoonShort-term chart patterns/ Technical indicators point towards HBAR breaking out of months long resistance (blue line on price chart). Bullish: Chart Patterns: -Cup and handle (purple) formed points to $0.297 target -Symmetrical triangle (orange) targets are between $0.327 and $0.321 -Previous cup and handle pattern met (black), likely that current cup and handle will meet its target Technical Indicators: -MACD has formed red/white histograms and about to have a bullish cross -Stoch RSI crossed bullish after bottoming out -RSI bounced off short term support Bearish: -Small bearish divergence formed on the RSI (yellow circles/lines)
BINANCE:HBARUSDLong
by Iamasloth
1
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/19Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH has been rallying hard and broke above the recent highs @ $1298 and is now trading between this level and the highs @ $1349. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the S&R flip @ $1298 and the highs at $1349. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price d falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1349, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
8
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/18Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH is consolidating in the range of $1160-1300, seems to be getting ready for a big move. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and the highs at $1298. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1298, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/17Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1298 and has just now broken down below the 200MAs. Price needs to reclaim 200MAs in order to continue bullish momentum. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and the highs at $1298. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1298, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/16Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1257 before having a flash crash to $1045, and is now trading in the middle of the range @ ~$1150. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and the highs at $1257. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1257 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1257, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
5
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/15Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied hard off of the lows of $915, and is currently getting close to retesting the highs @ 1349 Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 200MAs @ $1140-1165. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1140-1165 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
10
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/13Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: After losing almost 1/3 of its value from a high of $1348 to a low of $915, ETH rallied 26% to $1150 where it got rejected by the 200MAs and has since showed continued weakness trading under the 200MAs. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and the lows at $915. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the low of $915 and then rapidly climbs above $915, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/12Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH had a major correction, losing almost 1/3 of its value from a high of $1348 to a low of $915, and is currently consolidating between $1000-$1100. We were trying to catch the reversal at the bottom, but unfortunately entered too soon and had a losing trade. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and the lows at $915. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the low of $915 and then rapidly climbs above $915, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
8
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/11Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH made a new multi-year high @ $1348, retraced down to the 200MAs, where we took a profitable long trade, and then dropped to a low of $1170. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the high @ $1348. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above $1348, falls back down to $1348 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $1348 and then rapidly falls below $1348, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
6
ETHEREUM (ETHUSDT) DAILY LONG&SHORY TRADE SETUPS 2020/12/30MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: After reaching a high of $748, price retraced to the 200MAs @~$700 (where we took a long), and is now back up consolidating near the highs, giving us a bull bias. Chart Patterns: We have an ascending triangle pattern, which typically breaks to the upside, giving us a bull bias. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us is the highs of $748. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP Yesterday we had a winning trade! We entered a long @ $703, with Stop Loss @ $690, and price reached a high of $747.50, giving a risk reward ratio of over 3:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made more than 3BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are two potential trade setups. Given the bullish bias, the most likely scenario is "Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation", but regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break resistance, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 with force, creating space between the price and the $748 level, falls back down to $748 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern such as a bullish engulfing candle, a pinbar , or a multiple candlestick breakdown (a large red candle followed by multiple green candles that eventually close above the open/high of the large red candle) 2.1 Ideally Engulfing / Break candle has a large candle body with small wicks 2.2 Ideally Engulfing /Break candle closes near the highs of the candle 3. Volume: Above average volume on the bullish engulfing candle, pinbar , or on any of the multiple green candles that eventually break the red candle (ideally on the candle that breaks) 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less negative (changing from red to pink) Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance @ $748 and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 and then rapidly falls below $748, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick (candle close above $748) followed by a breakdown candlestick (candle close below $748) 2.1 Ideally breakout and breakdown candlesticks are consecutive candles, but can also have a few candles in between the two candlesticks 2.2 Ideally the breakdown candle has a large candle body with very small wicks 3. Volume: Above average volume ( volume above the average volume line) on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, ideally the breakdown candle's volume is a local high 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less positive (color changing from dark green to light green) ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW ME SO THAT YOU DONT MISS TRADE SIGNALS, GET THE LATEST SL AND TP LEVELS, AND FOLLOW THE TRADE PLAY OUT IN REAL TIME! DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Sorry for the late post today, had to go to the hospital. Thanks for your support. Feel free to ask any questions, and please let me know how I can improve these daily posts / what you would like me to include in these daily posts, thanks. UPDATES: Going forward, I will be adding chart patterns and previous trades onto the the chart. Let me know if there are other things you guys want me to lay out on the charts.
by cryptotraderog
2
EURGBP - Trading the breakout of an important key-levelEURGBP shows very interesting action in this period. At the bottom, we have an uptrend line that recently proved to be quite reliable, rejecting the price at 0.9020. Another level that supports buyers' positions can be found around 0.9070, where we have a short term support: At the top, we have a very good downtrend line that, combined with other key-levels, forms a curious series of chart patterns. Downtrend line + support = Descending Triangle Downtrend line + downtrend line = descending channel Downtrend line + uptrend line = pennant (or symmetrical triangle in this case) This is what we have: How to trade so many chart patterns? It might look complicated, but if you really understand the logic of chart patterns, there's a simple plan that we can follow in a scenario like this. We can trade a possible breakout of the uptrend line. The breakout of the uptrend line would result in a breakout of all the chart patterns that we have analysed so far and, as we know, it could boost the price action in favour of buyers. So my trading idea for this chart is to place a stop entry order at 0.9160, with the stop loss right below the support and with a take profit that is calculated with the logic of the measured move. You can check this trade real time on my Swing Trading account. Login and password shared in the Swing Trading Course on Udemy . Good luck!
Long
by FedericoSellitti
GBPUSD 1H BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT LONG TRADEBullish Flags are a chart pattern under the Range Patterns. Bullish Flag Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns. Bullish Flag Range chart patterns will have a long directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend. Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern. Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ). Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place. Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement. When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility ) this shows a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern. Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close. 1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line). a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size. b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume look at the volume settings on the chart – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+) 2 - Enter two trades. 3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR. 4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR. 5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price. 6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven. 7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price. *8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade *9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open. a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size. b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open. c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade. d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit. This trade setup was found by Scott Barkley on TSG "Trade of the Week"
Long
by Tradingstrategyguides
Head & Shoulders?Looking back into the price action of BTC, I was able to find a handful of Head & Shoulders chart patterns. Many of these appeared after a level of the Fibonacci channel was challenged and more interestingly, the patterns did not fully do their job, totally reversing the trend. On this chart, we have a Fibonacci channel going back to August 2015. After the completion in December 2018, it seems that the price forms reversal chart patterns whenever a Fibonacci level is challenged. This has happened for almost all the levels; In June 2017, the 0.382 Fibo level is challenged and shortly thereafter, the price forms a Head & Shoulder pattern. The head itself is more likely an Adam & Eve Double Tops. Another instance of such an occurrence is November 2017 where the price forms an Eve & Adam Double Tops right after the 0.618 Fibo level is challenged. More interestingly, while both Head & Shoulders and Doube Tops patterns are supposed to totally reverse the trend, they act in favor of the trend. In other words, these patterns do push the price down, but they do not reverse the pattern. After the price goes down to some extent, bullish momentum increases and the buyers establish the price above the previously challenged Fibo level. I am quite convinced that we are trending upwards and the price just recently did challenge the 0.236 level. Even though the pattern is not fully developed, my guess is that we will have a Head & Shoulder very soon. After all, I will not be surprised if we push than a little and shortly thereafter, break the old swing highs. I will be a buyer on dips... Stay tuned...!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by UnknownUnicorn2339202
4
Bitcoin - Double Top?I'm not the master of the charts, the professor, the legend, the king... I'm not the guru of Technical Analysis. I can't find chart patterns, like them, in markets where there are no patterns at all. That's why sorry, if this analysis based on a reversal chart pattern like Double Top, is not so wonderful and proper from your or gurus' point of view. When we talk about chart patterns, different traders have different rules and styles for drawing patterns. For one trader H&S is formed, and for another trader the right or left shoulder is not so clear and he does not use this pattern for trading. It's just an example. Let's look at the 4H timeframe. The price reached 4000.00 resistance level two times and could not break it. We got two highs and the swing low between them. It's a double top pattern, at least it looks like this. I can't say that it's the perfect pattern because for such one I would like to see clear swing highs and lows. But I would want to use it even it's not perfect. If you think I'm wrong, please read one more time the 1st paragraph. As I wrote in the previous post about BTC, it will be logical if the price bounces from 4000.00 level and make a correction. It will be logical movement in the bullish structure. Now we have the reversal pattern from the resistance and bearish divergence. Yes, the double top must be confirmed by breaking below the signal level = the local swing low. But I think it's just the question of time. RSI confirms the price reversal. MACD supports the downward movement. DMI is bullish and confirms the strong trend, but ADX line falls and it tells that bulls become weaker. The market is going to move lower and these signals confirm it. This post is not about shorting BTC. It's just the information for those who hold buy trades with close targets. Maybe it's time to think about fixing profit? For medium term and long term traders and investors, this possible correction must be used only for adding more trade volume to their active positions. If you think that this post is worthwhile, I will be very grateful for your rewards by LIKEs. As usual, your comments, opinions are welcome in comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DLavrov
65
Long @ around 1.14440 toward @ around 1.1600 before shortingMark Douglas on Chart Patterns: We can use all the various tools to analyze the market’s behavior and find the patterns that represent the best edges, and from an analytical perspective, these patterns can appear to be precisely the same in every respect, both mathematically and visually. But, if the consistency of the group of traders who are creating the pattern “now” is different by even one person from the group that created the pattern in the past, then the outcome of the current pattern has the potential to be different from the past pattern.It takes only one trader, somewhere in the world, with a different belief about the future to change the outcome of any particular market pattern and negate the edge that pattern represents. The most fundamental characteristic of the market’s behavior is that each “now moment” market situation, each “now moment” behavior pattern, and each “now moment” edge is always a unique occurrence with its own outcome, independent of all others. Uniqueness implies that anything can happen, either what we know (expect or anticipate), or what we don’t know (or can’t know, unless we had extraordinary perceptual abilities). A constant flow of both known and unknown variables creates a probabilistic environment where we don’t know for certain what will happen next. This last statement may seem quite logical. Why Most Demo Trades result is very much better than "real" money?!"...To be a Consistently Profitable Professional Trader you need to acquire a psychology skill called "Trading without Fear" a carefree state of mind in trading.. In The Zone/In the flow state of mind ..."Mark Douglas :Trading In The Zone : Professionals don't perceive anything about the market as painful; therefore, no threat exists for them. If there's no threat, there's nothing to defend against. As a result, there isn't any reason for their conscious or subconscious defense mechanism to kick in. That's why professionals can see and do things that mystify everyone else. They're in "THE FLOW", because they're perceiving an endless stream of opportunities, and when they're "NOT IN THE FLOW". the very best of the best can recognize that fact and the compensate by either "SCALING BACK" or "NOT TRADING AT ALL"...
Long
by SteveTan
Long for wave c (blue)Mark Douglas on Chart Patterns: We can use all the various tools to analyze the market’s behavior and find the patterns that represent the best edges, and from an analytical perspective, these patterns can appear to be precisely the same in every respect, both mathematically and visually. But, if the consistency of the group of traders who are creating the pattern “now” is different by even one person from the group that created the pattern in the past, then the outcome of the current pattern has the potential to be different from the past pattern.It takes only one trader, somewhere in the world, with a different belief about the future to change the outcome of any particular market pattern and negate the edge that pattern represents. The most fundamental characteristic of the market’s behavior is that each “now moment” market situation, each “now moment” behavior pattern, and each “now moment” edge is always a unique occurrence with its own outcome, independent of all others. Uniqueness implies that anything can happen, either what we know (expect or anticipate), or what we don’t know (or can’t know, unless we had extraordinary perceptual abilities). A constant flow of both known and unknown variables creates a probabilistic environment where we don’t know for certain what will happen next. This last statement may seem quite logical. Why Most Demo Trades result is very much better than "real" money?!"...To be a Consistently Profitable Professional Trader you need to acquire a psychology skill called "Trading without Fear" a carefree state of mind in trading.. In The Zone/In the flow state of mind ..."Mark Douglas :Trading In The Zone : Professionals don't perceive anything about the market as painful; therefore, no threat exists for them. If there's no threat, there's nothing to defend against. As a result, there isn't any reason for their conscious or subconscious defense mechanism to kick in. That's why professionals can see and do things that mystify everyone else. They're in "THE FLOW", because they're perceiving an endless stream of opportunities, and when they're "NOT IN THE FLOW". the very best of the best can recognize that fact and the compensate by either "SCALING BACK" or "NOT TRADING AT ALL"...
Long
by SteveTan