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FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Nov 30th 2018An expanding triangle is anticipated. Price needs to travel beyond the 2078 price level to ascertain triangle formation. Wave c of (e) is likely to terminate between 2110 - 2125. Any strong violation of EW invalidation level @ 2137 could suggest the next major downtrend may be limited to a certain extent.
Market is then expected to embark on another (probably final) journey further down south.
With the burgeoning stockpile and lack of demand, it is interesting to see how market reacts at the weekly demand zone between 1863 - 1943. #analysis #30Nov18
FCPO. HIGHERKey level = 2139
Critical level = 2095
Expectation: Still with the idea of wave (3) of ((3)) in play, downward movement today we see as a corrective pullback marked as wave 2. Looking at a lower timeframe, we label the sub structure as a motive wave with an extended wave 5. Key level 2139 must hold for this wave analysis.
Reality: Let the market decide.
Hanya Allah yang memberi.
Happy trading.
FCPO. WAVE 2 RETRACEMENT.Key level = 2095
Price already reach target retracement area 50-61.8%.
In my own personal opinion, there is still some room left for wave (2) retracement. Waiting for a clear evidence before too see if wave (2) have bottomed.
Key level must hold for this wave idea.
Let's see what the market will offer us.
Happy Trading
Want What The Market Want.
FCPO WAVE 2 CORRECTION PROGRESSKey Level = 1940
From our previous analysis:
“Expecting a 3-structure movement in corrective fashion to complete correction wave (ii)
from my personal opinion, I would like to see the end of wave (ii) at the area of 2093 – 2026”
Wave (ii) unfold into zig-zag pattern and we can see a clear 5-structure movement for wave C toward our target area.
With the idea of diagonal triangle wave (5) to end wave C and (ii), there are still left some room for throw-over below 2100 area. Expecting a sharp movement toward 2217 if everything goes according to plan.
Our key level is set at 1940, which is the starting point of wave 1 and as per Elliott rules “Wave 2 never retrace more than 100% of wave 1”. This wave analysis remains valid as long as our key level hold.
Let’s see what the market will offer us this week.
Happy Trading.
FCPO. DOUBLE ZIGZAG FORMATION IDEAReassesment of the current wave structure after price break our invalidation level of our previous idea.
As for now, my personal best idea that can be derived from the current market structure is that maybe we area looking at double zigzag formation for november contract.
Invalidation for this idea = 3698
FCPO: WAVE 3 IS COMING!Key Level: 2303
We can clearly see movement of price in a motive manner.
Breaching 2 important level, 1) Correction Channel and 2) 2197 level, add support the idea that wave 4 has already topped at 2303.
Breaking below 2197 has cancel the 5 structure uptrend movement for wave C of Y, hence limiting the movement to 3 structure wave = correction wave.
2303 serve and act as our key level/critical level for this analysis, should wave (iv) completed and wave (v) is unfold, price has no business to go above our key level.
Expecting a rebound in price and follow by a strong movement of wave 3 to the downside.
Wave 3 is coming!
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Aug 17th 2018There are 2 possible scenarios that we can come up with.
Scenario #1 : Wave (ii) of (5) had already completed and market should now move further down south in a decisive manner. We would like to see the lower correction channel (solid blue lines) to be broken and the gap area (2164 - 2180) to be closed. By fulfilling these 2 conditions, we can safely rule out that bullish momentum has finally run out of steam.
Scenario #2 : As of now, the correction structure of wave (ii) of (5) is hardly recognized. We prefer to assume that wave (ii) of (5) is currently unfolding and is expected to develop into a simple zigzag. In this preferred scenario, market should trade lower to the golden retracement area (2203 – 2205) before making the final push to reach new high at the fresh confluence zone (2233 - 2238).
Bear in mind, the gap area between 2221 - 2243 cannot be breached. If market pulls off to close the gap area, it is very likely that wave (4) is still progressing.
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Aug 16th 2018Wave (i) of (5) projection is still in a good shape provided market is able trade lower; confined within the downtrend channel (dashed lines). Ideally, termination wave 3 of (i) of (5) below 2160 price level is preferred to decisively brush off any bullish attempt.
Market, however, could open higher early in the morning and may continue to edge up to the 2225 – 2230 area before trading lower eventually. Please note, a continuous violation of invalidation level (2225) may indicate a renewed bullish momentum.
Failing to break lower correction channel (solid blue lines) or failing to close below 2180 price level by end of this week may indicate the correction of wave (4) is still on the cards. If that is the case, market could transpire into 3-drive pattern or ascending triangle in the coming weeks.
We will see what market offers us today.
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Jul 24th 2018Wave (c) of (x) is expected to terminate around 2157 - 2166
If opening price is below 2157 (gap down), an expanded flat correction is expected with termination of wave (c) of (x) is around 2121 - 2129
If opening price is above 2190 (gap up), 2230 level is within reach
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Jul 11th 2018Overall trend is still downward.
Scenario #1
Wave iv has completed (or still in progress). Should wave iv is still in progress, the upward movements should be limited to 2287 - 2297 area.
Scenario #2
Price is moving downwards within the channel, creating an extended wave iii. Price could go down until 2180 - 2210 before some retracement (wave iv)
Scenario #3 (trend reversal)
Trend reversal is assumed if price crosses beyond the invalidation level (2217).
FCPO: Hourly EW Count - Jul 5th 2018 (Possible Entries)I have laid out 2 possible movements for today as depicted in the chart. The downwards EW count is merely a projection and will be updated accordingly from time to time as the market gradually unfolds.
Entries
Short #1: 2297 - 2305 (Stoploss around 2310)
Short #2: 2320 - 2329 (Stoploss around 2335)
Alternate count (major upwards movement) can be technically ruled out. By ruling out the alternate count, wave 5 is anticipated and it can go all the way down to 2100 level. If you have short position, hold it with a stoploss at around 2349.
Long #1: 2270 - 2279 (Stoploss around 2267)
Long position is expected to be a minor retracement with the upper limit is bound by the channel (dashed) and S&D area (2297 - 2305).
FCPO 7 Sept 2021 : Trade Hammer1. Yesterday's price breakout the resistance.
2. Price pullback to the support area 5min TF.
3. 5min CS Hammer pattern followed by bullish engulfing.
4. Price near Gann level 4324.
We trade after a bullish engulfing pattern and hit TP @ 4371
Another opportunity if
1. 15min TF has rejection CS near EMA14.
2. 5min Reversal CS pattern + engulfing.
FCPO TRADING : 275) at the crossroad...again?this is haidojo and the number is 275 ...
since we entering fcpo-june, fcpo price has been trading in sideway position, still indecisive of the trend.
basically, the price has broken below the critical support of 3830-3880 support level, thus, it is in downtrend...
however, it is not directional in any significant way...juz goes up a little higher, then a little lower...
so now it has entered a boring "sideway" market...
probably waiting for appearance of advanced pattern...advanced pattern is very rare in fcpo, juz a mere 6-8 trades in a year!
yes, it is so rare that I basically give up trading advanced pattern in fcpo...but if it appears, I can still pinpoint them to u...
u know, juz for case study...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 4062 - 4176
support : 3830-3880
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!